BetMGM Betting suggests a favorable betting opportunity on Michael Wacha's Hits Allowed UNDER prop, noting he has hit this under in 7 of his last 10 away games for a solid +3.40 units profit and a 27% ROI. Given the Yankees' selective hitting approach—lowest swing rate against left-handed pitchers—Wacha's consistent performances of limiting hits away from home presents a lucrative betting angle even against a tough New York lineup.

BetMGM Betting underscores Michael Wacha's inability to pitch deep into road games, reporting that his pitching outs UNDER prop has hit in 3 of his last 4 away games for a strong +2.55 units and 61% ROI. Considering Yankees hitters have demonstrated significant patience at the plate (MLB-high 17% walk rate against inning leadoff batters this month), Wacha may struggle to keep pitch counts down, adding value to the under on his pitching outs against this disciplined New York offense.

BetMGM Betting revealed their model gives the Yankees a solid 61.9% chance to win Tuesday's matchup against the Royals. The prediction factored recent player performances, critical injuries, starting pitchers (notably Max Fried's MLB-best groundball rate and sharp 2025 ERA of 1.56), and team metrics like the Yankees' elite home slugging numbers (.584 slugging percentage at home). The strength of these variables clearly tilts Matchup Expectations significantly in favor of New York potentially justifying their sizable -210 moneyline.

BetMGM Betting detailed a compelling trend concerning the Yankees' performance at home—highlighting they've hit the Team Total OVER in 19 of their last 30 home games (+5.90 Units, 17% ROI) and specifically achieved the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total OVER in 6 of their previous 8 home contests (+3.95 Units, 42% ROI). Given starter Michael Wacha's concerning road metrics and Yankees hitters slugging an impressive .584 at home, these trends back a confident stance on Yankees offense remaining explosive early in this matchup.

BetMGM Betting spotlighted a sustained betting trend regarding totals in Royals games, as Kansas City has delivered money-making consistency with the Game Total UNDER cashing in 25 of their last 33 contests, resulting in +17.25 Units and a robust 47% ROI. With Yankees pitcher Max Fried holding a 1.56 ERA and excellent groundball metrics (58% opponent groundball rate since last year), this Royals UNDER trend combines ideally with Fried's profile for a promising wagering scenario going under the total runs line.

BetMGM Betting pointed to Michael Wacha's recent concerning trend in road starts, highlighting that he has hit the earned runs OVER prop in 3 of his last 4 away games, generating a +2.20 Units profit and a 53% ROI. His breaking pitches have not found the strike zone consistently, achieving only a 47% strike rate—lowest amongst pitchers with over 70 innings pitched. Facing a Yankees roster at home that slugs .584 and draws walks at an MLB-high rate versus lefties, Wacha's long-term weaknesses away from home are significantly heightened against this dangerous offensive lineup disguised in a hitter-friendly stadium.

BetMGM Betting points out the Chicago Cubs' remarkable success in first five innings (F5) run line bets, covering in 12 of their last 13 games. This trend yields an impressive +11.15 unit profit and a significant 72% ROI, highlighting this team's early-inning superiority as a reliable betting target.

BetMGM Betting recommends betting on Shohei Ohtani's RBI prop over 0.5, awarded appealing +120 odds. Ohtani is positioned favorably in the Dodgers' lineup and boasts strong recent production numbers, making this a high-upside, positive-value betting option given the odds being offered.

BetMGM Betting notes the Cubs have been outstanding in surpassing their team total line recently, clearing the over in 9 of their last 12 games. This betting approach has returned +6.00 units (43% ROI) during that span, highlighting a hot offense and market inefficiencies in the Cubs' scoring capabilities.

BetMGM Betting advises that Tommy Edman has demonstrated consistent success exceeding his total bases prop at home, clearing this target in 20 of his last 25 home games. This consistent ability to rack up extra base hits at Dodger Stadium, which returned +13.60 units and a 35% ROI, positions Edman as a highly advantageous prop option in today's matchup.

BetMGM Betting identifies Tyler Glasnow as a strong candidate for the strikeout over prop (6.5 Ks at -120 odds). Despite his problematic control this season, which includes a 24% walk rate through 33 batters, Glasnow dominated last year with MLB-best numbers on two-strike scenarios (59% strikeout rate). This elite strikeout proficiency supports confidence in Glasnow surpassing his prop line against the Cubs.

BetMGM Betting highlights Nico Hoerner as a particularly favorable prop betting option for hits, citing that he's gone over his hits prop in 18 out of his last 25 away games, yielding a +9.45 unit profit and a notable 19% ROI. With this significant sample size of road excellence, Hoerner represents a reliable bet to produce at least one hit in the matchup against the Dodgers.

BetMGM Betting suggests Tommy Edman as a strong home run prop bet, backed by his impressive recent home performance. Edman has homered in 5 of his last 9 contests at Dodger Stadium, producing a striking profit of +33.70 units with a robust 374% return on investment. Given these significant home splits, Edman is a valuable player prop candidate for bettors targeting high upside payouts.

Jason Sobel proposed Jordan Spieth as an excellent first-round leader betting option at +3500, highlighting Spieth's well-known volatility and immense potential for exceptional single-round scoring bursts. Spieth's statistical profile shows balanced metrics across multiple categories including approach and short game, reinforcing his consistent scoring upside. Sobel notes Spieth's tendency to make both brilliant and chaotic shots back-to-back, but believes the ceiling outweighs the risks, especially in a single-round market like first-round leader betting. Citing Spieth's unpredictability and explosive scoring ability, Sobel strongly recommended taking advantage of the Texas native's potential upside at the Valero Texas Open.

Jason Sobel recommended Ryan Fox as a conservative top-40 pick at +110 odds, drawing attention to Fox's recent physical transformation and rise in form that resulted in two top-20 finishes in his past three events. Sobel believes the Kiwi golfer, who thrived last week at the Texas Children's Houston Open, is now positioned to excel regularly on the PGA Tour after extensive international success. Sobel views the Valero Texas Open as an ideal spot where Fox can deliver another reliable top-40 finish, making him an attractive low-risk betting choice.

Jason Sobel pointed to Charley Hoffman at +320 odds as an aggressive yet appealing top-20 betting option, backed by Hoffman's extraordinary track record at the Valero Texas Open. Sobel underscored Hoffman's remarkable consistency at this tournament—17 made cuts in 18 appearances, along with 13 top-25 performances, seven top-10 finishes, three runner-up results, and one victory. Though Hoffman hasn't secured a top-20 result at the event in the last three editions, Sobel expects him to reverse this recent drought given Hoffman's known affinity and past successes at TPC San Antonio.

Jason Sobel endorsed Tommy Fleetwood as a conservative top-10 play at +275, citing strong recent performances at similar venues that prioritize ball-striking. Fleetwood recently finished T-11 at Bay Hill and followed that up with finishes of T-14 and T-16. Despite acknowledging the tendency towards floor finishes over victories, Sobel argued that the layout of TPC San Antonio perfectly matches Fleetwood's approach-centric style, suggesting safety and potential upside in betting him within the top-10 this week.

Jason Sobel identified Tom Kim at +750 as a conservative top-5 betting selection, highlighting a prime rebound opportunity due to Kim's persistently strong iron play. Kim has gained strokes on approach shots in each of his eight tournament starts this season, though these excellent iron statistics have not yet translated fully into top-tier finishes due largely to poor putting performances. Sobel sees the Valero Texas Open as a favorable spot where Kim's underlying strong approach numbers may finally produce an elite finish in a weaker-than-usual field.

Jason Sobel recommended Matteo Manassero as an aggressive outright betting pick at +27500 for the Valero Texas Open. He explained the rationale by emphasizing that many top golfers might overlook the event as they prepare for the Masters Tournament. Sobel acknowledged Manassero's modest results this year with only five made cuts and a highest finish of T-25. However, he highlighted Manassero's excellence around the greens (ranking 1st) and strong putting (24th), suggesting these strengths could help him compete at TPC San Antonio—a course that prioritizes precision over distance. Although Manassero struggles with driving (ranking 180th), Sobel believes this week's venue plays into the Italian's skill set.

Jason Sobel advocated for betting Daniel Berger at +3300 odds to win the Valero Texas Open due to his recent impressive performance. Berger has six top-25 finishes in his last eight events, gaining strokes across every major statistical category over his past five starts excluding a minor off-the-tee dip at The Players. Sobel notes that insiders consistently view Berger as a potential major championship winner and U.S. Ryder Cup contender. He also minimized the importance of Berger's two missed cuts in previous appearances at the event, attributing it to a limited sample size from several years ago. Additionally, sitting securely at No. 44 in the Official World Golf Rankings, Berger faces no pressures tied to qualifying for the Masters Tournament next week, potentially sharpening his focus on the Texas Open.