Iain MacMillan grabbed Justin Thomas Top-5 at +300, arguing that East Lake has been Thomas’ personal ATM. He has finished ninth or better every time he’s teed it up in the Tour Championship, allowing him to ‘lean on experience and confidence’ even while overall form lags. MacMillan believes that course history makes +300 generous in a 30-man field.

Gehman advised passing on Justin Thomas at roughly $9K. Although JT rewarded backers earlier with his Heritage win, Gehman said Thomas is only “good, not great” right now and worries the wayward driver will leave him hacking from Eastlake’s thick rough. With better uses of salary in the same range, Gehman will have minimal or no DFS exposure to Thomas this week.

Kenny Kim recommended fading Justin Thomas in DFS even though Thomas owns a solid track record at East Lake. Kim noted that 2025 is Thomas’s worst driving season, a glaring weakness on a course that demands accuracy off the tee. While his putter is running at a career high, Kim feels the driver issues outweigh the spike putting and prefers to allocate $9K salary elsewhere.

Iain MacMillan advised betting Justin Thomas at +1600 in the DraftKings “winner without Scottie Scheffler” market. MacMillan’s case centers on Thomas’ elite course history at East Lake: he has never finished worse than 9th in gross score here and owns four top-four finishes. With everyone starting at even par this year, MacMillan believes that proven comfort on the layout outweighs Thomas’ recent middling form and makes him a strong candidate to be the top non-Scheffler finisher.

Iain MacMillan said Justin Thomas is his favorite outright bet at +2500 because last week Thomas "gained strokes in all four major areas," a signal the all-around game is finally back. MacMillan highlighted that Thomas ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage (25.49%), a trait he believes will be "pivotal" if Caves Valley firms up and still rewards aggressive scoring. After several steady but unspectacular months, MacMillan views the across-the-board ball-striking gains as proof Thomas’ ceiling is returning at exactly the right time.

Iain MacMillan said this year’s BMW Championship should once again turn into a birdie shoot-out after Patrick Cantlay posted 27-under at Caves Valley in 2021, so he wants players who routinely hang circles on the card. Justin Thomas fits that profile, ranking fourth on the PGA Tour in birdie or better percentage at 25.49%. MacMillan added that Thomas gained strokes in all four major categories last week and, crucially, kept his normally wayward driver mostly straight. With Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy sitting at prohibitively short prices, MacMillan called Thomas the best outright value on the board at +2500.

Andy Lack moved Justin Thomas from a fade in Memphis to a buy at Caves Valley. Thomas finally gained strokes off the tee last week, and the forgiving fairways allow him to "spray it a little bit" without penalty. Lack noted that Thomas sits No. 3 in his driver-heavy, long-iron comp model and historically spikes when the putter merely cooperates on bentgrass. Because Caves Valley rewards distance and de-emphasizes scrambling, Lack views Thomas as an under-owned DFS GPP core piece and a live outright ticket at 25-1 or longer despite recent putting woes.

Byron Lindeque flagged Justin Thomas as a prime ownership pivot in the 10K range. Thomas has gained strokes off the tee in three of his last four starts (Travelers, Genesis, FedEx) and has not lost strokes putting since THE PLAYERS. His worst driving showings came only at the majors, and Byron expects Caves Valley’s less-penal rough to be far more forgiving. With Patrick Cantlay, Ludvig Aberg and Cameron Young soaking up the spotlight around him, Thomas should come in under-owned despite plenty of distance and a red-hot flat stick—making him a strong tournament target.

Byron Lindeque flagged Justin Thomas as another ownership pivot in DFS builds for the BMW Championship. With the community likely flocking to every other 10-K option, Lindeque expects Thomas to carry single-digit ownership, giving GPP players an inexpensive way to flip roster construction while still rostering a proven elite talent.

Iain MacMillan said Caves Valley is set up for a shoot-out and that makes Justin Thomas his favorite outright play at +2500. Thomas ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage (25.49%), a metric MacMillan believes will be decisive given Patrick Cantlay’s 27-under winning score the last time this event was held here. The writer added that Thomas gained strokes in all four major categories at last week’s FedEx St. Jude, and his season-long weak spot—driving accuracy—showed improvement. With Scheffler and McIlroy priced prohibitively short, MacMillan called Thomas “the next best bet on the board.”

Ben Rasa recommended betting Justin Thomas at 25-1, accepting Thomas’s volatile floor because the ceiling remains "win any event he tees it up in." Thomas’s putting numbers have trended up through the summer, and Rasa pointed out Thomas won at TPC Southwind in 2020 and posted solid results this season on similar technical tracks like Harbour Town and Innisbrook. Two missed-cut majors depressed the price, but Rasa believes improved putting plus proven course comfort make 25-1 an overlay.

Eric Polzin pointed to Justin Thomas as the standout course-history play of the week, emphasizing that his repeated success at TPC Southwind offsets the recent dip in form. Because the event guarantees four rounds, Polzin feels Thomas has ample time to rediscover his approach game and provide tournament-winning upside at a suppressed DFS salary. He advised using Thomas as a pivot in Scheffler or Schauffele builds where ownership leverage is needed.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Justin Thomas outright at +2500, citing a flawless course resume. Thomas lifted the trophy at Southwind in 2020 and has never finished worse than 30th in five FedEx St. Jude starts (12th in 2019, 26th in 2021, 13th in 2022). DaSilva argued that familiarity with the layout outweighs recent volatility and gives the two-time major champ legitimate win equity in the playoff opener.

Bo McBrayer opened his outright card with Justin Thomas at 22-1. While Thomas ranks only 46th in fairways gained, Bo trusts the Good Drives Gained metric—where JT is top-10—because players will hit plenty of drivers and 3-woods instead of lay-ups this week. Thomas remains elite on approach (his "bacon maker") and is one of the tour’s best scramblers, giving him multiple paths to score on Southwind’s 160-yard approach corridors. Bo thinks the number is a tad short but still worth backing.

Pat Mayo suggested anchoring DFS builds with Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, and Patrick Cantlay. He believes almost no one will start lineups that way because the field is gravitating to Scheffler-centric constructions, leaving the Thomas/Morikawa/Cantlay trio both high-ceiling and contrarian. In a no-cut playoff event they bring multiple-win upside, solid recent form, and ownership leverage, allowing drafters to differentiate before dropping into the mid-7K value range.

For first-round leader, Sobel likes Justin Thomas at +2800 precisely because his Thursday outcomes swing wildly. The same player who opened the RBC Heritage with a 61 has also carded an 80 at the Memorial and 78 at The Players. Southwind ceiling exists—Thomas has begun this event with 67 in two separate years—and FRL bets prioritize spike rounds over consistency. Sobel embraces the volatility, believing Thomas’ elite iron play can flash early before any putting woes creep in.

Glasscott backed Justin Thomas at +2200, noting a perfect blend of recent success and course history. Thomas won here in 2020, has never finished worse than T30 at Southwind, and ranks sixth on TOUR in SG: Total. The 2025 RBC Heritage champion also owns three runner-up finishes this season. With his BMW and East Lake spots secured, Glasscott expects Thomas to play aggressively from the outset, leveraging elite iron play on a track where that skill historically wins.

Baz Plummer put two betting units on Justin Thomas to win at +2500, calling the number far too long for the profile. He pointed to Thomas' 2025 campaign that already includes one victory and three runner-up finishes in just 17 starts, with most of that production coming in the last three months—perfect timing for the playoffs. Thomas is a past champion at TPC Southwind and sits 4th in the entire field in strokes gained at this venue. Stat-wise he ranks top-10 on Tour for approach shots from both 100-125 and 125-150 yards, the two most common second-shot distances at Southwind, and he is 7th in SG: Putting this season. Baz concluded that Thomas “at his best can certainly outperform this generous price,” making him a core outright bet.

Rick Gehman highlighted Justin Thomas as a ceiling play whose current putting form outweighs his wild-driver risk at Southwind. Thomas has gained strokes on the greens in every event since The Players, the longest and best putting stretch of his career, quelling a long-standing fantasy concern. Gehman noted Thomas’s Southwind record is "good enough," but emphasized that missed fairways here carry up to two-thirds of a stroke penalty—so keeping the driver straight is the key variable. If JT can stay in the short grass, his elite iron game and now-hot putter give him a "really good chance" to pay off his $10K price tag. Gehman recommends incorporating Thomas into roughly 20% of multi-entry builds as a high-risk/high-reward tournament option.

For DFS, Kenny Kim highlighted Justin Thomas as the premium-tier leverage play. With Scottie Scheffler projected 40-50% and Xander/Russell Henley 20-30%, Kenny expects JT to settle around 15% ownership—one-third of Scheffler and half of Xander. In elite fields the ‘lowest-owned stud’ angle historically pays off, and Thomas still offers elite upside while giving rosters immediate uniqueness. Kenny plans to pair JT with chalk elsewhere, viewing him as the cleanest path to large-field GPP leverage in the 10k range.

After re-examining his numbers, Kyle Murray endorsed Justin Thomas at +5000 outright and +200 Top-20. In Murray’s mixed-conditions model Thomas ranks 11th in putting, 14th in approach, 17th around the green, 15th tee-to-green and 7th overall—elite baselines disguised by recent volatility. Thomas is also 20th in total SG on links/coastal courses over the last two seasons. Murray acknowledged JT’s lack of recent Open success but argued his balanced statistical profile and improved putting make him impossible to ignore at 50-1.

Ryan Pohle advised passing on Justin Thomas, noting the two-time major champ has never finished top-10 in eight Open starts despite routinely contending at the other three majors. Thomas has been erratic off the tee in each of his last five tournaments, a red flag with Portrush’s penal fescue looming. Pohle added that gamers still have three playoff events to deploy JT, and he historically excels at East Lake, making it senseless to waste him on a venue that magnifies his current weakness.

Fitzmaurice refused to touch Justin Thomas at +5000, citing a season-long struggle with accuracy off the tee. Thomas ranks outside the top 100 in driving accuracy and has lost strokes off the tee in five of his last seven starts. On a course that brutally penalizes misses and demands precise angles into small greens, Pat argues that JT’s current driver issues remove him from outright consideration.

Byron Lindeque hung a +175 price for Justin Thomas to miss the cut and is eager to fade JT until he proves he can survive majors again. Thomas has whiffed the weekend in his last two majors (U.S. Open and PGA) and owns four missed cuts in his last five major starts overall. His Open record offers little comfort—no finish better than 31st since 2021—and Byron reminded listeners that Portrush is littered with tight out-of-bounds corridors that punish JT’s current driver spray. Thomas has never cracked the top-20 at the Renaissance Club, another links tune-up, further reinforcing Byron’s belief that JT’s loose tee game and shaky confidence will send him home by Friday.

Ryan Noonan grabbed Justin Thomas at +160 for a Top-20 (with ties) on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Noonan admitted Thomas’ usual spray-gun driver is a poor fit for most Open venues, but Royal Troon’s forced lay-ups let JT club down and lean on elite irons. Thomas ranked near the top of Noonan’s high-penalty-for-missed-fairway model, won at the positional Harbor Town track this spring, and posted a T9 at TPC River Highlands—another short, watery layout that rewards precision. He was also second in strokes-gained tee-to-green during the final round of last year’s Open and carried five-under momentum through the Scottish weekend. Add past success at narrow Zozo/Accordia and proven creativity in bad weather, and Noonan sees plus money on a Top-20 as a green-light bet while he sprinkles outrights later in the week.

Seeing 60-1 on Justin Thomas, Noonan urged bettors to consider jumping before the market tightens. He pointed out JT’s approach play remains elite and Royal Troon will allow him to hit irons or fairway woods off several tees, masking his recent driver spray. Thomas is historically comfortable in wet, windy conditions and owns one of the most imaginative short games on TOUR—traits that become critical if the forecast turns. Noonan is playing chicken with the board but said anything 55-1 or longer is a green light on JT.

Rick Gehman flipped his stance and now prefers Justin Thomas over Collin Morikawa, highlighting that JT has gained strokes putting in 10 consecutive starts—an overlooked turnaround for a player long plagued by the flat stick. Thomas posted a ninth at the Travelers and a complete gain en route to 22nd at the Scottish Open. Gehman’s radar data shows Thomas consistently hitting a low-spin cut across all three trajectories while launching the ball 11.5 feet higher on average than last year at the same ball speed, signaling a driver tweak that could yield additional carry in Portrush’s coastal winds. Although Thomas owns a poor Open record, Gehman thinks the shot-making toolkit and recent putting surge make him a sneaky DFS pivot in the mid-8K range.

Pat Mayo said the 60-to-1 outright number on Justin Thomas looks enormous compared to the elite talent we know JT owns, but he still will not click it. Mayo noted Thomas has now gone nine straight majors without a single top-25 and appears completely "lost in major-championship golf," hemorrhaging strokes with both his driver and the putter on the biggest stages. Mayo compared the price to names with far less pedigree that he has bet before, yet argued the length of JT’s drought and a putter that ranks 147th in strokes-gained putting this season make the ticket feel more like charity than value. Until Thomas shows any sign of reversing the slide—something a back-door 65 on a soft Sunday at the Scottish Open does not prove—Mayo believes even a juicy 60-1 is a trap best avoided for outright bettors.

Skylar Hoke said he is open to betting Justin Thomas and using him as a contrarian DFS play at Royal Portrush even though recent results have been shaky. Hoke argued that Portrush’s elevated, well-protected greens demand high-trajectory irons and a world-class short game—two areas where Thomas excels. JT himself calls this his favorite Open venue, and Hoke expects the forecasted wet, windy conditions to magnify around-the-green prowess. Because the public is fixated on Thomas’ form, his outright odds and DFS ownership should stay muted, giving savvy players a chance to buy low on elite talent in a perfect stylistic fit.

Scrivener noted that Justin Thomas has surged from 22nd to 4th in the world off an RBC Heritage win and three runner-up finishes, yet bettors should remember his spotty Open resume. Thomas’ best finish is a modest T11—at this very venue in 2019—and he has never seriously contended on Sunday at an Open. Without a proven links pedigree, backing JT at short outright odds or paying top-tier DFS prices looks like a thin proposition.

Pat Mayo cautioned against backing Justin Thomas at Portrush. Although Thomas owns the high-spin short game suited to the course’s elevated greens, Mayo said his driver has been “so poor” that he cannot be trusted. Portrush rewards long-and-straight tee shots, and missing fairways brings big numbers into play. Until Thomas straightens out the big stick, Mayo is leaving him off his outright card and DFS core for the Open.

Steve MacLean urged listeners to avoid Justin Thomas in all major-championship markets. Despite two career majors, Thomas has missed the cut in seven of his last ten majors and failed to finish better than T36 in that span. In 2024 alone he missed the cut at both the PGA Championship and U.S. Open after a mediocre T36 at Augusta. MacLean said Thomas never seems to deliver when bettors back him and therefore has created a personal three-year no-bet rule on JT until he shows real form. With links unpredictability adding another layer of variance, MacLean sees Thomas as a bankroll liability at Royal Portrush.

Gannon likes Justin Thomas at $9,300, calling this a "true litmus-test" week. JT has never gained on approach at the Renaissance Club, an oddity for a generational iron player, yet he is in the midst of an excellent 2025 approach season and gained across the board at the Travelers. Gannon believes the price bakes in past course struggles and sees a ceiling if JT finally flips his irons here.

Brady Kannon said Justin Thomas was worth an outright wager at 35-1 to win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open. Thomas has more course reps than most American stars, debuting here in 2019 and finishing 9th. Kannon compared The Renaissance Club to PGA National, Riviera, and Kapalua—tracks where Thomas owns wins or elite history—arguing that their shared emphasis on precise iron play and scrambling suits his strengths. He called Thomas one of the game’s premier iron players, scramblers, and birdie makers. Kannon added that the fescue greens will run slower because of coastal weather, a condition that typically neutralizes Thomas’ streaky putter, making the 35-1 number “very generous.”

Pat Mayo added an UNDER on Justin Thomas’ 6.5 Fairways-Hit line to round out his four-leg flex play. Thomas sits 118th on Tour in driving accuracy this season (56 %) and now faces the toughest wind window of the day. Renaissance features only 13 par-4/5 tee shots, meaning JT must find seven fairways to beat the prop—something he has accomplished in just three of his last ten opening rounds. Mayo argued that Thomas’ tendency to club down to 3-wood on links tracks won’t help enough because the early-morning gusts are expected to blow across the doglegs rather than into or downwind, pushing even conservative lines into the short fescue. He likes Thomas this week overall, but sees the windy AM draw as a perfect spot to short his Round-1 accuracy.

Sia Nejad urged listeners to buy the dip on Justin Thomas at 37-1 (or nearly 50-1 with site boosts) and sub-10 percent DraftKings ownership. Nejad pointed out the Renaissance Club allows players to be "wayward with the driver," neutralizing JT’s biggest weakness. The course instead emphasizes approach play and creativity around the greens—two areas where Thomas still flashes elite ceilings, including the 61 he opened with here in 2022. Nejad thinks the industry is sleeping on Thomas’ win equity; a simulator Pat Mayo referenced still gives him roughly 3.5 percent to win despite his recent slump. At that price/ownership combo, Nejad believes Thomas is a +EV outright ticket and an ideal tournament pivot.

Fitzmaurice said bettors should remove Justin Thomas from consideration entirely. Thomas followed missed cuts with 60th and 62nd-place finishes in his last three Scottish Opens and has been one of the worst drivers on Tour this season. Pat stressed that at Renaissance you simply cannot recover from bad tee shots because the thick native areas and pot bunkers kill scoring chances, making JT’s current off-the-tee funk a non-starter.

Shane Bacon labeled Justin Thomas a live outright option despite recent volatility. He noted it would be ‘very Justin Thomas-like’ to win the week before the Open and then implode at the major, a pattern the two-time PGA champion has shown. The segment reviewed Thomas’s rocky links résumé—T62 here last year after opening 62-72, followed by 68-78 at St. Andrews, plus scattered 81s and 77s in other majors—yet highlighted his ability to fire sporadic 66s when everything clicks. Bacon views that ceiling as worth chasing in outright markets or large-field DFS contests, accepting the accompanying risk.

Kenny Kim is considering Justin Thomas as his primary game-theory pivot in the $9K range provided two conditions hit: projected ownership below 12 percent and a benign weather forecast (minimal wind, firm but scorable conditions). Thomas has flopped in three straight Scottish Opens and owns a mediocre overall links record, yet Kenny argues Renaissance Club is closer to a short, less-than-driver parkland test where JT has thrived over the past year. Four of the last seven editions have been won at −18 or deeper, a target score that fits Thomas’s wedge-heavy, birdie-making profile. If forecasts point to another 20-under shoot-out and the crowd chases safer names like Aberg, Morikawa, and Bobby Mac, Kim will insert Thomas into his $44 multi-entry GPP pool as a leverage play while eating chalk elsewhere.

Byron Lindeque laid –125 on Justin Thomas NOT to finish inside the Top-20 at the Genesis Scottish Open. Lindeque pointed out that Thomas has never solved Renaissance Club, logging finishes of 60th, 62nd, and a missed cut in his three appearances despite generally excelling in windy conditions elsewhere. The lack of Scottish Open success mirrors Thomas’s middling Open Championship resume, so Byron is willing to pay moderate juice to fade him in what he views as a clear course-fit mismatch.

Rick Gehman called Justin Thomas “the biggest trap of the week.” The narrative that JT’s elite short-game creativity automatically translates to links golf is not backed by results: at the Renaissance Club he followed solid showings in 2019 and 2021 with MC-T60-T62 the last three trips. His Open Championship resume is equally middling—outside of an 11th at Portrush in 2019 he lacks another top 30. Gehman thinks Thomas simply hasn’t figured out how to score in firm-and-fast conditions and cautioned listeners against paying the $8K-plus salary just because of name value or short-game reputation.

Brandon Gdula said the market finally drifted far enough to pounce on Justin Thomas at 30-1 outright. Using DataGolf’s rolling 50-round ceiling stat, Thomas ranks third in this field at +5.0 strokes gained above baseline, trailing only Scottie Scheffler (+5.6) and Rory McIlroy (+5.2). Gdula stressed that the two names ahead of him have seven wins this year, proving the metric translates. He compared TPC River Highlands to Harbour Town, another short par-70 where Thomas won the RBC Heritage, and noted JT owns back-to-back top-10s here while gaining across all tee-to-green categories each time. The no-cut format provides four guaranteed rounds to realize that ceiling. With elite upside, a proven course fit, and odds lengthened from 25-1 to 30-1 after a missed cut at the U.S. Open, Gdula believes Thomas is undervalued and worth a one-unit outright bet.

Brandon Gdula said he is "probably back" on Justin Thomas for outright bets and DFS line-ups at TPC River Highlands. Gdula stressed that the Travelers plays to JT’s strengths: it is the shortest par-70 on Tour (6,844 yards) with three par-4s under 400 yards, two par-3s under 175 yards and only one genuine three-shot par-5. With wide fairways but tiny greens, the event rewards players who keep it in play off the tee and dial wedges and short irons from 125–175 yards—exactly the profile Thomas flashed when he contended at Harbour Town earlier this year. Gdula’s model will overweight fairways-gained plus approach proficiency in that 125-175 window, areas where Thomas still grades top-10 despite a rough U.S. Open. The 72-man, no-cut format also gives Thomas four guaranteed rounds to leverage his elite birdie rate. Gdula views him as a live outright bet and a core DFS piece in balanced builds that de-emphasize raw driving distance.

Farnsworth labeled Justin Thomas a classic GPP pivot. JT has three straight disappointing results but historically excels on shorter Pete Dye venues and owns back-to-back top-10s at the Travelers. Thomas still ranks top-10 in approach over the last 12 months and can spike with the putter on slow greens. Given suppressed ownership and unquestioned upside, Farnsworth likes rolling the dice on JT in tournaments rather than cash games.

Patrick McDonald named Justin Thomas as his pick to win, emphasizing how TPC River Highlands rewards players who "pin their ears back" off the tee and lean on wedge play—Thomas’s calling card. JT spent Saturday afternoon grinding on the Pinehurst range despite missing the cut, then stayed for the player charter to Connecticut, signaling he’s locked in. Thomas ranks 3rd on TOUR in proximity from 100–125 yards and is gaining nearly a stroke per round around the greens, tools McDonald believes translate to another 20-under style shootout. At longer odds than the Big Three, Thomas is Patrick’s favorite outright ticket and core DFS play.

Matt Brown jumped on Justin Thomas at 40-1, calling it the best number available before the market crashed into the mid-20s. Brown said River Highlands is tailor-made for Thomas’ current skillset: club-down tee shots keep everyone in the fairway, then it turns into a wedge contest. Thomas trails only Scottie Scheffler in proximity with scoring irons and has quietly gained strokes putting in eight consecutive events, a streak Brown emphasized as proof JT has finally solved his biggest leak. With distance neutralized and greens under 5,000 sq. ft., Brown expects Thomas’ elite wedge-plus-putter combo to generate a barrage of makeable birdie looks. He labeled 40-1 a clear buy signal in outright and each-way markets and warned listeners not to chase now that books have chopped the price to 25-30-1.

Brandon Gdula grabbed Justin Thomas at 30-1, arguing that TPC River Highlands shares enough traits with Harbour Town—tight sight lines and wedges galore—where JT already won this season. Over the last 50 rounds, his statistical ceiling ranks third in the field behind only Scheffler and McIlroy. Gdula expects a bounce-back after the missed cut at Oakmont and thinks Thomas’s elite all-around upside is being discounted.

Kenny Kim named Justin Thomas his “Hustler Play of the Week,” expecting single-digit ownership at an $8.9K salary. Kim noted that JT has gained more than six strokes with his irons in two of his last three starts—both on short, medium-difficulty layouts—and historically lights up similar venues: 1st/2nd at the Truist, 1st/2nd at Harbour Town, 2nd at Valspar, 6th at TPC Scottsdale, 2nd at the American Express. All of those stops fit River Highlands’ profile of sub-7,100-yard tracks that reward creative wedges. Although Thomas enters off MC-31-MC (Memorial plus two majors), Kim chalked that skid up to brutal setups and believes a softer scoring environment combined with elite recent approach play creates tournament-winning upside at just 50-1 in the outright market and as a low-owned DFS pivot.

Byron Lindeque pounced on Justin Thomas at 50-1 (three places each-way) after the market drifted from 22-1 on Monday. Lindeque’s form tool shows Thomas loses strokes on hard layouts but is elite on medium and easy courses—he ranks in the 92nd percentile for scoring on those setups while falling below tour average on the brutal ones we just saw at Memorial and Oakmont. TPC River Highlands is far more forgiving off the tee, which mitigates JT’s weakest club and lets him lean on creativity from light rough. Lindeque is banking on positive regression following a MC-31st-MC stretch that has scared casual bettors off. He will hedge by limiting DFS ownership but likes the outright and each-way ticket at anything 45-1 or longer.

Pat Mayo said he is strongly considering an outright on Justin Thomas at 22-to-1 (and would love anything 24-1) because TPC River Highlands is, in his words, “just a wedge fest.â€� Mayo is willing to throw out Thomas’s disastrous U.S. Open, noting that the Travelers doesn’t require flawless driving—fairways are optional as long as you can pepper flags from 75-125 yards, a range where JT ranks top-10 on Tour. Mayo added that the no-cut format amplifies Thomas’s birdie-streak upside and gives the former World No. 1 four full rounds for the putter to heat up. With public sentiment soured by one bad major week, Mayo thinks the current price is a clear buy for outrights, top-5s, and “without Schefflerâ€� markets.