Brady Kannon bet Collin Morikawa outright at 18-1 and added a top-10 ticket, arguing Muirfield Village is tailor-made for his game. Morikawa has already won here (2020), owns two runner-up finishes including last year, and has been in contention at every Nicklaus design Kannon flagged as a corollary: victory at The Concession (2021) plus runner-ups at TPC Twin Cities and East Lake. Over the last 36 rounds he sits 6th in this field in SG: Tee-to-Green, exactly the stat profile Kannon weighted most. The only knock is an American win drought since 2021, but Kannon thinks the combination of elite approach numbers, known bentgrass proficiency, and proven course comfort offsets that concern.

Kevin Cunningham noted that oddsmakers have installed World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler as a commanding +280 favorite to win the 2025 Memorial Tournament. Cunningham pointed to Scheffler’s blistering recent form—victories at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson and the PGA Championship in the past three weeks, plus a T4 at last week’s Charles Schwab Challenge—as evidence that the number-one ranking is translating to results. Scheffler is also the defending Memorial champion, giving him course-history credentials that reinforce his short price. Cunningham’s write-up implies bettors should not be surprised by the short odds, as Scheffler checks every box (current form, course history, and elite statistical profile) entering Muirfield Village.

Kevin Cunningham noted that World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler enters the Charles Schwab Challenge at +240 to win, a massive gap from the next‐shortest price (Daniel Berger at +2000). Cunningham pointed to Scheffler’s scorching form—he has been the betting favorite in every start this season and is coming off a convincing victory at the 2025 PGA Championship, his third career major—as the justification for such short odds. The combination of Scheffler’s season-long dominance and his recent ‘crushing the competition’ performance at Valhalla explains why bookmakers have installed him as an overwhelming favorite, making him the clear top outright betting option in the field despite the short number.

At 80-1, Kannon views Thorbjorn Olesen as mispriced given his resurgence. The 34-year-old owns two DP World Tour wins since 2022 and has logged two PGA Tour top-10s this season. He finished 33rd at the PGA Championship while ranking 11th in SG: Approach, 11th in Greens in Regulation and 17th in Driving Accuracy— metrics that mirror his last-24-round profile. He also checks in 24th in SG: Putting on Bentgrass. Kannon argues those numbers map perfectly to Colonial’s Hogan-inspired test of precision, making Olesen a high-ceiling flier for outright and top-20 tickets.

Kannon fired on Harry Hall at 75-1 for the win and a top-20, citing his near-miss third at Colonial two years ago and the Englishman’s flat-stick prowess. Hall ranks 3rd in the field in SG: Putting on Bentgrass over the past 24 rounds, 10th in scoring on 400-450-yard par-4s and 20th in proximity from 150-175 yards. Current form is trending with back-to-back top-20s capped by 19th at Quail Hollow. Kannon believes Hall’s combination of accurate driving, dialed-in mid-irons and scorching putter makes him live on a track where the winning score is projected around 13-under, a number Hall nearly matched in his previous Colonial bid.

Brady Kannon grabbed J.T. Poston at 40-1 outright and for a top-20 after Poston posted a solo 5th at last week’s PGA Championship, his 13th consecutive made cut in 2025. Colonial comp-course résumé is deep: five career top-10s at Harbour Town, prior top-10s at Colonial, Sea Island and Waialae. Statistically over the last 24 rounds he sits 21st in proximity from 100-125 yards, 12th in Driving Accuracy and 10th in SG: Putting on Bentgrass greens— three key buckets in Kannon’s model. With the renovated Colonial emphasizing wedge play and fairway finding, Kannon expects Poston’s precision game and red-hot short stick to keep him on the first page of the leaderboard all week.

Kannon wagered on Maverick McNealy at 40-1 for an outright and a top-20, noting the Stanford product already proved his Colonial ceiling with two prior top-20s and a win on a near-identical layout at Sea Island’s RSM Classic last November (where he edged Berger). Recent form is peaking: two third-place finishes in his last five starts, including solo third at the RBC Heritage one month ago. Over the past 24 rounds McNealy ranks 4th in Greens in Regulation Gained and 15th in Good Drives Gained, ideal traits for a par-70 track featuring 12 dog-legged par-4s. Add top-10 finishes at Waialae and a putter that historically heats up on Bentgrass, and Kannon believes McNealy offers premium win equity at mid-tier odds.

Brady Kannon said Daniel Berger is a must-play at 23-1 for both an outright win and a top-20. Kannon’s custom model — built on SG: Approach, Greens in Regulation, Good Drives Gained, Driving Accuracy, Par-4 scoring from 350-450 yards, proximity 125-175 yards and SG: Putting on Bentgrass — ranks Berger second in the entire field behind only Scottie Scheffler. Course history checks every box: a victory at Colonial in 2020 plus two additional top-25 finishes. Berger’s form on correlated tight-fairway tracks is equally strong with a runner-up at last autumn’s RSM Classic and two third-place finishes at Harbour Town, the latest just last month. He also owns two top-15s and a top-10 at Waialae’s Sony Open. Kannon believes Berger’s precision ball-striking and elite short-iron numbers make him the most logical challenger to Scheffler on a revamped Colonial layout that again rewards accuracy.

Josh Sens viewed Scheffler’s +500 price as a fair reflection of reality, stating that the Texan contends when he’s merely average and wins when he’s sharp. Given Scheffler’s tour-leading strokes-gained baseline, Sens feels bettors are getting market-equivalent odds on a probability that may be even higher than the books suggest.

Josh Schrock took a vibes-based stab at Rickie Fowler at +14,000, conceding Fowler’s form has cratered since a March T18. The counterpoint: Fowler won the 2012 Wells Fargo, finished fourth here in 2019, and grabbed T5 at the 2017 PGA on this same property. Schrock argued that familiarity and positive memories could help resurrect Fowler’s iron play just in time to surprise the market.

Josh Schrock pivoted to Bryson DeChambeau at +1050 after initially eyeing Rory, noting Bryson has been a "fixture" on recent major leaderboards. Schrock believes Quail’s generous corridors reward his aggressive, cutting-corners style, and after coughing up leads in Miami, Augusta and Mexico before winning in Korea, he views Bryson as battle-hardened for another major bid.

Nick Piastowski promoted Stephan Jaeger at a juicy +20,000, emphasizing that Quail Hollow’s big-boy yardage suits Jaeger’s above-average length. Piastowski highlighted Jaeger’s 65 in last year’s Wells Fargo en route to a T21, proof he can go low here. On a bomber’s track where streaky drivers can pop, Piastowski sees Jaeger as an overlooked moon-shot worth a sprinkle.

Josh Sens threw a dart at Keegan Bradley at +12,000, reminding bettors he already owns a PGA title and historically raises his ceiling when the stakes spike. Sens added that a strong showing would ignite chatter about Bradley’s Ryder Cup player-captain ambitions, giving him added motivation to lean on his typically stout ball-striking under Sunday pressure.

Zephyr Melton called Scheffler at +500 the "most sensible" bet on the board, pointing to the way he rediscovered his elite ball-striking two weeks earlier in Texas. Melton argued that if Scheffler simply maintains that tee-to-green standard, the rest of the field is playing for second and major No. 3 feels inevitable.

Kris McCormack highlighted Joaquin Niemann at +2700 as his sleeper, citing the Chilean’s three LIV wins in Mexico, Adelaide and Singapore this year. That run, he said, proves Niemann’s ability to travel and close. Niemann’s penetrating ball flight and top-tier club-head speed should mesh with Quail’s long par-4s, and McCormack believes his confidence is peaking at precisely the right time.

Kris McCormack went with Rory McIlroy at +500, reminding readers he has four Quail victories plus a T22 the last time the PGA visited in 2017. McCormack emphasized Quail’s length and demanding driving corridors play directly into Rory’s 320-yard carry game, making it one of the Northern Irishman’s comfort tracks. With recent momentum and a proven Charlotte pedigree, he sees Rory as every bit Scheffler’s equal.

Maddi MacClurg tabbed Jordan Spieth at +4000 as a ceiling-play sleeper, pointing to his closing 62 at the Byron Nelson that hinted at a putter awakening. While Quail tends to favor bombers, she argued its sweeping doglegs reward Spieth’s creativity and short-game wizardry. With the career grand slam carrot dangling, MacClurg thinks a fiery flatstick could facilitate a surprise charge.

Maddi MacClurg made Bryson DeChambeau her outright at +1050 after his recent LIV Golf Korea victory. She stressed Quail Hollow’s design invites aggressive, carry-heavy lines that only Bryson’s 350-yard missiles can fully exploit. If his irons stay dialed — they were top-10 in greens-in-regulation during the Korea win — MacClurg believes his unmatched power combo will overwhelm the field.

Jessica Marksbury circled Max Homa at +8000 despite a rough 2025 campaign, reminding bettors he owns a 2019 Wells Fargo trophy and back-to-back T8s at Quail. She added Homa’s lone 2025 bright spot — a T12 at Augusta — proves the major stage still suits him. On a layout that historically unlocks his ball-striking, she believes Homa can shake the funk and outperform his long odds.

Jessica Marksbury also hit the Scheffler drum at +500, noting his wire-to-wire win in Texas two weeks ago and a built-in rest week that leaves him physically and mentally recharged. She envisions a Sunday duel with Rory McIlroy but trusts Scheffler’s current form — highlighted by top-three strokes-gained figures tee-to-green in his last three starts — to secure his third major.

Connor Federico punted on Max Homa as an +8000 sleeper, leaning heavily on the Californian’s love affair with Quail Hollow: first PGA Tour win at the 2019 Wells Fargo and a 4-0 Presidents Cup romp in 2022. Federico admitted Homa’s season has been bumpy, yet a T12 at the Masters signaled a turnaround. He believes comfort in Charlotte can revive Homa’s ceiling and make the number mis-priced.

Connor Federico backed Ludvig Aberg at +1600, citing the 25-year-old’s Augusta run where a molten putter and a 190-mph driver had him flirting with the lead. Federico admitted Aberg has zero Quail Hollow reps but compared him to Justin Thomas, who lifted his first major here at 24. Given Aberg’s combination of length, touch and fearlessness, Federico predicted the Swede begins a multi-major career arc this week.

Adam Christensen labeled Russell Henley a worthy flyer at +6000, pointing to Henley’s season-long run of top-25 finishes built on laser-like iron play and fairway-finding off the tee. Christensen conceded Quail Hollow’s 7,600-yard setup favors bombers but argued Henley’s elite accuracy could keep him in scoring position if the putter cooperates. A sizzling short-game week, he said, gives the steady Georgian a realistic path to back-door a Wanamaker shocker.

Adam Christensen said Scottie Scheffler at +500 is the most logical outright play because the World No. 1 is stuffing approaches inside 15 feet on repeat, turning Quail Hollow’s birdie-holes into virtual tap-ins. Christensen noted Scheffler’s early-season wobble is in the rear-view mirror after a mid-spring swing tweak unlocked his proximity numbers, and he arrives with sky-high confidence — a dangerous combo on a course that historically rewards elite tee-to-green play.

Josh Sens echoed the Keegan Bradley love at the same +12000 price. Sens’ rationale: Bradley is a past PGA Champion who "clearly relishes big moments," and Quail Hollow offers another chance to remind the golf world—and Ryder Cup decision-makers—that he can still deliver under major-championship pressure. For bettors who prefer proven major pedigree at triple-digit odds, Sens says Bradley checks that box.

Zephyr Melton tossed Keegan Bradley into the hat at +12000, framing the wager as a faith play in pre-Ryder Cup "magic." With Bradley serving as U.S. captain, Melton believes the extra motivation to prove he still has game could spark a memorable week. While lacking deep statistical backing, the narrative of a former PGA champion turning back the clock at a major he once won is enough for Melton to sprinkle a small outright ticket.

Josh Schrock admitted he is betting Rickie Fowler at +14000 largely on vibes, but he still offered course-fit logic. Fowler has sputtered since a T18 at the Cognizant in March, yet Quail Hollow has been kind: a win at the 2012 Wells Fargo, 4th in 2019, and a T5 the last time the PGA visited in 2017. Schrock thinks the comfort factor could unlock Fowler’s best golf, making him a speculative outright and top-20 play for bettors chasing nostalgic upside.

Nick Piastowski threw a dart at Stephan Jaeger at a juicy +20000. Piastowski’s angle is simple: Quail Hollow is a big ballpark and Jaeger is a big hitter. The German also showed he can go low here, carding a second-round 65 on the way to a T21 at last year’s Wells Fargo. If Jaeger’s driver cooperates and he finds another gear with the putter, Piastowski believes he has the firepower to crash the leaderboard and cash long-shot tickets.

Kris McCormack spotlighted Joaquin Niemann at +2700, pointing to arguably the hottest form in golf. Niemann has already bagged three LIV titles in 2025—Mexico City, Adelaide, and Singapore—demonstrating both consistency and closing ability under pressure. McCormack sees that winning form translating to Quail Hollow, a track that rewards ball-striking pop and confidence. Bettors looking for a player entering the major on a heater should consider Niemann for outrights and top-5 props.

Maddi MacClurg rolled the dice on Jordan Spieth at +4000, citing both recent sparks and Spieth’s intangible edge. A closing-round 62 at the Byron Nelson signaled his scoring ceiling is still intact. Although Quail Hollow favors the bombers, MacClurg believes the course also rewards "imagination and grit," Spieth’s calling cards. With the career Grand Slam still missing a PGA title, MacClurg thinks the extra motivation, combined with a typically streaky putter that showed life in Texas, makes Spieth a legitimate contender worth an outright sprinkle and DFS exposure.

Jessica Marksbury doubled down on Max Homa at the same +8000 price. While she conceded the Californian’s season has been "admittedly tough," a T12 at Augusta was a welcome sign. More importantly, Quail Hollow has been Homa’s personal playground: a 2019 Wells Fargo win followed by back-to-back T8 finishes the last two years. Marksbury contends that if any venue can shake Homa from his funk, it is this one, making him an enticing outright and each-way ticket.

Connor Federico highlighted Max Homa at +8000, leaning on a sterling Charlotte résumé. Homa earned his first PGA Tour victory at the 2019 Wells Fargo at Quail Hollow and went 4-0-0 for Team USA at the 2022 Presidents Cup on the same property. Federico acknowledged Homa’s recent slump but pointed to a T12 at the Masters as proof the swing is trending back. With comfort on the layout and triple-digit form flashes, Federico believes the number is simply too long for a player who has already shown he can win on this track.

Adam Christensen tabbed Russell Henley as his preferred long-shot at +6000. Christensen argued that few players have been more week-to-week consistent in 2025, and Henley’s pinpoint accuracy should mitigate Quail Hollow’s bias toward power. The concern is Henley’s modest length off the tee, but Christensen thinks a "great week putting and chipping" – areas where Henley has flashed all season – is enough to steal the Wanamaker. Christensen views Henley as both an outright dart and a top-10 placement bet for gamblers searching the mid-tier of the board.

Josh Sens backed Scottie Scheffler at +500, arguing that a "so-so" week still puts him on the first page of the leaderboard and a good week wins it outright. Sens believes the betting market has Scheffler priced almost exactly at his true win probability, making the chalk surprisingly fair value.

Josh Schrock pivoted to Bryson DeChambeau at +1050 after initially eyeing Rory. Schrock noted Bryson had squandered chances in Miami, Augusta, and Mexico before breaking through in Korea, proving the form is real. He called Quail Hollow an ideal DeChambeau playground and emphasized Bryson's consistent major-championship presence over the past year. For a longer shot, Schrock also mentioned Shane Lowry at +5000.

Nick Piastowski reaffirmed the December futures ticket he placed on Rory McIlroy at +500, admitting it is the boring choice but still his favorite. He did add Sungjae Im as a deeper flyer at +6600, yet regards McIlroy's Quail Hollow pedigree and current form as the safest path to profit.

Zephyr Melton recommended Scottie Scheffler at +500, calling it an unsexy but logical pick. Melton highlighted Scheffler's rediscovered ball-striking two weeks ago in Texas. If that level continues, Melton projects major number three for Scheffler by Sunday evening at Quail Hollow.

Kris McCormack grabbed Rory McIlroy at +500, citing four career wins at Quail Hollow and a T22 finish when the venue hosted the 2017 PGA. McCormack labeled Quail one of Rory's favorite tracks—long, demanding, and tailor-made for his aggressive driving. That combination of comfort and fit makes McIlroy an obvious outright play despite the short price.

Maddi MacClurg took Bryson DeChambeau at +1050 after his recent LIV Golf Korea victory. She said Quail Hollow specifically rewards length off the tee and no one leverages power like Bryson. The layout tempts players to take aggressive lines—something DeChambeau relishes—and pays off those who execute. If his irons stay dialed, MacClurg believes Bryson converts that driving edge into a Wanamaker trophy.

Jessica Marksbury predicted Scottie Scheffler wins at +500, envisioning a possible Sunday duel with Rory McIlroy but ultimately siding with the refreshed World No.1. Scheffler is coming off a big win in Texas and enjoyed a full week of rest. Marksbury thinks that combination of form and recovery makes him the man to beat as he seeks to reset his major tally at Quail Hollow.

Connor Federico backed Ludvig Aberg at +1600, pointing to the 25-year-old's hot putter and blazing driver that kept him on Augusta's first page last month. Although Aberg has never teed it up at Quail Hollow, Federico compared his trajectory to Justin Thomas, who claimed his first major here at 24. With Aberg's all-around talent and recent form, Federico expects him to start a multi-major career by hoisting the Wanamaker on Sunday.

Adam Christensen said Scottie Scheffler is the smartest outright bet at +500 because the tournament will be won by whoever racks up the most birdies, and Scheffler is stuffing approach shots so close he has almost no choice but to score. Christensen noted Scheffler looked rusty early in 2025 but has since "figured it out," arriving at Quail Hollow with sky-high confidence. Given that the course rewards elite ball-striking more than any other skill, Christensen believes a locked-in Scheffler is flat-out dangerous to the rest of the field, Rory McIlroy included.

Alan Bastable highlighted Shane Lowry as a reliable top-20 and each-way option at the PGA Championship. Lowry has eight top-20 finishes in 11 starts this year and has 'contended nearly every time he tees it up.' Bastable acknowledged Lowry's late stumble at Philadelphia Cricket Club but argued that his ball-striking and short-game numbers have been remarkably steady, giving bettors a high floor and potential upside at Quail Hollow's demanding setup.

Jack Hirsh warned that Collin Morikawa is a fade for betting markets this week. After opening with a 63 at the Truist Championship, Morikawa regressed with rounds of 70-72 and ultimately placed outside the top-50, adding to a recent stretch of T54 and a missed cut. Hirsh highlighted Morikawa's experimentation with a new driver and a switch to a mallet putter since the Masters as signs he is still searching for the right setup. Until the two-time major winner regains both ball-striking consistency and putting confidence, Hirsh prefers to take a wait-and-see approach.

Jack Hirsh called Justin Thomas 'one of the hottest players in the game' since the Masters and urged bettors to consider him for outright tickets at Quail Hollow. Thomas snapped his win drought earlier in the spring and immediately followed it by threatening again at the Truist Championship, showing the iron play that made him a two-time PGA champion. Hirsh emphasized that Thomas has gained strokes tee-to-green in five straight starts and that his confidence is peaking at exactly the right time for another major run.

Josh Sens advised fading Jordan Spieth in outright and matchup markets, saying the idea of Spieth completing the career Grand Slam this year 'belongs in the fantasy section of the bookstore.' Sens noted that Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and other top-10 players are in sharper current form, while Spieth is still 'searching' for consistency, making a win against this field highly unlikely.

Jack Hirsh said Jordan Spieth is an outright bet to take seriously at this week's PGA Championship. Hirsh pointed to Spieth's two top-5 finishes already this season and an uninterrupted run of top-20s that dates back to early April, evidence that the Texan's game has finally rounded into shape after last year's wrist issues. Because Spieth is trending while still chasing the final leg of the career Grand Slam, Hirsh believes he will be a factor at Quail Hollow every year until he wins it and likes backing him over chasing the far less likely single-season Grand Slam narrative with Rory McIlroy.

Drew Stoltz, co-host of the Subpar podcast, recommended betting Sepp Straka for a top-10 finish at the Truist Championship at +350 on Fanatics Sportsbook. Stoltz said he knows the Wissahickon course better than most in the field and expects it to reward accuracy off the tee more than raw length. He highlighted Straka’s profile as a fairway-finder who pairs steady driving with solid iron play, noting that distance "doesn't matter as much" this week. With wet weather potentially softening the major-style setup, Stoltz believes Straka’s ability to keep the ball in play will translate to a strong leaderboard showing at generous +350 odds.

Colt Knost told listeners of the Subpar podcast that he is betting Jordan Spieth to finish inside the top 10 at the Truist Championship at +250 on Fanatics Sportsbook. Knost admitted he has little course history to lean on at Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon track, but he is banking on Spieth’s red-hot recent form: a closing 62 on Sunday at the Byron Nelson and a run of three or four consecutive top-20 finishes. Knost argued that those results show Spieth is "starting to feel more and more comfortable with his game" and trending toward another high finish, making the +250 price attractive.

Brady Kannon said Patrick Cantlay is his favorite outright at 21-1 and worth a top-10 sprinkle because the Wissahickon Course checks every one of Cantlay’s boxes. Cantlay has a documented love affair with Northeast Bentgrass, posting two Memorial wins (Muirfield Village), a victory at Caves Valley, and a 3rd-place at the 2019 PGA on another A.W. Tillinghast track (Bethpage Black). Recent form is equally sharp: Cantlay hasn’t missed a cut since May 2024 and over his last 24 measured rounds he ranks 8th in SG: Off-the-Tee, 7th in SG: Approach, 9th in Good Drives Gained, and 13th in proximity from 200+ yards. Kannon expects the modest 7,119-yard par-70 to reward that tee-to-green consistency while fast Bentgrass greens accentuate Cantlay’s historical edge, making him a prime betting target.

At 50-1 Keegan Bradley is Kannon’s favorite mid-tier dart thanks to a sparkling record on classic Northeast tracks. The Vermont native won the 2018 BMW at Aronimink, finished 7th at The Country Club in the 2022 U.S. Open, and was runner-up the same season at TPC Potomac. Stat-wise, Bradley sits inside the top-17 in every off-the-tee and approach category over his last 24 rounds, is No. 2 in proximity from 175-200 yards, and 6th in SG: Tee-to-Green. Kannon added a narrative bonus: Bradley captains this year’s Ryder Cup at yet another Tillinghast layout (Bethpage Black), so extra motivation is on tap. Combining elite ball-striking with a proven love for Bentgrass in the region, Kannon calls Bradley a legitimate contender and top-20 ticket.