B Wade juiced Aaron Judge’s Hits+Runs+RBIs line up to over 3.5 to swing the slip payout to 5.8x. Judge is obliterating left-handed pitching this season, slashing .480 with six homers in just 25 at-bats—roughly a bomb every four trips. Saturday was one of only seven hitless games for him all year, and he has avoided back-to-back zeros entirely in 2025. In his last three starts against left-handed starters he posted 6, 7, and 7 HRR totals with a homer in each. Wade expects another immediate bounce-back and labeled the over a ceiling-chasing play.

To correlate with the Abbott play, B Wade took Jhonkensy Noel under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Noel is batting a brutal .118 (4-for-34) against left-handed pitching and has cleared this prop in just 10 of 32 games overall. On the road he’s even worse, going over in only 3 of 14 contests (21%). Against southpaws specifically, he’s 2-for-7 (29%). With a red-hot Abbott on the bump, Wade expects limited contact opportunities and thinks Noel likely throws up a zero.

B Wade backed Andrew Abbott to allow fewer than 4.5 hits. Abbott has surrendered five or more knocks just once in six starts (at Coors Field) and enters with a 2.10 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Cleveland is scuffling badly, ranking fifth-worst in MLB with only 329 hits through 44 games—under eight per contest. Given the Guardians’ slump versus lefties and Abbott’s current form, Wade projects another sub-five-hit outing.

B Wade advised betting Zach Eflin under 1.5 walks allowed against Washington. Eflin has topped this number only three times in his last 20 starts and has never done it in consecutive outings. He walked two Angels his last time out, but Wade expects an immediate snap-back because the Nationals rank near the bottom in both walk rate and overall offensive pressure. Priced at –195, Wade believes fair odds are closer to –350/–400 given Eflin’s elite strike-throw profile, calling it a rare spot where heavy juice still holds value.

B Wade said Nolan Arenado was a "no–brainer" over on 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs for Sunday. His main angle is Arenado’s absurd recent history against Michael Wacha: 6-for-11 with THREE home runs in the past calendar year, basically a homer every four at-bats. Wade pointed out the Cardinals’ slugger has also cleared this prop in five of his last six games when facing right-handed pitching, so both the matchup data and current form line up. He compared it to Saturday's Matt Olson vs Giolito call that cashed on the first swing and expects a similar early fireworks show from Arenado.

For his second slip, B Wade played Jeremy Pena TO RECORD A SINGLE (yes/no market). Pena has produced at least one single in 17 of his last 20 contests and seven of his last 10 road games. Against Friday starter Nathan Eovaldi he owns a .400 average (4-for-10) over the past year, and he’s batting .319 off right-handed pitching overall. Wade called the –145 price tag 'a steal' given the volume of green indicators in Pena’s recent and split-specific numbers.

The fifth prop is Steven Kwan TO RECORD A SINGLE. Kwan is red-hot, producing 13 singles across his last 10 games and logging a single in 72 % of all contests this year. His road rate is even better, hitting safely in 81 % of away games. Facing righty Brady Singer, Kwan boasts a .391 average over 23 career at-bats and is slashing .339 vs right-handers in 2025. Wade summed it up simply: 'He’s a singles machine in a matchup he’s already solved.'

B Wade also locked in Nick Castellanos TO RECORD A SINGLE. The Phillies slugger is 6-for-8 lifetime off left-hander Andrew Heaney (.750) and is crushing southpaws in 2025 with a .360 average. Castellanos has notched a single in eight of his last 10 overall and nine singles in the 10 games in which he’s faced a left-handed starter this season. Wade emphasized that, with 65 % single rate on the year, the one-base prop captures Castellanos’ contact floor while letting bettors dodge variance in extra-base power.

B Wade recommended Seiya Suzuki over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite only a 50 % season hit rate. The edge comes from Suzuki’s ridiculous splits: he is batting .314 with four homers in just 35 at-bats against left-handers—a homer every nine ABs—versus a .239 overall average. He’ll see Marlins southpaw Ryan Weathers making his first start of 2025, which Wade expects to be a rusty outing. That matchup upgrade plus Suzuki’s power surge against lefties makes the over worth the 4.5× payout on Underdog.

B Wade is again backing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to eclipse 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Guerrero has cashed this prop in 66 % of games overall, 80 % of his last 10, and 70 % of his last 20. He faces Rays right-hander Ryan Pepiot (3.80 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), whom Wade labeled a league-average arm. Even though Guerrero’s .273 average versus righties is slightly below his total average, Wade trusts the recent consistency and sees plus-money value in the line.

B Wade locked in Nico Hoerner over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at –119, noting Hoerner has hit this mark in 67 % of 2025 contests and in four straight games. Against Marlins left-hander Ryan Weathers he is 2-for-5 lifetime, and Hoerner’s .367 average versus lefties dwarfs his .281 season clip. Those splits, plus a 75 % hit rate over his last 20 games, convinced Wade the prop should be closer to –160.

B Wade urged bettors to keep riding Alec Bohm’s single prop (over 0.5 singles). Bohm has recorded at least one single in nine straight outings and in 80 % of his last 20 games (9-of-10 most recent). The Phillies–Cardinals postponement kept the market dormant Tuesday, but Wade sees no reason to hop off given the consistency and even-money price being posted again for Wednesday’s makeup game.

B Wade said Juan Soto is a slam-dunk to clear 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs on Wednesday at nearly even money. Soto has cashed this line in 63 % of games to date. He owns a 3-for-8 (.375) career line off scheduled starter Bailey Falter and demolishes southpaws in general, batting .353 against left-handed pitching versus a .255 overall average. Wade believes the combination of Soto’s historical success versus Falter, his lefty-splits advantage, and the solid implied odds makes the over an auto-click for DFS pick-em slips.

B Wade said Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a clear over on 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at roughly –119. Wade noted Guerrero has cashed this number in 6 of his last 7, 10 of his last 12, and 14 of his last 20, giving him a 70% season-long hit rate and 80% over the last 10. Guerrero faces Shane Baz, against whom he is 4-for-8 (.500). Wade also pointed out that Guerrero’s home splits are even stronger—he has hit the mark in 7 of his last 8 and 9 of his last 11 at Rogers Centre. Books are implying only a 55% probability; Wade’s model pegs the true chance at 75-80%, creating the positive expected value he wants to attack.

B Wade recommended Alec Bohm over 0.5 singles, calling him "bread and butter" for this market. Bohm has registered at least one single in 16 of his last 20 games and eight straight contests. Lifetime vs Sonny Gray he is 5-for-11 (.455). Remarkably, 19 of his last 20 games with a hit featured at least one single, and he’s averaging more than one single per game in that span. Wade highlighted the consistency and matchup splits to justify taking the over despite Gray’s solid surface stats.

B Wade targeted Jonathan Aranda over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Aranda is batting .342 on the season and .378 against right-handers, and he annihilates Tuesday’s projected starter Jose Berrios: 4-for-8 with TWO home runs lifetime. He has cleared the 1.5 combo mark in 5 of his last 6 outings and appears to be heating back up after a mid-season lull. Wade likes the combination of elite platoon splits, demonstrated power versus Berrios, and recent form to push Aranda past the number again.

B Wade advised taking Trea Turner over 0.5 singles at –130 despite facing ace Sonny Gray. Turner owns a .381 average against Gray over 21 at-bats, suggesting he sees Gray’s arsenal well. Turner has produced at least one single in 16 of his last 20 games and 10 of his last 11 (90% hit rate). Wade contrasted that with the implied 58-60% probability baked into the –130 price, calling the 30-plus-point gap a textbook edge. He emphasized that Turner’s frequent opposite-field contact patterns make him a high-floor single hitter even against elite pitching.

B Wade recommended the over 0.5 single for Keibert Ruiz. The Nationals catcher has collected hits in 27 games this year, and in 25 of those games the hit was a single. That translates to a 71 % season hit rate on this specific prop. The numbers spike on the road where Ruiz has produced a single in 13 of 16 games (81 %). With books hanging the line around even money, Wade views the play as a clear positive EV spot.

B Wade also played Fernando Tatis Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at −170, noting the positive correlation with his Machado pick. Tatis has eclipsed the line in five consecutive games and in 74 % of contests this year. At Petco he has done so in 14 of 18 outings. Although he is only 2-for-8 lifetime off Yusei Kikuchi and is batting just .200 against lefties this season, Wade believes Tatis’ overall hot streak plus the potential RBI/run stacking with Machado justifies the juice. Chalkboard is still offering a 4.3× payout when the two Padres props are combined.

B Wade urged bettors to keep hammering Manny Machado over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite the −145 price. Machado has cleared the mark in 11 straight games and in 69 % of his games overall this season, averaging 3.5 H/R/RBI during the current streak. He owns a .326 average versus left-handed pitching and faces southpaw Yusei Kikuchi on Monday. Even at home the trend holds strong (12-for-18, 67 %). Wade argued the true price should be closer to −300 given the matchup and Machado’s current form.

B Wade advised taking Michael King under 1.5 walks against the Angels. King surrendered four free passes in his first home start of 2024, but over his next four home outings he issued exactly one walk each time. Looking back to last season, King has stayed under this number in eight of his last ten home starts, with the only overs coming against elite line-ups (Braves and Mets). Wade considers the current Angels order a tier below those clubs and likes the plus-money price being offered on the prop.

B Wade recommended Alec Bohm to record a single at even money, calling it a "no-brainer" given Bohm has produced a single in 15 of his last 20 games (75%) and in six straight. Bohm sat Saturday, giving him a rest-day freshness bump for Sunday’s matchup. Wade emphasized that any prop priced near +100 with a 3-of-4 hit probability is an auto-click in his model. He paired Bohm with the Salvador Perez total-bases play in a Better two-leg entry that pays 3x, reminding listeners Better also drops daily discounted props that can juice ROI further.

B Wade hammered Salvador Perez over 1.5 total bases versus Lucas Giolito, citing a jaw-dropping 15-for-31 career line (.484) in the matchup. That sample includes plenty of extra-base knocks and represents 31 plate appearances—large enough for Wade to dismiss randomness. Perez is hitting .252 against right-handers versus .239 overall, has eclipsed 1.5 total bases in six of his last 10, and remains the lineup’s primary power source. Wade preferred total bases to the 2.5 H+R+RBI line because Perez often finishes with exactly two, making TB the cleaner angle. He paired the play on Better, leveraging its daily promo boosts for a 3x payout.

B Wade backed Rafael Devers over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs, noting the lefty has cleared that mark in three straight and 13 of his last 20 games. Devers is 2-for-5 with a homer off projected starter Seth Lugo and owns a .260 average versus righties compared to his .253 season clip. Five of his six 2025 homers have come against right-handed pitching. In this current series with Kansas City he has already smashed the combo line in both outings, including a four-hit night Saturday. Wade trusts the recent barrel rate uptick and likes that Sleeper is paying 3x on a two-leg entry built around this prop.

B Wade said Trea Turner is a smash play to record a single at nearly even money. Turner has logged a base hit in nine straight contests, piling up 14 singles in that span, and has failed to record a single in only four of his past 20 games (80% hit rate). Sunday he draws Luis Ortiz, whose 5.01 ERA and 1.40 WHIP scream traffic on the bases. Turner owns a 2-for-6 career line off Ortiz and still bats .299 versus right-handers despite a .318 overall average, reinforcing the floor. Wade framed it as a volume bet: with Turner's recent contact streak and a struggling opposing starter, getting an 80% outcome at even odds is "insane value" for player-prop bettors.

B Wade took Danny Jansen under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs because the catcher has cleared that number only 4 times in 26 games and never in back-to-back outings. Jansen is an abysmal 2-for-25 (.080) versus left-handed pitching this season and now faces southpaw Jose Quintana, who sports a 2.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and a 4-1 record. The tiny head-to-head sample (0-for-1) at least is not a negative. With Jansen hitting .141 overall and ice-cold against lefties, Wade believes the fade is justified, especially at plus money on Chalkboard where the full five-pick card returns 5x.

B Wade locked in Alec Bohm to record a single at ‑125 because he has one in 63 % of 2025 games and in five straight overall. Bohm owns a 2-for-2 career mark versus Friday starter Gavin Williams, and righty/lefty splits are almost identical (.232 vs RHP, .237 overall), so handedness is not a concern. In his last 20 games Bohm has missed the single only five times, signaling improved form after a slow April. Wade loves the price relative to a generic hit prop and notes the same value concept he used with Turner.

B Wade argued Aaron Nola over 5.5 Ks at even money is mis-priced; he has topped that mark in 6 of 7 starts this year and all four road assignments. Dating to last season Nola has gone over in 9 of his last 10 starts and in seven straight away, averaging 6.5 punch-outs—right where Wade thinks the line should be. Cleveland ranks 20th in strikeout avoidance (10th-fewest), so they are not an elite contact unit. Given Nola’s form and workload, Wade expects another six-plus strikeout night before the market corrects to 6.5.

B Wade recommended betting Max Meyer over 1.5 walks (-110) because wildness has been a theme: 2+ walks in 5 of 7 starts overall and a perfect 3-for-3 on the road this season. Stretching back to last year, Meyer has issued at least two free passes in five straight away outings and seven of his last ten anywhere. Although the White Sox are a poor club, they sit 15th in walk rate—league average—which should keep pressure on Meyer. Wade expects the rookie to work into the sixth inning in a low-scoring game, giving him extra chances to lose command late and clear the number.

B Wade said Trea Turner is an easy bet to record a single at ‑125 because virtually all of his knocks are one-baggers. Turner has singled in 12 of his last 13 contests and in seven straight road games. Overall he owns a single in 66 % of 2025 games compared to a 74 % hit rate, so backing the single rather than the generic hit cuts the price in half (roughly ‑220 vs ‑125). The matchup also helps: Gavin Williams carries a 5.00+ ERA and 1.75 WHIP, and Turner’s already 1-for-3 off him. Even though Turner’s slash vs righties is .277 vs .307 overall, the consistent road single streak plus plus money payout makes this Wade’s favorite way to attack Friday’s Guardians matchup.

B Wade advised taking Ramon Laureano UNDER 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs. Laureano has exceeded this line only 4 times in 19 games (21%). The matchup is brutal: Royals left-hander Kris Bubic owns a stingy 2.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP while Laureano is 3-for-24 (.125) against southpaws. Wade noted the even-money price despite an 80% miss rate, calling it an automatic fade until Laureano shows life versus left-handed pitching.

B Wade took Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs. Vladdy has hit this prop in four straight, 63% of games overall, and a scorching 71% at home, including six consecutive at Rogers Centre (8 of last 9). Guardians starter Gavin Williams has a 5.10 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, and Guerrero is 1-for-3 lifetime off him. Wade expects the struggling right-hander to provide prime RBI chances for Toronto’s heart-of-the-order anchor.

B Wade said Eric Wagaman is a strong play on Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs. Wagaman has cleared this number in 13 of his last 18 games (72%) and in six straight at home, eight of his past nine at loanDepot Park. He rides a nine-game hitting streak and owns a .266 AVG vs right-handers (.267 overall). Wade emphasized the soft matchup against A’s rookie righty Joey Beto, whose 4.30 ERA and 1.50 WHIP signal traffic on the bases. Wagaman has cashed this prop in 70% of his last 20 home contests, and the entire Marlins lineup has been swinging it well, giving extra paths via runs and RBIs.

B Wade played Nick Kurtz TO RECORD A SINGLE. Kurtz has logged at least one base knock in eight of nine games this year, and every one of those hits has been a single. He’s on a seven-game single streak, making the plus-money line attractive even though a generic ‘hit’ prop would be safer but pay less. Wade is betting the trend continues against middling pitching.

B Wade locked in Kevin Gausman OVER 17.5 outs (6.0 innings). Gausman has reached the 6th in 4 of 6 starts this year and both home outings. Stretching back, he’s completed at least six frames in eight of his last nine appearances at Rogers Centre, averaging 19.5 outs. The opponent is a mediocre Guardians lineup that lacks punch, making Wade confident that ‘Gaus’ can again pitch deep and cash this outs prop.

B Wade backed Max Fried to stay under 2.5 earned runs at home against Tampa Bay. Fried has allowed just five earned runs through six starts, never yielding more than two in any outing, and is coming off back-to-back shutouts. He sports a 1.20 ERA, ~1.00 WHIP, and a 5-0 record. The Rays are slumping badly, scoring only three total runs while being swept by Kansas City earlier in the week. With Fried in dominant form and Tampa’s bats cold, Wade considers three earned runs against him highly improbable.

B Wade called Alex Bregman his favorite Friday play, backing over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against Joe Ryan. Bregman has smashed this line in 11 straight games and 13 of his last 14. In 12 career at-bats versus Ryan he is 6-for-12 (.500). On the season, the Astros third baseman is batting .343 against right-handers with seven homers and 25 RBI. With Bregman scorching and facing a pitcher he historically punishes, Wade expects the streak to roll on.

B Wade targeted the over on 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs for Ben Rice against right-hander Ryan Pepiot. Rice has topped this mark in 15 of 26 games (58 %) despite hitting it only once in his last five, a slump Wade expects to end. The rookie is slashing .323 versus righties compared to .138 against lefties, suggesting most of his misses have come in southpaw matchups. Pepiot brings a middling 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, giving Rice a favorable spot to collect at least two counting stats Friday.

B Wade recommended taking Danny Jansen under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against southpaw Max Fried. Jansen has cleared this prop only three times in 22 games (14 % hit rate). He is 0-for-6 lifetime versus Fried and is batting just .095 (2-for-21) against left-handed pitching this season. Wade added that Tampa Bay’s offense—Jansen’s opponent in this interleague spot—scored only three runs in an entire three-game set against Kansas City, limiting potential RBI opportunities. With Fried sitting at 5-0 with a 1.20 ERA, Wade believes Jansen would need multiple hits to cash the over, a scenario he views as highly unlikely.

B Wade said he likes Chris Bassitt to stay under 2.5 earned runs Friday against the Cleveland Guardians. Bassitt owns a 2.60 ERA and a WHIP in the low-1.00s. In two home starts this season—versus Baltimore and Atlanta—he surrendered just one total run, while his only rough outings (4 ER in each) came on the road against the Astros and Yankees. Cleveland has not scored more than four runs in any of its last ten games, meaning the Guardians would have to tag Bassitt for three to beat this line. Given the opponent’s mediocre offense and Bassitt’s sharp home splits, Wade views the under as one of the slate’s best pitching props.

B Wade likes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Vladdy has cashed this prop in 60 percent of games on the season and in 6 of his last 7 at Rogers Centre, including four straight. He slashes .280 against right-handers and owns a .350 mark (7-for-20) versus Tanner Houck, tonight’s starter, who sports a brutal 7.00-plus ERA and 1.69 WHIP. With a decent 20-AB sample and Houck getting shelled all year, Wade sees Guerrero’s combination of home-park comfort and pitcher history driving this bet.

B Wade recommended Alec Bohm over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Bohm has missed this mark only twice in his last 12 games and has hit it in five straight at Citizens Bank Park. He faces Brad Lord, lugging a 4.67 ERA and 1.70 WHIP while failing to record an out past the first batter of the fifth inning all season, meaning the Phillies will also get several innings of mediocre bullpen arms. Given Bohm’s current tear and the opponent’s inability to keep runners off base, Wade believes the line is too low.

B Wade advised playing Ke'Bryan Hayes to record a single rather than just a hit because Hayes has singled in 10 straight games—every hit during that streak has been a one-bagger. Books are hanging a hit line around –180 yet listing the single at roughly –125, giving bettors much better juice on what Hayes actually does. He draws Colin Rea, and although the Pirate third-baseman is only 1-for-3 off Rea, he owns a .269 average versus right-handers compared with his overall .245 mark, reinforcing the edge.

B Wade called Jarren Duran over 1.5 total bases his favorite play of the slate. Duran has cleared in 8 of his last 9, averaging just under three bases during that stretch. The matchup is juicy: against Jose Berrios he is 9-for-18 (.500) with 3 homers, effectively producing an .833 slugging percentage from that sample. Duran is batting .302 versus right-handed pitching overall and enters as arguably the hottest hitter in baseball over the past two weeks. Even-money pricing seals the deal.

B Wade said to take Francisco Lindor over 1.5 total bases because the short-stop has been a different animal at Citi Field. Lindor has cleared this number in 5 straight home games and in 8 of 10 overall at home, an 80 percent hit rate. Over his last 20 contests he has cashed 55 percent of the time and has missed only three times in his last ten. The matchup adds value: he faces Zack Gallen, who is sitting on a 5.50 ERA and 1.40 WHIP to start the season—far from ace form. Getting plus money on the prop makes it a pure value play in Wade’s eyes.

B Wade took Bryson Stott over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Stott has cleared the mark in 10 of 16 games and in four straight, entering Friday with a .350 average against right‑handers (14‑for‑40). He’ll see Sandy Alcantara, 2–0 but holding a 4.70 ERA. Wade argued that even in lower‑scoring spots Stott finds a way to contribute, and with Philadelphia’s lineup humming he expects multiple counting stats yet again.

B Wade endorsed MacKenzie Gore over 6.5 strikeouts, citing both form and matchup. Gore has surpassed this number in three of four starts, including a 13‑K opener against Philadelphia, and sports 12.5 K/9. Now he faces a Colorado lineup that strikes out more than any club in baseball—nearly 11 times per game, the worst rate in MLB. Wade called it a “perfect matchup” and expects the left‑hander to torch the Rockies’ weak contact profile for at least seven punch‑outs.

B Wade targeted Yandy Diaz over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Diaz had cleared the line in five straight before a two‑game lull and now faces Carlos Rodon, whose ERA sits north of 5.00. Diaz is a career 4‑for‑11 (.364) with a homer off Rodon and is batting above .300 versus left‑handers this year. Wade stressed that New York exhausted its bullpen Thursday after pulling the starter in the second inning, meaning Rodon is likely to work deep even if he struggles. Diaz has topped this combo prop in seven of his last ten games against the Yankees, so Wade expects Tampa’s leadoff man to cash again.

B Wade paired Edwards with Kyle Schwarber over 0.5 walks, pointing to Schwarber’s renewed patience at the plate. The slugger has drawn at least one free pass in six consecutive contests and in 10 of his last 11. Wade noted the line is posted around –135, cheaper than normal for a hitter whose chase rate has corrected after a jumpy first week. Schwarber walked in two of three meetings with Miami earlier this season, and Wade expects a similar approach Friday even with Sandy Alcantara on the bump. He labeled it a strong two‑man slip piece thanks to the consistent on‑base trend.

B Wade said the safest way to back Xavier Edwards on Friday is the over 0.5 single prop. Edwards has recorded a single in nine straight games and owns a .372 average versus right‑handed pitching this season. Although he is 0‑for‑3 lifetime against Friday starter Zack Wheeler, Wade dismissed the sample as one stale appearance from last year, noting Edwards is a different hitter now. He avoided the hits+runs+RBIs market because he doubts Miami will string together offense behind Edwards against Wheeler, but he trusts the contact‑first infielder to leg out one base hit at near even money.

B Wade strongly advised fading Brandon Marsh's over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI prop, citing severe slumping performance. Marsh has achieved this total only once this entire season and hasn't even registered a single hit since the third game of the year. Against right-handed pitchers specifically, Marsh is batting a remarkably poor .074 across 27 at-bats, roughly equating to two total hits, per B Wade’s assessment. Given Marsh’s dismal recent performance and lack of signs of improvement, B Wade confidently called this fade a great betting value.