At 100/1 each-way, Michael Brennan is the bonus wager. The analyst believes his prodigious length (3rd in Driving Distance, 6th in Total Driving, 6th in SG: Off-the-Tee) suits Memorial Park, another bomber-friendly venue where Stephan Jaeger – a noted course horse – has thrived. Brennan’s approach stats back that up: 10th in proximity and 13th on shots over 200 yards. While recent results appear ordinary, he has repeatedly been inside the top-25 through 36 or 54 holes (20th after 54 at Phoenix, 13th at halfway in the Cognizant Classic, closing 66-68-69 at the AmEx). The tout argues the early hype cooled too fast after Brennan won the Bank of Utah Championship on his pro debut, and a generous eight-place each-way market makes him an appealing flyer on a course that accentuates his biggest weapon.

The Tour Coach played Michael Brennan +400 for a top-10. He argued the weak field will feel like a Korn Ferry Tour stop to the 21-year-old, who’s been stringing strong finishes together. With odds adjusting back to a fair number, the coach expects Brennan’s recent form and comfort on Bermuda greens to translate into contending over four days.

Colt Knost endorsed Michael Brennan for a top-10 finish at +330 in Mexico, noting that Brennan captured the Bank of Utah Championship in his most recent PGA Tour start on a sponsor exemption. Knost likes how El Cardonal's wide-open layout mirrors Black Desert, another bomber-friendly venue, and highlighted Brennan's 190-mph ball speed as a perfect fit. With the field lacking elite depth and Brennan already showing he can win against Tour players, Knost expects another big week.