Byron Lindeque called Luke List the perfect "flop-lag" option at $7,200 after the big hitter disappointed chalky backers during the Midwest swing. List still ranks top-10 on Tour in strokes gained off-the-tee over the last 24 rounds, and Byron expects him to unleash driver on nearly every par 4 because Renaissance Club’s fairway pot bunkers sit 300-plus yards out. List can simply fly them, widening the landing areas for his prodigious carry distance. The putter remains brutal—he has lost strokes on the greens in six straight starts—but Lindeque thinks the slower, flatter fescue surfaces can create positive variance and hide the weakness, similar to how List spiked for his 2024 Puerto Rico win. With ownership projections in the mid-single digits and top-10 outright odds drifting beyond 70-1, Byron is willing to gamble on List’s ceiling in large-field GPPs and sprinkle tiny outright/top-20 bets as well.

Alex Blickle advised listeners to steer clear of Luke List in both betting and DFS until the ball-striking rebounds. List has not gained strokes with his irons in any measured event since July 2024, a staggering slump for a player once marketed as an elite tee-to-green talent. His trademark driver has cooled as well—down from routinely gaining 3.5 strokes Off-the-T to barely scraping +2 on his good weeks—and recent ShotLink data shows he is losing strokes both around and on the greens. Blickle’s takeaway: the putter spike that produced rare wins at Farmers and Sanderson was always fragile, and now the safety net (approach play) is gone. He will fade List in outrights, top-20s and DFS until the iron numbers turn positive for multiple events.

Pat Mayo recommended betting Luke List outright and using him as a low-priced DFS option at $6,500 for the 2025 Houston Open. Mayo cited that List previously led this event in the past before losing it narrowly at the end. He stressed that List perfectly matches this week's course fit, offering the critical combination of driving distance and strong around-the-green game required for success here. Mayo also noted how List's ball-striking upside makes him an appealing high-risk, high-reward selection despite historical putting struggles.