Buck called Theo Johnson a "straight-up good pick" even though he wasn’t part of any stack in his lineup. He highlighted Johnson’s projected starting role for the Giants and raved about the rookie’s rare measurables—"monster freak athlete, like 6-8"—as the exact swing you want in the closing rounds of Best Ball Mania drafts. Buck pushed back on the idea that late-round tight ends must correlate with your quarterback, arguing that Johnson’s size/speed profile and immediate path to snaps give him stand-alone spike-week potential.

Davis Mattek kicked himself for passing on Anthony Richardson, repeating his mantra that "there’s no 2-v-2 that’s worth it" when an upside quarterback is on the board. He compared the decision he actually made—grabbing Cade Otton and Miles Sanders—to the alternate universe where he simply locked in Richardson and still had plenty of serviceable options on the way back. In Mattek’s words, skipping Richardson forced him into a shaky trio of Baker Mayfield, Cam Ward, and Tyler Shuck, torpedoing the ceiling of his Best Ball Mania roster. The lesson he said he ‘should have learned’ is to prioritize Richardson’s weekly 30-point potential over middling skill-position fillers that rarely decide tournaments.

Davis Mattek argued that Aaron Rodgers is the superior unstacked quarterback dart compared with Tua Tagovailoa. Without Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, or De’Von Achane on your roster, an unstacked Tua ceiling is "deader than dead" because every big Dolphins score you miss simultaneously buries your lineup. Rodgers, meanwhile, can land in the Week-17 optimal with a handful of efficient touchdowns distributed to secondary Jets options like Allen Lazard or even a random tight-end score, meaning you capture most of the fantasy output without needing a pricey stack. Mattek concluded that Rodgers offers a realistic 20-point path while avoiding the negative-correlation land mines inherent in an unstacked Dolphins build, making him the smarter late-round click when you whiff on your primary stacks.

Davis Mattek insisted that C.J. Stroud should be snapped up a round ahead of ADP because the new best-ball meta punishes anyone who tries to "push" quarterbacks. He pointed out that there is "no 2-v-2" where grabbing an extra skill player makes you happier than locking down your signal caller—especially once the fourth tier (Stroud, Matthew Stafford, Geno Smith) comes off the board. Mattek noted the entire room has learned that lesson: those names are flying up drafts, and if you miss them you are left choosing between Cam Ward, Sam Darnold, or an unstacked Anthony Richardson, all of whom crater overall projection. His takeaway: secure Stroud when you can and do not worry about the perceived reach; the weekly 30-point upside and playoff leverage outweigh any marginal opportunity cost.

Davis Mattek explained that Isaac Guerendo is the exact type of asymmetric bet you want in the back half of Best Ball Mania drafts. With Christian McCaffrey already an "extinction-event" workhorse, Guerendo either never cracks your starting lineup or instantly projects for 16-plus fantasy points the very week McCaffrey misses time. Mattek said he does not need another 11-point floor back—he already has Tyjae Spears, Jalen Warren, and Brian Robinson Jr.—so he passed on safer options like Dylan Samson for Guerendo’s nuclear upside in Kyle Shanahan’s plug-and-play rushing scheme. In his view, Guerendo is the cheapest way to buy into the NFL’s most efficient running game while still swinging for a tournament-winning spike week.

Buck declared that J.K. Dobbins will ‘straight-up outscore’ Brian Robinson Jr. this season. He prefers Dobbins’ explosive profile and the Broncos’ commitment to feature him near the goal line over Robinson’s merely ‘perfectly fine’ early-down role in Washington. Buck believes Denver’s half-point-PPR environment on Underdog further tilts the scales because Dobbins offers big-play juice while Robinson rarely catches passes. Drafting Dobbins several rounds after backs like Isiah Pacheco or Tony Pollard allows drafters to bank ceiling without paying the high opportunity cost those names require, making him a priority target in the double-digit rounds.

Davis Mattek said Cam Ward is an automatic click at his current ADP because drafters are irrationally terrified of being the ‘clapping seal’ who backs the No. 1 overall pick. Mattek noted that best-ball rooms are overflowing with rookie fever for players like Harvey Henderson and Caleb Johnson in the early sixth, yet Ward—despite superior draft capital and a clearer path to immediate snaps—regularly lasts multiple rounds later. In his view the market is over-discounting Ward’s learning curve while ignoring the rushing upside and the fact Tennessee has already tethered its franchise to him. Mattek framed Ward as the perfect third-quarterback dart in Best Ball Mania builds where you want weekly spike-week potential without sacrificing earlier premium picks.

Davis Mattek scooped Calvin Ridley in the mid-fifth and reminded listeners that Ridley finished near the league leaders in air yards and air-yards per target last year despite Tennessee’s dysfunctional offense with Will Levis and Mason Rudolph. Mattek expects Ridley’s average depth of target to come down but views his ability to command deep targets at age 29 as proof he still has juice. With drafters chasing rookies, Mattek thinks Ridley is being overlooked; paired with No. 1 overall pick Cam Ward, Ridley has a clear path to outperform ADP and deliver league-winning spike weeks.

Buck argued that Davante Adams is the premier third-round receiver after opening RB-RB. He believes Adams is "completely under-priced" given his elite touchdown and red-zone profile and said Matthew Stafford’s accuracy will keep the funnel flowing. Buck acknowledged the report of Stafford’s back soreness but dismissed it as routine veteran rest. With Adams’ ceiling of double-digit TDs and 140+ targets, Buck thinks passing on him in the third is a mistake for anyone chasing tournament-winning upside.

Buck called Saquon Barkley a "smash" at pick 1.05 and said he would even draft him ahead of CeeDee Lamb, Christian McCaffrey, or Jahmyr Gibbs. He dismissed concerns about last year’s 400-touch workload as survivorship bias, noting that players who handle that volume are elite talents who keep getting fed even if their efficiency slips. Buck added that Barkley could regress to 4.3 yards per carry and still crush because Philadelphia will lean on him as a true bell-cow. In Best Ball Mania, Buck views Barkley as the safest high-ceiling anchor you can grab from any slot after the top four.

Davis Mattek touted Juwan Johnson as a late-round tight-end smash, noting that New Orleans is treating him like its de-facto third wide receiver. Johnson has consistently hovered in the 15-17% target-share range, runs his routes indoors, and now benefits from Kellen Moore’s pass-friendly scheme. Mattek reminded listeners that Johnson finished as the highest-scoring tight end in Best Ball Mania during the 2023 regular season and sees no real competition for intermediate targets—Brandon Cooks and Bub Means are the current depth chart threats. With Moore scheming aggressive down-field looks and Derek Carr’s preference for attacking the seam, Mattek believes Johnson offers weekly spike-week potential at a bargain ADP, making him an ideal TE2 behind an elite anchor or in three-TE builds.

Davis Mattek explained that if you spend early draft capital on an older tight end such as Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews or even Zach Ertz, you should automatically turn it into a three-tight-end build by grabbing two of the many rookie flyers available in the final rounds. Mattek pointed to Mason Taylor, Jatavian Sanders, and Elijah Arroyo (with even deeper shots like Arande Gadsden or Harold Fannin) as low-cost hedges. His reasoning: veteran TEs carry heightened injury and efficiency risk with age, while rookies usually start slow but can erupt in the back half of the season when Underdog playoff weeks kick in. Because there are so many cheap rookie darts, the opportunity cost is minimal—especially compared to burning an 18th-round pick on a third quarterback unless an outlier like Anthony Richardson falls. The veteran-plus-rookie combo protects your early investment and still offers the late-season spike weeks that decide best-ball tournaments.

Mattek called Tyler Allgeier the "easiest hack" in 2024 drafts because he is the direct contingency play for first-rounder Bijan Robinson. He argued that drafters who pass on Robinson should actively root for early-round running backs to bust, and the cleanest way to monetize that chaos is by rostering their immediate backups—Allgeier, Will Shipley behind Saquon, Jalen Wright behind De’Von Achane, etc. If Robinson misses time, Allgeier inherits top-15 weekly volume in Arthur Smith’s run-centric scheme at a double-digit-round cost, an asymmetric payoff Mattek prefers to any RB in the same ADP neighborhood.

Mattek labeled Tre Harris ‘laughably undervalued’ at his current default ADP. With Mike Williams retiring, the rookie has already signed his contract and is practicing at camp, giving him a full runway to seize snaps. Mattek sees only Vlad Mekonky as legitimate target competition and doubts Tyler Conklin, Quentin Johnston, or Will Dissly will command significant volume. He argued Harris could push for immediate starting-slot routes and double-digit target shares on a Chargers offense that still projects for top-half passing volume. Because the market has not adjusted, Harris provides late-round spike-week upside without the roster clog risk of aging depth receivers available in the same range.

Mattek told listeners not to panic about reports that Chris Godwin will miss July team activities, projecting a 60-40 chance the veteran is ready for Week 1. Because the headlines are pushing Godwin’s Underdog ADP into the late-seventh round, Mattek views him as an immediate buy-low candidate. He believes the dip overcorrects for a non-surgical soft-tissue issue and noted that Godwin quietly posted a 22% target share last season while playing every game. For drafters who already have four wide receivers through seven rounds—the Hayden Winks ‘Golden Rule’—Godwin supplies bankable volume and a WR2 ceiling at a WR4 price.

Davis Mattek endorsed Isiah Pacheco as the cleanest Round-6/7 swing at RB, stressing that his situation is essentially unchanged from 2023 when he cost a third-round pick. Kansas City has only added Elijah Mitchell (just $1.1M guaranteed) and Kareem Hunt ($1.5M) plus a seventh-round flyer on Bershard Smith, none of whom project to siphon early-down work. Mattek expects Pacheco to reprise his 60-65% rushing share and goal-line role behind one of the league’s best offensive lines while benefiting from Patrick Mahomes-led scoring equity. He compared the Chief back directly to Joe Mixon—similar touch projections but with a far better quarterback and blocking environment—concluding Pacheco is the superior value for Best-Ball drafters hunting a second back in Hero RB builds.

Davis Mattek positioned Jonathan Taylor as one of only a handful of backs (alongside Bucky Irving and Josh Jacobs) who open the season projecting for 14.5–15.5 fantasy points per game without needing any depth-chart luck. That immediate, bankable workload makes Taylor the perfect ‘hero’ in a Hero RB build, giving the roster high-end running back outcomes while freeing the drafter to chase wide receiver upside and late-round RB bargains. Mattek highlighted that Taylor’s early-down dominance, red-zone role, and proven 20-plus point ceiling make him a safer cornerstone than backs who depend on committee shake-outs.

Davis Mattek called Jalen Hurts the best value on the board once drafts hit the fifth round. He noted a clear tier break at wide receiver after George Pickens, meaning the opportunity cost of quarterback is lowest at that turn. Pairing Hurts’ elite rushing production with his top-five projection in every scoring setting outweighs any stacking concerns, especially for drafters who have already secured premium receivers. By taking Hurts at pick 51, Mattek explained, drafters avoid being boxed into Jared Goff or J.J. McCarthy later and keep the structural integrity of their Hero RB roster intact.

Davis Mattek warned drafters that James Cook’s 2023 touchdown total is the part of his profile most likely to slide backward. Mattek said he is not worried about Cook’s snap share or overall role in the Bills’ offense, but believes fantasy gamers should expect fewer TDs given how often Buffalo lets Josh Allen call his own number near the goal line. With Cook now carrying a late-third/early-fourth ADP, Mattek views him as overpriced relative to backs with similar workloads who are available later and whose scoring profiles are less fragile.

Mattek argued that Brian Thomas Jr. can post a rookie season on par with—or better than—Christian Kirk’s 2022 line (84-1,108-8) because Jacksonville’s pass volume will be funneled to just two legitimate weapons: Thomas and fellow rookie Travis Hunter. Recalling the 2022 target distribution that produced two fantasy-relevant wideouts (Kirk and Zay Jones combined for 266 targets), Mattek said replacing that duo with a 4.33-speed, 215-pound alpha like BTJ raises the ceiling of the entire offense. With Dyami Brown dismissed as mere depth and no proven tight end threat, Thomas could command 23-25% of team targets right out of the gate. Mattek sees a realistic path to 125 targets, 1,100 yards and double-digit touchdowns, giving Thomas legitimate top-12 upside in both Best Ball and season-long formats at a mid-fourth-round ADP.

While acknowledging Hunter’s sky-high ceiling, Mattek warned that playing both cornerback and wide receiver in the NFL carries serious fatigue and durability risks. Unlike college, Hunter will face “alpha NFL wide receivers every play on defense,” must digest two full playbooks, and battle through a 17-game schedule. Mattek cited Travis Kelce’s recent comment that offenses will attack him with nonstop go-routes just to wear him down. The Jaguars’ staff could limit Hunter’s offensive snaps if their defense excels or if Trevor Lawrence can distribute without him late in games, making his weekly fantasy workload highly volatile. Mattek put Hunter’s chances of out-producing Brian Thomas Jr. at under 25% and gave him only a 50-50 shot of merely paying off his early-fifth-round ADP. Managers drafting Hunter should view him as a boom-bust swing rather than a locked-in starter.

Davis Mattek said he is "pro Trevor Lawrence" this season, arguing the third-year passer can return to his 2022 form—and potentially eclipse it—now that Liam Cohen is calling plays and the Jaguars have injected first-round talents Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter into the receiver room. Mattek reminded listeners that the 2022 Jags supported 84-1100-8 from Christian Kirk and 82-823-5 from Zay Jones on a team that won nine games and upset the Chargers in the playoffs. He believes swapping Kirk/Jones targets for the far more explosive BTJ and Hunter creates an environment where Lawrence’s down-field aggressiveness from his Clemson days can resurface. With Urban Meyer’s setback in the rear-view mirror and no established target hogs on the roster, Mattek projects Lawrence to flirt with 4,400 yards and 30+ touchdowns, making him a cheap stack candidate in Best Ball and a high-end QB2 with QB1 upside in traditional season-long leagues.

Davis Mattek cautioned drafters against expecting a breakout from Dyami Brown despite his one-year, $10 million deal with Jacksonville. Brown has totaled just 784 yards and four touchdowns through his rookie contract, and Mattek’s historical comp list—Devin Duvernay, Brian Quick, Brandon Tate, Bethel Johnson—reads like a who’s-who of fantasy busts. That profile, combined with the arrival of blue-chip rookies Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, makes Brown little more than a last-round flier in Best Ball or deep Season-Long leagues.

Davis Mattek urged drafters to pounce on Travis Hunter in the early-5th round range, even ahead of veterans like Jaylen Waddle, Chris Olave and Jordan Addison. Mattek framed Hunter as a rare "bet on elite athletes being elite" proposition, pointing to his two-way pedigree, 27 down-field targets that produced 417 yards and 2 TDs, and a yards-per-route-run figure that jumps to 3.5 once screens are removed (per Scott Barrett’s adjustment). Hunter’s nearest prospect comps—Jamar Chase, Amari Cooper, Drake London, Malik Nabers—underscore true WR1 ceiling. Meanwhile Jacksonville’s target competition is thin outside Brian Thomas Jr.; Dyami Brown, Parker Washington and Brenton Strange combined for just 1,013 yards last year. In Liam Cohen’s pass-friendly system, Mattek sees a realistic path for Hunter to emerge as the Jaguars’ 1B and smash down the stretch, making him a priority pick in both Best Ball and Season-Long formats.

JJ Zachariason urged drafters to lean on Tyler Higbee in the 20th round when their build still needs a third tight end. He argued that zeros at the position are “actually horrible” for best-ball EV, and Higbee’s entrenched role in Sean McVay’s offense makes him one of the few late-round options likely to avoid them. Zachariason predicted at least one slate where Higbee shows up as a $3,300 salary-relief staple in DFS cash games—evidence that volume and red-zone routes will still be there. In contrast, flyers like Arande Gadsden or Will Dissly project as functional zeros even if they see the field. For Zachariason, locking in Higbee’s 3-for-35 floor is far more valuable than chasing long-shot upside that never materializes.

Davis Mattek said he keeps sprinkling Diontae Johnson at an ADP near 230 because the veteran still flashes a path to a top-24 finish that most names in that neighborhood simply cannot match. Mattek reminded viewers of last season’s four-game heater where Johnson briefly looked like a league-winner, arguing that a mentally locked-in Johnson could again command double-digit targets as Cleveland’s primary slot weapon. He compared Johnson’s spike-week potential to the ‘small loss, small win’ profiles of fringe receivers such as Ray-Ray McCloud or Darius Slayton and concluded that 70 percent of Johnson’s outcomes might be zeros, but the 5 percent where he lands as PPR WR21 are worth chasing in the final rounds.

Davis Mattek told listeners that Keenan Allen is one of the best risk-reward clicks on the DraftKings board right now because market inertia is keeping him in the 14th-round range while contract uncertainty lingers. Mattek repeated the reporting that Allen only wants to suit up for the Bears or one of the two Los Angeles franchises, then added that Pittsburgh is a logical dark-horse fit thanks to its glaring need for a reliable zone-beating slot. With virtually every other nameworthy free-agent wideout already signed ("it’s him and Amari Cooper, that’s it"), Mattek expects whichever team wins the bidding to vault Allen’s ADP into the 7th round immediately. He called Allen an "immediate, immediate riser" whose 100-catch floor and red-zone savvy will look a lot more appealing once depth-chart certainty arrives, making current best-ball shares pure closing-line equity.

JJ Zachariason recommended scooping Justice Hill in the 16th round as a floor-stabilizer for zero-RB builds. He emphasized that Baltimore will not live in positive game scripts every week, and when the Ravens fall behind, Hill—not Keaton Mitchell—will dominate passing-down snaps. Zachariason highlighted Hill’s 46 targets last season, noting that Todd Monken repeatedly trusted him in two-minute drill work. Because those negative-script catches correlate with Lamar Jackson’s elevated drop-back totals, Hill can quietly rack up five-catch, 60-yard lines that meet best-ball lineup thresholds even without a touchdown.

Davis Mattek argued that A.J. Dillon will have weekly fantasy relevance in Philadelphia, citing Nick Sirianni’s willingness to carve out specialized roles. Mattek expects Dillon to steal high-leverage carries—especially tush-push attempts—on first-and-goal possessions even when Saquon Barkley is healthy. He pegged Dillon’s realistic touch ceiling at 8–12 per game, enough for red-zone plunge opportunities that can pop in best-ball formats. Given that many drafters write Dillon off as pure Barkley insurance, Mattek views the veteran as a cheap source of short-yardage touchdowns who can crack lineups without an injury domino.

Davis Mattek prefers drafting Romeo Doubs over Wandale Robinson in the same ADP pocket because Doubs still flashes genuine spike-week upside. Mattek reminded listeners that Doubs posted a 4-for-80-and-2 line last season and scored twice in a playoff game two years ago, evidence he owns a multi-touchdown ceiling Kevin O’Connell would actually scheme for. By contrast, Mattek joked that a Wandale ceiling game is "11 catches, 44 yards, zero touchdowns," a profile that rarely cracks DraftKings best-ball lineups despite full-PPR scoring. With Jordan Love’s deep ball improving and Green Bay expected to throw more in 2024, Mattek wants the wideout whose high-variance routes can generate 25-point weeks, not the floor-only slot option.

Davis Mattek said he is hammering Jaydon Blue in the final rounds of DraftKings best-ball drafts because Dallas simply does not have another league-average athlete in its running-back room. Blue checked every box in Mattek’s ZAP prospect model—elite age-adjusted receiving production, a 4.28 forty that gives him a top-five weight-adjusted speed score in the class, and enough size (30 pounds heavier than Deuce Vaughn) to handle goal-line work. Mattek noted that Blue was buried at Texas only because CJ Baxter and Christian Clark both tore their Achilles in spring camp, not because of talent. With the Cowboys staring at a depth chart of sloggers, Mattek thinks Mike McCarthy can deploy Blue in the exact Jameer Gibbs role Detroit used last season—screens, wide-zone tosses, and mismatches against linebackers. At a 21st-round ADP, Mattek believes Blue offers true league-winning upside for zero opportunity cost.

JJ Zachariason pointed out that Jordan Love keeps falling a full round past ADP in many DraftKings rooms, something he called "bizarre" given how painless the Packers stack is. Love’s primary pass-catchers—Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, Tucker Kraft—are all available after the 12th round, and Doubs quietly commanded a 21% target share per game last season. With Christian Watson not expected back until at least November, Doubs and Wicks should open the year in two-wide sets, giving Love a stable floor of volume while retaining spike-week upside from the deep ball. Zachariason is loading up on Love at the tail end of QB2 territory, arguing that the exposure offers natural leverage against drafters who pay up for pricier stacks that require an early-round receiver.

JJ Zachariason explained that quarterback prices on DraftKings have compressed so much that Kyler Murray now goes only one to two rounds ahead of pure pocket passers like Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence and CJ Stroud—a delta that used to be four to five rounds earlier in the spring. With that discount in place, Murray’s dual-threat profile (career 6.7 rush attempts and 38 rushing yards per game) offers far more week-winning upside than the statues he is being drafted next to. Zachariason added that this same ADP crunch makes the entire tier of mobile passers—Justin Fields, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy—better values and even pushes elite options such as Lamar Jackson back onto the table. But Murray is the focal point of his exposure because he still has WR1 Trey McBride, Michael Wilson and late-round dart Luther Burden available for cheap back-stacks.

Davis Mattek said he is still happy drafting George Kittle in both best-ball and season-long despite Kittle’s ADP climbing into the fourth round. Mattek’s core argument is that the market is underestimating how steep the fall-off is after the ’big three’ tight ends (Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, George Kittle). He believes the next cluster—Dallas Goedert, Dalton Kincaid, Sam LaPorta—are being priced as if they project only a point or two behind Kittle when, in his model, the gap is materially wider. Because that projection delta is larger than the current ADP spread, Mattek views Kittle as a relative value and is comfortable being overweight even in full-PPR formats where other managers gravitate toward volume-based options.

Despite acknowledging that Rachaad White is "not that amazing" in real life, Davis Mattek keeps clicking him because DraftKings is full-PPR with yardage bonuses. White’s three-down role produced 74 receptions last year—more than every running back except Alvin Kamara—and Baker Mayfield’s check-down tendencies remain intact. Mattek likes White’s contingent upside if Tampa’s offense takes even a small step forward, and the current price tag (mid-sixth round) bakes in almost no improvement. He views White as the perfect hero-RB candidate on builds that start WR-heavy, giving drafters both weekly floor and occasional 25-point spike weeks.

Davis Mattek labeled Jerry Jeudy an outright avoid in DraftKings best-ball drafts. Jeudy offers a mediocre floor without a spike-week ceiling, cannot be stacked cheaply with an early-round quarterback, and draws the Steelers in Week 17—a brutal playoff matchup. Mattek noted the wideouts going around him carry "similar ranges of outcomes" yet remain stackable with passers still on the board, preserving roster flexibility. Drafting Jeudy, he says, "kills your optionality," making the opportunity cost too high for a receiver whose career high is 972 yards and who has never cracked a double-digit touchdown season.

Davis Mattek pushed back on the narrative that Travis Hunter’s defensive snaps will ruin his rookie fantasy value. New head coach Liam Cohen is an offense-first play-caller, and Mattek expects Cohen to tell his DC "sorry, bud" and keep Hunter practicing primarily at wide receiver. Hunter already graded out as an elite prospect in JJ’s ZAP model—draft capital pushed him ahead of several first-rounders—and Mattek believes the market is overreacting to uncertainty. With Hunter sometimes lasting beyond Jerry Jeudy in DraftKings rooms, Mattek is comfortable pushing his portfolio exposure north of 30 percent, calling that price "people losing their minds."

JJ Zachariason warned that George Kittle’s rising ADP into the mid-fourth round has erased his margin for error. Kittle’s weekly ceiling still hinges on touchdowns because the 49ers’ target tree caps him at roughly 4.5 catches per game even in a best-case scenario. Zachariason noted that a season of 11–12 scores might still not beat Trey McBride straight up in full-PPR, bonus-heavy DraftKings scoring. With Breece Hall, DeVonta Smith and other high-volume options available in the same pocket, Zachariason would rather pass on Kittle unless he falls back to the fifth where he was going a month ago.

Davis Mattek said Caleb Williams should not still be going at pick 105 on DraftKings best-ball drafts. By his count that is roughly ten slots of pure discount versus where an explosive dual-threat rookie quarterback with 4,500-yard/30-TD upside normally settles. Mattek likes the Bears specifically because the stack is still affordable—Colston Loveland and Luther Burden are routinely available well after ADP—which lets drafters keep quarterback optionality deep into the double-digit rounds. In rooms where passers are flying off the board "willy-nilly," the ability to assemble a cheap, fully correlated Chicago stack gives Williams even more leverage relative to pocket-passer names going in the same tier such as Jared Goff or Geno Smith.

JJ Zachariason argued that Trey McBride is underpriced by four to five picks even after climbing into the early third round on DraftKings’ full-PPR, bonus-heavy format. He’s currently holding roughly 20% exposure and still feels that’s justified because the opportunity cost of selecting McBride at that spot is materially lower than paying a second-round tag for Brock Bowers. Zachariason emphasized how McBride’s 2023 breakout featured elite volume—he averaged 8.2 targets per game after Week 8—and that Arizona’s offense projects to funnel underneath looks to him again. In a format where tight ends receive a full point per reception and 100-yard bonuses, Zachariason believes McBride’s combination of target share, route participation, and red-zone usage gives him legitimate difference-making upside that isn’t fully captured in his current ADP.

Davis Mattek claimed Justin Jefferson should be the first overall pick in 2024 drafts, edging out Ja'Marr Chase and Christian McCaffrey. He expects Minnesota’s play volume to rise because the defense is likely to regress and rookie QB J.J. McCarthy may struggle, forcing Kevin O’Connell to keep throwing. Mattek noted that Jefferson already out-scored Chase by roughly 90 fantasy points last year despite logging only four 100-yard games, illustrating an elite weekly floor. He also pointed to 30-plus drop-back games that Sam Darnold and McCarthy will be asked to produce as further fuel for a massive target load. Although J.J. Zachariason expressed mild QB-related concern, both analysts ultimately have Jefferson at 1.02 or higher on DK, with Mattek firmly planting his flag that Jefferson is “the best player in fantasy.”

Davis Mattek said he intentionally wants to be heavier than the typical DraftKings best-ball crowd on Derrick Henry because the market is still discounting Henry’s week-winning ceiling. Henry’s current ADP sits in the mid-second round (16-17 overall) on DK—often side-by-side with PPR darlings like Nico Collins—yet Mattek argued Henry’s trademark 25-touch upside and multi-TD potential have not disappeared simply because the scoring is full PPR. He added that many sharp drafters are now actively avoiding early-down backs, creating a leverage spot to grab Henry at a depression relative to historic pricing. Mattek said being underweight on Henry actually “scares” him, given the back’s proven 30-point spike-week profile and Baltimore’s willingness to lean on the run near the goal line.

Davis Mattek reminded listeners that Dontayvion Wicks never opened 2023 as a starter and even shared Family-Night routes with seventh-round rookie Grant DuBose, evidence the coaching staff viewed him as a rotational option rather than a locked-in piece. Mattek also noted Wicks’ ball-tracking issues—“he can’t catch a ball” was the tongue-in-cheek critique circulating in Packers circles last summer—plus the reality that Wicks’ two-TD eruption came in a fill-in role. Those red flags keep Mattek from chasing Wicks aggressively this year, but he still likes sprinkling the second-year wideout in the 19th–20th rounds of DraftKings Best Ball drafts. At that price, drafters get an athletic perimeter receiver tied to Jordan Love without sacrificing meaningful opportunity cost, and any step forward in snap share could turn Wicks into a spike-week WR5 who correlates cleanly with late-round Packers stacks.

Davis Mattek pushed back on the fantasy community’s collective “slappy fatigue” and labeled Dontayvion Wicks one of the best ADP discounts on DraftKings. Mattek noted that Wicks quietly led Green Bay in targets last season despite not opening the year as a starter, posted strong separation metrics, and even popped for a two-touchdown game. He believes drafters are overreacting to the Packers’ selection of rookie Savion Williams and to last year’s social-media hype cycle, letting Wicks slide 30–40 spots later than similar profile receivers. Mattek argued Wicks still has multiple outs: he can win the perimeter Z role outright, earn flexible slot snaps in multi-WR sets, or simply benefit if Christian Watson’s recurring hamstring issues resurface. Given Jordan Love’s willingness to push volume to whoever is open, Mattek views Wicks as a high-leverage final-round pick who could deliver spike weeks and stack correlation without costing meaningful draft capital.

Pat Kerrane said Cedric Tillman should be on every late-round best-ball list because the sophomore has, in his words, “clearly the number-two job locked up” behind Amari Cooper. Kerrane reminded listeners that Tillman flashed with a Travis Fulgham-esque stretch of usable weeks last season before concussions shut him down, and offseason reports have him healthy and entrenched opposite Cooper. The market is depressed on every Browns pass-catcher while the quarterback room sorts itself out, but Kerrane noted that even a mediocre veteran like Kenny Pickett would still funnel enough targets to a full-time outside receiver for Tillman to beat his final-round ADP. Kerrane added that if the organization surprises everyone and names rookie Shador Sanders the Week-1 starter, the entire passing game immediately becomes stackable and Tillman’s price “jumps at least a round or two.” In short, he views Tillman as cheap, volume-based upside with multiple paths to closing-line value.

Mattek pushed back on Rome Odunze’s sixth-round DraftKings ADP, arguing the rookie wideout is being "propped up by a mystical ethos" rather than proven production. He reminded listeners Odunze was a four-year collegiate player who benefitted from a first-round quarterback at Washington yet still posted merely good-not-great efficiency. With DJ Moore entrenched as Caleb Williams’ first read and Ben Johnson’s scheme expected to spread targets, Mattek sees Odunze needing immediate alpha-level target share to pay off— a tough ask for any rookie. He is passing on Odunze in favor of cheaper Chicago pieces such as Luther Burden or Colston Loveland that provide a lower opportunity cost but still give exposure to a potentially ascending Bears offense.

Davis Mattek advised reaching a half-round for Drake Maye on the 12/13 turn because DraftKings rooms can wipe out quarterbacks in a hurry. He noted that once you swing back 20+ picks later the best remaining passer might be Cam Ward, leaving your roster dead at the position. Mattek labeled this the "quarterback avalanche" unique to DK’s scoring and 20-round format— unlike Underdog, you cannot dig out after the run starts. Taking Maye now secures a dual-threat rookie with top-12 weekly rushing upside in a rebuilt Patriots offense while preserving roster flexibility for late-round stacks instead of scrambling for third-string options.

Davis Mattek called Zach Charbonnet a "gift" when he slid into the 130s, explaining why he still smashes the button even though Charbonnet is technically an RB2. Mattek reminded listeners that Seattle quietly used the rookie in a 60/40 split last season and handed him full bell-cow work— snap shares of 96%, 84%, 80%, 79%, 78%—whenever Kenneth Walker was nicked up. The Seahawks also trusted Charbonnet on third downs despite his merely serviceable receiving résumé at UCLA, a sign the coaching staff values his pass-protection chops. Mattek conceded that paying up for the "most expensive backup" can be dangerous, but argued Charbonnet’s locked-in takeover role if Walker misses time makes him the rare Round-11 contingent bet with true 20-touch upside and spike-week receiving paths in PPR best-ball scoring.