Bedtime MMA said Max Holloway should defeat Dustin Poirier at UFC 318, projecting a 48-47 style decision rather than a finish. He argued Holloway will enter 155 pounds properly bulked, giving him more pop than their last meeting while retaining a clear speed edge. Poirier, meanwhile, looked slower and injury-prone against Islam Makhachev—tearing a knee, breaking a hand, nose and possibly orbital—which the tout believes signals age catching up. Holloway’s durability is still elite outside of the Gaethje knockout, and at lightweight his refreshed chin should hold up to Poirier’s power. Expect Holloway to control range with oblique stomps, calf kicks, double-jab-crosses and spinning back-kicks, forcing Poirier to lunge forward for sporadic combinations. The fight could resemble the Arnold Allen bout: Holloway clip-farming, staying cagey, piling volume while avoiding extended pocket exchanges. Bettors are advised to lean Holloway moneyline and decision props, fading Poirier’s retirement narrative and banking on higher output, better cardio and fewer lingering injuries.