Matt Johnson called the matchup a defensive mismatch, projecting New England to roll 28-13. He pointed out that the Patriots are allowing an NFL-low 79.2 rushing yards per game and just 3.8 yards per carry, a direct problem for a Jets offense that prefers to lean on the ground game. Johnson added that top New York pass-catcher Garrett Wilson is nursing a knee injury, further capping the Jets’ ceiling, while their secondary has struggled against deep passes—an area where New England has found success during its seven-game winning streak. Johnson’s takeaway: lay the ‑10.5 with the Patriots because their defensive strengths align perfectly with New York’s offensive weaknesses.

Bill Speros recommended grabbing the Jets +10.5, forecasting a 17-10 Patriots win that lands well inside the number. Speros highlighted the Jets’ 5-4 record against the spread despite being 2-7 straight-up, crediting Gang Green for rewarding bold backers even after trading away veterans at the deadline. He also flagged a classic let-down spot for New England: a short week following a physical road win in Tampa where Drake Maye, Stefon Diggs and TreVeyon Henderson powered the Patriots’ seventh straight victory. With New England likely content to escape with any win before the mini-bye, Speros sees value in the underdog Jets covering the inflated spread.

Jeremy Cluff predicted a 30-17 New England victory, a 13-point margin that comfortably clears the current ‑10.5 spread. Cluff acknowledged the Jets have strung together two straight wins after an 0-7 start but stressed that New York’s offense still lacks the firepower to hang with an 8-2 Patriots squad riding a seven-game winning streak. His bottom-line advice for bettors is to lay the points with the Patriots on Thursday Night Football.

Jeremy Cluff predicted a 30-20 Buffalo victory on Thursday Night Football. He pointed to Miami’s ugly history in the series—five straight losses and 13 defeats in the last 14 meetings—as a key indicator that the matchup strongly favors Buffalo. Cluff added that Josh Allen and the Bills are "hard to beat at home in the regular season," reinforcing his confidence in Buffalo despite BetMGM posting a hefty ‑12.5 point spread (Bills ‑900 moneyline; Dolphins +600). With ESPN’s win-probability model giving Buffalo a 75.8% chance to win and several analytic sites projecting double-digit margins, Cluff advised readers to side with the Bills on both the straight-up result and any wagers that hinge on Buffalo controlling the game.

With Kansas City stumbling, Cluff noted the AFC West is "there for the taking." He picked LA 27-21, fading a Denver defense that just allowed a big day to Indianapolis. The write-up points to Herbert props and Chargers -3 at home.

New York has already surrendered 32 and 30 points; Cluff projected another 30-spot from Baker Mayfield and a "solid Tampa Bay offense," calling a 30-14 final. He recommends backing Tampa team-total Overs and the spread against a leaky Jets unit.

Citing two wins over LA last year—including the playoff meeting—Cluff forecasted Philadelphia 30-17 and said Jalen Hurts "won’t need a late tush-push" this time. Bettors expecting another multi-score victory can lay the points with confidence.

With books originally listing Pittsburgh as a 1-point favorite, Cluff flipped the script, projecting Patriots 20-17 behind Drake Maye. He believes New England’s offense does just enough at home to move above .500, recommending a moneyline swing on the slight dog-turned-favorite.

Despite Joe Burrow’s injury, Cluff called for Cincinnati 24-21, arguing Jake Browning will "pass the test" by capitalizing on expected Minnesota mistakes. The handicap backs the Bengals as live dogs and fades a shaky Vikings turnover profile.

Cluff predicted Houston 23-20, noting the Texans swept Jacksonville last season and expects C.J. Stroud to repeat the trick in a pivotal AFC South matchup. The pick implies value on Houston moneyline in what books list as a tight contest.

Calling Green Bay one of the year’s biggest surprises, Cluff projected a 31-16 road win. He credited Micah Parsons and the rest of the Packers’ front for a looming shutdown of Cleveland’s offense, implying bettors should lean to Green Bay and the Under given the expected defensive dominance.

Cluff forecasted Atlanta 27-20 over Carolina, citing the emerging 1-2 punch of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. He labeled the tandem "one of the NFL's best" and predicted the duo would overwhelm a Panthers defense that is already staring at an 0-3 start, making Atlanta a live side against the spread.

Jeremy Cluff picked Buffalo to beat Miami 30-20, stressing two betting angles. First, the Dolphins have dropped five straight and 13 of their last 14 to the Bills. Second, Cluff argued that Josh Allen-led Buffalo is "hard to beat at home in the regular season," implying the Orchard Park venue advantage remains priced too lightly into the Thursday Night Football line.