Mike Ianniello advised against buying into the Chicago White Sox's brief early-season offensive improvement, noting their offense was historically bad last year, finishing dead last in runs, home runs, OPS, and wRC+. Despite the White Sox currently ranking eighth early in home runs, Ianniello emphasized that Andrew Vaughn is still their only projected above-average hitter. He suggested their recent hot bats are merely a fluke rather than indicative of longer-term improvement.

Like Spencer Aguiar, Derek Farnsworth identified Keegan Bradley as being significantly mispriced and deserving of DFS consideration. Farnsworth noted Bradley's elite tee-to-green game as a central reason for his confidence. Additionally, Bradley has quietly compiled back-to-back top-25 finishes in his last two Masters appearances. Farnsworth explained that occasionally the early-week DFS chalk becomes lower-owned as players begin to overthink and fade popular early-week picks; he's hopeful the same trend could turn Bradley into a surprise moderately-owned leverage play despite initial ownership projections. Either way, Farnsworth committed to Bradley as a cornerstone DFS pick.

Spencer Aguiar pinpointed Keegan Bradley as the most significantly underpriced golfer on the DFS slate for the 2025 Masters. Bradley ranks first among Aguiar's top-5 underpriced golfers, signaling tremendous model-based value. Despite Bradley's early projected ownership appearing higher than initially expected, Aguiar emphasized Bradley's strong course fit profiles and narrative upside as the reigning Ryder Cup captain, indicating Bradley has plenty of motivation and pressure to perform well. If Bradley's ownership projection drops over the coming days, Aguiar intends to make Bradley a core player in his DFS lineups.

Derek Farnsworth picked Cameron Young as his bold, contrarian DFS play for the Masters. Farnsworth acknowledged that Young has historically been frustrating to roster, calling him someone he never gets right, but pointed to favorable signals heading into Augusta. Young's significant distance off the tee is ideal for Augusta's long layout, and he finally showed improved form with an encouraging T-18 finish at the Valero Texas Open. Most compelling, Farnsworth noted Young has recorded back-to-back top-10 finishes at the Masters previously, which underscores his comfort and proven upside at Augusta. With projected ownership under 5%, Young represents a high-risk, high-reward option perfect for large-field tournaments like the Millionaire Maker.

Derek Farnsworth highlighted Sergio Garcia as one of his favorite contrarian DFS picks for the 2025 Masters. While Garcia's recent course history at Augusta National seems less than ideal since his Masters win—with multiple missed cuts and only one top-25 finish—Farnsworth sees real opportunity in these circumstances. Garcia's strong current form in LIV golf is the key factor: he recently finished third at Doral and secured a victory in his previous event. Additionally, Garcia's driving metrics have remained impressive in LIV competition all year. Farnsworth therefore expects low ownership, making Garcia an appealing choice for DFS differentiation despite the superficially worrisome Augusta record.

Derek Farnsworth strongly endorsed Patrick Cantlay as a DFS selection, citing resurgence in his recent play. Cantlay has accumulated nearly 16 strokes gained on approach over his last five events, including substantial ball-striking gains last week. Farnsworth believes previous distractions linked to LIV golf events and player board responsibilities have passed, returning Cantlay's focus to elite-level golf. At a modest $8,700 DFS price, Cantlay represents considerable value given his historical major championship experience and current upward performance trend.

Spencer Aguiar recommended Robert Macintyre as a DFS target for the Masters, noting key Augusta suitability. Aguiar emphasized Macintyre's elite long-iron play from beyond 200 yards and elite metrics in birdie opportunities combined with bogey avoidance, two crucial skill sets proven predictive for past Augusta winners. He highlighted Augusta's built-in left-handed advantage, with six left-handers capturing victories over the last 22 years, further raising Macintyre’s ceiling for DFS performance at Augusta.

Spencer Aguiar pinpointed Min Woo Lee as a high-upside DFS play, emphasizing that Lee uniquely checks four critical Augusta criteria: proximity from 200-plus yards, driving distance, around-the-green skill, and weighted putting. Though historically wary of Lee’s inconsistent approach game, Aguiar recalled Lee topping his model two weeks ago at the Houston event, where Lee secured victory. Considering Lee's metrics intersection and slightly inflated DFS salary perception stemming from that recent win, Spencer expects Lee's ownership to remain relatively low while presenting notable win potential at Augusta.

Derek Farnsworth advocated strongly for Jordan Spieth at the 2025 Masters as a DFS selection, acknowledging Spieth as an annual Augusta specialist despite recent mixed form. Farnsworth believes Spieth excels on this track, demonstrated by historically impressive results at Augusta apart from last year's missed cut. Spieth has quietly registered three top-15 finishes in his past six starts this season, and Derek highlighted that Spieth may offer contrarian leverage in DFS lineups since his high DraftKings price should offset ownership typically driven by a strong showing at preceding Valero Texas Open.

Spencer Aguiar identified Russell Henley as a strong DFS and betting candidate at Augusta despite concerns over distance. Aguiar noted Henley consistently gains 5-10 yards off the tee on longer courses and emphasized his elite iron play, accuracy off the tee, and exceptional short-game skills. After Henley's surprising win at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Aguiar asserts that Henley has real win equity at Augusta, suggesting advantageous outright betting prices at 50-plus odds. However, Spencer cautioned DFS players to pair Henley strategically due to anticipated high ownership.

Spencer Aguiar highlighted Xander Schauffele as an intriguing low-owned DFS option for the Masters given his recent injury issues and slow start to 2025. Xander had struggled due to injuries throughout the early season, but Spencer pointed specifically to a pronounced uptick in driving distance numbers from Xander in his most recent tournament performance as a clear sign that Xander is rounding into form at the perfect time. Despite previous struggles and lowered ownership projections around 8%, Spencer sees Schauffele as a potential leverage play due to high upside and returning health.

Derek Farnsworth suggested Jon Rahm might provide DFS value and contrarian leverage at the 2025 Masters. Rahm is not popular currently after joining LIV golf and has only won twice there, but Farnsworth highlighted Rahm's motivation and consistent top-10 finishes in LIV events. Rahm is eager to restore recognition as an elite golfer, and Derek argued this Masters represents the perfect opportunity and big stage for Rahm to demonstrate his top-level game.

Derek Farnsworth highlighted Sergio Garcia as one of the golfers he's most excited about for DFS at the 2025 Masters. Farnsworth did not provide extensive detail here, but Garcia's selection likely arises from proven Augusta National experience and short-game proficiency that aligns closely with the skills Farnsworth emphasizes at the Masters each year.

Derek Farnsworth identified Min Woo Lee as one of his top DFS picks at the 2025 Masters. Although not elaborating extensively in this section, his enthusiastic tease signals strong conviction in Lee as a high-upside value selection likely based on his skill set and course fit for Augusta National, considering Farnsworth's historical DFS approach and expertise.

Derek Farnsworth strongly endorsed Rory McIlroy as his pick to win the 2025 Masters. Farnsworth pointed to McIlroy's current form, highlighted by recent high-profile victories at tournaments like Pebble Beach and The Players Championship. Farnsworth emphasized McIlroy's exceptional skill off the tee, describing him as arguably the best driver in the field. Despite previous struggles and meltdowns in key moments on the back nine at Augusta, Derek believes this year feels different and that Rory's improved mindset and recent momentum set him up perfectly for contention at the Masters.

Sean Zerillo sees value in backing the White Sox on the first five innings line against Cleveland due to the starting pitching matchup advantage. The White Sox rookie Shane Smith has superior projected metrics (average projected FIP of 4.52) compared to Guardians starter Ben Lively (average projected FIP of 4.8). Smith has one elite pitch—a hard changeup with excellent movement (109 Stuff+), especially effective against left-handed hitters. Although the White Sox's offense is poor (72 wRC+) and their bullpen consistently grades among MLB's worst, Zerillo believes Smith's clear initial pitching edge creates value on Chicago's first five innings moneyline (+135) or spread (+0.5 runs, -112). His projections make the White Sox fair +127 underdogs, creating a profitable opportunity at the market price.

Sean Zerillo identified the Cubs as an appealing moneyline play vs the Rangers on April 7. He cited Chicago's superiority in position-player defense and baserunning as distinct advantages, especially crucial in expected low-scoring conditions due to sustained frigid temperatures and winds blowing inward. Although rating the starting pitchers comparably—Eovaldi trending positively for Texas, and a slight projection advantage for Justin Steele (Cubs)—Zerillo ultimately preferred the Cubs due to overall defensive prowess and efficiency on base. He projected Chicago's proper moneyline pricing around -144, recommending the Cubs as a clear value up to -133.

Sean Zerillo emphasized Nathan Eovaldi's potential breakout season in 2025, noting his significant changes in pitch usage through two impressive starts this season. Eovaldi (Rangers) has drastically increased the usage of his curveball (24.2%) historically his best pitch (108 Stuff+), while decreasing his fastball usage (historically below-average stuff). Zerillo connected this revamped pitch mix to early successes in 2025 (two quality starts, including a shutout, and a perfect 17:0 strikeout-to-walk ratio). This trend offers a strong indication that Eovaldi could significantly surpass projections heading into his matchup at Wrigley Field against the Cubs on April 7, favoring a low-scoring game due to elite command and adverse hitting conditions.

Sean Zerillo advised betting the Toronto Blue Jays moneyline against the Red Sox on April 7, pointing to advantageous weather conditions for fly-ball pitcher Easton Lucas (TOR). Zerillo considers Lucas's fly-ball tendencies favorable in this scenario due to cold weather and winds blowing in from right field expected to suppress fly-ball distance. Additionally, Zerillo rated Toronto's defense as elite compared to Boston's above-average group, giving them heightened edge in a game expecting low run totals. Zerillo projected this matchup essentially as a coin flip, but favored Toronto and specifically recommended betting them if available at +110 or better.

Action AI highlighted the Rays as a strong moneyline pick against the Rangers on Saturday, April 5. Utilizing a proven early-season betting model, specifically designed to capitalize on trends from teams' opening nine games, this selection is grounded in historical data and statistical insights. The Rays matchup strongly fits key criteria from their proprietary model, supporting a bold stance on Tampa Bay to win outright.

Action AI pinpoints the Atlanta Braves as a recommended moneyline wager versus the Marlins on April 5th, thanks to their specialized early-season betting model. This system, emphasizing betting selections from teams in the first nine games of the season, identifies specific profitable trends and patterns which align strongly with the Braves' early-season performance profile. Detailed historical performance monitoring bolsters the Braves as an advantageous moneyline pick.

Action AI has identified a strong early-season trend backing the Tigers on the moneyline against the White Sox for Saturday, April 5. This unique betting model specifically targets teams in their first nine games of the season, finding patterns and edges based on historical data and team tendencies prevalent during early-season matchups. Given rigorous analysis and past performance results validating this system, AI recommends betting the Tigers to win outright on the moneyline.

Mike Ianniello expressed strong confidence in pitcher Jack Flaherty, highlighting him as a favorite pitcher to support due to a high strikeout rate. Flaherty's resurgence following past injury issues was underscored by his league third-best 10.78 K/9 rate last season. Ianniello particularly emphasized Flaherty's excellent curveball, which generated a 43.6% whiff rate, as well as his effectiveness in pounding the strike zone with his fastball. These strengths create considerable betting value for Flaherty against a weak White Sox lineup.

Tony Sartori emphasized betting the Cardinals moneyline (+126) in their matchup against the Red Sox due to St. Louis' clear offensive advantage, which further supports their value at plus money. Early in the 2025 season, the Cardinals are top-four in MLB across several crucial batting categories including runs per game, batting average, slugging percentage, OPS, and home runs. In direct contrast, the Red Sox have yet to place in the top half of the league in any of those five key offensive metrics. Additionally, recent head-to-head trends favor St. Louis, with the Cardinals winning five of their past six games against Boston, strengthening Sartori's conviction in this pick.

Tony Sartori recommended placing a bet on the Cardinals moneyline against the Red Sox (+126) primarily because of the distinct starting pitching advantage. Cardinals starter Erick Fedde was impressive in his first outing of 2025, allowing just one run and two hits across six innings. Fedde's strong opening performance backed up his solid 2024 campaign, where he posted a 3.30 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 31 starts, ranking above average league-wide in xERA, average exit velocity, walk rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. In contrast, Red Sox starter Walker Buehler has struggled significantly since returning from his second Tommy John surgery, historically a difficult recovery for pitchers. In 2024, Buehler went 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 starts, ranking in the 16th percentile in xERA, xBA, and strikeout rate. These struggles continued into 2025; Buehler gave up four runs on seven hits in less than five innings in his first start of the season. Sartori also pointed out the strength of the Cardinals bullpen, which ranked top-10 in ERA, FIP, and xFIP last season, giving their pitching overall a clear edge.

Sean Zerillo identifies the Rockies as a valuable underdog play against the Phillies, recommending a moneyline bet if odds reach +180 or higher, ideally closer to +200. Zerillo believes current projections undervalue Antonio Senzatela relative to Taijuan Walker. Despite Senzatela's shaky season debut, his metrics still project him more favorably (FIP range of 4.39 to 5.10 compared to Walker's projected FIP of 4.83 to 5.34). Zerillo emphasizes Walker's significant velocity decline, historically poor performance indicators, and severe regression trajectory as key reasons for targeting a Rockies upset.

Sean Zerillo recommends betting the Orioles' moneyline, projecting them at -117 and advising action at -107 or better. Zerillo cites a clear bullpen advantage for Baltimore, rating it as a top-five group compared to the Red Sox closer to tenth. Gunnar Henderson's expected return boosts Baltimore's projected lineup strength, giving them a superior projected wRC+ of 122 versus Boston's 111 against right-handed pitchers. Zerillo also emphasizes Baltimore's advantage defensively and on the basepaths, providing significant broad-spectrum value backing the Orioles in this matchup.

Derek Farnsworth points to Ben Griffin (+5500 odds) as a viable longshot play at the Valero Texas Open driven by his 'must-win' motivation. Sitting at 51st in the Official World Golf Ranking, Griffin narrowly missed automatic Masters qualification after finishing T18 last week in Houston. Farnsworth highlights that Griffin ranks among the field's best from the fairway inward and gained an impressive 6.1 strokes on approach last week—his fifth-highest career mark. Griffin has logged three top-10 finishes in his last 14 events and enters this tournament highly motivated, aiming for a victory to qualify for Augusta. Farnsworth suggests that this 'win or go home' mentality could spark a fairy tale ending for Griffin this week.

Derek Farnsworth highlights Maverick McNealy (+5000 odds) as a solid bet due to his significant improvements in iron play, ranking 12th in strokes gained approach within this field in 2025. McNealy displayed strong recent form, gaining 3.2 strokes via approach last week and over four strokes in three other events this season. Farnsworth notes that combined with McNealy's steady driving and elite putting ability, he is fully capable of contending this weekend. Additionally, McNealy has impressive recent form—with one win and three additional top-10 finishes over his last 10 starts—along with a consistent record in Texas, including two made cuts at this tournament.

Derek Farnsworth identifies Tony Finau (+4000 odds) as a compelling betting option due to his improved accuracy off the tee and strong short-game metrics. While historically known as a long hitter, Finau has deliberately dialed back distance to hit more fairways, significantly improving his total driving accuracy. Over the past year, Finau's greatest strengths have actually been his approach play and short game around the green—two key skills for TPC San Antonio. Despite inconsistent play lately, Finau still boasts nine top-20 finishes in his last 16 starts, and Farnsworth argues this mediocre run has created real betting value in the outright market this week.

Derek Farnsworth likes Keegan Bradley (+2800 odds) to contend at the Valero Texas Open based on his excellent recent form and strong driving abilities. Bradley has gained 13.4 strokes on approach over his last three events, demonstrating elite ball-striking ability. He is under pressure to secure Ryder Cup points, sitting 19th in standings, and needs a strong run of events to qualify as a player/captain. Farnsworth emphasizes Bradley's underrated around-the-green skills and occasional hot putting streaks. Additionally, Bradley has performed well historically at this event, achieving two top-10 finishes in six starts at TPC San Antonio.

Sean Paul identified Brewers' slugger Jake Bauers as a sleeper fantasy or DFS play in Sunday's matchup at Yankee Stadium. Facing Marcus Stroman, a righty pitcher who has struggled with declining effectiveness (career-low ground ball rate last season, career-high HR/9), Paul expects Brewers manager Pat Murphy to stack left-handed bats—such as Bauers—in Sunday's lineup to capitalize on the favorable matchup. With Bauers' ability to take advantage of the stadium's short porch in right field, Paul sees potential upside for him to deliver strong fantasy or prop value.

Sean Paul emphasizes Aaron Judge as a strong option for betting props or DFS plays Sunday against Brewers pitcher Aaron Civale. Judge coming off an explosive performance on Saturday where he went 4-for-6 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs. Paul reasoned Judge's dominance will continue, as opposing pitchers will increasingly pitch around him, creating more traffic and pressure on opposing pitchers and enhancing scoring potential. Given Civale's past struggles (nine runs allowed in 9.2 innings) when pitching at Yankee Stadium and vulnerability to the short porch in right field, Paul expects Judge to again generate significant offensive production.

Sean Paul advises betting on Christian Yelich exceeding 2 total bases based on his favorable matchup history versus Yankees starter Marcus Stroman. Yelich currently holds a .900 career OPS across 12 previous at-bats against Stroman. Paul emphasized also the hitter-friendly environment in Yankee Stadium and expects Yelich to capitalize on Stroman's declining effectiveness, reduced ground ball rate, and home run proneness. Paul expects Brewers manager Pat Murphy to put additional left-handed hitters in the lineup to exploit Stroman's weaknesses, which would further benefit Yelich.

Sean Paul highlighted Yankees shortstop Anthony Volpe as an intriguing player to monitor closely due to his new bat design. Volpe, along with teammate Jazz Chisholm Jr., employed a new bat that shifts more wood toward the label, producing harder contact even away from the traditional sweet spot. Notably, both players homered using this new model, suggesting it has genuine impact potential. Paul believes this innovation could help boost Volpe's offensive output moving forward and potentially increase Yankees' game totals as this bat gains wider adoption within the team.

Sean Paul suggested betting on Joey Ortiz to record a hit as part of his recommended Brewers vs Yankees same-game parlay. Ortiz faces Yankees' lefty starter Max Fried. Paul highlighted his appreciation for Ortiz's consistent ability to put the bat on the ball, emphasizing a favorable individual matchup against a left-handed pitcher. He views Ortiz as a reliable component in building the multi-leg parlay given these circumstances.

In his Brewers vs Yankees analysis, Sean Paul selected Max Fried to achieve at least five strikeouts as part of his parlay play. Paul noted Fried's electric stuff, despite not historically being recognized primarily as a strikeout pitcher. The Brewers lineup exhibited strikeout vulnerability in their opening game, with Jackson Chourio notably striking out in all five plate appearances. Given Fried's talent and Milwaukee's early-season K-prone tendencies, Paul believes this strikeout threshold is highly attainable.

Sean Paul included Yankees first baseman Paul Goldschmidt in his recommended same-game parlay, projecting at least two total bases. The Yankees strategically lead off with Goldschmidt against left-handed pitchers, which is particularly useful with Milwaukee starting lefty Nestor Cortes Jr. Goldschmidt is likely to get four or five at-bats, which along with his extensive experience against NL Central opponents like the Brewers, enhances his probability of accumulating bases. Given the matchup and Goldschmidt's historical effectiveness against left-handed pitching, Paul views him as a strong parlay candidate for productive hitting.

Sean Paul feels confident in backing Max Fried during his first start with the New York Yankees against the Brewers. Fried signed an extensive 8-year, $218 million deal this offseason and has excelled at limiting hard contact—ranking in the 95th percentile in average exit velocity, 89th percentile in hard-hit rate, and 96th percentile in ground-ball rate. Although Fried occasionally struggles with command (walking 2.93 batters per nine innings last year), Paul believes the pitcher's ability to induce soft contact aligns perfectly with attacking Milwaukee's lineup, which performed poorly in their opener and whose key hitters—Jackson Chourio and Christian Yelich—appeared overmatched. These factors contributed to Paul's strong Yankees -1.5 run-line play.

Sean Paul advised betting against Nestor Cortes Jr. as he makes his Milwaukee Brewers debut pitching against his former team, the New York Yankees. Cortes experienced notable regression last season despite being a three-win player, posting just a 3.77 ERA and a 3.84 FIP while his strikeout rate declined. Paul pointed to the Yankees' intimate knowledge of Cortes' pitching repertoire and strategy, hinting they'll have a significant advantage facing him. Additionally, Cortes struggled in limited spring training action, recording a 6.00 ERA with nine strikeouts over just six innings pitched.