Sam Wallace pushed Josh Downs all the way down to WR52 despite the sophomore’s 2024 breakout (100-plus targets, 800-plus yards). He argued that the looming Richardson-versus-Jones battle and the quarterbacks’ run-first tendencies make it improbable for Indianapolis to sustain two fantasy-viable receivers. With Pittman already penciled in for the lion’s share of targets, Wallace sees Downs as an inconsistent WR5/bench option whose weekly value will hinge on big plays or injuries elsewhere in the offense.

Sam Wallace advised drafting Michael Pittman as only a low-end WR3 (he slotted him at WR32) because the Colts’ passing outlook is murky. The team still hasn’t decided whether Anthony Richardson or newly acquired Daniel Jones will start, and neither quarterback has shown consistent downfield accuracy. Both signal-callers are quick to tuck and run, further limiting available targets. While Pittman has topped 800 receiving yards in four straight seasons—twice clearing 1,000—Wallace doubts the offense can produce top-20 receiver volume this year. He urged drafters to fade Pittman at his current price unless training-camp reps reveal a dramatically improved passing attack.

Christopher Allen highlighted Travis Etienne as a buy-low candidate with Liam Coen taking over the Jaguars’ offense. In Tampa, Coen used both running backs as receivers at a top-4 rate league-wide, and Baker Mayfield trailed only Mahomes and Burrow in inside-the-10 pass attempts. Allen expects those same pass-heavy red-zone and running-back-friendly concepts to follow Coen to Jacksonville, projecting a bounce-back in Etienne’s target share after a disappointing 2024 receiving line. The new scheme could restore Etienne’s 2023-level PPR ceiling while protecting his floor with additional goal-line opportunities.

Christopher Allen said Brenton Strange deserves sleeper status under first-time head coach/OC Liam Coen. In 2022 Coen helped Sean McVay’s Rams rank 14th in early-down pass rate and throw on 69 % of snaps inside the 10-yard line. Last year only Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow attempted more passes inside the 10 than Baker Mayfield in Coen’s Bucs attack, and Cade Otton parlayed that approach into a 23.5 % target share whenever Tampa’s top receivers were out. Because Coen spreads routes to any player who can catch, Allen expects Strange to see far more red-zone and overall targets than the market projects, making him a cheap TE2 with weekly touchdown upside in both best-ball and redraft formats.

Peter Overzet flagged Jack Bech as another rookie wideout whose arrow is pointing down. ESPN noted the second-round pick is currently behind fellow rookie Dont’e Thornton—selected 50 picks later—in the Raiders’ pecking order, meaning Bech might need a Jakobi Meyers injury just to see meaningful snaps. His ADP has already slipped to 142.6 and continues to cool. Overzet expects the slide to persist unless camp buzz improves and recommended treating Bech strictly as a late-round flier, ideally paired with Geno Smith in double-tap builds if their ADPs converge.

Peter Overzet warned drafters to tap the brakes on Kyle Williams at his current 122.7 Underdog ADP. He cited Chad Graff’s report that the third-round rookie is already running behind veterans Stefon Diggs, Mack Hollins, and second-year slot man Demario Douglas in three-wide sets. Overzet reminded readers that Williams is the single most expensive Round-3 wideout in early drafts and that New England’s track record developing receivers (think N’Keal Harry and Tyquan Thornton) is famously poor. Because Williams is buried on the depth chart and could cede snaps if the Patriots add another veteran, Overzet expects his ADP to slide sharply over the next few weeks. His advice: skip Williams in the Round 10-11 range, grab upside QBs/TEs there instead, and wait to scoop the rookie once the market corrects.