Iain MacMillan said Justin Thomas is his favorite outright bet at +1800. Thomas ranks second in the entire Memorial field in True Strokes Gained over the last six months and already owns a 2025 victory at the RBC Heritage, something several peers near the top of the odds board cannot claim. MacMillan believes the number bakes in an overreaction to Thomas’ missed cut at the PGA Championship; prior to that hiccup, his form was trending up. Because Muirfield Village relentlessly rewards elite iron play, MacMillan expects Thomas’ approach game to keep him in contention all four days and sees the 18-1 price as a rare discount on a premier ball-striker.