Eric Polzin likes the UNDER on Oneil Cruz’s PrizePicks fantasy score. Although Cruz has been swinging a hot bat, the game carries a minuscule 6.5-run total, the lowest on the slate, sharply capping counting-stat upside. Polzin’s projection model again shows an edge toward the under, and he reminded listeners that Cruz failed to deliver in the same spot the night before. With a stingy run environment and no line movement favoring an over, Polzin is comfortable fading Cruz today.

Eric Polzin called Paul Goldschmidt’s PrizePicks fantasy-score OVER one of the strongest MLB edges on the board. PrizePicks has posted the lowest number in the market—below Underdog’s 7.5, the average sportsbook’s 7.3 and Polzin’s own 8.2 projection—yet his model still shows the over hitting more than 54% of the time. Even though St. Louis is a 1.5-run underdog in an 8.5-run game, the combination of projection, market discrepancy and a still-solid run environment makes Goldschmidt an automatic inclusion in Polzin’s Flex Friday six-pack.

Eric Polzin advised taking the UNDER on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s PrizePicks hitter-fantasy score of 7. His model shows the pick clearing 54% probability because every other reference point sits lower—the average sportsbook prop is 5.2 and Underdog hangs 6.5. Polzin added that the game’s eight-run total is on the low side, limiting run-production upside and making the inflated PrizePicks line a clear fade for Flex Friday cards.