Patrick McDonald urged bettors to ignore Phil Mickelson in every market—outright, top-20, even make-the-cut—because Oakmont remains the lone classic U.S. Open venue where Lefty has never sniffed contention. Mickelson’s career line here is T47-MC-MC, and he will turn 55 the Monday after the championship. McDonald highlighted that only one of the last 53 major winners came from outside the OWGR top-50 (Phil himself in 2021), making a repeat outlier run highly improbable. Oakmont’s 7,400-yard, narrow fairway setup demands driver speed and accuracy Mickelson no longer owns—his 287-yard average on LIV ranks outside the tour’s top-40. Although Phil has posted three LIV top-6 finishes this season, McDonald called them "smoke-and-mirrors results on wide-open courses." The tout recommends treating Mickelson as a heavy underdog to reach the weekend and leaving him out of DFS player pools entirely.