Brandon Gdula pegged Russell Henley at $10,600 as the ideal second anchor next to Scheffler. Henley ranks 7th on Tour in fairways gained and has gained at least 1.4 strokes per round on approach in back-to-back starts (T5 Memorial, T10 U.S. Open). The wedge-heavy Travelers layout accentuates his strengths, and Gdula values the high floor Henley provides over needing him to post a win when Scheffler is presumed to carry that burden.

Brandon Gdula flagged Russell Henley as a prime outright at 40-1. He drew parallels to Justin Thomas—elite irons, modest distance—and said River Highlands amplifies that profile. Henley has gained at least 1.42 strokes per round on approach in his last two starts (T5 Memorial, T10 U.S. Open) and sits 7th on Tour in fairways gained. Course history backs it up: four top-25s in seven Travelers appearances with just one missed cut and consistent gains in both fairways and approach. Because winning likely requires reaching 18-to-20 under, Gdula prefers Henley’s relentless wedge game over longer hitters who may throttle down. He views the 40-1 tag as mis-priced relative to comparable names like Robert MacIntyre and Sam Burns and is allocating a standard outright stake on Henley.

Farnsworth highlighted Russell Henley as his favorite salary-saving stud. Henley is #2 in the overall model—rating ahead of Morikawa, Schauffele and McIlroy—thanks to elite fairway accuracy, top-shelf iron play and strong scrambling. On a track where driver is shelved 40% of the time and approach shots decide birdie looks, Henley’s profile checks every box. At $8,800 in a 72-man no-cut field, Noto views him as a low-risk/high-reward DFS cornerstone who frees up cap to spend elsewhere.

Calling him her "favorite play of the week," Kelly Bydlon grabbed Russell Henley outright and as a top-20. She acknowledged Henley sits only 36th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee over his last 16 rounds but noted that River Highlands eliminates the need for power, letting Henley lean on pinpoint driving accuracy (top-10 fairways gained), surgical wedges, and a short game that ranks top-20 in scrambling and ARG over the same span. With more than 75 % of approaches coming from inside 175 yards and winning scores eclipsing –20, Bydlon sees Henley’s elite proximity 125-150 and par-4 scoring (400-450 yards) as perfect fits. She echoed Wes Reynolds’ earlier Ryder Cup motivation angle but added she is doubling down with placement bets to profit even if Henley runs out of holes in a birdie shoot-out.

Renoylds grabbed Russell Henley at 40-1 (lamenting missed 50s) because Henley keeps thriving in big spots—top-10 at the U.S. Open and three of the last five majors—and already owns a signature-event win this season at Bay Hill. Henley currently occupies the sixth and final automatic Ryder Cup slot, so he has massive incentive to lock things up. He has been inside the top three entering Sunday in three of seven Travelers appearances, and Renoylds believes the shorter, precision-based layout now meshes even better with Henley’s elite fairway-and-wedges profile.

Brian Giuffra grabbed Russell Henley Top-20 at +130, noting Henley is on the Ryder Cup bubble and has motivation to rack up points. Giuffra cited Henley’s heavy strokes-gained on approach over his last two starts and reiterated that wedge play will be decisive at River Highlands. A top-20 cashes if the irons stay as sharp as they have been since early June.

Iain MacMillan said Russell Henley is tailor-made for TPC River Highlands because the track rewards accuracy and greens-in-regulation over raw distance. Henley ranks near the top of the PGA Tour in GIR percentage and just posted a T5 at the Memorial followed by a T10 at the U.S. Open, evidence that the irons are dialed in. MacMillan noted that Henley already owns one signature-event win this season and believes +5000 is generous for a player arriving in this kind of form on a layout that de-emphasizes his one weakness, length off the tee.

Patrick McDonald labeled Russell Henley a live contender at 45-1. He pointed out that TPC River Highlands is a short par-70 where fairways and dialed-in wedges matter more than length—exactly Henley’s profile. The recent Arnold Palmer Invitational champion endured a minor spring slump but has posted back-to-back solid outings heading into Cromwell. McDonald thinks Henley’s elite driving accuracy and short-iron precision translate perfectly, calling this layout a “much better fit” than Oakmont and signaling bettors should keep him in outright and top-10 markets.

Ryan Noonan recommended betting Russell Henley outright at 35-1 (grabbed early at 50-1) in the Scheffler-excluded market for the 2025 Travelers Championship. Noonan argued TPC River Highlands is a "prototypical Henley course": a 6,835-yard par-70 that rewards precision over power. Henley has made the cut in six of seven appearances here with four finishes of T19 or better and a T6 in 2018. Recent form checks out after a T5 at the Memorial and a T10 at Oakmont. Statistically, Henley ranks third on Tour over the past two seasons in Strokes Gained: Total on short/very short tracks with easy scoring conditions, trailing only Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas. He also sits third in Good Drive Percentage when there’s a high missed-fairway penalty and players are hitting less-than-driver above the Tour average—two of the key metrics in Noonan’s custom model, which placed Henley inside its top-five this week.

Reynolds invested in Russell Henley at 40/1 (DraftKings). Henley ground out a T-10 at the U.S. Open—his third top-10 finish in the past five majors—and already owns a 2025 win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He ranks third on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Around the Green and top-15 in Bent/Poa putting, skills crucial at a venue that punishes sloppy short-game work. Reynolds added that Henley entered the final round in the top three here three different times, indicating comfort with River Highlands’ tricky closing stretch. With J.J. Spaun bumping him from an automatic Ryder Cup berth, Henley has added incentive to chase the W this week.

Russell Henley was penciled in at 40/1 on DraftKings after a T-10 at the U.S. Open, his third top-10 in the last five majors. Reynolds highlighted Henley’s victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March and his consistent iron play (Top-15 SG: Approach this season). Henley has twice been inside the top-3 entering Sunday at the Travelers and, now sitting just outside automatic Ryder Cup qualification after Spaun’s Oakmont win, has extra motivation on a layout that rewards his fairway-first style.

Iain MacMillan backed Russell Henley at +5000 to win the Travelers, arguing that TPC River Highlands rewards precision iron play far more than raw distance. Henley leads the field in greens-in-regulation percentage over his last 12 measured rounds and rolls in having finished T5 at the Memorial and T10 at the U.S. Open. MacMillan noted those strong approach numbers plus Henley’s bid for a second signature-event trophy this season make the 50-1 number too long.

Byron Lindeque added Russell Henley at 40-1 outright and +280 top-10. Henley ranks 8th in the field in strokes-gained off the tee on short courses and 4th in weighted approach from 125-175 yards, the prime wedge window at River Highlands. On comparable venues—Sea Island, Sedgefield, PGA National—Henley finishes top-10 a ridiculous 46 percent of the time. Lindeque reminded listeners Henley should have closed both the Wyndham and Honda and flashed again with a T7 at Pebble’s shortened event. In a 72-man signature field, Byron sees enormous value in a player who converts nearly half his starts on analogous tracks into top-10 paydays and has the exact iron profile Kenny is weighting in his model.

Eric Polzin reiterated his love for Russell Henley at 45-to-1 in the outright market but drew a hard line between tournament (GPP) and cash usage. Henley’s boom-or-bust finishing pattern worries Polzin in a no-cut format where a “meh” week—30th place was the example—can tank a double-up, especially when a cheaper option such as Kevin Yu could post the same DraftKings points. Henley still grades out as a top-tier course-fit in the 9-to-5 model, which is why Polzin wants him in upside-seeking builds and outright cards, yet the volatility pushes him off cash constructions that lean studs-and-duds around Scottie Scheffler. In short, Henley is a ceiling play only: jam him in GPPs, fade him in double-ups, and grab the 45-to-1 ticket if books leave it hanging.

Eric Polzin spotlighted Russell Henley as the name that "stands out" when he ran the new 9-to-5 custom model filters for short, easy-scoring tracks with thicker rough. Henley ranks near the top in Good-Drive Percentage, Effective Birdie-to-Bogey Ratio and Short-Course Scoring, all core stats Polzin weights for TPC River Highlands. Henley also rates as one of the best ‘specialists’ in the field across Polzin’s multi-year database, sitting behind only Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele in average weighted strokes-gained on comparable courses. With a balanced price tag in the mid-range, Polzin plans to lock Henley into his stud-and-dud DFS builds and will sprinkle outright and each-way bets at 45-1 or better.

Matt Gannon opened his outright card with Russell Henley at 40-1, arguing River Highlands is tailor-made for Henley’s fairway-first, wedge-heavy attack. Gannon acknowledged Henley’s spotty Travelers record but said the layout "asks Russ questions he answers well"—specifically, accuracy off the tee and dialed-in approaches from 125-175 yards where Henley ranks top-10 on Tour this season. The putter, historically Henley’s weak spot, has been positive on all surfaces for the past 18 months, giving him the scoring ceiling needed for a likely –20 winning total. With a no-cut, 72-hole shootout expected and most books still hanging 40-1, Gannon sees Henley as mis-priced relative to his skill-set fit and recent trending form.

Dom Cintorino singled out Russell Henley at 40-1 as his favorite mid-tier outright. Henley’s irons have caught fire—back-to-back weeks gaining with approach and a back-door T10 at Oakmont—and he remains one of the Tour’s most accurate drivers, a perfect fit for River Highlands’ narrow corridors. Although his course history is mediocre, Cintorino noted Henley has been priced as short as 25-1 in similar signature-event fields earlier this season, so the market has drifted despite improved form. With a tidy short game and putter trending upward across all surfaces, Cintorino believes Henley’s skill set finally aligns with the Travelers ask and is worth an outright plus top-10 sprinkle.

Even without stellar Travelers history, Gannon likes Russell Henley because the course demands exactly what Henley does best—hit fairways and knock down short-to-mid irons. Gannon thinks Henley’s elite wedge play will surface on the yardage-compressed par-4s, making him a strong $8,800 option.

Gehman is all-in on Russell Henley after a sneaky T10 at the U.S. Open where he gained +5.0 on approach and +3.3 putting despite the predictable −1.5 off-the-tee debit at Oakmont. Henley’s last three events read T8 (Harbour Town), T5 (Memorial), T10 (U.S. Open), mirroring the same positional-golf blueprint required at TPC River Highlands. Historically the course loves him: one missed cut in nine starts, positive strokes-gained off-the-tee in every appearance but that lone MC, and approach gains every single year. Henley already owns a Bay Hill win in 2025 and ranks inside the Tour’s top-10 in both fairways gained and proximity from 125-175 yds. Gehman sees a super-safe cash-game anchor at $8.6K on DraftKings with legitimate win equity for outrights and top-10 bets.

Iain MacMillan tabbed Russell Henley as his favorite long-shot outright at +5000, stressing that TPC River Highlands plays directly into Henley’s strengths. Distance off the tee is largely neutralized here, while precise iron play and greens-in-regulation rate are rewarded; Henley ranks 7th in this elite field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green over the past three months. He arrives in Connecticut in peak form after a T5 at the Memorial and a T10 at the U.S. Open, and he already owns one signature-event victory this season. MacMillan believes that combination of recent ball-striking numbers, course fit, and confidence creates a realistic path to a second 2025 win at juicy 50-1 odds.

Andy Molitor urged gamers to scoop up Russell Henley as a dark-horse value. Henley sits inside the top 10 of every approach metric and ranks 6th in GIR% over the past six months, traits Molitor says Oakmont historically rewards. Henley already owns a 2025 victory yet enters discounted after missed cuts at both the Masters and PGA Championship. Molitor sees that recent volatility as a buying window: if Henley simply hits his usual number of greens he can contend or, at worst, post the steady finish that props up a balanced pool card.

At +6000, Russell Henley is Camenker’s accuracy-based sleeper. Ranked No. 7 in the Official World Golf Ranking, Henley lacks elite distance but excels from tee to green and rarely takes himself out of holes with big misses. Camenker believes a mistake-free week could land Henley inside the top 10, making him viable for each-way bets or top-10 tickets for bettors who favor precision over power on Oakmont’s demanding setup.

Byron Lindeque bet Russell Henley outright at 60-to-1 (he snagged 80s in the Sunday open) and called Henley the prototypical Oakmont sleeper. Lindeque explained that every danger stripe—church-pew bunkers, drainage trenches, piano-key fairway traps and five-inch rough—sits 290-330 yards off the tee. Henley only carries it 285, so he will lay up short of the carnage and live in the short grass. From there Henley’s calling card—elite mid-iron precision—lets him ‘go hammer and nails’ into the heavily protected greens. Lindeque tied the profile to Henley’s win at the similarly brutal Arnold Palmer Invitational this spring and reminded listeners that Henley owns multiple major top-fives. With a reliable short game and putter, he sees real win equity at long odds and expects low DFS ownership to boot.

Andy Lack warned that, although Russell Henley is only $7,400 on DraftKings, the discount has already been spotted by the market. DataGolf rates Henley as a top-15 player in the world—top-10 on Tour in both driving accuracy and approach—so Lack expects 20-25 percent ownership, comparable to the Keith Mitchell chalk at the PGA and Bud Cauley at the Memorial. At a no-cut major where thick rough, weather and firm greens can torch even elite iron players, fading a volatile but highly owned Henley could knock out a quarter of GPP entries if he merely finishes outside the top-20. Lack framed the decision as classic game theory: the price break is real, but the leverage gained by pivoting elsewhere is potentially more valuable.

Pat Mayo lumped Russell Henley into the same bucket as Corey Conners—elite ball-striker who "shows up in big moments" but rarely closes. On an ultra-penal Oakmont setup, Mayo said Henley’s modest distance gives him little margin for error and forces long-iron approaches that will struggle to hold canted greens. Henley has just one victory in the past six seasons, and Mayo believes that thin win record matters when the U.S. Open turns into survival golf. He recommended an each-way or top-20 sprinkle if odds drift, but said outright tickets are throwing money away given the Georgia Bulldog’s limited ceiling in this specific test.

Pat Mayo highlighted Russell Henley as the biggest faller when he shortened his strokes-gained sample to the last 12 rounds. Henley plummeted from a neutral 0.8 SG:Total to nearly flat-line, losing 0.15 strokes per round despite historically thriving on firm, fast tracks. The culprit is a sudden iron wobble—Henley dropped from 6th to 43rd in approach over that mini-sample—and a pedestrian 55% fairway-hit rate that simply will not play at Oakmont. Mayo cautioned that Henley’s trademark fairway precision is masking deteriorating ball-striking, making him a trap play at likely sub-8K DraftKings pricing. He recommended fading Henley in top-40 and head-to-head markets versus accurate plus-distance players like Aaron Rai or Ryan Fox and leaving him off DFS cores until the iron play rebounds.

At $8,400, Russell Henley pops in Farnsworth’s model thanks to elite accuracy off the tee, top-tier iron play, and underrated scrambling. Those skills map perfectly to Mirfield Village’s narrow fairways and slick greens, giving Henley more upside than his pedestrian price suggests.

Jim Sannes sees Russell Henley as a classic buy-low at +360 for a top-10. Henley missed the cut at the PGA and limped to 46th at Quail Hollow, but Sannes argued neither course suited his profile. Muirfield Village, by contrast, prizes accuracy and short-game touch—two areas where Henley excels. Despite recent struggles, Henley still ranks top-15 in this field in fairways gained and around-the-green play over the last six months. Sannes expects the putter, which hemorrhaged nearly a stroke per round at Quail Hollow, to rebound toward Henley’s established positive baseline on bentgrass. If the driver and putter normalize, Henley’s typically sharp irons and wedges could translate into a sneaky high finish at a number Sannes deems several points too long.

Lack highlighted Russell Henley as a leverage play in GPPs, pointing to the same fade-friendly setup that benefits Conners. Henley’s five-yard cut places him top-5 in fairways-gained over the last 50 rounds and he owns the Tour’s best proximity from 150-175 yards, another window Lack identified as critical. Although Henley is 113th in driving distance, Muirfield’s 9th-highest missed-fairway penalty neutralizes bombers and elevates his skill set. Lack also cited Henley’s short-game improvement—he has gained strokes around the green in 10 of his last 12 starts—saying scrambling ranks second only to approach play this week because the course’s sub-55% GIR rate guarantees heavy wedge volume. With ownership projected under 8% at $7,600, Lack believes Henley offers both cut-making safety and top-10 upside for large-field DFS tournaments and is worth a 66-1 outright sprinkle given the course fit.

Pat Mayo cautioned listeners to avoid Russell Henley in outright or DFS builds despite his reputation as an accuracy maven. Henley has lost strokes off the tee in three straight events and just logged his first negative approach week since the 2024 Players, a red flag for a player who lives on iron precision. The putter has cooled after a hot spring, and Mayo noted the fairway-first skill set is being offset by distance-driven par-5 scoring at Muirfield Village. With sportsbooks expected to inflate Henley’s number based on name value and a past Honda win, Mayo prefers cheaper, in-form iron specialists like Corey Conners or Alex Noren. “If he is not striping irons, he offers zero win equity here,” Mayo concluded, labeling Henley a clear fade unless odds drift beyond 80-1.