Eric Polzin said he does not expect Jerome Ford to suit up in Friday's three-game preseason DFS slate, pointing out that the Browns generally keep rookie running backs on the sideline to limit injury risk. Because Polzin anticipates Ford seeing little-to-no snaps, he advised fading the Cleveland back in DFS builds and instead targeting passing-game pieces if looking for Browns exposure. He added that his core lineup will shift only if unexpected beat-report confirmations emerge later in the day.

Eric Polzin pegged Terrell Jennings as his favorite New England preseason play. He cited the Patriots’ 35 rush attempts per exhibition under Mike Weber and their history of designating one practice-squad back as a preseason bell-cow. Jennings has worn that crown before, and the depth chart behind rookie Henderson is thin. Polzin bumped Jennings’ projection in his optimizer and believes that, if pre-kick reports confirm typical usage, Jennings ‘could end up being one of the better plays on the slate’.

Eric Polzin recommended sprinkling in Jalen Coker as a leverage play and adding him to season-long watch lists. Coker has ‘been standing out a decent amount’ in Panthers camp and at times functioned as their WR1 in last year’s preseason. Polzin anticipates Carolina giving its starters only a brief run before letting Coker log extended snaps with Bryce Young and the backup tandem of Andy Dalton and Jack Plummer. That likely multi-quarter opportunity plus steady camp buzz provides upside at low ownership.

Eric Polzin likes pairing Diontae Johnson with Shador Sanders despite some snap-count uncertainty. He said Johnson ‘looked like his normal self’ on recent practice film and noted that Jerry Jeudy and Cedric Tillman being ruled out funnels targets Johnson’s way. Although the official depth chart lists Jeremiah Thrash as a co-starter, Polzin expects the veteran technician to see enough routes to pay off at preseason salary. Johnson’s combination of proven separation skills and Sanders’ expected four-quarter workload makes the duo one of Polzin’s favorite DFS stacks on the slate.

Polzin called Jabari Small a priority value play if Vaki is officially ruled out. Small logged a team-high 47 % snap share in the Hall of Fame Game and would again split the entire Lions backfield with only Craig Reynolds if the depth chart stays thin. With Detroit sitting every established starter, Polzin expects 8-10 touches to fall Small’s way, plenty to pay off a preseason DFS salary.

With Dominic Lovett (68 % snaps, nine targets last week) ruled out, Polzin expects Tom Kennedy to become Jared Goff’s stand-in safety valve for the backups. Kennedy surprisingly logged exactly half of Detroit’s snaps in the Hall of Fame Game; Polzin believes that number climbs on Friday, making the veteran slot man a volume-driven DFS play who fits both Hooker and Allen stacks.

Polzin will lean toward Easton Stick over Emory Jones. Vegas lists Stick’s passing line at 90 yards versus just 66.5 for Jones and even hung a rushing prop on Stick, signaling designed QB runs. Stick is expected to start and handle the entire first half, giving him clean pocket snaps against Detroit reserves plus bonus rushing points—a profile Polzin called "intriguing" for single-entry builds.

Polzin is monitoring Casey Washington closely. With Darnell Mooney nursing an injury, Washington has been running with the ones in practice, and beat writers say he is "filling in for that Mooney role." If the Falcons let him play, Polzin wants exposure because even a half of snaps with the starting group could deliver target volume at minimal salary. Washington pairs naturally with Stick stacks and offers leverage off better-known Atlanta receivers.

Polzin will still pepper in Kyle Allen shares, reminding viewers that the veteran handled 60 % of Detroit’s snaps in the Hall of Fame Game and will again open Friday’s contest. That puts Allen up against Atlanta’s third-string defenders for a full half, the same matchup Polzin exploited last week. He expects Allen to run the offense efficiently, generate scoring chances before halftime and serve as either a cash-game floor or a tournament pivot away from the higher-owned options.

Eric Polzin identified Hendon Hooker as the slate’s No. 2 quarterback behind Watson. Hooker looked ugly while running Detroit’s backups in the Hall of Fame Game, but Polzin noted he still logged 40 % of the snaps and projects second-highest in every model he’s seen. With the Lions planning to surround him with better skill talent this week, Hooker’s willingness to take off—something he tried but never found room to do last game—provides a rushing floor rare in preseason DFS. Polzin expects roughly a quarter-and-a-half of work, enough for 50-plus passing yards, 20-plus rushing yards and touchdown equity against Atlanta’s third unit.

Eric Polzin said Deshaun Watson is the clear cornerstone on Friday’s three-gamer. Cleveland’s staff has signaled that Watson will handle virtually every meaningful snap because Kenny Pickett and Dylan Gabriel are nursing injuries and Tyler Huntley was signed only as emergency depth. Projection sites list Watson for just 122 passing yards, a number Polzin called "way too low" if he really plays three-plus quarters. Against a Carolina defense expected to be full of second- and third-stringers by halftime, Polzin expects volume and efficiency, making Watson a lineup lock in preseason DFS rather than a fade-and-pray spot.

Polzin expects Cam Miller to quarterback the Raiders for the entire second half after a brief Geno Smith cameo and a short Aidan O’Connell stint. Tom Brady, now a minority owner, has publicly praised Miller, and Polzin believes the organization wants an extended look. A full half would push Miller near 20 drop-backs, putting him firmly in the preseason DFS pool despite limited stacking partners.

Polzin spotlighted Elijah Cooks as the Eagles receiver to roster. Philadelphia beat writers—whom Polzin trusts—have repeatedly tabbed Cooks as the standout of camp. The Eagles are expected to rest their starting trio, leaving Cooks to run with Tanner McKee for at least a half. Given Philly’s up-tempo, pass-heavy preseason tendencies, Polzin likes Cooks as a high-floor, high-ceiling option who can be played solo or paired with McKee in DFS tournament builds.

Eric Polzin called Tanner Hudson ‘the preseason GOAT’ and urged managers to grab exposure despite Cincinnati’s crowded tight-end room. Mike Gesicki (slot role) and Noah Fant are expected to sit, while Drew Sample will start but play sparingly. Hudson has produced double-digit DraftKings points in five of his last six preseason appearances across multiple franchises, and Polzin expects him to soak up second-half snaps with Jake Browning, who targeted tight ends on 27% of throws last August.

Polzin expects Keaton Mitchell to see ‘a decent amount of work’ Thursday. Henry and Hill sitting leaves Mitchell and Rashine Alley as Baltimore’s only explosive backs. Although Mitchell looked rusty in his 2024 return from injury, Polzin believes a full offseason of rehab and Harbaugh’s history of force-feeding young runners makes Mitchell a strong tournament play with legitimate 100-yard upside if he breaks a long run.

Eric Polzin recommended taking the UNDER on Joe Burrow’s 69.5-yard passing prop at Underdog. Cincinnati will let its starters see the field, but history shows Zac Taylor pulls them quickly—Burrow’s ceiling is essentially one scripted drive. Underdog has the QB favored to toss 0.7 TDs, which Polzin translated to roughly eight DFS points—solid, yet not slate-breaking. Given the Bengals’ long-standing preseason approach of handing most snaps to backups like Jake Browning, Polzin doubts Burrow will have enough time to reach 70 yards and prefers betting the under rather than forcing an overpriced Bengals stack in DFS contests.

With Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely and the rest of the Ravens’ starters sitting, Polzin highlighted Charlie Kolar as the tight end most likely to vacuum up snaps and targets. Kolar has generated the loudest non-starter buzz in Ravens camp, and John Harbaugh historically keeps his top tight ends off the field in Week 1, leaving practice-squad types to play heavy snaps. Polzin values steady tight-end raw points in preseason DFS slates and projects Kolar to run the majority of routes with first- and second-team quarterbacks, making him a strong salary-saving option.

Eric Polzin said Anthony Richardson is the priority quarterback on Thursday’s three-game preseason slate. Shane Steichen confirmed Richardson will start and, in Polzin’s words, "play a good amount," a phrasing he compared to Trey Lance’s Hall of Fame Game usage that extended into the third quarter. That would leave Richardson attacking Baltimore’s second-team defense for at least two quarters. Underdog immediately pulled Daniel Jones props and raised Richardson’s numbers after the quote, yet Polzin still views the posted passing line as too low. With no game on the slate carrying a notably higher total, Polzin believes locking in the only QB projected for starter-level snaps provides the clearest DFS edge and makes Richardson a core cash-game and tournament building block.

Eric Polzin likes the over on Devin Leary’s 38.5 passing-yard line on Underdog. He expects Baltimore to give Leary the entire second half—and possibly part of the second quarter—because they already know what they have in Cooper Rush. Even if Leary is inefficient, 20–25 dropbacks should be enough to eclipse such a low total. Polzin called either Rush’s under or Leary’s over "egregiously mis-priced," recommending bettors pair the two props for a correlated preseason ticket.

Eric Polzin is playing the under on Cooper Rush’s passing-yard prop for Thursday’s preseason tilt with Indianapolis. Polzin noted that Rush will open the game against the Colts’ first-team defense and expects Baltimore to pull him after roughly one half, limiting him to 25–30 snaps. Because Devin Leary is projected to close the game, Polzin believes Rush simply will not see enough volume to threaten his yardage line and calls the number a clear fade on PrizePicks.

PrizePicks briefly hung Jalen Millroe at 110.5 passing yards before pulling the market; Underdog sits at 98.5. Polzin prefers the under on any triple-digit line, arguing that Millroe’s fantasy appeal is his legs, not volume passing. Even if the Alabama product plays an entire half, his career 55-percent collegiate completion rate makes 100 yards an aggressive target.

Polzin is still inclined to play under 106.5 passing yards on Drew Lock. Even if Lock gets a full half, many of those reps will come against Raider starters, and Seattle projects to lean on the run while evaluating its young backs. Lock has averaged only 6.1 YPA in preseason action with Seattle, making triple-digit yardage a tough climb.

O'Connell’s passing total opened near 100 yards and has already been bet down, but Polzin still prefers the under on Underdog’s elevated number. The Raiders want to see Cam Miller in the second half, and with the possibility of a run-heavy game plan to keep clock moving, O'Connell may not get more than 12–15 attempts.

Polzin leaned under 49.5 passing yards for Geno Smith on Underdog. Pete Carroll historically gives his veterans one series in the first preseason game, and Smith cleared 50 yards in just 1 of 5 such preseason drives under Carroll. Although the Seahawks have new skill talent, Polzin doubts Carroll abandons his usual approach, making the line too high for likely six to eight pass attempts.

Kyle McCord’s 38.5 passing-yard prop stood out to Polzin as another low bar. He anticipates McCord closing the game, giving him uninterrupted late-quarter drives versus Cincinnati’s second and third-team defenders. Even in a conservative script, one sustained series should be enough to eclipse 40 yards.

Polzin viewed DTR’s 39.5 passing-yard number as “extremely low.” Because the Eagles plan to divide snaps equally among three QBs, he still projects Thompson-Robinson for 2–3 series and 8–10 attempts. With DTR’s preseason career 7.4 yards per attempt, even modest usage should clear the tiny total.

Polzin recommended the under on Tanner McKee’s 93.5 passing-yard prop. He expects the Eagles to use a true three-way split at quarterback with Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Kyle McCord each getting roughly a quarter. If McKee does not play a full half, 93.5 is far too aggressive, especially against a Bengals defense that plans to open with its starters.

Eric Polzin paired the Rush fade with an over on Devin Leary’s 38.5 passing-yard line. He expects Harbaugh to hand Leary most, if not all, of the second half after Rush’s scripted series. Even in a run-leaning scheme, two quarters generally equal 10-plus attempts, and a single efficient drive could cash the ticket. Betting Leary’s over alongside Rush’s under captures the anticipated 50-50 snap split and hedges Baltimore’s conservative play-calling.

Eric Polzin urged bettors to hit the under on Cooper Rush’s 119.5 passing-yard prop (123.5 at PrizePicks). Baltimore threw on only 44 percent of its preseason snaps last year, and Polzin expects John Harbaugh to keep that ground-heavy approach, especially with Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews and Derrick Henry sitting. Rush is likely to split or even surrender second-half reps to Devin Leary, capping him at roughly a dozen attempts. That workload would require over 8 YPA to reach the line, so Polzin favors the under.

Eric Polzin flipped sides on Richardson’s passing prop, calling the 71.5 line at PrizePicks “egregiously low.” He anticipates Richardson playing at least a full half because Daniel Jones is earmarked for the bulk of Game 2 snaps. That should translate to roughly 20–25 attempts against Baltimore’s backup secondary. With Josh Downs, A.D. Mitchell, Alec Pierce and T.J. Warren expected to dress, Polzin believes even a conservative 6.0 yards per attempt clears the number in a dozen throws, making the over a core Thursday play.

Eric Polzin recommended the under on Anthony Richardson’s rushing yards, especially the 19.5 number at Underdog (PrizePicks lists 16.5). He expects Indianapolis to emphasize pocket work, asking Richardson to showcase his arm rather than his legs. With design runs likely stripped out and coaches preaching “slide, don’t extend,” Polzin projects only a handful of scramble yards in limited preseason action—nowhere near 20. The analyst views the larger Underdog line as the stronger fade.

Polzin believes Kyle Allen’s passing yard prop is too low. Detroit lists Allen as QB3, meaning he should run the entire second half against Chargers practice-squad defenders. Despite playing with backups, Allen will have preseason-savvy receivers such as Tom Kennedy, Lambert Smith and Isaac Tesla. Polzin said the current line ‘should be flipped’ relative to Hendon Hooker’s number and sees value on Allen’s over if books leave it untouched.

Polzin loves exploiting the split on Tom Kennedy’s receiving line: 23.5 yards on UnderDog versus a higher total on PrizePicks. Kennedy has proven to be a preseason standout and Polzin expects him to play roughly half of football, enough to top 23.5. He suggested bettors take the Over at UnderDog and hedge with the Under at PrizePicks to capture the middle if the number stays inflated there.

Polzin flagged Trey Lance’s passing-yard prop as mis-priced on UnderDog. While PrizePicks had already bumped or pulled the market, UnderDog still posted 116.5 yards. Polzin advised taking the over there, reasoning that Lance should see extended Hall-of-Fame-Game snaps and that the line discrepancy provides built-in value for bettors willing to shop around.

Polzin also likes the over on Jabari Small’s rushing yardage, calling the current number ‘small’ relative to his expected workload. With Detroit protecting bigger-name backs and Vaki banged up, Small should split the bulk of preseason snaps with Kai. Even without camp buzz, Polzin thinks Small is the type of back Dan Campbell will lean on in a meaningless exhibition and believes seven or more carries are enough to beat a line in the low-20s.

Polzin called Keandre Lambert Smith his favorite Chargers receiver prop, endorsing the Over 27.5 receiving yards on Underdog (29.5 on PrizePicks). Beat reports liken Lambert Smith’s camp performance to a young Mike Williams—high-pointing deep balls and flashing contested-catch ability. With rookies Trey Harris and Ladd McConkey expected to max out at 10-20 snaps, Lambert Smith should log extended run and has already developed chemistry with Trey Lance. Polzin projects at least two down-field targets worth roughly 40 air yards, giving the camp darling multiple paths to 30+ receiving yards.

Polzin warned that Trey Lance’s passing yard total has been bet up to 119.5 and is now "a little bit too high." He noted Lance’s accuracy issues in previous preseasons and prefers hitching his wagon to the quarterback’s legs rather than his arm. Although Lance will see heavy snaps with only two Chargers QBs active, Polzin doubts the former first-rounder clears 120 yards, urging bettors to take the under while the number remains above 110.

Eric Polzin said bettors should smash the 27.5-yard rushing line on Trey Lance. Lance is locked in for the entire first half plus one third-quarter series, a workload Polzin confirmed from Chargers beat writers. Lance’s dual-threat profile and Los Angeles’ pass-heavy preseason tendencies (third-highest pass percentage and top-five in total attempts last August) create extra scramble chances. With no Justin Herbert and several rookie wideouts on the field, Polzin projects Lance to reach 30-40 rushing yards on volume and one explosive run, making the over his favorite prop of the slate.

Eric Polzin advised jamming in the Chargers DST alongside Trey Lance builds. He expects Dan Campbell to lean heavily on the run, draining clock and limiting Detroit scoring chances. With backups like Hendon Hooker or Kyle Allen forced to throw in long-yardage, Polzin anticipates sacks and turnover opportunities. In a game carrying one of the lowest totals of the preseason, even a modest point-allowed bonus plus a sack or takeaway will outscore most skill-position punts, making Los Angeles' defense a leverage piece against lineups that blindly jam Lions backs.

Eric Polzin called Trey Lance "the top player on the board" and recommended slotting him in the captain/MVP spot. Lance is expected to get the longest quarterback run for Los Angeles as the staff evaluates him for the full-season QB2 job. His willingness to pull the ball and run adds bonus scoring paths that other signal-callers on the slate do not possess. Facing a Lions defense that rarely blitzes in preseason and will be resting starters, Polzin projects Lance for a full half of play, 140-plus combined yards and multiple scoring opportunities, making him worth the hefty salary multiplier.