Shane Bacon advised bettors to steer clear of Jason Day in outright markets this week. Bacon placed Day on his "can’t-win" list because the former world No. 1 has logged very few competitive rounds in 2025, withdrew from The Players, and appears more focused on launching a YouTube channel than sharpening tournament reps. Bacon added that while Day’s talent could surface at a major like The Open, the low-scoring birdie fest in Illinois is an unlikely spot for a breakthrough. He recommends fading Day in all win and placement wagers.

Rick Gehman warned that paying $10,500 for Jason Day is a tough pill to swallow despite Day’s solid recent play (T4 at Travelers and several top-25s in 2025). Gehman noted this is the highest Day has been priced since his 2018-19 peak, and historically Day has rarely returned tournament-winning value when listed above $10K: his 12 most expensive starts produced finishes of T22, T5, T44, MC, T24, T66, T4, MC, T20, T5, 59th, MC. While Day has never missed a cut at TPC Deere Run and owns three top-25s, Gehman prefers the cheaper Ben Griffin and will only “sneak Day into some line-ups” if ownership plummets.

Kenny Kim views Jason Day as a pure game-theory smash in large-field DFS contests. Day costs $10,500 but has entered only two non-signature events all year, meaning casual players may balk at paying up in a weaker field. Kim projects sub-15 % ownership—well below Collin Morikawa’s 22 % chalk last week—and noted Day has quietly posted a 4th at the Travelers plus two additional Top-8s in his last seven starts while gaining strokes in every category in back-to-back events. Against a field where Ben Griffin is 14-to-1 outright, Kim likes Day’s ceiling, contending that 20-man leverage on a former World No. 1 is worth the salary in GPPs even if Byron fades him in betting markets.

Byron Lindeque wants to post a peer-to-peer ‘NOT Top-20’ ticket on Jason Day, expecting to grab plus-money because most users will chase the Aussie’s name value. Lindeque cited three risk factors: Day’s chronic back issues make a mid-event WD an ever-present landmine; his best gains this season have come from short-game heroics rather than iron play, a profile that rarely wins birdie fests; and his strokes-gained scoring average plummets on tracks rated ‘Easy,’ where he ranks just 53rd in the field compared to 7th on ‘Hard.’ Byron said he’d lay up to –200 on NOT Top-10 and will float a smaller, juicier number on NOT Top-20 hoping someone bites.

Kevin Cunningham suggested Jason Day is an attractive outright bet at +2200 for the 2025 John Deere Classic. Cunningham pointed out that Day owns 13 career PGA Tour victories and snapped a five-year drought with his 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson win. Although injuries have limited him in recent seasons, Day has posted several close calls since that comeback victory. With a weaker field before The Open Championship and a course that traditionally rewards precise wedge play—one of Day’s historical strengths—Cunningham framed this week as a prime opportunity for the 2015 PGA champion to return to the winner’s circle at generous odds.

Brian Giuffra grabbed Jason Day at +8000 after seeing the Aussie look 100% healthy at Oakmont. Day combined length with improved driving accuracy at the U.S. Open and, while the putter cooled post-injury, his early-season spike shows the ceiling. Giuffra noted Day has teed it up at Travelers every year since 2017, giving him plenty of local knowledge to pair with regained form.

Gannon labeled Jason Day a rock-solid value in the low-7K range. Day gained 0.9 strokes off the tee and 0.8 strokes per round overall last week on his way to a T-23, posting positive numbers in every strokes-gained category. He has teed it up at Travelers 10-plus times, so course knowledge is a given, and the positional layout minimizes the driver issues that have plagued him sporadically in 2025. With a sub-8 percent ownership projection and multi-category form trending, Gannon sees Day as an ideal last-man-in for balanced DFS builds.

Gehman is willing to roll the dice on Jason Day at a flat $7,000. Day gained strokes on both Saturday and Sunday at Oakmont and avoided the worst weather by finishing early, sparing him the mental grind that wore down leaders. Outside of a lone PGA Championship miscut, Day has been a consistent tee-to-green winner in 2025 while rediscovering his trademark putting touch. Although his last three Travelers starts were mediocre (T44, T45, MC) thanks to cold irons, Day’s earlier River Highlands resume includes multiple top-20s between 2014-21. Gehman views the uptick in approach play this season as a signal those poor finishes were outliers and likes Day as a low-owned GPP flyer with legitimate top-10 equity.

Blake Krass recommended sprinkling Jason Day at +6500 for first-round leader, leaning on a mix of elite course history and a career resurgence. Day won the 2018 Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow, finished T4 there in 2024, and owns two additional top-10s at the venue, including the last PGA Championship contested on the track. He has 18 career top-10s in majors (2015 Masters champion) and has rediscovered his game since 2023. Early 2025 results—T13 Pebble Beach, T3 American Express, T8 Arnold Palmer Invitational, T8 Masters—show he can still spike. Krass acknowledged that Day may not outlast the Scheffler/McIlroy/DeChambeau trio over four days, but believes his proven ability to go low at Quail makes him a live Thursday dart. At 65-1, bettors are getting long odds on a player with both recent form and a documented affinity for this bomber-friendly layout.

Vincenzi locked in Jason Day at 3-1 to be Top Australian/Oceania player despite last week’s neck WD. His logic: Day never forces it—if he starts, the neck is good—and his course resume is elite (win and T4 at Valhalla plus an 8th at this year’s Masters). In signature events he is gaining across the board, particularly on approach, and soft greens mitigate the slight distance deficit he now carries versus the current bomber crop. Given that the bet voids if Day withdraws pre-tournament, Vincenzi calls it low-risk, high-upside exposure to a proven major performer on a track he loves.

Kalland pegged Jason Day at +7000 as a live longshot. Day lifted the 2018 Wells Fargo trophy at Quail Hollow and has two additional top-10s on the course, most recently a T4 last year. The Aussie’s 2025 results include a T8 at the Masters, and Kalland reminded bettors that PGA Championship setups historically suit Day’s power-fade profile. Returning to a layout he knows and likes could spark his first win since 2023.

Day appears in Haslbauer’s Tier-4 pricing bucket but carries far more upside than his salary suggests. The Aussie won the 2018 Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow, ranks third in cumulative strokes gained here over the last decade and has also lifted trophies at both Torrey Pines and Riviera—two of Haslbauer’s primary comp courses. Day grades above average in every short-game metric the tout emphasized (SG:Around-the-Green, Scrambling, Bogey Avoidance on difficult tracks) and is one of only nine players to clear all four of those categories while also succeeding on fast Bermuda. With the course playing 70 yards longer and likely wetter, his still-elite driving distance (top-30) and ability to avoid big numbers position him as a high-leverage DFS play and an appealing top-20 or each-way ticket.

Matt Gannon advised fading Jason Day at $8,800 despite the Aussie’s sparkling Quail Hollow résumé. Gannon noted that Day has recently withdrawn from multiple starts and is still "not all the way there" physically. The current version of Day is leaning far too heavily on the putter while losing strokes with his irons—an approach Gannon insists will not cash at this long-iron-heavy major venue. Paying a near-9K salary for a player whose ceiling hinges on a hot flat stick rather than reliable tee-to-green performance is, in Gannon’s words, "not going to pay off."

Sia Nejad said gamers should not automatically cross Jason Day off their rosters despite Dan Rapaport’s report of a herniated neck disc. Nejad noted Day’s long-running pattern: he often withdraws when he feels less than 100 percent, then returns to flash top-10 form as soon as the pain subsides. Because most of the field will see the injury tag and fade him, Nejad views Day as a pure ownership-leverage target in large-field DFS tournaments. If the Australian merely tees it up, Nejad believes Quail Hollow’s demanding setup still fits Day’s high-ball flight and elite around-the-green game well enough for a finish in the 5th–10th range, turning low exposure into meaningful upside.

Joe Idone eliminated Jason Day from all betting and DFS consideration after the Australian withdrew from the Truist warm-up with a herniated neck disc. Idone said the injury—combined with Day’s long history of back and neck issues—makes a late WD or severely limited performance far more likely than a Quail Hollow resurgence. That reality cancels out the appealing course history (2018 Wells Fargo win) and recent ball-striking uptick. Until Day shows full health and club-head speed, Idone advises avoiding outright tickets, placements, and even $6K DFS punts.

Musso dropped Jason Day from his top-10 after learning—via Dan Rapoport—that Day’s withdrawal from the Truist event was due to a disc herniation in his neck. Musso said any outright or DFS exposure is now a ‘dream only’ scenario and advised removing Day from betting cards unless concrete medical updates show full recovery before the PGA at Quail Hollow.

Joe Musso downgraded Jason Day from seventh to off the board after news broke that Day withdrew from the Truist because of a herniated cervical disc. Musso noted that neck issues have derailed Day in the past and called the timing brutal with only a week to rehab before Quail Hollow. Even if Day tees it up, Musso expects limited practice reps and warns that one swing could send him back to the physio trailer. He advised tossing Day from outright cards and looking to fade him in head-to-head markets unless convincing reports of pain-free practice surface early in the week.

Shane Bacon said Jason Day deserves a spot on outright cards and top-10 tickets for the PGA Championship because everything lines up. Day has quietly posted eight straight starts gaining strokes tee-to-green in 2024 and sits 12th in total strokes-gained on TOUR. Quail Hollow is his personal playground: a past winner of the Wells Fargo there and T9 at the 2017 PGA, the last time the major visited the venue. Bacon noted Day briefly flirted with the lead at this year’s Masters, proof the form is close. With Quail’s long par-4s favoring high-apex drivers and elite long-iron play, Bacon believes the Aussie will again be in the hunt and called any number longer than 40-1 an immediate bet.

Kenny Kim expressed strong DFS interest in Jason Day at RBC Heritage, anticipating low ownership despite Day's encouraging recent results. Kim pointed to Day's solid performance at the Masters and multiple high finishes over recent tournaments as indications of a return to form and full health. Harbour Town’s layout should align well with Day’s game, and given the low expected DFS ownership, Kim views him as a valuable player offering leverage and upside potential in fantasy golf contests this week.

Keith Stewart clearly advised against playing Jason Day at The Masters, pointing out that Day's best result at Augusta occurred years ago when he was less burdened by distractions. Stewart expressed strong concerns about Day's current focus, suggesting that his attention to external distractions like fashion and sponsorship outfits detracts severely from necessary laser-sharp focus required at Augusta—a course demanding razor-thin margins of error. Given Day's fixation on non-golf related issues and Stewart's strong preference for mentally hardened and focused competitors, he concluded Day is a clear fade as he isn't adequately prepared to handle Augusta's high-pressure environment.

Pat Mayo strongly believes Jason Day possesses the ideal skill set to perform well at Augusta, especially as he becomes more comfortable following his swing changes over the past year and a half. Despite a disappointing showing last week in Houston, Mayo highlighted Day's track record as someone whose balanced, precise game fits perfectly for Masters conditions. Mayo already holds a bet on Day to win the Masters at 150/1 odds placed before the Players Championship. Although Day's current price is down significantly to 55/1, Mayo expects it to drift toward the 80-85/1 range, making Day a valuable play given his improving form and comfort level in major settings.

Pat Mayo identified Jason Day as an intriguing bet at current Masters odds, many available in triple digits. Mayo praised Day's ability to age gracefully into an elite-level Masters performer, highlighting Day’s consistency in big tournaments historically, despite solely having one major win. With Day gradually regaining form and comfort following his recent swing overhaul, Mayo viewed his deeper odds as providing major value, labeling him a compelling long-shot consideration worth early investment for Augusta or future majors.

Tyler Tamboline called out Jason Day as a valuable DFS choice at the 2025 Houston Open, dismissing recent health concerns about Day being sick at The Players Championship as inconsequential given his quick recovery. Day has historically succeeded playing in Texas and is coming into the tournament in decent form overall. Tamboline indicated Day's past success in this region coupled with dismissed health concerns provides a savvy ownership-reduced opportunity in DFS.

David Barnett advised closely monitoring Jason Day as an appealing play at 35 to 1 odds. Barnett pointed out that despite Day recently withdrawing from The Players Championship, he has shown strong play in other recent performances. Further adding to the appeal, Day has positive history at the Houston course, excelling particularly around the greens with consistently solid iron play. Barnett recommended keeping an eye on Day's status and the possible weather impacts, suggesting that if Day's number remains around 35 and no significant wave disadvantages emerge, he makes for a strong betting selection this week.

Stephen Hennessey advised against betting Jason Day (28-1), citing declining metrics (81st overall in his model), particularly noting 111th in strokes gained off the tee and 93rd in strokes gained approach metrics. Although Day has been showing sporadic improvement recently, Hennessey expressed concerns that the former elite player is still far from form worthy of his current odds in a challenging Memorial Park field.

Matt Vincenzi advocates for Jason Day finishing in the top 10 at +300 odds, based on his historical success at Memorial Park. Day finished T7 in his debut at this venue and T16 in 2023, demonstrating a consistent ability to contend here. Given the anticipated challenging scoring conditions, Vincenzi sees strong value in Day's experience and ability to handle this course.

Keith Stewart recommends considering Jason Day this week, stressing not to overly downgrade him despite recent drops in short-game statistics. Day's results around-the-green and putting are historically elite, but have dipped noticeably this season. Stewart reminds listeners that earlier in the year Day was playing extremely well before illness (rather than injury) interfered at THE PLAYERS Championship, causing his recent poorer results. Stewart points out Day previously succeeded in Texas conditions involving windy environments, tight turf, elite short-game demands, and long irons hit at higher trajectories—conditions similar to what he'll likely face this week in Houston. This makes him a compelling buy-low candidate.

Ben Coley strongly recommended betting on Jason Day, arguing his current 33/1 odds represent value due to an unfair market overreaction after a withdrawal at The PLAYERS due to a temporary stomach issue. Prior to this, Day was gaining significant momentum, finishing third, eighth, and 13th in recent starts. Coley noted Day's renewed partnership with former coach Col Swatton has improved areas such as putting and strokes gained. Day also showed good form at Memorial Park previously, recording an impressive 16th-place finish despite less impressive incoming form at the time. Coley's stance is reinforced by Day's history of winning events in Texas and solid long-term performances that are currently trending up.

Matt Vincenzi likes Jason Day's potential at +4000 odds following recent strong performances coupled with notable swing adjustments. Day recently reconnected with childhood coach Colin Swatton, resulting in key technical adjustments, notably head position and alignment improvements, which Day believes allow his shoulders and swing to function more fluidly. Day showed promising form recently with a T3 at the American Express and a T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Previously, Day finished T7 at Memorial Park, indicating good course compatibility. Having rested last week following an illness-induced withdrawal from The Players, Day should be fresh and primed to contend again.

Brandon Gdula identified Jason Day as the second-best outright candidate in his betting consideration in the second tier group behind Tony Finau. He highlights Day's recent impressive finishes of T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T13 at Pebble Beach, underscoring his current form coming into Memorial Park. Despite a missed cut last year at this venue, Day has demonstrated previous success here (16th and a 7th-place finish). Gdula specifically notes Day's putting is trending well and he looks to be playing some consistently solid golf recently, making him appealing for DFS consideration this week as a secondary option behind Finau.

Eric Polzin acknowledged Jason Day's solid recent form, evidenced by eleven consecutive made cuts, but cooled on his betting appeal at Houston due to mixed course history (miscut, 16th, 54th, 7th). Polzin pinpointed concerns with Day's total driving and poor putting (ranked 90th in the field), despite strengths around the green and overall form. Polzin indicated that Day would only be considered for betting if needing one more golfer for the betting card, otherwise recommending him primarily for DFS tournaments rather than cash contests.

Eric Polzin expressed caution about Jason Day despite his impressive recent form, noting that while Day has made 11 consecutive cuts and has multiple strong finishes lately, his track record at the Houston Open raises concern. Day previously missed the cut last year at the same course, finishing 54th and 16th in the two prior appearances, performances Polzin felt weren't sufficient at his DFS price point. Though Day has mixed in top-10 finishes in recent events, his inconsistent course history in Houston adds volatility to his DFS profile for this event.

Jamie Worsley is bullish on Jason Day's prospects at the Houston Open 2025, highlighting his recent excellent form despite an illness withdrawal from THE PLAYERS Championship. Day was in prime contention at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before late mistakes pushed him to an 8th-place finish—his third top-15 in only six events this season. His iron play (ranked 37th on Tour) is close to career-best, combined with solid off-the-tee efforts, strong short-game, and improved putting in recent tournaments. Past success at Memorial Park with finishes of 7th (2020) and 16th (2022), coupled with previous Texas victories (WGC-Match Play and Byron Nelson twice) and comfort in windy conditions further bolsters Day's case as a smart each-way betting opportunity at 33/1 odds.

Dave Tindall heavily endorses Jason Day at odds of 33/1 for the Houston Open based on Day's excellent record on courses with shaved runoff areas similar to Memorial Park. He emphasizes Day's elite scrambling abilities, citing a fourth-place finish at Pinehurst in the 2014 U.S. Open, highlighting that he finished sixth in scrambling there. Day also excels at Augusta National, a comparable venue in terms of shaved runoff areas around greens, ranking sixth in Strokes Gained: Around the Green (ATG) in 2024 and consistently ranking in the top 10 for scrambling across Augusta appearances. Tindall also points to Day's strong recent showing at Quail Hollow, another similar test, where Day finished fourth and ranked first for Around The Green. Jason Day recently reunited with his former longtime coach Collin Swatton, showing immediate improvement by ranking fifth for SG: Putting at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. His current form is highlighted by finishes of third at The American Express, eighth at Bay Hill, and 13th at Pebble Beach. With three career wins already in Texas and a solid history at this course (seventh and 16th places previously), Tindall strongly recommends backing Jason Day each-way at current odds as an ideal course fit with clear momentum and elite short-game prowess.

Pat Perry highly recommends Jason Day for THE PLAYERS Championship, citing Day’s strong recent form, including a top-10 finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, despite some late-round struggles. Perry highlights Day’s consistent play throughout the year, making him an attractive betting option at TPC Sawgrass. Considering recent success, odds, and overall performance, Perry views Day as a key betting target for the event. Specifically, he identifies Day as a confident top-20 wager at +200, expressing strong belief in Day’s ability to deliver another solid performance this week.

Ben Coley identified Jason Day as undervalued at THE PLAYERS Championship, noting Day's recent positive trend following reuniting with longtime coach Col Swatton, particularly addressing putting struggles that previously diminished his performances. Coley emphasized Day's uplifting showing at Bay Hill, recovering strongly after starting poorly and moving into late contention before an isolated swing cost him. Day has repeatedly gained strokes with his irons recently, and a newly confident putter at Bay Hill signals potential success. Furthermore, Sawgrass perfectly complements Day's skills, evident from a dominant victory there previously and additional top-10 finishes. His strong form on Pete Dye-designed stadium courses such as Whistling Straits reinforces his course-fit narrative. Coley sees Day at 50/1 as exceptional betting value based on form, coaching improvements, proven Sawgrass affinity, and comfort under high-pressure situations at prominent venues.

Ben Everill advocates betting Jason Day (+190) to finish top-20 including ties, noting Day's resurgence at Arnold Palmer Invitational before minor mistakes halted his chances. Everill believes Day is ascending ahead of a potential Augusta peak, making him a safe and smart top-20 wager for THE PLAYERS Championship.

Ben Coley highlighted Jason Day as a golfer worth backing soon, specifically pointing out that Day's recent reunion with his old coach, Col Swatton, showed immediate positive returns in his putting at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Coley underscored the significant improvement in Day's stroke on the greens, connecting this directly to reuniting with the coach that guided him during much of his past success. Given Day's historical comfort and poise in major tournaments, Coley anticipates further strong performances and indicates he is a strong upside target both for fantasy golf and betting lines in upcoming events.

Andy Swales emphasized Jason Day as a player to watch closely at THE PLAYERS Championship based on his solid course history and encouraging recent form. Day won this event previously at TPC Sawgrass nine years ago and enters this week's action off of solid performances earlier in the season, notably securing a podium finish at The American Express tournament. Additionally, Day finished tied-eighth in his most recent event at Bay Hill. Given his familiarity and past success at TPC Sawgrass, combined with his recent run of good form, Swales believes Day presents promising betting and fantasy value for this prestigious event.