Davis Mattek voiced skepticism around the pervasive narrative of course history at Augusta, emphasizing that the past dominance of Jordan Spieth is likely overrated. Mattek explained Spieth was never an absolute elite golfer even during his peak, calling him 'just an okay golfer' relative to the perception of him as an Augusta specialist. Given Spieth's elevated DFS and betting ownership stemming from this narrative, Mattek recommended fading him, particularly due to recent injury struggles and an inconsistent game.

Derek Farnsworth recommends including Jordan Spieth in large-field tournament pools for DFS, acknowledging Spieth's volatile game recently. Despite the elevated risk, Farnsworth expects high major championship upside from Spieth, particularly at The Masters, making him valuable in formats that reward dramatic upside and volatility.

Derek Farnsworth advocated strongly for Jordan Spieth at the 2025 Masters as a DFS selection, acknowledging Spieth as an annual Augusta specialist despite recent mixed form. Farnsworth believes Spieth excels on this track, demonstrated by historically impressive results at Augusta apart from last year's missed cut. Spieth has quietly registered three top-15 finishes in his past six starts this season, and Derek highlighted that Spieth may offer contrarian leverage in DFS lineups since his high DraftKings price should offset ownership typically driven by a strong showing at preceding Valero Texas Open.

Ryne Dennis advised betting or fantasy caution against Jordan Spieth, who he expects to miss the cut at the 2025 Masters. Despite Spieth's arsenal of elite Masters finishes (six top-5 placings), Dennis pointed to Spieth's recent volatile performances and offseason surgery as concerning factors. Spieth has missed the cut in two of the past three Masters tournaments, and Dennis warned that he's not fully convinced the former Masters champion has regained his form.

Pat Mayo mocked Cam Stewart's intention to bet Jordan Spieth outright at 35-1, strongly advising Cam to wait until closer to the tournament start to get significantly improved odds. Mayo predicted that Spieth's odds would drift toward 70-1 by Wednesday with minimal betting interest thus far, suggesting patience would greatly improve betting value. While not outright dismissing Spieth's chance, Mayo firmly recommended against betting too early at current less attractive pricing.

Byron Lindeque confidently backs Jordan Spieth as his pick from a competitive Tier 2 group in Masters pool picks, confidently passing on risky options like Brooks Koepka or JT due to Spieth's historically excellent Augusta track record. Lindeque believes Spieth offers an ideal combination of high floor and high ceiling suited for pool formats, noting Spieth’s comfort and consistent past performances at Augusta even amid recent volatility elsewhere.

Skylar Hoke highlighted Jordan Spieth as having clear upside and appeal in DFS formats despite major uncertainty regarding a lingering wrist injury. Although Spieth has openly discussed continued discomfort after offseason surgery, reporting waking up with residual pain, Hoke notes Spieth maintains the volatility needed for fantasy scoring. Spieth regularly records eventful scorecards with numerous birdies, bogeys, eagles, and doubles every round, significantly boosting fantasy scoring potential. Hoke emphasized Spieth's outstanding Masters history, including his victory in 2015 and multiple near wins, projecting this course comfort could help overcome recent struggles. With relatively lower ownership likely due to wrist injury concerns and inflated pricing among stronger projected golfers, Spieth presents valuable leverage for DFS tournament lineups, though Hoke remains skeptical of Spieth's outright chances to capture another green jacket this year.

David Barnett expressed skepticism about Jordan Spieth's chances of winning at Augusta this year, noting Spieth's current form as highly questionable. Barnett observed Spieth recently and is not convinced he's consistently striking the ball well enough to realistically contend. While acknowledging Spieth has the potential for a decent finish, Barnett stressed that Spieth could just as easily 'trunk slam' (miss the cut), making him an overly volatile choice to bet outright. Spieth's inconsistencies and evident struggle with confidence-filled shotmaking were cited as significant concerns.

Matt Every expressed concerns about Jordan Spieth's chances at Augusta due to his recent struggles with uncomfortable tee shots. Every observed Spieth firsthand at multiple recent events and noted issues with shots requiring a right-to-left flight, particularly when trouble was left or wind came off the left side. While acknowledging Spieth's creativity and ability to recover from Augusta's forgiving wooded areas, Every still doubted Spieth's overall ability to generate consistently quality tee shots under pressure at the Masters. Every ultimately concluded Spieth likely isn't currently in winning form, suggesting his volatility makes him risky to back outright despite potentially decent results.

Robby Kalland revealed Jordan Spieth as an intriguing longshot selection at Augusta this year. Spieth has historically thrived at Augusta National, with a green jacket already in his closet and a strong record of contention in multiple Masters tournaments. Despite longer odds at 30-1, Kalland sees Spieth as a threat to capitalize on past successes and deliver significant betting value.

Hugh Kellenberger expressed skepticism toward Jordan Spieth's chances at the 2025 Masters, specifically questioning Spieth's overly-optimistic betting odds relative to his current form. Spieth, having returned from offseason wrist surgery, has appeared in six events but produced mixed results. Despite two top-10 finishes in weaker fields, his performances in signature events have been far less encouraging. According to Data Golf statistics, Spieth isn't significantly outperforming competitors in driving, approach, short game, or putting. Kellenberger highlighted Spieth's recent Masters struggles, missing the cut two of the past three years, reinforcing doubts about his ability to contend this year as a 'top-5 name with a top-50 game.'

David Barnett characterized Jordan Spieth as an exceedingly volatile DFS option, highlighting his manic recent form and erratic Augusta track record. Spieth has alternated top finishes (T4, T3) with missed cuts in recent Masters appearances, alongside similarly unpredictable recent event results (T4 and T9 balanced by missed cuts, 59th, and 28th finishes). Barnett emphasized the lack of consistent performance metrics week-to-week, with Spieth unpredictably fluctuating in strengths like off-the-tee or approach. This unpredictability, combined with likely higher-than-expected ownership sentiment hype, substantially increases Spieth's volatility risk. Although acknowledging considerable upside, Barnett warned against rostering a 'chalky Spieth,' particularly concerned about inflated ownership.

Pat Perry sees Jordan Spieth as a sneaky DFS leverage option at Augusta, suggesting Spieth's ownership will be lower due to mixed recent performance. Perry believes Spieth's perennial affection and great track record at Augusta could resurface despite uneven form this season. He suggested that Spieth flashing positive indicators recently combined with Augusta intuition could yield excellent return at modest ownership in DFS contests.

Pat Mayo warned bettors to remain wary of Jordan Spieth going into Augusta Sunday, especially if he enters the back nine within striking distance. Mayo emphasized Spieth possesses the intangible 'strokes gained dog', a knack for elite-level competitiveness and mental toughness when contending. Regardless of recent erratic play or inconsistent form, Mayo explained Spieth’s proven ability to rise under Masters' pressure scenarios, creating anxiety for anyone betting against him down the stretch. Particularly highlighting Spieth's historic Augusta pedigree, Mayo recommended bettors respect Spieth’s capacity to chase down leaders, representing a uniquely intimidating threat in high-pressure moments late in The Masters.

Pat Mayo strongly recommended against betting Jordan Spieth at 35-to-1 odds for the Masters despite Spieth's impressive historical Augusta performance. Mayo stated he no longer trusts Spieth’s ability to put together four consistent rounds under major championship pressure, citing recent struggles with accuracy, especially in putting short distances and erratic iron shots. Mayo pointed out Spieth's approach game briefly spiked at Valspar, but questioned the significance of that performance due to the weaker field. Overall, Mayo contended that Spieth needs to win a lesser tournament first before justifying bets at major championships again, strongly recommending against wagering on Spieth at these unusually short odds driven largely by his name recognition and past notoriety at Augusta.

Keith Stewart recommends steering clear of Jordan Spieth at Valero, despite Spieth's past success at TPC San Antonio. Stewart highlights Spieth's troubling pattern since returning from wrist surgery: soaring early in the week but fading down the leaderboard by Sunday. Spieth has lost strokes with his irons in four of his last six starts, a concerning trend on a course requiring precise iron play. With Augusta looming next week, Stewart anticipates Spieth's volatility and distractions make him a risky bet this week.

Cam DaSilva liked Jordan Spieth's odds at a top-10 finish due to strong historical performances at TPC San Antonio, including a win in 2021 and another recent 10th-place finish. DaSilva pointed out Spieth's returned health after fully recovering from a previous wrist injury, allowing him to regain solid form heading into the event.

Matt Vincenzi is bullish on Jordan Spieth for the Valero Texas Open based on Spieth's exceptional recent iron play. At the Valspar Championship at Copperhead, Spieth gained 7.76 strokes on approach, third-best in the field, demonstrating superior form with his irons. Vincenzi also notes this is one of Spieth's favorite courses, further increasing his appeal as an outright pick.

Mike McClure's SportsLine model recommends betting on Jordan Spieth at the Valero Texas Open, placing significant value on his 22-1 odds. Spieth has shown excellent form at this course historically, highlighted by his emotional breakthrough win at TPC San Antonio in 2021, ending a four-year drought. His consistency at the event is impressive, with top-10 finishes in four of his last six starts here, including a 10th place last year. Spieth is improving statistically as well, currently ranked 44th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained—an encouraging leap from his 80th-place ranking last year. Combining his course history, current form, and improved statistical profile, Spieth offers compelling betting value heading into this week's event.

Zach Thompson identified Jordan Spieth as a high-ceiling, contrarian GPP option for DFS lineups at Valero Texas Open. Spieth offers significant leverage with the fourth highest SimLeverage score and ownership projected below 10%. Though Spieth's season has been volatile following wrist surgery, he's remained remarkably consistent at TPC San Antonio, posting a perfect 6-for-6 cuts made record including a 2021 win and solo second-place finish in 2015, alongside four total top-10 finishes. Recent form shows encouraging consistency with two top-10 finishes (T4 at WM Phoenix Open, T9 at Cognizant Classic) in six tournaments since surgery. Spieth's strokes-gained metrics also suggest stability, with rankings inside the top 20 in the field for both Total Strokes Gained and Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee over his past 20 rounds. Zach firmly believes Spieth's low ownership relative to ceiling makes him an ideal DFS GPP target.

Big Nasty recommends betting Jordan Spieth for a top 20 finish at the Valero Texas Open (+130), citing Spieth's excellent track record at the event—one win, one solo second, and four total top tens. He emphasizes Spieth's skillset aligns perfectly with Oaks Golf Course, where accuracy off the tee is less critical and short game (chipping and putting) takes precedence. Big Nasty also notes Spieth's added motivation to perform well in Texas, his home state, making him a promising betting choice in this weaker field.

Brandon Gdula noted Jordan Spieth's success at TPC San Antonio (a winner four years ago with finishes of 35th and 10th since then) but acknowledged his recent form as volatile. Spieth has appeared inconsistent in recent events but showcased significant upside, placing in the top 10 at Phoenix and the Cognizant within his last five starts and ranking top-three in approach strokes gained in multiple events. Gdula ultimately was cautiously optimistic, acknowledging Spieth's volatile profile but believing he's currently likelier to hit his upside relative to previous periods.

Pat Perry expressed cautious optimism towards Jordan Spieth at the Valero Texas Open. While admitting Spieth wasn't an immediately popular pick among others, Pat sees signs of Spieth's game coming around just in time for the event. Perry characterized the mood around Spieth as mostly disgruntled, but argued he himself feels 'gruntled' about Spieth's improving form, creating potential betting and DFS leverage due to a contrarian angle.

David Barnett picked Jordan Spieth due to Spieth's historically strong course performance in Texas. Despite acknowledging Spieth's inconsistent recent form, Barnett emphasized Spieth's exceptional track record and comfort level in Texas golf courses, considering this enough reason to trust him for a potential strong showing at the Valero Texas Open.

Jason Sobel proposed Jordan Spieth as an excellent first-round leader betting option at +3500, highlighting Spieth's well-known volatility and immense potential for exceptional single-round scoring bursts. Spieth's statistical profile shows balanced metrics across multiple categories including approach and short game, reinforcing his consistent scoring upside. Sobel notes Spieth's tendency to make both brilliant and chaotic shots back-to-back, but believes the ceiling outweighs the risks, especially in a single-round market like first-round leader betting. Citing Spieth's unpredictability and explosive scoring ability, Sobel strongly recommended taking advantage of the Texas native's potential upside at the Valero Texas Open.

Owen OBrien highlighted Jordan Spieth as intriguing betting value for the 2025 Valero Texas Open at 22-1 due to Spieth's strong history at TPC San Antonio. Spieth notoriously ended a four-year winless drought with a victory at the 2021 Valero Texas Open, marking a critical turnaround in his career. He finished 10th in the previous year's event, marking his fourth top-10 finish in his last six tournaments at this course. Spieth's performance this season includes making cuts in five of six tournaments and two top-10 finishes. Additionally, his current rank of 44th on the Tour in total strokes gained showcases improvement from his 80th position the previous season. Given Spieth's comfort level and consistent performances at this venue, the expert model views his odds offering significant betting value for this event.

Pat Perry advocated strongly for rostering Jordan Spieth this week in DFS, characterizing him as a "stock that's down and nobody wants to buy." Perry noted Spieth's quiet consistency recently—highlighting a top-10 at the Cognizant and a T28 at the Valspar—as well as his strong track record at the Valero Texas Open with a past victory and a recent top-ten finish. He argued this sentiment around Spieth’s perceived lack of DFS success is overblown, making him an appealing contrarian play who can return value if the ownership remains suppressed.

Kenny Kim recommends playing Jordan Spieth in DFS this week rather than next week at The Masters. Kenny explained that Spieth will likely be super low-owned despite his excellent course history at the Valero Texas Open, as most DFS players typically hold Spieth back for popular usage during Masters week. Kenny sees a clear advantage using Spieth this week as a contrarian play leveraged against future high ownership at Augusta.

Kenny Kim sees Jordan Spieth as a smart DFS tournament play due to the Valero Texas Open specifically neutralizing Spieth's primary weakness—strokes gained off-the-tee. He explained that this event traditionally shows the winner gaining fewer strokes off-the-tee relative to most PGA Tour courses, reducing the negative impact of Spieth's inconsistent driver. With Spieth recently showing flashes of strong performances—including top finishes at events like Waste Management (4th) and Cognizant (9th)—Kenny believes this week provides optimal DFS exposure to Spieth before potentially high popularity heading into Masters week.

Rick Gehman cautiously endorsed Jordan Spieth at the Valero Texas Open due primarily to his outstanding course history at TPC San Antonio. Despite recognizing Spieth's challenging recent form, notably losing significant strokes on approach in two of his last four events, Gehman pointed out Spieth's incomparable track record at this venue: a past win, a runner-up finish, and multiple top-10s, never placing worse than 35th since 2013. Gehman admitted to struggling with the volatility of Spieth's recent play but concluded the elite TPC San Antonio performance is enough to justify backing him in DFS lineups this week.

Pat Mayo indicated he will likely bet Jordan Spieth to win the Valero Texas Open, highlighting that Spieth's form is sneakily solid heading into the event. Despite perceiving Spieth as being slightly faded by public sentiment, Mayo believes the 2015 Valero champion's current form and historical aptitude at this particular event make him an intriguing outright win candidate.

Matt Vincenzi recommended betting Jordan Spieth to win the Valspar Championship at +6000 odds, highlighting Spieth's progress following offseason wrist surgery. Despite mixed results this season, Spieth has shown promising signs, notably off the tee, gaining strokes in four straight tournaments. Vincenzi sees consistency from Spieth's driver as an encouraging indicator that he's ready to reclaim peak form similar to his successful 2021-2022 campaigns.

Patrick McDonald cautioned against backing Jordan Spieth for the 2025 Valspar Championship due to concerning recent iron play trends. Spieth has now lost strokes on approach shots in three consecutive tournaments, a troubling development that undermines his chances both at Copperhead and with Augusta National looming. Although Spieth's off-the-tee game and short game still show positive signs sporadically, McDonald warns these persistent approach struggles notably diminish his probability of success and consistency.

Derek Farnsworth expressed skepticism regarding Jordan Spieth at THE PLAYERS Championship. He noted that historically, Spieth hasn't had good results at this venue even during his best years. Although he acknowledges Spieth is currently a better driver than past performances suggest, Farnsworth ultimately believes the course fit poses significant risk and would prefer other DFS options.

Andy Lack strongly discouraged selecting Jordan Spieth in DFS lineups this week at Sawgrass. Lack pointed to Spieth's historically poor performance at Sawgrass, raising concerns about potential disasters at a course that demands precision and course discipline. He classified Spieth as an unnecessary risk given other appealing low-owned options available such as Schauffele and Cantlay. Spieth’s erratic play history at this venue significantly outweighs the low ownership and potential upside, according to Lack.

Rick Gehman advises fading Jordan Spieth at TPC Sawgrass, pointing out Spieth's troublesome history here. After an impressive T4 finish in 2014, Spieth has consistently struggled, missing three consecutive cuts and only once finishing inside the top 40 (T-19 in 2020). Given Spieth's declining overall performance relative to his peak years, recent struggles, and consistent inability to perform well at TPC Sawgrass, Gehman doubts this trend will change in this year's event, recommending fantasy players to fade Spieth.