Byron Lindeque is fading Joaquin Niemann entirely, noting that the Chilean has hemorrhaged a half-stroke per round around the greens across 16 Open Championship rounds since 2018. That dismal short-game record shows up in the majors as well, where Niemann remains winless with no top-5s. Byron highlighted that Niemann’s traditionally low, piercing ball flight—once thought perfect for links golf—hasn’t translated to results, and his scrambling “jumpies” surface whenever tight run-offs demand delicate touch. With equally priced pivots like Patrick Cantlay and Russell Henley offering far better short-game floors, Lindeque calls Niemann an unnecessary risk in both cash and GPP builds.

Dom also grabbed Joaquin Niemann at 30-1. Niemann hit 91% GIR and still lost five strokes putting en route to his fourth LIV victory last week—an absurd display of tee-to-green dominance. Dom loves that Niemann has quietly added distance since leaving the PGA Tour, giving him flexibility to club down for fairways or launch when angles demand. If the putter even neutralizes, Niemann’s current ball-striking would play anywhere, including Oakmont.

Fairholm likes Niemann for a top-20 at +135. The Chilean quietly averages 315 yards off the tee—top 15 on LIV—and just picked up a win at LIV Virginia. While his career major resume shows only one top-10 in 24 starts, Fairholm thinks Oakmont’s bomber bias plus Niemann’s current confidence lower the bar to a top-20 finish.

Pat Fitzmaurice endorsed Joaquin Niemann at +3500 to win, noting the 26-year-old just captured his fourth LIV title of the season after firing a Sunday 63 to steal the event in Virginia. Niemann finally flashed major chops with an 8th-place finish at last month’s PGA Championship, which Fitzmaurice views as a signal the Chilean is ready to contend on golf’s biggest stages. Oakmont’s lightning greens reward elite ball-strikers, and Fitzmaurice believes Niemann’s recent form and confidence make him a live long-shot to claim his first major.

Camenker labeled Joaquin Niemann the best LIV option at +3000. Although Niemann owns just one top-20 in 21 career majors, he has been dominant on LIV this season with four wins in eight events, including the pre-Open tune-up in Virginia. His 327.3-yard driving average would top the PGA Tour and should let him shorten Oakmont’s 7,372-yard layout. Accuracy is the swing factor, but Camenker likes the discount relative to Bryson DeChambeau (+750) and believes the distance upside makes Niemann a live value play.

Jacobs recommended Joaquin Niemann at 30/1 e/w (8 places, 1/5) as the value ‘outsider’. Niemann just logged his first major top-10 with an 8th at the PGA Championship, ranking 3rd in SG: Approach after shaking off a slow start. He has since captured a fourth LIV title of the year at LIV Virginia, finishing birdie-birdie-birdie-birdie from 14-17 against fields that include Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm—proof his winning chops translate. The 26-year-old owns six LIV wins, two PGA Tour victories, and additional wins in Asia and on the DPWT, underscoring a true ‘closing gene.’ In four straight U.S. Opens he’s made every cut with a best of T23 at Winged Foot, where he sat inside the top-12 for three rounds. A big hitter who is trending with the irons, Niemann now has the confidence box ticked and, according to Jacobs, is ready to contend on a layout where length plus approach play separate contenders from pretenders.

Geoff Fienberg revealed he already punched a 40-to-1 ticket on Joaquin Niemann and believes that number treats the Chilean like a mid-tier also-ran rather than the elite talent he is. Niemann has racked up multiple LIV wins this season—"he wins on LIV every second week," Fienberg joked—showing a ceiling every bit as high as the 20-to-1 names such as Viktor Hovland and Patrick Cantlay. Fienberg’s eye test says Niemann’s ball-striking and creativity around the greens translate to any major venue, even if Oakmont’s rough isn’t an ideal setup. He is betting pure ability: "My eyeballs see the talent; I bet on talent." Fienberg concedes the Chilean still needs to prove he can close in a major, but at 40-to-1 he sees value that simply doesn’t exist on similarly skilled players priced nearly half as short. If the number drifts lower, he’ll pass, but anything 40 or longer belongs on an outright card.

Kim wagered Niemann at 28-1 (8 places), stressing that the Chilean has racked up four LIV titles and six worldwide victories in roughly twelve months. The recent win in Virginia came with a field-leading long-iron split, reinforcing Niemann’s elite 175-plus-yard profile that should shine at Oakmont where a third of approaches push past 200 yards. After bagging his first career major top-10 at Valhalla, Kim feels the "monkey is off his back." Accuracy is the lone worry, but he expects Niemann to club down to three-wood to keep it in the short grass, letting that high-ceiling iron game go to work. Kim called the number a bargain for a player he feels is destined to claim a major sooner rather than later.

Patrick McDonald pegged Joaquin Niemann as the most appealing first-time major winner candidate and a must-bet outright at roughly 30-1. Oakmont has crowned first-time major champions in five of its last six U.S. Opens, and McDonald noted Niemann’s form dwarfs the other ‘best-without-a-major’ names. The Chilean has won three of six LIV starts in 2025, leads that tour in strokes-gained tee-to-green and driving distance, and quietly back-doored a top-10 at Quail Hollow—another 7,500-yard, penal-rough layout. McDonald believes Niemann’s low, piercing fade will handle Oakmont’s expected softness, while his top-5 LIV scrambling stats cover inevitable misses. He is taking outright and top-10 tickets and plans to anchor DFS builds around Niemann, ranking him above fellow first-timers Ludvig Aberg, Viktor Hovland, and Patrick Cantlay.

Brandon Gdula pushed back on Niemann’s backers, arguing that 30-to-1 is still too short for a golfer who has never been a real Sunday factor in a major. Outside two hot rounds at Quail Hollow, Niemann’s big-event resume is paper-thin and his short game remains exploitable. Gdula prefers Ludvig Aberg at 25-to-1 or Collin Morikawa in the same range because both own better U.S. Open track records and more rounded skill sets. He went as far as booking a personal head-to-head against Niemann with Aberg, underscoring that Niemann will be a fade for him in outright and finishing-position markets.

Jim Sannes acknowledged Joaquin Niemann’s major history is ‘more puppy whimper than dog bark,’ yet still grabbed the 30-to-1 outright because the underlying data scream upside. Niemann gained 2.03 strokes on approach and 0.96 with the flat stick during his T8 at this year’s PGA Championship, then immediately won LIV-Virginia despite losing 1.41 strokes per round putting—evidence the tee-to-green ceiling is enormous. Over the past five majors he owns finishes of 22nd, 29th and 8th while ranking top-15 in both driving distance and approach in DataGolf’s true strokes-gained splits. Sannes concedes the short game can implode, but thinks Oakmont rewards his elite driving more than it punishes shaky chipping. At a number longer than Collin Morikawa or Ludvig Aberg, Sannes is willing to look silly if the putter goes cold.

Eric Polzin acknowledged Joaquin Niemann will likely be one of the chalkiest sub-$8K options but still labeled him a priority value. Niemann owns top-15 finishes in four of his last five worldwide starts, including a T8 at the PGA Championship and two LIV runner-up results. Polzin’s model credits Niemann with +1.8 SG: Tee-to-Green on firm, fast venues—second only to Scheffler in that subset. He has also gained strokes putting in six straight events, easing worry over Oakmont’s slick Poa greens. While ownership could push 25%, Polzin is comfortable being even with the field and leveraging differentiation elsewhere rather than fading a glaring misprice.

Bamford staked Niemann at 30/1 (8 places), pointing to the Chilean’s sixth worldwide win last week at LIV Virginia—an 8-under 63 Sunday while staring down Rahm and DeChambeau. That was his fifth win in 12 starts and first on U.S. soil, moving him to #4 in Bamford’s predictor. Niemann finished 8th at the PGA Championship and fits the recent trend where five of the past six U.S. Open winners logged a top-8 in the prior PGA. Course-fit parallels include victories at Riviera (Genesis 2022) and TPC Old White (Greenbrier 2019), both classical tests with Bent/Poa greens and narrow sightlines similar to Oakmont’s 18-28-yard fairways. The 26-year-old ranks top-5 SG: Approach and top-10 SG: Putting on Poa over the last eight-event window, giving him the balanced profile Bamford looks for when grinders meet slick greens.

Rick Gehman said he can no longer ignore Joaquin Niemann’s elite form even if Oakmont looks mediocre on paper. Niemann has four LIV wins in 2024, just captured another last week, and placed T8 at the PGA Championship while gaining 6.2 strokes tee-to-green and 3.5 putting. Over his last 36 measured rounds he is one of only four golfers gaining 2+ strokes per round (Scheffler, DeChambeau, Rahm, Niemann) and is performing a full stroke better than his 100-round baseline. Gehman conceded Niemann’s low-launch driver prefers firmer venues but maintained the Chilean’s ceiling now resembles a top-5 player in the world. At $8,600 with likely heavy ownership, Niemann is a play-the-talent decision for DFS and worth a small outright sprinkle despite imperfect fit.

Geoff Fienberg said he will be betting Joaquin Niemann outright at Oakmont and hunting plus-money head-to-heads on the Chilean against the entire PGA "second tier" (Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay, etc.). Fienberg argued that after the clear top four in the world, Niemann is the player he trusts most over 72 holes, even though Niemann competes on LIV and has not collected a recent high-profile win. Because the books continue to price Niemann like a long shot, Fienberg believes bettors can still grab outright numbers in the 40-to-1 range and find attractive matchup prices. He views Niemann’s elite tee-to-green ceiling as comparable to anyone outside Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau, making him a strong value play for the U.S. Open.

Silverstein argued Niemann, ninth on the odds board, is a poor value. Across 23 major starts the Chilean has seven missed cuts and just one top-20. With no signature PGA Tour or major victories on his resume, the tout prefers fading Niemann in all outright and matchup markets.

Despite three LIV wins this season, McBrayer dismissed Joaquin Niemann’s 40-to-1 price as "wildly overinflated." Niemann has zero career top-20 finishes in a major, and McBrayer sees no evidence that changes in the strongest field of 2025. He compared Niemann to "Tommy Fleetwood—automatic top-30, never really in it" and advised bettors to fade Niemann in outright markets and against any elite ball-striker with proven major upside.

Reynolds took Joaquin Niemann at 33-1 (FanDuel) despite zero top-10s in 23 majors. Niemann ranks 3rd in driving distance over the last 36 rounds (326.5 yards) and has won four times worldwide in the past five months, including three 2025 LIV titles. His 2022 Genesis win at Riviera shows he can conquer classical designs. Reynolds argues that the current form plus elite power translates to Quail Hollow’s six par-4s between 450-500 yards, an area where Niemann ranks 3rd in bogey avoidance (9.6%).

Kris McCormack highlighted Joaquin Niemann at +2700 as his sleeper, citing the Chilean’s three LIV wins in Mexico, Adelaide and Singapore this year. That run, he said, proves Niemann’s ability to travel and close. Niemann’s penetrating ball flight and top-tier club-head speed should mesh with Quail’s long par-4s, and McCormack believes his confidence is peaking at precisely the right time.

Vincenzi doubled down on his Niemann love by attacking the specialty markets. He grabbed Niemann at 6-1 to be Low LIV Golfer and 3-1 for a Top-10 finish, arguing this PGA setup is the perfect breakout spot. The Chilean has already produced four T4-or-better results on LIV this spring and gained over three strokes tee-to-green at Quail Hollow, a course with a similar soft, bomber-friendly profile. Niemann himself called the PGA his best chance for a first major, and Vincenzi believes the receptive greens will let his low-flight long irons hunt pins. He expects Niemann’s combination of 184-mph ball speed and recent short-game improvement to yield a career-best major finish and pay off the specialty tickets even if the outright falls short.

Vincenzi grabbed Joaquin Niemann at 40-1, arguing the Chilean’s elite distance and low, piercing ball flight become far more dangerous on a wet course where fairways will hold and approach shots can be fired straight at tucked pins. Niemann’s typical weakness at majors is firm-and-fast setups; take that away and his tee-to-green metrics on LIV (four finishes of T4 or better this spring) translate cleanly. A projected −13/−14 winning score and receptive greens play directly into his aggressive iron game, giving him ceiling equity at a number he feels is several points too long.

Jim Sannes said Joaquin Niemann is the first name he wants to click once he drops out of the five-figure range on FanDuel. Niemann is just $9,600 yet already ranks 7th in salary-adjusted win odds and 11th in Sannes’ Strokes-Gained-Stabilization model, a metric he trusts for identifying true ball-striking form. Although the Chilean’s career major record is shaky—only 1.02 true strokes gained per round since 2020, 37th in this field—Sannes argued that three wins in seven LIV starts and a driving-distance advantage of roughly 20 yards on the Quail Hollow average make him a much different player now. With a bomber-friendly 7,626-yard setup and Niemann’s long-iron proficiency, Sannes is comfortable building DFS cores around him and letting the major-sample haters fade away.

Jim Sannes explained that he will roster Joaquin Niemann in DFS but is steering clear of a 35-1 outright ticket. Niemann enters in blistering form—three LIV wins in seven 2025 starts and a T29 at the Masters—yet his major record is glaringly poor: only four top-25s and zero top-10s in 23 career majors. Sannes compared the situation to Patrick Cantlay’s perpetual major letdowns and noted Niemann has never truly contended on a Sunday. With Quail Hollow demanding long-iron excellence under final-round pressure, Sannes thinks the Chilean is more likely to post a solid finish than to defeat every elite bomber in the field. He is open to top-10 props and heavy DFS exposure but is leaving Niemann off outright cards until he shows real closing equity in majors.

Parker advised laying the ‑115 on Joaquin Niemann to be Top South American in the PGA Championship. The Chilean has three wins in eight LIV starts, will be making his fourth appearance at Quail Hollow, and has gained strokes across the board since his first 2025 victory, ranking eighth tee-to-green and 14th putting in this field during that stretch. His only competition in the market is Jonathan Vegas—who has missed the cut in four of his last six majors—and Nico Echavarria, who missed the cut in his only Quail Hollow start. Given Niemann’s superior form and course familiarity, Parker considers the price a bargain.

Len Hochberg warned DFS players to fade Joaquin Niemann at a steep $9,600 price tag. Although Niemann has dominated LIV with three wins this season and entered the Masters with similar hype, he finished a non-factor at Augusta. In 20-plus career majors, the 26-year-old has never cracked the top-15. Hochberg doubts Quail Hollow will suddenly unlock his major ceiling and prefers to allocate salary to proven big-stage performers instead.

Blaine Blontz said Joaquin Niemann is an outright fade at his current +3000 price to win the 2025 PGA Championship. Blontz acknowledged Niemann’s undeniable talent and three LIV Tour victories this season (Adelaide by 3 shots, Singapore by 5, Mexico City by 3) but stressed that success has not translated to majors: 0 top-15s in 23 career majors and only a best finish of 16th at the 2023 Masters. Niemann’s PGA Championship history is equally uninspiring (best of 23rd in 2022 and three missed cuts in seven appearances). At Quail Hollow specifically, he owns finishes of MC-28-18 across three Wells Fargo Championships. Blontz concluded that the Chilean has “yet to prove his mettle in golf’s biggest events,” making the +3000 number far too short and a clear betting fade.

Marc Williams said bettors should not ignore Joaquin Niemann at 35/1 to win the PGA Championship. Niemann arrives as one of the hottest players on the planet after capturing his third LIV Golf title in Mexico City at the end of April. Although he has yet to record a top-10 in a major, Williams noted that the Chilean was inside the top 20 for much of Masters week before fading to T29, a sign his game can travel to major venues. Quail Hollow historically rewards aggressive drivers and high ball-flight iron play—both Niemann calling cards—and the tournament’s history of producing surprise winners (Jimmy Walker, Jason Dufner, Phil Mickelson at 50) adds to Williams’s belief that Niemann is a live outright and top-10 ticket.

Kris McCormack spotlighted Joaquin Niemann at +2700, pointing to arguably the hottest form in golf. Niemann has already bagged three LIV titles in 2025—Mexico City, Adelaide, and Singapore—demonstrating both consistency and closing ability under pressure. McCormack sees that winning form translating to Quail Hollow, a track that rewards ball-striking pop and confidence. Bettors looking for a player entering the major on a heater should consider Niemann for outrights and top-5 props.

Although Joaquin Niemann keeps winning worldwide, Rich Gehman believes Quail Hollow sets up terribly for him. Niemann’s trademark low-launch ball flight will struggle to carry the wet, lengthened corridors, and his major resume is thin—only one career top-20 (2013 Masters) in 25 tries. Past Quail starts produced middling results (T18 in 2021, T38 in 2019), reinforcing Gehman’s skepticism. Given the need for long, high-apex tee shots this week, Gehman is fading Niemann in both DFS builds and outright markets.

Andy Lack likes Joaquin Niemann for placement bets rather than an outright ticket. Niemann’s tee-to-green form is scorching—he just edged Bryson at Chapultepec and currently ranks 2nd in SG:Ball-Striking on LIV this season—yet Lack argued the Chilean still needs a ‘gateway’ contention before sealing a major. Niemann’s best major finish is T-23, and Lack contrasted that with Wyndham Clark’s sudden U.S. Open win, noting Clark carried longer PGA Tour reps in elite fields. Still, Niemann’s driving accuracy and 185-mph ball speed give him the blueprint to pick Quail Hollow apart and ‘almost guarantee’ a strokes-gained edge off the tee. Lack favors top-20 (+150) and top-10 (+375) markets, projecting Niemann to gain 4+ strokes ball-striking but potentially cede late ground with an unproven Bermuda putter. He advised passing on the 33/1 outrights and reallocating exposure to placement bets and DFS cash-lineups where a made-cut floor is paramount.

Kenny Kim echoed the fade on Joaquin Niemann, saying he will not touch the outright until books post 60-to-1 or longer. Niemann has offered "show nothing" in majors—zero top-10s, zero top-20s at the PGA—and Kim believes that baggage is now inside the player’s head. LIV success should translate to top-three finishes every week for a talent of Niemann’s caliber, yet it hasn’t, which Kim views as a red flag for both current form and confidence. For Quail Hollow specifically, the Argentine’s mid-pack driving distance and inconsistent long-iron play leave him without an identifiable edge. Kim will monitor Niemann if he back-doors a top-five here, but until then the outright card is a hard pass.

Joe Idone is passing on Joaquin Niemann at the current 30-to-1 (and even the rare 40-to-1) because the Chilean has never finished better than 27th in any PGA Championship and owns zero top-15 results in any major. While Niemann dominates LIV—five wins since the switch—Idone thinks that actually undercuts LIV’s credibility since the form never carries over to elite fields. Trend research shows almost every modern major winner posted at least one prior top-10 in a major; Niemann is 0-for-7 at the PGA alone. Until he proves he can contend on this stage, Idone will allocate outright bankroll elsewhere and maybe revisit when the number drifts into the 60-plus range.

Kelly Stewart reported that Joaquin Niemann at 65 to 1 odds drew sharp interest from respected bettors like Jeff Sherman for The Masters. Despite facing sharp fade action in matchups, his overall price attracted outright bets. Stewart conveyed this as sharp-sourced value information indicating Niemann presents appealing win-betting upside at long-odds prices.

Josh Culp highlights Joaquin Niemann as a strong bet to finish as the top South American at the 2025 Masters, priced at -175. Culp cites Niemann's significant advantage in baseline strokes gained, with an impressive +1.07 strokes gained per round compared to -0.26 for the closest competitor Jhonattan Vegas. He also notes Nico Echavarria's inconsistency as a boom-or-bust player and senior circuit golfer Angel Cabrera's significant gap in tour quality. Niemann's clearly superior metrics and recent form create a high-confidence scenario for him to lead this regional category.

Dave Tindall raises concerns about Joaquin Niemann at Masters 2025 despite strong recent success on the LIV Tour (winning two of his last four events). Niemann has never recorded a top-10 finish at Augusta in five tries, nor in any of his 22 career major starts to date. Although LIV success has garnered attention for Niemann, Tindall views the Chilean's problematic Masters record as a significant red flag for fantasy and betting perspective this year, advising against expecting a breakthrough Augusta performance.

Matt Vincenzi backed Joaquin Niemann at +4000 odds, arguing his considerable recent success on LIV positions him well for Augusta. Despite limited major success historically, Niemann has had solid performances at Augusta (T16 in 2023, T22 in 2024). He identified Augusta as his best chance to win a major due to a smaller field and prior course experience. Niemann's substantial driving distance (among the longest on tour) gives him an edge, especially if conditions soften, offsetting his low ball flight that's typically a disadvantage on firmer conditions. His six worldwide victories since 2024 trails only Scottie Scheffler, indicating he's primed for a major championship breakthrough soon.

Pat Mayo recommended fading Joaquin Niemann as top Latin American golfer despite Niemann's clear talent edge. Mayo explained that Niemann's volatility made laying heavy odds (minus 160) too risky, suggesting better value taking a longshot bet like Angel Cabrera at sizable 12-to-1 odds instead. He argued Niemann’s inconsistency makes him vulnerable to getting outperformed in shorter, variance-heavy sample sizes like two rounds of golf, seeing Niemann as an overpriced favorite to avoid.

Cam Stewart clearly isn't buying into Joaquin Niemann for the Masters despite his usual high upside on LIV Golf events. Stewart pointed out Niemann's lack of top-tier performances in majors, emphasizing he has just one major top-20 finish (16th place at Augusta two years ago) across his entire career. Labeling Niemann a 'hipster pick' who's currently overpriced due to LIV hype, Stewart strongly preferred older, tougher competitors from LIV to Niemann, advising bettors to completely disregarded Niemann's chances to seriously contend this week.

Skylar Hoke recommended caution around Joaquin Niemann at Augusta, considering him significantly overpriced in betting markets and DFS due to inflated LIV Golf-driven hype. Niemann, despite impressive LIV performances (multiple wins on LIV, notable successes on European and Asian tours) and his continued strong ball-striking skill, has consistently underperformed at majors, never finishing better than 16th in 22 tries. Skylar further questioned his fit at Augusta, highlighting Niemann's poor short game and weak around-the-green play, which severely limits upside at majors and specifically the Masters. Skylar firmly believes Niemann's elevated pricing in betting markets fails to reflect this lack of major championship pedigree.

Andy Lack predicted Joaquin Niemann to significantly progress this year by contending in a major seriously for the first time, even though he doesn't see Niemann outright winning. Lack acknowledged Niemann's talent, despite minimal history of serious major contention. He compared Niemann's potential growth curve to Wyndham Clark's surprise major breakthrough at LACC, suggesting Niemann might finally take the step of being relevant on a major Sunday this year before potentially winning in the future.

Steve Bamford advised against betting or DFS investment in Joaquin Niemann at Augusta, noting Niemann's victories are typically at events scoring 17-21 under par or in LIV events around 54 holes. Bamford highlighted that Niemann's past tournament wins, such as at Greenbrier and Genesis Invitational, involved scoring deep under par, conditions vastly different from the firm, challenging setup expected at Augusta. He suggested Niemann's strengths better align with a softer, wet PGA Championship type layout, similar to courses like Valhalla or Quail Hollow, rather than the expected firmer and more difficult Masters conditions. Bamford believes Niemann lacks sufficient contention or performance history in major events to justify backing him at Augusta.

Steve Bamford strongly urged caution against betting on Joaquin Niemann at the Masters, citing Niemann's disappointing track record at major championships as especially problematic at the demanding Augusta course. Despite Niemann's clear talent and potential, Bamford stressed he has repeatedly failed to demonstrate strong performances or true contention on golf's biggest stages, which is historically crucial for success at Augusta. Moreover, Bamford noted Niemann's odds (28-30/1) carry too much risk given this history, recommending bettors steer clear until Niemann proves he can handle major championship pressure effectively.

David Barnett strongly recommended Joaquin Niemann at -165 odds as the top South American finisher at Augusta, highlighting him clearly superior among competitors such as Nicolas Echavarria, Jhonattan Vegas, and Angel Cabrera. Barnett described it as nearly automatic compared to other golf betting options available, even suggesting casual bettors used to higher-priced favorites in other sports will see genuine betting comfort and good value despite the negative odds.

FOX Sports highlights Joaquin Niemann as a solid long-shot bet for the 2025 Masters at appealing odds of +4000. Niemann's potential to compete at Augusta offers great betting value, and FOX Sports identifies him as worth a modest wager given his talent and previous strong performances against elite fields.

Wes Reynolds questioned Joaquin Niemann's relatively short betting odds at Augusta, expressing skepticism due to Niemann's lack of significant success at major championships. Despite several recent wins on LIV Golf—four total including two thus far in 2025—Reynolds emphasized that Niemann has yet to record a Top-15 finish at any major championship. Given the deeper, more competitive field at Augusta, Reynolds stated the price on Niemann felt elevated due to overly optimistic perceptions built on his LIV Golf tour form. Reynolds advised monitoring Niemann's opening rounds for an in-play bet, but otherwise recommended caution wagering on Niemann pre-event due to concerns around his weak history on golf's biggest stages.

Jonny Leighfield strongly backs Joaquin Niemann to contend at Augusta, highlighting his exceptional recent form with three victories in his last seven starts, including two LIV Golf titles and one Asian Tour win. Niemann's all-around game is particularly suited for success at Augusta, combining strong distance off the tee with impressive performance in Strokes Gained: Approach and Putting. Although Niemann's best prior Masters finish is only T16, he has consistently improved with each appearance and Leighfield expects this upward trajectory to allow Niemann (+2800 odds) to compete deep into the weekend and potentially capture a significant breakthrough win.

Robby Kalland highlighted Joaquin Niemann as a valuable sleeper pick to emerge at this year's Masters. Niemann enters Augusta with serious momentum due to two victories early in the LIV Golf season, generating considerable buzz. Given the uncertainty surrounding other top players and Niemann’s strong form in LIV events, Kalland sees potential value in backing the Chilean golfer to surprise this week.

Griffin Wong highlighted Joaquin Niemann as a particularly valuable betting consideration heading into the 2025 Masters Tournament. Although Niemann's career-best Masters finish is T-16, Wong pointed out Niemann's current form as some of the best worldwide, making him an intriguing pick. Niemann has won two of LIV Golf's five tournaments in 2025 and currently leads LIV's individual standings. At +3500 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, Wong implied Niemann presents significant betting upside given he's entering Augusta in peak form and potentially undervalued due to past Masters results.

Dave Tindall expressed major skepticism about Joaquin Niemann’s chances to win the Masters, citing significant weaknesses that Augusta specifically magnifies. Niemann has notably poor driving accuracy figures compared to past Masters champions, with his ball striking historically inadequate at Augusta. Additionally, Tindall stressed Niemann's striking lack of meaningful major championship performances—he hasn't established what Tindall calls a necessary "base camp" by contending strongly in majors before seriously competing for a win. Tindall firmly believes Niemann must achieve something like a top-eight major finish before even considering him as a legitimate betting contender at a major championship like the Masters. Given these substantial negatives, Tindall strongly advises against backing Niemann at his current odds around 35-1.

Pat Mayo pinpointed Joaquin Niemann as a sneaky outright bet at the 2025 Masters. Niemann is clearly the standout LIV golfer entering the tournament, securing victories in two of his last four LIV starts. Mayo emphasized Niemann's incredible recent form compared to other LIV golfers, confidently noting that it's "not even close." While LIV players face challenges due to their absence from official world rankings, Mayo believes bettors can overcome this obstacle by rating Niemann as a top-30 talent globally, thus making him a legitimate threat to win at Augusta. Niemann's momentum and confidence from recent LIV success position him as a sharp, contrarian bet this Masters week.

Matt Gannon strongly positioned Joaquin Niemann as the LIV golfer most likely to break through at a major tournament soon, despite expressing he would avoid actually betting LIV golfers personally. Gannon emphasized Niemann’s incredible talent, referencing a remarkable low stinger shot he's seen Niemann execute at Troon, underscoring the elite and unique shotmaking skills Niemann possesses. Gannon reasoned Niemann is increasingly more confident and still a young player at age 26, suggesting his best golf still lies ahead and that a major breakout, potentially at events like the PGA Championship or U.S Open, is inevitable in the near term.