Matt Chivers highlighted Matthieu Pavon as a lottery-ticket play at 350/1. The Frenchman earned his PGA Tour card in 2024, immediately won the Farmers Insurance Open, and finished 3rd at Pebble Beach the next week. He also proved he can handle a U.S. Open grind, finishing 5th at Pinehurst in just his eighth career major start. Though his 2024 strokes-gained profile was average, four top-10s and a trip to the Tour Championship show he can spike. Pavon has struggled for form in 2025 but still ranks inside the top-40 in putting, a crucial edge on Oakmont’s diabolical greens. Chivers believes the combination of proven major mettle, recent PGA Tour victory, and elite putting touch makes the triple-digit odds worth a sprinkle.

Matt Gannon recommended Matthieu Pavon at $6,800, pointing to slow-burn improvement across his last three starts. Pavon averages 307 yards off the tee while ranking 12th in total driving over the past month. Gannon emphasized that TPC Toronto rewards length combined with accuracy—the exact combination that produced Pavon’s Wins on the DP World Tour—and the landing areas here are "fairly benign" by Tour standards. With irons moving from -2.1 SG at Valhalla to +0.4 SG at the Memorial, Gannon sees a breakout top-20 as realistic upside in GPPs.

Pat Mayo pointed out Matthieu Pavon as a sneaky player going undrafted in fantasy majors-only formats, even though he's currently qualified for three majors (Masters, US Open, Open Championship). Mayo noted Pavon currently ranks 49th globally and explained that just a single strong performance at either Augusta, RBC Heritage, or Wells Fargo Championship before the PGA Championship could reinforce his standing and help him safely qualify for the PGA Championship as well. Mayo sees Pavon as considerable underlying value, given he's currently being largely overlooked despite multiple guaranteed major starts.