Keith Stewart noticed a significant improvement in Tom Hoge's ball striking since receiving help from swing coach Sean Foley at the Cognizant tournament. Stewart detailed watching Hoge smile and quickly finding comfort with his adjustments on the range, striking the ball better than he had in a long time. Hoge's ball-striking numbers since then have steadily improved, which is critical at Augusta due to the importance of hitting greens in regulation and generating consistent pars amid tough scoring conditions. Stewart believes Hoge is a valuable DFS play at his low price point based on this improved confidence and iron play.

Rick Gehman identified Tom Hoge as a high-upside DFS flyer this week, noting Hoge's compelling recent performance. At $6,400, Hoge provides intriguing DFS value, entering Augusta on the heels of back-to-back top-five finishes. Considering this form with his extremely affordable price, Gehman sees Hoge as an appealing risky play capable of greatly exceeding DFS investment at the Masters.

Alex Hunter recommended a top 40 finish bet on Tom Hoge at the Masters, pointing extensively to Hoge’s consistent recent form and standout iron play. Hoge has made nine out of ten cuts this season, including recent strong results—finishing T3 at THE PLAYERS Championship and T5 at the Valero Texas Open, events held in difficult conditions where he gained strokes both on approach and putting. Hoge ranks 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach (SG APP) and 10th in proximity to the hole from the critical 150-175-yard approach range, where nearly 20% of approach shots at Augusta National were taken last year. Adding to the appeal, Hoge ranks 15th in par five performance—another crucial skill at Augusta. Given Hoge has already finished top 40 once at Augusta in two starts, Hunter finds betting Hoge for another top 40 result this year particularly appealing at +125 odds.

David Barnett recommended Tom Hoge as a good value at top-40 finish odds (+105) at Augusta. Hoge enters Masters week in strong form, currently holding fifth place at the Valero Texas Open, and has consistently demonstrated elite approach play throughout his career. Though acknowledging Hoge hasn't demonstrated notable Masters success thus far, Barnett believes that his current game—mainly his outstanding approach skills—supports a relatively low-risk bet to simply beat a modest portion of the field, making +105 appealing.

David Barnett gave Tom Hoge consideration as an intriguing DFS choice at a low $6,400 price due primarily to his strong iron play and current form in Texas. Barnett acknowledges Hoge's underwhelming historical record at Augusta National, but believes Hoge's legendary iron skill and current trend suggest a high floor of at least making the cut with a potential ceiling around a T20 finish.

Pat Mayo strongly endorses Tom Hoge as a high-value play at 100-1 odds, arguing Hoge's recent performances justify a much shorter price. Hoge gained 9.9 strokes on approach at The Players Championship—showcasing his potential to dominate fields with elite iron play. Mayo acknowledges Hoge's shortcomings in the short game but points out those deficiencies are not unique at this price range. Hoge’s upside in approach play significantly outstrips competitors similarly priced, making him a worthy bet at triple-digit odds.

Cam DaSilva highlighted Tom Hoge as a solid value top-20 pick, noting Hoge’s impressive past results at TPC San Antonio (12th in 2021, 10th in 2018, 9th in 2016) despite skipping this tournament the last three years. DaSilva suggested reducing risk by targeting Hoge in the top-20 market instead of as an outright winner.

Landon Silinsky strongly recommended Tom Hoge as a DFS selection, emphasizing Hoge's tremendous upside due to his elite iron play. Hoge ranked fourth on the PGA TOUR last year in strokes gained approach behind Scheffler, Finau, and Conners, and although he began 2025 less impressively, his recent outing at THE PLAYERS Championship indicated a dramatic turnaround: Hoge gained an outstanding 9.9 strokes on approach at TPC Sawgrass, leading the field. Additionally notable was his return to gaining strokes off-the-tee for the first time since late January at Pebble Beach. Hoge's past performance at TPC San Antonio includes two top-12s but also four missed cuts in six career appearances. Despite the mixed course history, Silinsky’s recommendation is based heavily on Hoge's current sizzling iron form and recent third-place finish, seeing him as greatly undervalued this week at only $7,400.

Wes Reynolds recommended Tom Hoge at 100-1 odds, pointing to his elite iron play despite acknowledging Hoge's recent inconsistent form. Hoge, who notably ranked first in strokes gained approach at the Players Championship in a T3 performance three weeks ago, ranks fifth in strokes gained approach within this field. Additionally, Reynolds mentioned Hoge's proven record in Texas conditions as a former TCU golfer, including two top-12 finishes in his five previous appearances at this event, increasing Hoge's appeal as a high-upside betting target despite inconsistent recent results.

David Barnett expressed strong interest in betting Tom Hoge at the Valero Texas Open due to recent indications of his vintage form returning. Barnett specifically referenced Hoge's impressive ball-striking performance at The Players Championship as evidence he's rediscovered his elite form. Hoge's proven capacity to contend combined with favorable 90/1 odds makes him an attractive betting prospect for Barnett, especially given TPC San Antonio's reputation as a ball striker's golf course.

Pat Fitzmaurice has placed a wager on Tom Hoge to win the Valero Texas Open at longshot odds of 90-1 and highlighted Hoge's attractive top-10 bet at +650. Fitzmaurice didn't elaborate on statistical reasons but mentioned possibly hedging bets if Hoge is in contention during the weekend, indicating Hoge's realistic upside potential despite high odds. This betting recommendation suggests Hoge is undervalued relative to his chances for a strong finish at TPC San Antonio.

Derek Farnsworth endorsed Tom Hoge as a low-key DFS selection at the Valero Texas Open based on his Texas connection and elite iron play. Hoge attended TCU, providing the familiar Texas angle for added appeal, and he ranks as the number one iron player in the field over the last 150 rounds. Farnsworth emphasized that Hoge has consistently placed within the top-six in iron play regardless of the time frame considered. Although Farnsworth noted other aspects of Hoge's game have generally struggled, he expressed confidence that Hoge's exceptional iron performance could carry him through by consistently hitting greens, making Hoge a viable and attractive DFS tournament play.

David Barnett endorsed Tom Hoge as a DFS choice at a modest salary of $7400, highlighting Hoge's dramatic return to form at the recent Players Championship. Hoge gained almost 11 strokes in ball striking at the Players, signaling renewed confidence in his irons and driver, elements crucial for success at the Valero Texas Open. Barnett recommended rostering Hoge based on these signs of resurgence and high potential value at his price point.

Dave Tindall sees strong value in Tom Hoge at 80/1 odds for the Valero Texas Open. Hoge recently finished tied third at The Players Championship, ranking second in the field for Strokes Gained: Approach. Tindall identifies a strong correlation between recent winners at TPC San Antonio and strong approach play from The Players Championship, with the last three champions (Akshay Bhatia, Corey Conners, and J.J. Spaun) all notably contending at Sawgrass shortly before winning. Despite previous mixed results at this venue, Hoge produced a ninth and a twelfth-place finish in past appearances, shooting low rounds of 65 and 66. Hoge also thrives in windy conditions, important given Sunday's gusty forecast, and he recorded top-20 finishes in two of his three Texas starts last season (14th Houston Open, 17th Charles Schwab). Tindall highlights Hoge's confidence boost from a strong finish at The Players and advises backing him as a high upside, in-form player at attractive odds.

Pat Mayo discussed Tom Hoge as a strong DFS and betting candidate at Valero Texas Open, largely due to his remarkable approach performance, most recently gaining nearly 10 strokes at The Players Championship. Mayo noted Hoge's historical contentious issue—his inconsistent off-the-tee performance—has shown signs of improvement following The Players, where Hoge gained strokes off the tee for the first time in a while. Mayo suggested Hoge's outstanding iron play greatly mitigates his known deficiencies around the greens, reasoning that if Hoge is striking the ball as well as he has recently, he simply won't miss many greens and won't have to rely heavily on short game, thus making him a compelling play for Valero.

Matt Every was surprised at Tom Hoge's long odds of 250-1. Despite Hoge's errant tee shot observed last week, Every believes those odds are too extreme for a player of Hoge's caliber. Every implied that Hoge's true value in this spot is significantly better than the betting line indicates, creating a potentially strong value opportunity bet.

Byron Lindeque highlighted Tom Hoge as an attractive first-round leader bet at 120 to 1, underscoring Hoge's historic success at TPC Sawgrass, including holding the course record. Lindeque recalled Hoge's recent heater, notably starting the Hawaii swing with back-to-back first-round leads, demonstrating his capacity for low rounds on tour. Despite recent struggles with driving accuracy, Lindeque felt Hoge's confidence at Sawgrass and first-round scoring potential present significant value at his generous opening-round betting price.

Byron Lindeque strongly endorsed Tom Hoge at $6,100 based on his incredible consistency, specifically noting Hoge has made the cut every year at this event for the past five seasons. Given Hoge's proven track record on this particular course, Lindeque deems him a very appealing and reliable value play in DFS lineups.