John Hasslebauer warned listeners to steer clear of Tom Hoge at Colonial or any Texas stop, calling him “a Ponzi scheme in Texas.” Although Hoge is a TCU alum and the narrative always touts his course fit on positional layouts where accuracy matters, Hasslebauer pointed out that Hoge has repeatedly underperformed during the Texas swing. After digging into his historical splits, Hasslebauer found zero top-20 finishes in the last four Lone Star starts and noted that even on short courses, Hoge loses nearly a stroke per round with the flatstick. Hasslebauer said he nearly clicked Hoge at 55-1 but pulled the bet after seeing the continued Texas struggles and advised DFS players and bettors to fade him in outrights and matchups this week.

Matt Cradock pegged Tom Hoge as his bargain dart at +12500. Hoge’s missed cut at Quail Hollow snapped an eight-event made-cut streak that included a T3 at The Players and T5 at the Valero Texas Open. He sits 21st on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach, a category that correlates strongly with past Colonial leaderboards. Returning to his collegiate home state, Hoge also brings course comfort after a T17 here last year. Cradock argued that elite iron play plus proven Texas form makes triple-digit odds too tempting to pass up for an each-way or top-10 ticket.

Landon Silinsky identifies Tom Hoge as an appealing longshot bet at +9000 to win the RBC Heritage, emphasizing Hoge's elite iron play heading into the event. Hoge recently gained 6.92 strokes on approach at the Masters, earning a career-best T14 finish there and ranking behind only Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Hideki Matsuyama in that key statistic. He also gained 2.6 strokes with his irons at the Valero Texas Open and an impressive 9.9 strokes at THE PLAYERS Championship prior to Augusta. Silinsky explains Harbour Town Golf Links features among the smallest greens on the PGA TOUR, where top-tier iron play historically correlates strongly with success. While Hoge's past course history includes four missed cuts in seven events at this venue, he does have two top-25 finishes, including a T18 last year. Silinsky underscores Hoge's career-long pattern of thriving on shorter, positional courses similar to Harbour Town, citing his win at Pebble Beach in 2022 and other top-five finishes at Waialae, TPC River Highlands and Sea Island. Additionally, the RBC Heritage is a no-cut event this year, meaning Hoge's tendency for very low individual rounds could keep him competitive throughout all four rounds. Given his remarkable current form with irons and the attractive 90/1 price, Silinsky considers Hoge a savvy betting target this week.

Iain MacMillan sees Tom Hoge as an excellent candidate for first-round leader at Harbour Town due to his elite iron play (12th in SG: Approach) and solid birdie average (40th on Tour). Hoge is shorter off the tee, a weakness irrelevant at this precision-based course, and carries positive momentum from a T14 at the Masters. MacMillan predicts Hoge's ball-striking form will drive him to a strong opening round at RBC Heritage.

Brian Giuffra identifies Tom Hoge as a strong longshot pick at the RBC Heritage based on his recent superb iron play. Hoge was fourth in strokes gained approach at the Masters, finishing T14. Prior to that, he had impressive performances, including T3 at The Players and T5 at Valero Texas Open. While his putter held him back at Augusta, Giuffra notes Harbour Town's putting surfaces present an easier test, giving Hoge excellent value at 100-1 to win.

Kelley Bydlon recommends betting Tom Hoge for a top-20 placement and strongly considers him for a first-round leader wager at the RBC Heritage. Typically known exclusively as an elite approach player, Hoge enters RBC Heritage exhibiting rare strong form in putting and short-game categories, gaining strokes with the putter in three consecutive tournaments. His recent finishes—T14, T5, and T3—demonstrate marked improvement in form. Even though his Harbour Town course history is modest, a T18 finish last year signifies potential here. Kelley sees current improved putting form paired with his consistently elite irons as justifying Hoge for confident placement betting this week.

Jim Sannes viewed Tom Hoge as surprisingly viable in DFS lineups this week due to his affordable pricing, drawing comparisons to Lucas Glover. Hoge, priced attractively below $8500, offers a similar statistical profile that combines accurate ball striking and adequate recent form. Although Sannes admitted no excitement around rostering Hoge, his reliable skillset and low cost represent potential utility to DFS players seeking affordable salary relief, especially when pairing expensive studs like Scottie Scheffler with other higher-priced options.

Rick Gehman highlighted Tom Hoge at $7,100 as undervalued for the RBC Heritage, despite historically poor results at Harbour Town. Hoge has recently excelled, posting multiple optimal DFS lineup performances, including T3 at The Players Championship, T5 at Valero Texas Open, and T14 at The Masters. Gehman specifically emphasized Hoge's dramatic putting improvement, adding positive strokes putting for four consecutive events after earlier struggles. With this significant short-game turnaround combined with consistently elite iron play, Gehman considers Hoge significantly undervalued for DFS contests despite puzzling course history at Harbour Town.

Matt Gannon recommends betting Tom Hoge outright for the RBC Heritage at around 90-to-1 odds, calling it a disrespectful price given Hoge's recent improved iron form and his solid performances in big events. Hoge has previously played well at this course, and his game recently showed promise at the Valero Texas Open and Masters, and he was excellent at TPC Sawgrass during The Players Championship. With his irons now consistently sharp again, Gannon considers Hoge significantly undervalued in this field.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommends Tom Hoge at +9000 odds at Harbour Town based on his terrific iron play and recent solid form. Hoge boasts two top-25 finishes at RBC Heritage in the last four years, showcasing a clear fit with the accuracy and precision required at this venue. Fitzmaurice calls him an excellent value at these elevated odds and also suggests betting Hoge for a top-10 finish at +500.

Iain MacMillan identified Tom Hoge (+10000) as a valuable longshot wager for the RBC Heritage. At a course that discounts driving distance and rewards elite iron play and accuracy, Hoge perfectly fits the bill, ranking 12th in strokes gained approach and 40th in birdie average on the PGA Tour. Hoge enters the event in excellent recent form, with two top-five finishes at The Players Championship and Valero Texas Open prior to a respectable T14 at The Masters. Given his profile and recent momentum, MacMillan believes Hoge is worth a shot at long +10000 odds.

Keith Stewart noticed a significant improvement in Tom Hoge's ball striking since receiving help from swing coach Sean Foley at the Cognizant tournament. Stewart detailed watching Hoge smile and quickly finding comfort with his adjustments on the range, striking the ball better than he had in a long time. Hoge's ball-striking numbers since then have steadily improved, which is critical at Augusta due to the importance of hitting greens in regulation and generating consistent pars amid tough scoring conditions. Stewart believes Hoge is a valuable DFS play at his low price point based on this improved confidence and iron play.

Rick Gehman identified Tom Hoge as a high-upside DFS flyer this week, noting Hoge's compelling recent performance. At $6,400, Hoge provides intriguing DFS value, entering Augusta on the heels of back-to-back top-five finishes. Considering this form with his extremely affordable price, Gehman sees Hoge as an appealing risky play capable of greatly exceeding DFS investment at the Masters.

Alex Hunter recommended a top 40 finish bet on Tom Hoge at the Masters, pointing extensively to Hoge’s consistent recent form and standout iron play. Hoge has made nine out of ten cuts this season, including recent strong results—finishing T3 at THE PLAYERS Championship and T5 at the Valero Texas Open, events held in difficult conditions where he gained strokes both on approach and putting. Hoge ranks 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach (SG APP) and 10th in proximity to the hole from the critical 150-175-yard approach range, where nearly 20% of approach shots at Augusta National were taken last year. Adding to the appeal, Hoge ranks 15th in par five performance—another crucial skill at Augusta. Given Hoge has already finished top 40 once at Augusta in two starts, Hunter finds betting Hoge for another top 40 result this year particularly appealing at +125 odds.

David Barnett recommended Tom Hoge as a good value at top-40 finish odds (+105) at Augusta. Hoge enters Masters week in strong form, currently holding fifth place at the Valero Texas Open, and has consistently demonstrated elite approach play throughout his career. Though acknowledging Hoge hasn't demonstrated notable Masters success thus far, Barnett believes that his current game—mainly his outstanding approach skills—supports a relatively low-risk bet to simply beat a modest portion of the field, making +105 appealing.

David Barnett gave Tom Hoge consideration as an intriguing DFS choice at a low $6,400 price due primarily to his strong iron play and current form in Texas. Barnett acknowledges Hoge's underwhelming historical record at Augusta National, but believes Hoge's legendary iron skill and current trend suggest a high floor of at least making the cut with a potential ceiling around a T20 finish.

Pat Mayo strongly endorses Tom Hoge as a high-value play at 100-1 odds, arguing Hoge's recent performances justify a much shorter price. Hoge gained 9.9 strokes on approach at The Players Championship—showcasing his potential to dominate fields with elite iron play. Mayo acknowledges Hoge's shortcomings in the short game but points out those deficiencies are not unique at this price range. Hoge’s upside in approach play significantly outstrips competitors similarly priced, making him a worthy bet at triple-digit odds.

Cam DaSilva highlighted Tom Hoge as a solid value top-20 pick, noting Hoge’s impressive past results at TPC San Antonio (12th in 2021, 10th in 2018, 9th in 2016) despite skipping this tournament the last three years. DaSilva suggested reducing risk by targeting Hoge in the top-20 market instead of as an outright winner.

Landon Silinsky strongly recommended Tom Hoge as a DFS selection, emphasizing Hoge's tremendous upside due to his elite iron play. Hoge ranked fourth on the PGA TOUR last year in strokes gained approach behind Scheffler, Finau, and Conners, and although he began 2025 less impressively, his recent outing at THE PLAYERS Championship indicated a dramatic turnaround: Hoge gained an outstanding 9.9 strokes on approach at TPC Sawgrass, leading the field. Additionally notable was his return to gaining strokes off-the-tee for the first time since late January at Pebble Beach. Hoge's past performance at TPC San Antonio includes two top-12s but also four missed cuts in six career appearances. Despite the mixed course history, Silinsky’s recommendation is based heavily on Hoge's current sizzling iron form and recent third-place finish, seeing him as greatly undervalued this week at only $7,400.

Wes Reynolds recommended Tom Hoge at 100-1 odds, pointing to his elite iron play despite acknowledging Hoge's recent inconsistent form. Hoge, who notably ranked first in strokes gained approach at the Players Championship in a T3 performance three weeks ago, ranks fifth in strokes gained approach within this field. Additionally, Reynolds mentioned Hoge's proven record in Texas conditions as a former TCU golfer, including two top-12 finishes in his five previous appearances at this event, increasing Hoge's appeal as a high-upside betting target despite inconsistent recent results.

David Barnett expressed strong interest in betting Tom Hoge at the Valero Texas Open due to recent indications of his vintage form returning. Barnett specifically referenced Hoge's impressive ball-striking performance at The Players Championship as evidence he's rediscovered his elite form. Hoge's proven capacity to contend combined with favorable 90/1 odds makes him an attractive betting prospect for Barnett, especially given TPC San Antonio's reputation as a ball striker's golf course.

Pat Fitzmaurice has placed a wager on Tom Hoge to win the Valero Texas Open at longshot odds of 90-1 and highlighted Hoge's attractive top-10 bet at +650. Fitzmaurice didn't elaborate on statistical reasons but mentioned possibly hedging bets if Hoge is in contention during the weekend, indicating Hoge's realistic upside potential despite high odds. This betting recommendation suggests Hoge is undervalued relative to his chances for a strong finish at TPC San Antonio.

Derek Farnsworth endorsed Tom Hoge as a low-key DFS selection at the Valero Texas Open based on his Texas connection and elite iron play. Hoge attended TCU, providing the familiar Texas angle for added appeal, and he ranks as the number one iron player in the field over the last 150 rounds. Farnsworth emphasized that Hoge has consistently placed within the top-six in iron play regardless of the time frame considered. Although Farnsworth noted other aspects of Hoge's game have generally struggled, he expressed confidence that Hoge's exceptional iron performance could carry him through by consistently hitting greens, making Hoge a viable and attractive DFS tournament play.

David Barnett endorsed Tom Hoge as a DFS choice at a modest salary of $7400, highlighting Hoge's dramatic return to form at the recent Players Championship. Hoge gained almost 11 strokes in ball striking at the Players, signaling renewed confidence in his irons and driver, elements crucial for success at the Valero Texas Open. Barnett recommended rostering Hoge based on these signs of resurgence and high potential value at his price point.

Dave Tindall sees strong value in Tom Hoge at 80/1 odds for the Valero Texas Open. Hoge recently finished tied third at The Players Championship, ranking second in the field for Strokes Gained: Approach. Tindall identifies a strong correlation between recent winners at TPC San Antonio and strong approach play from The Players Championship, with the last three champions (Akshay Bhatia, Corey Conners, and J.J. Spaun) all notably contending at Sawgrass shortly before winning. Despite previous mixed results at this venue, Hoge produced a ninth and a twelfth-place finish in past appearances, shooting low rounds of 65 and 66. Hoge also thrives in windy conditions, important given Sunday's gusty forecast, and he recorded top-20 finishes in two of his three Texas starts last season (14th Houston Open, 17th Charles Schwab). Tindall highlights Hoge's confidence boost from a strong finish at The Players and advises backing him as a high upside, in-form player at attractive odds.

Pat Mayo discussed Tom Hoge as a strong DFS and betting candidate at Valero Texas Open, largely due to his remarkable approach performance, most recently gaining nearly 10 strokes at The Players Championship. Mayo noted Hoge's historical contentious issue—his inconsistent off-the-tee performance—has shown signs of improvement following The Players, where Hoge gained strokes off the tee for the first time in a while. Mayo suggested Hoge's outstanding iron play greatly mitigates his known deficiencies around the greens, reasoning that if Hoge is striking the ball as well as he has recently, he simply won't miss many greens and won't have to rely heavily on short game, thus making him a compelling play for Valero.

Matt Every was surprised at Tom Hoge's long odds of 250-1. Despite Hoge's errant tee shot observed last week, Every believes those odds are too extreme for a player of Hoge's caliber. Every implied that Hoge's true value in this spot is significantly better than the betting line indicates, creating a potentially strong value opportunity bet.

Byron Lindeque highlighted Tom Hoge as an attractive first-round leader bet at 120 to 1, underscoring Hoge's historic success at TPC Sawgrass, including holding the course record. Lindeque recalled Hoge's recent heater, notably starting the Hawaii swing with back-to-back first-round leads, demonstrating his capacity for low rounds on tour. Despite recent struggles with driving accuracy, Lindeque felt Hoge's confidence at Sawgrass and first-round scoring potential present significant value at his generous opening-round betting price.

Byron Lindeque strongly endorsed Tom Hoge at $6,100 based on his incredible consistency, specifically noting Hoge has made the cut every year at this event for the past five seasons. Given Hoge's proven track record on this particular course, Lindeque deems him a very appealing and reliable value play in DFS lineups.