Stewart’s favorite Top-40 dart is Henrik Norlander. The Swede is a self-admitted "one-trick pony," but that trick—approach play—carries extra weight at Colonial where wedge proximity from 125-150 yards decides scoring. Norlander ranks 9th in this field in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds, according to Stewart’s model. With 40 placement spots to work with and no need to overpower the course, Stewart believes Norlander’s iron precision alone can bank a +money Top-40.

Geoff Ulrich called Henrik Norlander the perfect boom-or-bust tournament flier for Colonial. Norlander ranks second only to Scottie Scheffler in Ulrich’s adjusted model and popped again when Pat Mayo filtered stats solely from Copperhead, highlighting his recent surge with mid- and long-irons—exactly the shots Colonial demands. The Swede owns two top-20s in his last four starts, yet projects for single-digit ownership because gamers recall past implosions where a blow-up drive or four-putt tanked him. Ulrich embraces that volatility in DFS and is sprinkling top-10/each-way bets, reasoning that Norlander’s career best weeks coincide with +7 strokes gained putting spikes. If that putter cooperates, Ulrich believes Norlander can easily pay off his low price and give line-ups rare access to true win equity at almost no ownership.

Jim Sannes fired on Henrik Norlander +350 for a top-20, pointing to the Swede’s scorching irons. Norlander has gained strokes on approach in eight straight starts and has cleared the one-stroke-per-round threshold in seven of those, a consistency level Sannes called “elite for anyone not named Scheffler.” Although Norlander is short off the tee and owns only middling course results (MC, T-34, 64th in three trips), TPC Craig Ranch’s oversized greens let precise iron players hide sub-par short games. Sannes thinks asking merely a top-20 in a watered-down field gives ample wiggle room for Norlander’s lack of distance and rates the wager as the best way to monetize his current ball-striking heater.

Polzin described Henrik Norlander as one of the few players actually ticking multiple boxes this week. The Swede enters with three straight top-20 finishes, giving him the sixth-best form rating in the field. Statistically he’s fifth in birdie-or-better percentage and inside the top-20 for strokes-gained tee-to-green. Although course results are modest (best of 34th in three tries), Polzin likes him in both DFS and the betting market: 120-to-1 outright, 4-to-1 for a top-20, and even a potential made-cut prop if books post something in the –140 range. He stopped short of labeling Norlander a core play but said he will have heavy exposure in balanced roster builds.

Iain MacMillan sees great value in Henrik Norlander at extremely long +22000 odds for the Valero Texas Open. Citing Norlander’s fourth-place PGA Tour ranking in strokes-gained approach, MacMillan identifies Norlander as a worthy longshot in this weaker field and feels the potential upside makes the risk very attractive even considering potential putting struggles.

Matt Brown strongly backed Henrik Norlander for a top-40 finish, highlighting strong confidence based on elite strokes gained approach metrics. Norlander uniquely ranks first in the field on approach over his last sixteen rounds despite struggles off the tee and around the green (ranking outside the top 120 in both). Brown acknowledged Norlander has little chance of outright victory but emphasized Norlander regularly grades well statistically in his model, making him a prime plus-money top-40 candidate due to consistent excellence with his irons.

Brandon Gdula noted Henrik Norlander as a deep DFS sleeper priced at just $7,600. Norlander continues to post solid iron numbers, gaining steadily on approach despite missing the cut narrowly last week. Though Gdula voiced concern about Norlander's struggles in short-game areas, particularly putting, his approach play stands out sharply among affordable players. Gdula suggests Norlander as a viable, salary-saving option to access pricier lineup anchors if you're willing to gamble on his poor putting reversing somewhat.

Pat Fitzmaurice is taking small outright bets on Henrik Norlander, viewing him as potentially undervalued in the Valero Texas Open field. Fitzmaurice hinted at possible hedging over the weekend if Norlander performs well, reflecting genuine upside expectations despite recognizing the bet as speculative.

Kenny Kim spotlighted Henrik Norlander as the statistical standout in the 6K DFS range at Valero Texas Open. Norlander currently ranks first in approach play and within the top 10 for key iron distance ranges essential at TPC San Antonio (150-200 yards). Kenny explicitly endorsed Norlander as a strong DFS value play due to exceptional model rankings compared to expectations for low ownership—a valuable combination for potential tournament success.

David Barnett proposed Henrik Norlander as a high-risk, high-reward option at +550 for a top-20 finish at the Valspar Championship. Barnett noted Norlander's strengths, comparing him to previous Valspar winner Paul Casey. Despite a rough recent performance, Norlander's veteran iron play and experience might shine on Ennisbrook's challenging layout. Barnett suggested Norlander as a potentially rewarding choice for those willing to take on the risk.

David Barnett takes a swing for the fences with Henrik Norlander at +550 for a top-20 finish. Despite a less-than-ideal performance last week, Barnett highlighted Norlander's strengths as a veteran iron player, equating him to former Valspar winner Paul Casey. With a blend of experience and short game prowess that could shine on Ennisbrook’s challenging layout, Barnett considers Norlander to be a risky yet potentially rewarding bet.