Derek Farnsworth likes Tony Finau as in interesting DFS play at Augusta despite Finau coming off a poor finish at Valero last week. Farnsworth stresses that Finau consistently elevates his play in major championships, making him a strong asset for DFS tournaments and lineups targeting high upside potential.

An anonymous swing coach recommends fading Tony Finau despite 33-1 odds, citing persistent struggles in ball-striking and inconsistency resulting from a recent coaching change. Finau has had a disappointing start to 2025, failing to consistently show the elite ball-striking the Oaks Course requires. Given the demanding nature of TPC San Antonio—where four solid rounds are needed—the coach doubts Finau's current form can sustain contention throughout the event.

Derek Farnsworth identifies Tony Finau (+4000 odds) as a compelling betting option due to his improved accuracy off the tee and strong short-game metrics. While historically known as a long hitter, Finau has deliberately dialed back distance to hit more fairways, significantly improving his total driving accuracy. Over the past year, Finau's greatest strengths have actually been his approach play and short game around the green—two key skills for TPC San Antonio. Despite inconsistent play lately, Finau still boasts nine top-20 finishes in his last 16 starts, and Farnsworth argues this mediocre run has created real betting value in the outright market this week.

Derek Farnsworth underscored the value of playing Tony Finau this week, highlighting Finau's tendency to perform significantly better outside of Florida, including in Texas tournaments. Though Finau has intentionally dialed back his driving distance slightly over recent years, Farnsworth noted that his iron play remains elite, complemented by his outstanding short game. Despite recent struggles on shorter putts, Farnsworth retains high confidence in Finau's overall game and performance upside this week at $8,800, considering him a very strong option in DFS contests.

Tyler Tamboline discussed emerging speculative concerns regarding possible off-course personal issues affecting Tony Finau's potential performance at the 2025 Houston Open. While unclear on exact specifics, Tamboline referenced a discussion about potentially impactful personal distractions surrounding Finau that currently remain unclear and speculative. Tamboline encouraged some caution given the uncertainty about how significant personal stresses can impact a player's game, comparing the situation loosely to other athletes historically impacted by off-field issues.

Tyler Tamboline notably dismissed emerging injury concerns regarding Tony Finau heading into the 2025 Houston Open, explaining he frequently disregards speculative injury chatter unless it's definitively severe. Tamboline argued minor injury discussions within the DFS community historically tend to suppress ownership, creating leverage opportunities. Tamboline cited examples where golfers previously flagged as injured or in poor form—like Viktor Hovland or Alejandro Tosti—have surprised people with strong finishes despite questionable narratives pre-tournament. Tamboline reinforced that he maintains DFS exposure regardless of minor injury concerns, emphasizing his approach and willingness to seize these market-overreactive leverage opportunities.

Pat Mayo proposed pairing Rory McIlroy with Tony Finau as a strategic PGA DFS lineup construction for the Houston Open, emphasizing Finau's noteworthy tournament history and considerable salary savings compared to other 9K-tier choices like Aaron Rai. This roster-building strategy allows DFS players more flexibility, preserving enough salary for better-quality mid-tier options, contributing to overall lineup strength and balance. Mayo demonstrated how this particular build optimizes salary allocation, providing both upside and differentiation.

Byron Lindeque expressed skepticism regarding betting Tony Finau, despite his earlier promising course history at Memorial Park. He acknowledged Finau's historical spike rounds at the venue but raised serious issues about Tony's recent tremendously bad trend, losing strokes heavily in his last three events, amounting to roughly 16 total strokes lost. Recent injury problems and significant ball-striking struggles, especially his approach play at The Players, substantially reduce Finau's viability at Memorial Park this week.

Derek Farnsworth suggests strongly targeting Tony Finau as a high-upside tournament play this week, expecting ownership under 10%. Finau has historically performed exceptionally at Memorial Park, winning here two years ago and finishing runner-up recently. Farnsworth downplayed Finau's missed cut at the Players Championship, noting that many elite golfers struggle at that event, and that Finau never historically performs strongly on Florida courses. Transitioning back to Texas, a favorable state for Finau's past performance, Farnsworth sees a strong opportunity to leverage Finau's elite skill set and course fit at surprisingly low ownership for this event.

David Barnett cautioned against betting Tony Finau this week due to troubling current form, despite his historically strong record on this course. Barnett quickly dismissed Finau as an option, explicitly citing his recent subpar performances as a strong reason to fade Finau at the Houston Open. Even acknowledging his strong course history, Barnett emphasized the current form concerns dominate Finau's outlook this week.

Will Gray made the case for betting Tony Finau outright at the Houston Open, highlighting strong historical credentials and elite driving stats that suit Memorial Park golf course. Finau previously won here in November 2022 and returned with a T2 in the spring version of the event last year. Gray underscored the course's bomber-friendly layout—ranking fourth-worst on Tour in driving accuracy—rewarding long hitters off the tee like Finau. He also noted Finau has quietly maintained good form recently and believes Finau’s outright odds have inflated beyond what they should be due to Scheffler and McIlroy dominating the betting market.

Matt Brown acknowledged Tony Finau's spotty recent form but reaffirmed his substantial DFS potential this week, largely driven by pricing misalignment. He highlighted Finau grouped in DFS salaries well below expectations, lumped together with less proven golfers. Despite recent volatility (three missed cuts offset by T5 and T13 finishes), Finau's history of winning at Memorial Park in 2022 and runner-up finish in 2024 offered convincing value. Brown clarified he passed on outright betting Finau, but strongly advocated his DFS viability, expecting Finau to return to his usual elite form soon, making his price tag notably appealing.

Wes Reynolds identified Tony Finau as an interesting DFS play due to his unusually low pricing this week relative to his overall skill level. Reynolds acknowledged Finau's inconsistent form—with multiple missed cuts recently juxtaposed against quality performances such as a T5 at Genesis and a T13 at Pebble Beach—but cited his strong course history at Memorial Park (a win in 2022 and runner-up in 2024) as reasons for confidence. Given the strange pricing arrangement that places Finau as roughly the eighth-best golfer in DFS pricing, Reynolds viewed him as seriously underpriced and providing good DFS lineup flexibility.

Ryan Pohle notes Tony Finau as a solid betting candidate at 30-1 odds, primarily due to his outstanding Memorial Park history. Finau won convincingly by four strokes in 2023, backed that up with another strong showing as runner-up last year, and has demonstrated an ability to score well repeatedly on this course, ranking second in putting (2023) and first in Tee-to-Green (2024), indicating versatility and consistency.

Brandon Gdula recommended Tony Finau (35-1) as a value play at the Houston Open, believing his odds have inaccurately lengthened due to a recent poor showing at the Players Championship. Gdula emphasizes that Finau remains a top-three tee-to-green player among the field over the past year and has outstanding results at Memorial Park, delivering a win and a runner-up finish over the past two years. He believes these factors considerably boost Finau's betting value despite recent struggles.

Cameron DaSilva advised betting on Tony Finau at the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open at attractive +3300 odds, pointing out his excellent recent finishes at Memorial Park. Finau secured second place two years ago and won last year, showcasing his clear affinity and consistency at this course. Despite strong opponents like Scheffler and McIlroy in the field, DaSilva emphasized Finau's past success coupled with better betting value compared to gambling on Scheffler (+350), whose form has been average by his lofty standards.

Cam DaSilva recommended betting Tony Finau at +3300 for the Texas Children's Houston Open, noting Finau's outstanding course history at Memorial Park. Finau finished runner-up two years ago and followed it up with a victory last year, clearly showing an affinity for this venue. Although the presence of top-ranked players Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy impacts the betting odds, DaSilva argues there is far greater betting value in Finau, especially considering Scheffler's relatively uneven form early this year and the longer odds available for Finau despite his impressive recent performances in Houston.

Keith Stewart warned against betting on Tony Finau at the Houston Open based on serious concerns about his current form and off-course distractions. Finau has shockingly missed the cut in every full-field event this season despite being historically strong with long irons, chipping, and lag putting—all essential at this venue. Personal issues and potential health concerns, as hinted by Stewart, are impacting his game negatively, making him a risky choice in PGA betting and DFS formats despite his successful history at the tournament.

Joe Champion recommended betting on Tony Finau to win the Houston Open at odds of +3500 despite his disappointing recent performances. He emphasized Finau's outstanding historical results at Memorial Park Golf Course, noting his win in the tournament in 2022 and runner-up finish last year. Champion also highlighted Finau's recent fifth-place finish in a stacked field at the Genesis Invitational just one month ago, a performance notably resilient after an opening round 76. With the course playing perfectly to Finau's considerable power and exceptional long-iron play, Champion indicated Finau provides significant betting value compared to the event's short-priced favorites, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler.

Will Gray likes Tony Finau at the Texas Children's Houston Open due to his strong past performances and course fit. Finau won at this venue in November 2022 and followed that with a runner-up finish last year, proving he thrives here. Gray points out that this is a 'big boy course' that plays to Finau's strengths off the tee, especially as the course layout is forgiving to occasionally wayward drives. Gray sees significant betting value for Finau at +3300 odds.

Owen OBrien identified Tony Finau as a valuable longshot bet at 35-1 odds to win the 2025 Houston Open. He underscored Finau's outstanding record at Memorial Park, including a previous win at the Cadence Bank Houston Open two years earlier where Finau dominated with a 16-under performance highlighted by rounds of 62 and 65. Furthermore, Finau nearly repeated this success last year with a T-2 finish, shooting another strong 8-under 62 round and completing Sunday at 4-under 66. Although winless in 2024, Finau remained consistent with five top-10 finishes and a 23rd-place finish in the FedEx Cup standings. The combination of clear course comfort, past victories, and recent top results positions Finau as an attractive betting candidate at Memorial Park.

Alex Hunter strongly backed Tony Finau as a must-select cash DFS play at $9,200 on DraftKings, noting Finau has never been priced lower at Memorial Park. While Finau recently missed the cut at THE PLAYERS Championship, Hunter highlighted Finau's exceptional long-term course history, including a definitive four-stroke victory in 2022 and a playoff finish (runner-up) the previous season. Finau notably tied the course record with an 8-under, 62 in each of his last two starts at the course— his PGA Tour career-best round. Finau also ranks first in Strokes Gained per round among golfers in this field who have multiple starts at Memorial Park.

Bob Weeks likes Tony Finau's chances to secure a top-20 finish this week, based largely on his strong history at Memorial Park. Finau has thrived in Houston, with finishes of first and second in his two most recent visits here. Weeks acknowledged Finau’s mixed recent form—including an encouraging fifth-place tie at the Genesis Invitational but a disappointing missed cut at the Players Championship—but highlighted the player's comfort level and proven success on this course as key reasons to back him this week.

Brandon Gdula recommends Tony Finau as a strong option at +3500 to win the Texas Children's Houston Open despite coming off a missed cut with poor iron play. He emphasizes Finau’s historical prowess with irons, ranking ninth in iron play and sixth tee-to-green over the last 50 rounds. Finau’s exceptional record at Memorial Park, highlighted by a win two years ago and a runner-up finish last year, underscores his fit for the course and his potential for a rebound performance.

Ben Coley recommended backing Tony Finau at 30/1 at Memorial Park, crediting his consistent record on similar courses. Finau previously won here in 2022 and finished just one shot off the lead last year despite ranking 75th in putting for that week. Finau's combined performance at Memorial Park shows he consistently gains strokes tee-to-green, outperforming the field by nearly nine strokes across four rounds. Despite recent struggles at unsuitable courses like Sawgrass and Bay Hill, Coley noticed Finau's driving has significantly improved recently, particularly at Sawgrass—the best driving performance he's had since last April. Coley anticipates Finau will thrive yet again at Memorial Park's long and favorable setup.

Matt Vincenzi finds the current odds of +4000 on Tony Finau notably disrespectful considering his excellent Memorial Park record. Finau won the tournament in 2022 and was runner-up in the 2024 edition, illustrating his ability to perform strongly regardless of immediate form. Historically, prior to his win in 2022 and his second-place finish in 2024, Finau entered off missed cuts or poor results, yet still found success at Memorial Park, designed by Tom Doak. Finau also has a victory at the Detroit Golf Club, another Doak-designed course. Vincenzi reasons Finau is uniquely capable of hanging tough with premier names like Scottie Scheffler, making him a strong value bet.

Brandon Gdula believes Tony Finau is appealing at +3300 outright this week, arguing it's an ideal spot to buy low after Finau's poor iron-play outing at The Players Championship. Gdula notes Finau's strong course history at Memorial Park, previously dominating the field in tee-to-green play and winning here once before, nearly repeating in another year but just falling short due to poor putting. Finau ranks ninth in approach and sixth in overall tee-to-green in his last 50 rounds. Despite the recent struggles from inside 15 feet putting, Gdula finds this price highly attractive given Finau's long-proven ball-striking ceiling and previous success on this course.

Jim Sannes is skeptical about Tony Finau's betting and DFS appeal due to recent inconsistent form, despite his outstanding history at Memorial Park. Finau's recent disappointing result at The Players Championship, marked by very poor iron play leading to a missed cut, prompts Sannes' concerns. While acknowledging Finau's previous strong performances (fifth at Genesis, T13 at Pebble), Sannes feels uncertain about Finau's form rebounding here, especially considering volatile putting from within 15 feet. Sannes prefers the stability of golfers like JJ Spaun in the same betting tier over Finau for this week's event.

Brandon Gdula identified Tony Finau as a strong fit this week at Memorial Park, citing Finau's elite all-around being ideal for the demanding course. Historically, Finau has demonstrated balanced excellence at this venue, ranking second off the tee, ninth in approach, and second in putting during his victory. Additionally, Finau led the field in fairways hit, emphasizing his accuracy and ball striking advantage. With narrow fairways, larger greens, and difficult scoring conditions, Memorial Park rewards golfers who exhibit strength in all facets of the game, making Finau a particularly appealing DFS play and betting prospect.

Andy Lang strongly advised against betting or utilizing Tony Finau in DFS formats for the Houston Open. Lang acknowledged Finau's exceptional history at Memorial Park—finishing first and second the past two years—but pointed out his troubling current form. Finau ranks just 25th in total strokes gained within this relatively average field, significantly worse than his typical elite standard. This season, he has managed only one top-10 finish, alongside three missed cuts, indicating both a lower ceiling and significantly worrying floor. Given his overly high market pricing as a top-eight golfer, Lang found Finau unplayable in any fantasy or betting scenarios this week.

Pat Fitzmaurice noted Tony Finau’s exceptional history at Memorial Park Golf Course, making him a strong betting consideration at the Texas Children's Houston Open. Finau previously won decisively at this course in 2023, finishing four shots clear at 16-under par, clearly comfortable with the layout and conditions. Given the importance of having positive previous experience at Memorial Park, Fitzmaurice believes Finau's proven course form combined with the layout's rewards for power and ball-striking makes Finau a smart target in betting markets despite strong competition from Scheffler and McIlroy in the field.

Pat Mayo identified Tony Finau as presenting strong betting value at the Houston Open. He noted that Finau previously won the event when held at the same Memorial Park Golf Course. Mayo highlighted Finau's elite ball-striking data from last year's event, where he ranked number one tee-to-green but was let down by poor putting performance. While acknowledging Finau isn't coming into this year's event in peak form, Mayo pointed out his performances have remained respectable and believes the 35-to-1 odds offered are very reasonable for a player who has proven himself at this specific track.

Pat Mayo reinforced his confidence in betting Tony Finau, even noting that Finau's recent form isn't nearly as strong as last year's entry into the Houston Open. He highlighted Finau's exceptional course history at Memorial Park, including a victory two years ago and a runner-up finish last year. Notably, Finau led the tournament Tee-to-Green both years, gaining over 10 strokes Tee-to-Green each time, but struggled heavily on the greens last year. Mayo argued Finau's recent form is inconsistent rather than outright poor—pointing out a fifth-place finish at Torrey Pines and 13th at Pebble Beach. Given that Finau's odds currently sit around an appealing 33-1, Mayo believes he represents strong outright value given his elite course history and ability to dominate Tee-to-Green here.

Mike McClure sees Tony Finau as substantial betting value to outright win the Houston Open, stating Finau was his very first wager placed for this tournament. McClure noted Finau historically performs extremely well at Memorial Park and had a runner-up finish last year despite losing significant strokes putting. With people likely hesitant to back Finau due to recent struggles, McClure believes Finau offers top-tier win equity at undervalued market odds, ranking him third overall behind only Scheffler and McIlroy.

John Haslbauer sees Tony Finau as a prime betting candidate due to his prior success at Memorial Park, combined with a playing style that precisely fits the challenging layout. With finishes at Memorial Park including a victory, a second-place result, and a T24, Finau boasts arguably the strongest course history among all entrants. Haslbauer highlighted the importance of driving distance, powerful ball striking, and putting on Bermuda surfaces as trends among high-performing golfers at this event—areas that are precisely Finau's strengths. Given the challenging nature of Memorial Park (long par-4s, tight green side runoffs requiring scrambling, and scoring averages near par), Finau's track record at this venue and relevant skill set make him a strong play in DFS and betting markets.

Ben Rasa is recommending Tony Finau at +260 for a top 20 finish at THE PLAYERS Championship. Rasa highlighted Finau's recent strong performances and ball-striking metrics, notably at the Genesis Invitational and Arnold Palmer Invitational. Despite some struggles around the greens, Finau has surprisingly maintained consistent putting success historically at Sawgrass, having gained strokes putting in five of the past six THE PLAYERS Championships. Given the generous odds and Finau's overall form, Rasa believes this is a strong betting value.

Rick Gehman advised caution on Tony Finau, noting significant concerns across multiple facets of his game. Gehman pointed out Finau's inconsistent weekly performance, with different weaknesses emerging each tournament—issues reminiscent of Patrick Cantlay's struggles from the previous week. Additionally, Gehman flagged Finau's poor history at TPC Sawgrass, encompassing mediocre results (best finish T-19) without reliable strength in any specific area of play recently, resulting in minimal separation from the field at this event.

Drew Mathews specifically highlighted Tony Finau as a strong DFS and betting option for THE PLAYERS Championship, based on strong recent spectrum data showing significant edge gained on approach. Mathews noted Finau's notable improvement in approach metrics from last week's event, contributing positively within the spectrum model, making him particularly appealing at TPC Sawgrass this week. Given how critical approach play is at this course, Finau's recent uptick bodes well for his potential performance.