Golficity Staff said Thorbjorn Olesen is their preferred top-tier play at 20/1 and $10,100 on DraftKings. The Dane owns eight DP World Tour victories—including the Alfred Dunhill Links and a UAE desert win—so heavy wind is firmly in his wheelhouse. They noted Royal Port’s exposed, 6,820-yard layout and a forecast calling for 27 mph gusts, conditions that should accentuate Olesen’s ability to flight the golf ball. Recent form supports the call: T14 at Sanderson Farms, T14 again at last week’s WWT Championship where he fired −6 on Sunday and hit 87.5 % of greens. Season-long stats back it up (8th in GIR, 11th in adjusted scoring average, 22nd in SG:Putting). In a field with only two OWGR top-50 players, the staff believes this is Olesen’s best chance to claim a first PGA TOUR title and makes him a core DFS anchor and outright ticket.

Byron Lindeque said he is both betting and jamming Thorbjorn Olesen into GPP builds at TPC Twin Cities. Olesen “loves this golf course,” and Lindeque noted the underlying numbers have spiked over the last three months—Olesen is now gaining more than a stroke per round tee-to-green after running negative earlier in the season. Ball-striking is back to the level that produced two DP-World wins in 2024, while the putter has settled into neutral after years of volatility. Because DraftKings ownership is expected to gravitate toward cheaper chalk such as Akshay Bhatia and Kevin Yu, Lindeque projects Olesen sub-5 % in the $8K band. He views that combination of improving form and suppressed ownership as perfect tournament leverage and is comfortable holding his outright ticket at 40-1 alongside DFS exposure.

Pat Mayo built a quick Royal Troon model weighting driving distance 66 % and accuracy 34 %. Only ten players ranked Top-50 in both buckets, and Thorbjorn Olesen was the lone European in that elite group despite the sample excluding his stronger DP World Tour data. Mayo argued that combination of controlled distance and fairway finding is exactly what this Open demands because anyone missing the short grass will be hacking out of "real rough"—thick fescue just a pace off the fairway. Olesen’s ability to club down adds another layer of safety, and Mayo stressed that his recent form on links-style setups has been solid even if U.S.-based bettors have not noticed. With Olesen still sitting in triple-digit outright territory and widely ignored in Top-20/40 markets, Mayo said, “We gotta bet Olesen now; if he pops I’ll kick myself forever,” recommending outright sprinkles plus Top-20 tickets before sharper money closes the gap.

Pat Mayo advised bettors to pass on Thorbjorn Olesen if sportsbooks open him around 16-1 as expected. Mayo argued the ISCO routinely devolves into a "smorgasbord of random dudes," citing last year’s leaderboard that featured Zach Blair, Matthew NeSmith and Pearson Cootie in the hunt. With winning profiles ranging from bomb-and-gouge to pure putting heaters, Mayo sees no value in eating short odds on a Euro Tour veteran who may not separate statistically from mid-tier options like Mark Hubbard or Rico Hoey priced twice as long. He plans to allocate outright bankroll to the 25-to-60-1 tier instead and will exclude Olesen from core DFS builds unless ownership dips below 5 %.

Olesen gets the call over Noah Kent and Thriston Lawrence. Rouslin says the in-form Dane is clearly a class above his two opponents, rating the play inside his top-7 confidence tier.

For bettors hunting triple-digit odds, Camenker suggested Thorbjorn Olesen at +20000 outright or +450 for a top-20 finish. Olesen sits 14th on Tour in total strokes gained and boasts the third-best scoring average behind Scheffler and Rory McIlroy. He has made five consecutive cuts and logged two top-10s in his last six starts. While he has never survived the cut at a U.S. Open and hasn’t finished top 10 in a major since the 2013 Masters, Camenker argued the balanced stat profile and recent consistency justify a small speculative wager.

Pat Mayo told listeners to steer clear of Thorbjorn Olesen at the current 40-to-1 outright quote for the RBC Canadian Open, calling the number wildly out of line with both public perception and Olesen’s actual win equity. Mayo noted that Olesen is not generating meaningful betting handle or DFS ownership, yet books have him priced alongside proven PGA-Tour regulars such as Alex Noren and ahead of bomb-and-gouge fits like Ryan Fox. While Mayo acknowledged that Olesen’s recent tee-to-green metrics are solid, he argued they are no better than a cluster of players sitting 20–30 points deeper in the market. With nothing in Olesen’s profile—distance, elite iron play, or sustained U.S. success—to justify co-favorite status, Mayo is fading him in outrights, head-to-heads, and DFS cores until the odds drift toward the 70–75-to-1 range he believes reflects reality.

Gannon called Olesen one of the best DFS plays on the entire board. The Dane brings nearly the same fairway-finding, mid-iron spike skill set as Tommy Fleetwood but costs thousands less. He recently logged a top-4 at TPC San Antonio—another Texas course that requires accuracy—and owns the ‘back-door equity’ to surge on Sundays. Ideal for balanced builds that still want win equity.

At 80-1, Kannon views Thorbjorn Olesen as mispriced given his resurgence. The 34-year-old owns two DP World Tour wins since 2022 and has logged two PGA Tour top-10s this season. He finished 33rd at the PGA Championship while ranking 11th in SG: Approach, 11th in Greens in Regulation and 17th in Driving Accuracy— metrics that mirror his last-24-round profile. He also checks in 24th in SG: Putting on Bentgrass. Kannon argues those numbers map perfectly to Colonial’s Hogan-inspired test of precision, making Olesen a high-ceiling flier for outright and top-20 tickets.

Matt Gannon spotlighted Thorbjorn Olesen in the 50-to-65-1 range, comparing the Dane’s balanced game to Tommy Fleetwood at a steeper discount. Olesen ranks ahead of Tour average in fairways gained, sits positive in recent approach play, and has logged two top-7 finishes in his last five worldwide starts—including one in Texas—showing form travels. While Colonial will be his debut at the course, Gannon loves his fearless closing history (multiple DP World Tour wins) and thinks he can win outright rather than merely cash a ‘without Scheffler’ ticket. The combination of accuracy, steady irons, and legitimate trophy pedigree makes Olesen a core outright or top-10 add to Gannon’s card.

Spencer Aguiar singled out Thorbjorn Olesen as his favorite cut-line sleeper, betting him +200 for a top-40 and at plus-money to make the weekend. Olesen shockingly showed up 28th in Aguiar’s win-equity model despite being 300-1 outright because he rates top-25 in weighted proximity from 175-225 yards and top-30 in strokes-gained putting on overseeded Bermuda—two areas Aguiar emphasized at Quail Hollow. While the Dane lacks the pure distance to win against elite bombers, his tidy all-around game should keep mistakes to a minimum, making +200 an exploitable number compared to the –110 or shorter prices on similarly graded Euro Tour regulars.

Gannon flagged Thorbjorn Olesen at $7,600 as a sneaky tournament sprinkle. While he 'won’t make a ton of birdies,' Olesen has the steady 4-under-per-round profile that can cash T7 at low ownership. That floor/ceiling combo pays off his salary and frees salary for studs like Scheffler in single-entry GPPs.

Kenny Kim urged large‑field GPP players to pivot off the chalky Hadwin/Taylor combo and instead fire at Thorbjorn Olesen and Matt Wallace in the mid‑$8K range. Wallace has flashed form at TPC Louisiana with a pair of recent top‑30s, while Olesen currently sits 13th in European Ryder Cup points—"one spot outside the team," motivation Kim thinks could fuel a statement week. Because most lineup builders will flock to the familiar Canadian tandem, Kenny projects single‑digit ownership on Olesen/Wallace and believes their proven ceiling in Euro team events could swing a tournament. He called them "the play that wins you a GPP" if the ownership gap holds.

Matt Brown took a flier on Thorbjorn Olesen due to compelling statistical modeling results despite some issues with driving accuracy (90th in good drive percentage but top-30 in driving distance). Olesen still ranked ninth overall in Brown’s model, even with the accuracy concerns, highlighting recent strong performances on the European Tour (T2, T7, and T3 finishes). Brown believes his form in Europe signals potential for significant upside and is optimistic about Olesen making a splash stateside at Memorial Park.

Brandon Gdula mentioned Thorbjorn Olesen as an intriguing low-cost DFS selection, noting he uniquely ranks positive across all four strokes-gained categories (off-the-tee, approach, around-the-green, putting) over the last 50 rounds among golfers priced below $9,300. Despite limited recent event history, Olesen's solid putting within 15 feet boosts his value significantly, presenting DFS lineup flexibility at a modest $8,500 salary.