For an aggressive top-40, Sobel picked 37-year-old Joseph Bramlett (market pending). Bramlett has finished inside the top-40 in four of his last six PGA starts and in each of his last three Korn Ferry appearances. He owns event form of T-7 and T-19 since the tournament moved to Craig Ranch. Although Bramlett often fades on weekends, Sobel trusts his high floor relative to expected odds, making him a solid sprinkle in shallow markets or parlays.

Barnett tapped Joseph Bramlett as his long-shot top-20 ticket at +450. The Stanford bomber owns a strong Craig Ranch history (T7 in 2021, T19 in 2023) and absolutely has to capitalize on limited exemptions—this is only his sixth start of 2025. Bramlett finished third in Puerto Rico earlier in the year and gains over a stroke off the tee in soft conditions. Barnett expects him to feast on the par-5s, noting that victory this week is unlikely but a floor of four steady rounds should get him inside the top-20 cut line and keep his status intact.

The SportsLine simulation views Joseph Bramlett and Alex Smalley as mispriced at 45‑1. Bramlett arrives with confidence after a solo third at the Puerto Rico Open. Smalley has cooled off lately (three missed cuts, outside top‑60 last week), yet his season‑long analytics are eye‑popping: 10th in total strokes gained, 2nd on par‑4 scoring, 2nd in total driving, and 12th in scrambling. He also opened 2025 with five top‑20s in his first seven events, signaling upside if he cleans up recent swing issues. With both players surpassing 100 career PGA starts, they own the experience edge over many Zurich partnerships. McClure’s model projects a bounce‑back for Smalley and sees the pairing’s balanced tee‑to‑green profile as dangerous in a watered‑down field, making the +4500 number worth firing on.

Erik Polzin said the Alex Smalley / Joseph Bramlett pairing is still worth sprinkling in DFS pools and betting boards for a Top‑20 despite Smalley’s flat finish last week. Smalley grades as an elite statistical fit in his 9‑to‑5 model—top‑10 in both strokes‑gained approach and good‑drive percentage over the last 50 rounds—while Bramlett’s baseline length provides Best‑Ball scoring juice. Both golfers own reps at TPC Louisiana, which Polzin views as a quiet edge in a format where only 33 of 80 teams survive the cut. Because the industry sentiment cooled after Smalley’s disappointing result, Polzin expects softer pricing and plus‑money Top‑20 odds that let you gain exposure without chasing outright volatility.

In the ugly 7K range Gehman singled out Bramlett and Smalley. Smalley rates as one of the highest SG:Total players under $8K, and Bramlett brings an ‘elite skill set’—elite length and a willingness to attack par‑5s. Gehman likes that they can trade off strengths: Bramlett can rip drivers in best‑ball while Smalley’s tidy irons protect par in alternate‑shot. For salary‑savvy builds, they are his favorite combination of floor and upside.

The model sees value in Joseph Bramlett and Alex Smalley at 45‑1. Bramlett flashed upside with a solo 3rd at the Puerto Rico Open in March, while Smalley opened 2025 red‑hot—top‑20 finishes in five of his first seven starts—before a recent slump of three missed cuts. Underlying numbers remain elite for Smalley: 10th in total strokes gained, 2nd on Par‑4 scoring, 2nd in total driving, and 12th in scrambling. Against a weaker Zurich field, those metrics plus Bramlett’s steady tee‑to‑green game make them a high‑ceiling sleeper per the 10,000‑run simulation.

Rick Gehman highlighted Joseph Bramlett as an overlooked DFS play entering the Valspar Championship. Bramlett has quietly gained strokes over the field in seven of his last eight events, including third place in Puerto Rico recently. Additionally, Bramlett boasts improving historical finishes at Innisbrook with five consecutive appearances improving each time (Cut, 63rd, 48th, 36th, 17th). Gehman particularly noted Bramlett's tee-to-green excellence at Innisbrook previously, gaining eight strokes in his last start there. This solid form combined with a trending upward trajectory positions Bramlett as a sneaky and strong DFS play.