Davis Mattek endorsed Marvin Harrison Jr. as an ADP value and a strong fantasy target. He argued that concerns about Harrison’s straight-line speed and last year’s limited tackle breaking are overblown because the rookie has reportedly added muscle this offseason. Mattek expects that added size to help him win through contact and forecasted a "good chance" the Cardinals kick Harrison into the slot, a move that would give him cleaner releases and higher-percentage targets. The combination of extra bulk, potential slot snaps, and his already elite collegiate production profile makes Harrison a priority pick whenever he drifts even a couple of spots past his ADP in Best Ball drafts.

Davis Mattek argued that drafters who open a Best Ball Mania room with Jamar Chase should bite the bullet and grab Joe Burrow at the 4-5 turn instead of trying to squeeze an extra round of ADP value by waiting until the 6-7 turn. Mattek said the room often will not gift you that discount, leaving you with an uncorrelated Burrow—or worse, a consolation quarterback like Mike Gesicki in Week 17. Because a Chase/Burrow stack unlocks one of the highest-ceiling Week 17 correlations on the board, Mattek believes the expected value of securing the combo outweighs any theoretical closing-line value from a modest ADP fall. "If you get to Week 17, you’re going to want Joe Burrow with Chase, not Joe Burrow with Mike Gesicki," he reminded listeners.

Comparing two disappointing first-round rookies, Davis Mattek said he actually prefers Xavier Legette’s 2024 outlook to Quentin Johnston’s. While both were overshadowed by veteran target hogs (Adam Thielen in Carolina, Keenan Allen in Los Angeles), Mattek believes Legette showed more flashes after the catch and benefits from playing with former No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young, who should improve in Year 2 under new coordinator Dave Canales. Thielen’s age-33 season saw his yards per route drop from 2.12 in September to 1.18 after Week 8, hinting at a declining role and additional targets for Legette. Mattek views the South Carolina product as a buy-low option who can step into 7–8 targets per game down the stretch, giving drafters inexpensive exposure to Carolina’s most likely breakout receiver.

Mattek grabbed Rico Dowdle as a late running-back flier, arguing that he fits the profile of past zero-RB winners: players who have flashed competency but are discounted because they don’t project well in preseason median models. One minor knee tweak for incumbent starter Chuba Hubbard could vault Dowdle into a 16-carry, 5-reception workload in Dave Canales’ run-centric Carolina offense. Mattek reminded listeners that Hubbard himself produced RB1 weeks with both Andy Dalton and Bryce Young under center, so the Panthers’ backfield can generate fantasy points if volume consolidates. With Carolina declining to spend meaningful draft capital on a runner, Dowdle sits one injury away from the 18-touch games that best-ball drafters “absolutely need” in the playoff weeks.

Davis Mattek clicked Alec Pierce as the perfect late-round "ceiling bet" for a roster whose WR2 slot is shaky. Mattek noted that every receiver on his team outside of A.J. Brown is unlikely to top six weekly targets, so he needs someone who can score from distance on minimal volume. Pierce already owns two different games with two targets and two touchdowns, and he posted a 17.5-yard average depth of target last season. Mattek thinks the Colts will again scheme him downfield shots, and one 70-yard house call can swing an Underdog Best Ball week. In builds that intentionally punt wide receiver early, Pierce’s big-play profile is the sort of cheap volatility that can mask low target floors and push a roster through playoff advance rates.

Calling it the "easiest pick of my life," Mattek grabbed Quentin Johnston in the double-digit rounds as his second wide receiver. He cited Johnston’s rookie line of 55 catches, 711 yards and eight touchdowns and emphasized that hitting on a cheap breakout candidate in a high-volume Chargers offense would be “completely outsized” for a roster already loaded at QB, RB and TE. Johnston is the type of discounted pass catcher who could replicate last season’s Puka Nacua league-winning surge and vault a thin WR room into tournament contention.

Mattek hammered home that a hero-wide-receiver construction only works if you are “freaking winning tight end.” He slammed the button on Sam LaPorta as his first tight end and later added T.J. Hockenson for a Week-17 Lions-Vikings correlation, arguing that doubling up on elite tight ends replaces the points you sacrifice by delaying additional wide-receiver picks. LaPorta’s weekly ceiling and locked-in role give the build a positional edge few opponents can match.

Davis Mattek said that when you open a best-ball draft with only one early wideout you have to “project for a lot of quarterback points.” He took Josh Allen in the third round and immediately planned to pair him with another elite option – Jayden Daniels if available, or Lamar Jackson/Jalen Hurts if they slipped – because the duo’s different bye weeks and easy stacking partners maximize weekly scoring. Mattek expects an Allen–Daniels combo to clear 30 fantasy points most weeks, giving a hero-WR roster the floor and ceiling it needs while allowing him to ignore the wide-receiver position for several rounds.

Davis Mattek selected Keenan Allen at pick 180 strictly to follow the exercise’s ADP rules, but cautioned that drafting 31-year-old receivers is always a "razor’s edge" move. Allen closed 2024 with an ADP of 68.7—sandwiched next to Brian Thomas Jr.—yet fell off the cliff in 2025 drafts despite posting productive stretches. Mattek used the plunge to highlight how quickly a single "black-marble" season can torpedo aging wideouts’ fantasy value, advising managers not to mistake a cheap price tag for safety when drafting receivers on the wrong side of 30.

Davis Mattek used Jaleel McLaughlin to warn drafters against blindly chasing the "Sean Payton always feeds running backs" narrative. He reminded listeners that the fantasy community touted any Denver back in 2024 because Payton offenses historically finish top-five in expected RB points. McLaughlin did see 137 touches and led the team in rushing success rate, but the overall backfield disappointed and anyone who loaded up on him "would have been wrong." Mattek’s takeaway: do not overpay for another Broncos depth back in 2025 simply on coaching history—demand clearer workload signals first.

Davis Mattek grabbed Dallas Goedert at pick 137 and noted the Eagle tight end is now available later than he was last summer (2024 closing ADP: late 10th round). Mattek views that slide as easy accumulation of closing-line value, especially for builds that already locked up an anchor tight end. He framed Goedert as the highest-ranked name left on the ADP sheet, making him a straightforward way to keep harvesting 2024 value pockets in 2025 best-ball rooms.

Davis Mattek said Mark Andrews is now a screaming value because drafters have pushed him from a 2024 fourth/fifth-round ADP of 51 overall all the way into double-digit rounds. Mattek locked Andrews in at pick 120-ish and called the year-over-year slide "a huge value from 2024 to 2025." His logic is simple: the role and red-zone equity that made Andrews a perennial top-three tight end have not changed, yet the room is pricing him as if they have. Mattek encouraged best-ball drafters to grab the discount and enjoy elite upside at a mid-range cost.

Davis Mattek labeled Kyler Murray a "screaming value." Murray’s 2024 closing ADP was 70.1, yet Mattek was able to secure him noticeably later while pairing him with Marvin Harrison Jr. Mattek highlighted that locking in a cheap Murray-Harrison stack gives drafters access to Murray’s rushing ceiling and immediate chemistry with the rookie, making the Cardinals quarterback one of his preferred mid-round targets in Best Ball rooms.

Davis Mattek called Breece Hall "an absolute bargain," underscoring that Hall’s 2024 closing ADP was 4.5 overall but he can now be taken multiple rounds later. In his mock, Mattek scooped Hall outside Round 3, stressing that managers are overreacting to last season’s turbulence even though Hall retains the same workhorse profile. Mattek believes landing Hall at this price gives drafters first-round upside at a mid-round cost.

Davis Mattek pointed out that James Conner is still priced almost exactly where he was last summer—even after dropping 230.8 fantasy points in 2024. Conner’s closing ADP last year was 72.8, and Mattek was able to grab him at pick 65 with a current ADP of 67.9. Mattek said this shows drafters remain stubborn about fading 29-year-old backs, creating a clear value pocket for anyone willing to ignore the age narrative and lock up Conner’s every-down role in Arizona.

Buck advised drafters to ignore fourth-round rookie Jalen Royals, predicting he will open 2024 as a weekly healthy scratch behind special-teams favorite Nico Remigio. Buck cited Andy Reid’s long track record of day-three receivers failing to earn offensive snaps—mentioning Skyy Moore’s stalled development and multiple early-round picks who never cracked the rotation—as evidence that draft capital still matters in Kansas City. He dismissed Chiefs personnel director Ryan Nutt’s comment that Royals shares a "similar skill set" with Rashee Rice as media fluff, not an actual playing-time signal. Buck concluded that any Rashee Rice injury or suspension would funnel targets to Xavier Worthy and Marquise Brown, not to Royals, making the rookie a wasted pick in best-ball drafts and a name to ignore on early waiver-wire watch lists.

Davis Mattek argued that Rashee Rice can post an Amon-Ra St. Brown style WR1 season even if the film crowd hates how it looks. He pulled up 2023 numbers that show Rice actually edged St. Brown in targets-per-route, matched him in target share when both were on the field, carried a slightly deeper average depth of target and produced comparable air-yard totals—all while receiving zero end-zone looks. Mattek’s thesis is that Andy Reid will, in his words, “spam what works,” meaning Rice’s underneath slant/option diet should remain Patrick Mahomes’ first read even once Travis Kelce and Marquise Brown return to full health. Mattek still has Rice as a heavy draft target in both best-ball and season-long formats until the market pushes him into the mid-second round, a point at which he would re-evaluate.

Buck pushed back on the idea that Patrick Mahomes is an automatic top-five fantasy quarterback, citing mounting off-field obligations that could dilute his preparation. He pointed to Mahomes’ new production company, nonstop commercial work and a family actively chasing reality-TV fame as distractions that simply did not exist during the QB’s early-career domination. Buck admitted the Chiefs’ offensive infrastructure is still elite but predicted that "mental bandwidth" issues keep Mahomes outside the top-eight fantasy QBs unless rookie left tackle Josh Simmons immediately grades as a top-10 pass-blocker. With Mahomes going several rounds ahead of quarterbacks who project similarly in raw points, Buck advised passing on him in both season-long drafts and best-ball tournaments unless his ADP slides into double-digit rounds.

Buck called Xavier Worthy the cheapest way to buy into a potential Chiefs passing rebound and urged drafters to take him any time he slips past the 3/4 turn. Buck rattled off Worthy’s rookie production – 59-638-6 receiving, 20-104-3 rushing – plus two separate 11-target games and three postseason touchdowns, including two in the Super Bowl. After Week 7 Kansas City shortened Worthy’s average depth of target and pushed his slot rate above 60%, a role shift Buck believes turned him into a genuine target earner rather than a pure field-stretcher. PFF agrees: Worthy posted several 80-plus receiving grades and a season-best 92.4 mark in the AFC Championship win over Buffalo while playing mostly outside. Buck likes that year-one growth curve, notes Worthy is still several rounds cheaper than Rashee Rice, and sees a clear path to 115-plus targets if Rice’s legal or injury issues linger. He tagged Worthy a priority pick in both best-ball and redraft formats.

Davis Mattek labeled Patrick Mahomes the best bet in fantasy to erupt for a 400-point season after back-to-back "down" years of 293 points. He referenced Mike Clay’s conservative 4,300-30-289 projection but argued Mahomes’ ceiling climbs dramatically if rookie LT Josh Simmons merely grades as a top-10 pass-blocker. Mattek’s thesis: no other QB combines Mahomes’ track record, play-calling infrastructure, and upside path, making him undervalued at his current ADP in both season-long and best-ball drafts.

Davis Mattek urged drafters to scoop up Rashee Rice while legal and injury uncertainty still prices him in the late-third. Mattek expects Rice’s ADP to rocket into the mid-second once the LCL rehab looks normal and the NFL clarifies discipline (or lack thereof). He cited Andy Reid’s history of "spamming what works" and pointed to Mike Clay’s 14-game projection of 112 targets, 84-946-6 receiving despite only 30 projected Chiefs passing TDs. Mattek noted Rice would leapfrog names like Drake London and Tee Higgins once the market gains clarity, giving drafters a rare pre-camp discount on Kansas City’s clear No. 1 wideout in both best-ball and redraft.

Buck warned against taking Rashee Rice at his current ADP near the 2-3 turn (around pick 30). He argued Rice’s early-2024 target spike was a mirage created by a "broken" Chiefs offense that had Travis Kelce and Hollywood Brown sidelined and Isaiah Pacheco hurt, forcing Kansas City to use Rice as an extension of the run game. With Kelce and Brown healthy and the Chiefs determined to re-establish the ground attack, Buck expects Rice’s target share to fall. He added that Rice still runs a limited slant/option-heavy route tree, is rehabbing an LCL tear, and faces a possible league suspension. Given those layered risks, Buck believes Rice offers more downside than upside at a second-round price and prefers fading him in both best-ball and season-long formats.

Davis Mattek said Jaydon Blue is worth aggressively targeting even though he is "literally one-trait speed right now." Mattek pointed out that Blue lucked into a perfect depth chart: he only needs to out-play Javonte Williams, who still has not shown pre-injury burst, and Miles Sanders, who was benched twice last season in Carolina. Blue showed that burst on the biggest stage, ripping off chunk plays in the College Football Playoff, and Mattek believes the Broncos will give him every chance to seize early-down work. With that runway and 24.6% personal exposure already in his Best Ball portfolio, Mattek sees an inexpensive path to 180-plus touches and labeled Blue a classic "get your guy" pick when chasing upside in the double-digit rounds.

Davis Mattek closed his draft with Ollie Gordon, arguing the 230-pound rookie is a "more natural fit for the Mostert role" than any other Miami back. Gordon averaged 4.2 yards after contact at Oklahoma State and forced a missed tackle every 4.3 carries—numbers Mattek said mirror Raheem Mostert’s 2023 breakout. With Mostert entering age-32 season and De’Von Achane profiling as a space back, Mattek sees Gordon earning goal-line and clock-draining carries by mid-season. In a Mike McDaniel offense that generated a league-high 32 running-back red-zone touches after Week 10, even a part-time hammer could post multiple 20-point weeks. Mattek recommends scooping Gordon in the final round wherever possible to capture that asymmetric upside.

Davis Mattek labeled Adonai "A.D." Mitchell the most obvious Round-18 smash on the board. Mitchell ranked ninth in the entire NFL in targets per route run (0.28) as a rookie yet still goes outside the top 200 picks because drafters fear Indy’s passing volume. Mattek countered that Mitchell already proved he steps into a full-time role whenever Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, or Alec Pierce miss snaps, and Anthony Richardson’s down-field aggressiveness (11.2 aDOT) dovetails with Mitchell’s vertical skill set. Given that Best Ball rewards spike-weeks, Mattek is content to chase 5–6 usable games from a player he called "light-years more explosive than the dusty veterans in that ADP range."

Davis Mattek encouraged drafters to pounce on Anthony Richardson’s depressed ADP, shrugging off rumors that Daniel Jones could open the year as a bridge starter. Mattek compared the situation to Justin Fields’ 2022 stretch run, pointing out that Richardson averaged 0.92 fantasy points per rush attempt in his brief rookie sample—best among all QBs with 20+ carries. The Colts’ playoff schedule (Weeks 15–17 vs Raiders, Titans, Jaguars) features three secondaries that ranked bottom-10 in EPA per drop-back, a script Mattek said "sets up perfectly for a quarterback who can rip 100 yards on the ground any given Sunday." Even if Richardson starts only 10–12 games, Mattek views his weekly 35-point ceiling as irreplaceable in Best Ball playoffs and is willing to reach a round to secure him.

Davis Mattek staked his flag on Ray Davis, calling the 27-year-old rookie a slam-dunk value because "James Cook leading the NFL in touchdowns on <50% of snaps is so non-repeatable." Mattek reminded listeners that when Cook missed time last year, Ty Johnson paper-started but Davis handled the money touches. Buffalo ranked third in expected RB fantasy points inside the 10-yard line, yet Cook ceded 62% of those looks. Mattek believes the Bills want a thumper to finish drives and sees Davis’s three-down profile—he posted a 17% college target share—as a perfect fit. If Cook slides back to pass-down specialist, Mattek projects 225 touches for Davis and double-digit TD upside, making him an ideal mid-round swing in Best Ball tournaments.

Davis Mattek called David Njoku the ultimate "ball-knower" pick and wondered why a tight end who scored 160 fantasy points in 2022 and 116 last season goes undrafted in many rooms. Mattek argued the market is over-penalizing Njoku for Cleveland’s quarterback uncertainty, noting that the Browns threw the eighth-most passes to tight ends after Deshaun Watson went down. With Njoku’s 23% red-zone target share intact and only Amari Cooper commanding real volume, Mattek expects a stable 6–7 targets per game regardless of who wins the QB battle. At his current free price, Njoku screens as a weekly TE1 with top-five spike-week potential—an easy click in Best Ball formats that reward ceiling.

Davis Mattek snagged Dak Prescott after Patrick Mahomes went ahead of ADP and labeled Dak one of the best buy-low quarterbacks. Mattek noted Prescott historically outperforms when the fantasy community counts him out and said projections are too low on both the Cowboys offense and Prescott individually. He invoked the 2020 Dallas unit that led the NFC in scoring, arguing a similar environment could propel Prescott to a QB4 overall season at a mid-round price, making him an ideal ceiling option in Best Ball builds.

Davis Mattek called Caleb Johnson the most obvious heart-over-head pick on his board, arguing the rookie is a better prospect than most realize. Johnson piled up 1,963 scrimmage yards last season—more than Iowa’s entire passing game—and Mattek still graded him as the RB2 of the class even after a disappointing 4.58 forty. With Arthur Smith “getting his guy” in Pittsburgh, Mattek believes Johnson can immediately supplant Najee Harris and Jalen Warren, projecting a realistic 250-touch rookie season that is nowhere near baked into his current ADP.

Davis Mattek reached several rounds for rookie running back RJ Harvey, noting that every Sean Payton offense has finished top-5 in expected RB points and attributing last year’s failure to Denver’s “truly terrible” backfield options. Mattek loves Harvey’s speed and explosiveness, calling him “fast, cool, and fun” and banking on Payton’s history of feeding one lead back. Even though Harvey is “overdrafted relative to consensus,” Mattek views him as the type of upside pick that can smash ADP if he captures the Payton workhorse role.

Davis Mattek said Rashee Rice is still worth an aggressive reach, taking him at pick 21 and calling him “live to be a 1-2 turn pick.” Mattek reminded listeners that Rice averaged 21.5 fantasy points per game before Patrick Mahomes hurt his knee last year and believes the market over-reacted to both the injury fallout and Rice’s offseason legal trouble. Team reports suggest Rice is fully healthy and any court-related suspension is unlikely to hit until 2025, meaning drafters get a full season of top-end production in 2024 at a two-round discount. Mattek framed Rice as one of his favorite “get your guys” selections in Best Ball drafts.

Davis Mattek explained why he pivoted to Brashard Smith instead of taking a 10th wide receiver in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania. Mattek said Rich Rebar ‘gave him permission’ to start clicking Smith and that the rookie handcuff offers a much higher payoff than the dusty WRs left on the board. His logic: 28-year-old Joe Mixon is an obvious injury candidate, and there is a non-zero chance second-year Chase Brown simply face-plants. If either scenario hits, Smith could suddenly step into a touchdown-rich workload in half-PPR scoring—upside you will never get from a waiver-wire tier wideout. Mattek urged drafters to sprinkle Smith into their hyper-fragile builds as an inexpensive out that can tilt playoff weeks.

Davis Mattek advocated spending the final wide-receiver slot on rookie Tai Felton. The third-rounder lands in a pass-heavy Vikings offense and could leapfrog Jalen Nailor if Jordan Addison misses time late in the year. Mattek painted the unlikely but plausible scenario where Felton starts Week 17 opposite Justin Jefferson and rips off a 20-plus-point outburst that swings Best Ball Mania finals. He prefers that kind of maximum-ceiling lottery ticket over veterans who can’t realistically win the tournament for you.

Davis Mattek pitched Omarion Hampton as a late-season sledgehammer. He noted that historically, first-round running backs in run-heavy offenses behind strong offensive lines average top-six fantasy production. Mattek expects Los Angeles to lean on the ground game, giving Hampton immediate volume and elite touchdown equity. Using RunTheSims Week-17 projections, Mattek believes Hampton could legitimately rival Bijan Robinson for raw points in the Best Ball Mania final. The thesis: draft Hampton in the early third while the market underestimates how much a rookie bell-cow with an A-plus line can swing single-week tournaments.

Davis Mattek told listeners to stop drafting Mike Williams altogether. Williams has not produced more than 46 fantasy points since 2022, was released by both the Jets and Steelers last year, and is still limited by the knee injury Mattek believes ‘ended the Mike Williams experience.’ Even in a best-case scenario, Mattek projects Williams as a capped 14-point flex play, production you can already replicate with younger options like Wan’Dale Robinson. With no team commitment, lingering health concerns, and virtually no week-winning ceiling, Mattek advised reallocating those late-round picks to high-variance rookies instead of clinging to a declining veteran.

Davis Mattek jumped on Evan Engram nearly a full round past ADP and called it "a big projected-points win." Engram saw 115 targets last year, ranked top-five in route participation, and still plays in Doug Pederson’s tight-end-friendly scheme. Mattek argued that securing a bankable TE1 floor lets him keep chasing ceiling at the other positions in his four-RB hyper-fragile construction. He told listeners that correlation is great, but when a volume piece like Engram free-falls you grab him and worry about stacking later.

Davis Mattek said Trey Harris is the exact kind of lightning-in-a-bottle profile you want after Round 10. Harris posted an absurd 5.5 yards per route run in his final season at Ole Miss—the first college wideout Mattek has ever charted above four. That efficiency plus legitimate vertical speed gives him a wider range of outcomes than "low-ceiling" options like Michael Pittman Jr. or Rashod Bateman being drafted around the same spot. Mattek added that landing with Justin Herbert only juices Harris’s weekly spike potential and creates an inexpensive back-door Chargers stack. He advised fantasy drafters to pull Harris ahead of ADP as a swing for 20-point weeks rather than settling for floor plays.

Davis Mattek called Chris Godwin a screaming value when he slipped to Pick 75 (10 spots past ADP). Through the first seven games of 2023, Godwin led all fantasy wide receivers with 50 catches, 575 yards and 5 TDs—out-producing Mike Evans before a mid-season injury. Mattek acknowledged the arrival of rookie Emeka Egbuka but still expects Godwin to command high-percentage targets in Tampa’s quick-hitting scheme. At a seventh-round price he offers proven 20-plus-point weekly ceiling and a reception floor that pairs perfectly with running-back-heavy builds.

Davis Mattek said Bijan Robinson is positioned to out-produce Saquon Barkley’s 2023 fantasy season. Mattek argued that Robinson doesn’t rely on break-away 50-yard runs the way Barkley does, yet still owns the Falcons’ goal-line role and is already "one of the most efficient and effective pass-catching backs in the league." In half-PPR formats on Underdog, that combination of goal-line equity plus pass-game volume gives Robinson both floor and ceiling advantages over Barkley’s 2023 profile. Mattek framed Robinson as a justifiable top-three overall pick who can deliver truly elite, league-winning output.

Davis Mattek believes fourth-round rookie Bhayshul Tuten is mispriced at pick 115 on Underdog and could overtake the entire Jaguars backfield. Mattek noted every major projection he trusts (Mike Clay, FantasyLife) is too low on Tuten, who posted workhorse numbers at North Carolina A&T and Virginia Tech despite playing in a frigid passing environment. Tootin’s Rotoviz sim score list spits out Jamal Charles and Devon Achane—the latter comparison backed by nearly identical combine numbers, only Tuten weighs 210 lbs instead of 185. Mattek likes that Liam Cohen just produced a top-4 scoring offense in Tampa while ranking only 10th in rushing attempts, suggesting high-value touches are available. With Etienne overpriced and Bigsby going 40 picks later, Mattek is doubling the field on Tuten now before inevitable ADP spikes.

Davis Mattek flagged seventh-round rookie LeQuint Allen as a name to remember in Jacksonville. Allen led all FBS running backs last season with 60 receptions, 855 receiving yards, and nine receiving scores while grading out as one of the top pass-protectors in the class. Mattek noted that neither Travis Etienne nor Tank Bigsby is locked into a receiving role, so a strong training camp could earn Allen immediate third-down snaps and special-teams security, making him a free final-round dart who could complicate the Jags depth chart. In deep best-ball formats, Mattek suggested tucking Allen onto a few rosters to gain asymmetric upside if he carves out the passing-game role Cohen historically feeds to a dedicated satellite back.

Davis Mattek advised passing on Travis Etienne at his current pick 124 price, arguing the former first-rounder may be benched, traded, or outright cut. Etienne’s efficiency has cratered: only 2.4 yards after contact last season (Bigsby was over 3.5), 17 missed tackles forced on 150 rushes, and a career 1.05 yards per route run despite being billed as a pass-catcher. His breakaway rate has not topped 25% since 2022, and Mattek believes the lingering Liz Frank injury sapped his explosiveness. With Liam Cohen arriving and two cheaper, more explosive backs in Bayshel Tootin and Tank Bigsby, Mattek views Etienne as the worst value in this backfield and a landmine in best-ball drafts.

Buck said Tank Bigsby is the Jacksonville back you want in 2025 drafts. After an ugly rookie season, Bigsby rebounded in 2024 with multiple long TDs—including a 65-yarder—and finished 16th among all RBs in yards after contact per attempt despite ranking 86th in yards before contact behind an offensive line that was 25th in run-block win rate. Only Derrick Henry posted a better yards-after-contact mark among backs with 100+ carries. Buck argued Liam Cohen’s offense (projected by Mike Clay for 1,500 rushing yards, 9 rushing TDs and 74 backfield receptions) will lean on Bigsby’s improved vision and tackle-breaking ability. At an Underdog ADP around 152, Buck views Bigsby as a cheap path to a projected 300-point backfield and a potential league winner.