It's The Final Round highlighted Braves rookie catcher Drake Baldwin as an under-the-radar hit prop if he’s in Saturday’s lineup against Cardinals right-hander Eric Fetty. Fetty is giving up a .280 average to left-handed hitters and struggled the last time the tout attacked him. Baldwin, a lefty bat, is slashing .276 vs right-handed pitching and is red-hot recently: .353 with six hits, a homer, and four RBI in his last five games. The tout admits Baldwin could rest because he’s a catcher, but if he starts, the southpaw–righty matchup plus Baldwin’s form make a single-hit or total bases play highly appealing.

It's The Final Round targeted Jackson Chourio for a baseline hit prop against Nationals rookie southpaw Shinosuke Ogasawara. In his MLB debut, Ogasawara was torched by right-handed hitters to the tune of a .554 average, confirming worries that Washington rushed him from the minors. Chourio owns a .356 average vs left-handed pitching this season and is equally hot overall, batting .348 with eight hits, a homer, six RBI, and six runs in the last seven days. The tout thinks Milwaukee’s stacked lefty core will force Ogasawara to pitch to Chourio and expects at least one knock, calling the righty’s hit prop the safest way to attack the matchup.

It's The Final Round said Elly De La Cruz is a must-play for a simple “record a hit” prop and even a separate walk prop against Rockies call-up Bradley Blaylock. Blaylock was shelled by Cincinnati earlier this season (7 hits, 6 ER in 4 IP) and is surrendering a .415 average to left-handed hitters. De La Cruz, a switch-hitter who is far more dangerous from the left side, went 2-for-2 off Blaylock in that prior meeting. He is scorching right now, batting .364 with eight hits, three RBI, and three runs over the past week, and he piled up four walks plus a triple last night because Colorado kept pitching around him. If he’s walked again he has elite stolen-base upside, adding extra outs for total bases or fantasy scoring. The tout expects the Rockies to remain terrified of him but still believes at least one official at-bat turns into a hit, making both the single-hit prop and a 1+ walk prop strong plus-EV looks.

It's The Final Round advised betting Nathan Lukes to record at least one hit (or explore runs and 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs) against Luis Severino on Friday. Severino has been pummeled this year, allowing a .298 batting average in Oakland home games and a .275 mark to left-handed batters. Lukes, Toronto’s left-handed lead-off man, owns a .283 average versus righties overall and is scorching over the last seven days with a .375 average (nine hits), one homer, four RBIs, and six runs. The tout emphasized Lukes’ table-setting role: if he reaches, the power behind him boosts his run-scoring equity. Given Severino’s home woes and Lukes’ current form, the recommendation is to back Lukes in basic hit markets with the option to sprinkle on runs or hits+runs+RBIs.

It's The Final Round said Elly De La Cruz is a strong target for hit-based props (single hit, 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs, total bases, even a single with stolen-base upside) against German — pronounced "Ramey" in the clip — Marquez on Friday. The tout highlighted that Marquez owns a .324 opponents’ batting average in road starts this season and is surrendering a .312 clip to left-handed hitters. De La Cruz will bat from his preferred left-handed side where he is hitting .295 on the year. Momentum is in his favor: back-to-back multi-hit nights and a .346/.393/.500 line (nine hits, five RBIs, four runs) over the last seven days. He has produced at least one hit in every career game versus the Rockies, many of them multi-hit efforts. Given the soft matchup, platoon edge, recent form, and historically good production versus Colorado, the tout recommended leveraging De La Cruz in most hit-related betting markets Friday.

It's The Final Round highlighted CJ Abrams as the best way to exploit Miles Mikolas on Thursday. Mikolas has been shaky in June and July and is yielding a .295 average to left-handed hitters. Abrams, the Nationals’ lefty leadoff man, is 8-for-28 (.286) with eight runs scored over his last eight games. More importantly, he has torched Mikolas historically: 5-for-13 with a homer, good for a .385 average. Because Abrams often hits leadoff and rarely drives in runs, the tout suggested bettors can consider both hit and "to score a run" props in addition to the standard single hit line.

It's The Final Round targeted Corey Seager against Angels right-hander Jack Czakonovic (the Rangers knocked him around for eight hits and four earned runs in 4.2 IP back in April). Czakonovic is surrendering a .300 average to lefties, and Seager fits that platoon edge. Entering Thursday he was already 7-for-22 (.318) with three homers, five RBI, and six runs over his previous six games, and he picked up another hit during Wednesday's action while the video was being recorded. Seager is also 1-for-2 lifetime off Czakonovic (.500). The tout recommended Seager for hit, total bases, or home-run props, noting the matchup and recent form give him legitimate fence-clearing upside.

It's The Final Round said Chandler Simpson is the ideal left-handed bat to attack Walker Buehler on Thursday. Buehler is allowing a .333 average to lefties and has been hit hard in four straight starts after two decent outings against Tampa earlier in the season. Simpson has a .304 average versus right-handed pitching, is 10-for-25 (.400) over the past week, and owns hits in 18 of his last 20 games. Even better for single props, 17 of those hits were singles, including an active 11-game single streak. The tout framed Simpson strictly as a "get-a-hit" or "single" play that can anchor a hit parlay, with a potential stolen-base sprinkle for bettors hunting a bigger price.

It’s The Final Round recommended betting Roman Anthony props (baseline one hit or the juicier 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs) against Antonio Senzatela. The Rockies right-hander is yielding a sky-high .364 average to left-handed hitters, and the Red Sox’s No. 1 prospect is beginning to flash his projected .300/30-HR upside. Over the past week Anthony is batting .364 with 9 hits, a homer, 5 RBIs and 5 runs; on Tuesday he added another hit, RBI and run, giving him 2 MLB homers already. With Senzatela described as “basically throwing batting practice,” Jordan expects Anthony’s hot streak to continue and sees value in backing his hitter props on Wednesday.

It’s The Final Round said Trevor Story is a strong play to record at least one hit – and preferably to smash the 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs line – on Wednesday against Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela. The tout noted that Senzatela has been brutal versus right-handed bats, surrendering a .339 average this season. Story is scorching: before Tuesday night’s homer (which is not in official data yet) he owned a .400 average over his last seven days, piling up 10 hits, 2 homers, 7 RBIs and 7 runs. More importantly, Story has been even better against right-handed pitching in that span, batting .438. With Boston already hanging double-digit runs Tuesday and Senzatela “basically throwing batting practice,” Jordan expects Story to stay hot and cash hitter-friendly props.

It's The Final Round targeted Lawrence Butler to tally a hit versus Atlanta rookie Didier Fuentes. Fuentes has made three big-league starts, reaching five innings only once and giving up six hits and four earned runs in that outing. Scouts noted good control but minimal pitch movement, and left-handed batters are punishing him for a .360 average. Butler, a lefty, is swinging well—five hits in five games last week (.313) and a .268 season average against right-handers compared to .194 versus southpaws. Expect Butler to cash his hit prop early, and pairing him with Juan Soto yields even-money odds on most books.

It's The Final Round said Juan Soto is a strong bet to record at least one hit Tuesday. The matchup is attractive because Orioles rookie Brandon Young has made four MLB starts and has yet to work five full innings while surrendering a .333 batting average to left-handed hitters. Soto himself is heating up: he owns a .333 average (7-for-21) over the past week and is 5-for-9 (.556) with a homer against right-handed pitching during the last seven days. Combining Soto with Lawrence Butler in a two-leg hit parlay pays roughly +100, but Soto is a standalone play thanks to Young’s lack of put-away stuff and Baltimore’s vulnerable bullpen.

It’s The Final Round recommended betting Michael Busch to record a hit (or over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs, with a home-run sprinkle) when the Cubs face right-hander Eric Fedde on Sunday. Fedde was tagged by Chicago two starts ago for eight hits, seven earned runs and three homers in just 3.2 innings, and he is allowing a .279 average to left-handed batters this season. Busch, a lefty, is even hotter than Story: .520 over the last week (13 hits), with five homers—four of them in the past two days—plus 10 RBI and seven runs. He already owns Fedde too, going 4-for-7 (.571) with a homer and two RBI in their limited head-to-head. With both recent form and BvP data aligning, Jordan likes Busch as a core piece in hit parlays or a modest HR ticket.

It’s The Final Round said Trevor Story is a must-target for at least one hit (and he personally plans to ladder into the Hits+Runs+RBIs market) in Sunday’s 1:35 p.m. game against Washington. The case hinges on three data points: (1) Story’s current heater—14 hits in his last seven games for a .500 average with two homers, 10 RBI and eight runs; (2) his superior performance in day games, batting .289 in early starts; and (3) a cake matchup with left-hander Shintaro Fujinami-like prospect Sinosaki Ogan Sawara, who is making his MLB debut after being rushed through the minors where he allowed a .271 average overall and the same .271 clip specifically to right-handed hitters. Jordan framed the rookie as overmatched and expects Boston’s surging lineup to pounce, making a simple ‘to record a hit’ prop—or an HRR combo—an actionable play.

It’s The Final Round labeled Brice Turang as another lean in the Brewers–Marlins matchup. Turang is hitting .320 and has produced a hit in 14 of his last 15 games. While not as strong as the Yelich play, Turang’s recent consistency offers an intriguing secondary hit prop against Sandy Alcantara, especially for bettors constructing larger parlays.

It’s The Final Round offered Josh Lowe as a lean if bettors want more than the core three picks. Lowe owns a blazing .545 average over the last 10 days and has collected hits in 7 of his previous 10 games (13 of 17 overall). Those numbers make him a viable add-on hit prop in the same Paddack matchup, though the tout labeled it a lighter play than the primary trio.

It’s The Final Round recommended Yandy Diaz to record a hit against Chris Paddack. The tout highlighted that Paddack is giving up a .296 average to right-handed hitters in his last three starts, while Diaz is batting .360 over his past 10 games. Diaz has hits in 8 of his last 10 and in 20 of his last 22 games, underscoring his reliability for a simple 1-plus-hit wager.

It’s The Final Round advised betting Brandon Lowe to record a hit versus Chris Paddack. Paddack has allowed a .273 average to left-handed hitters over his last three outings, and Lowe owns a .381 average in his past 10 games. He has notched a hit in 9 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 19 contests, giving bettors a strong statistical foundation for the hit prop.

It’s The Final Round said Christian Yelich is a must-bet to record at least one hit against Sandy Alcantara. The tout noted Alcantara has surrendered a .282 batting average to left-handed hitters over his last three starts, while Yelich is scorching right-handed pitching with a .381 average the past 10 days. Yelich has logged a hit in 13 of his last 14 games, so the combination of pitcher split, current form, and extended consistency makes the hit prop attractive.

It’s The Final Round identified Jake Meyers as a plus matchup against Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland. Meyers is 2-for-3 (.667) off Freeland and has notched a hit in 15 of his last 17 games. With Freeland’s diminishing velocity and Coors-field-boosted run environment, the tout likes Meyers to go over 0.5 hits and serve as a low-salary DFS salary-saver in Houston stacks.

It’s The Final Round recommended Riley Greene over 0.5 hits against Cole Irvin. Greene is 2-for-4 (.500) in their brief history and is scorching right now, posting hits in 7 of his last 10 and 11 of his last 14 games. Those trends, combined with Irvin’s contact-friendly profile, make Greene a strong one-off for hit props and a mid-tier DFS target.

It’s The Final Round backed Joe Adell to collect a hit against Braves right-hander Bryce Elder. Elder has been torched by righties recently, giving up a .432 batting average in his past three outings while leaning heavily on a sinker (52 % usage) and slider (42 %), both allowing opponents over .280. Adell owns a .308 average versus right-handers, hit .286 against sinkers and .385 against sliders in June, and is on a 12-game hit streak. Those splits moved the tout to bet Adell over 0.5 hits and view him as a dependable DFS play while he stays hot.

It’s The Final Round said he is betting Byron Buxton to record at least one hit Thursday against Marlins rookie Yuri Perez. The tout pointed out that Perez has surrendered a .357 average to right-handed hitters over his last three starts and that his primary pitch, a four-seam fastball he throws 49 % of the time, has been ripped for a .444 average. Buxton is swinging it well: .303 versus right-handers the last 10 days, .286 against four-seamers and .364 against sliders in June, and hits in eight of his last ten games. All of that led the host to back the over 0.5 hits prop and label Buxton a solid DFS one-off.

Xavier Edwards is 2-for-2 lifetime against Woods-Rich and has collected hits in seven of his last ten (11 of 14). The tout suggested him as a deeper-card hit prop if the market posts a low line due to limited MLB exposure.

Cody Bellinger is 3-for-5 with a homer (.600) off Jose Berrios and has hits in 10 of his last 11 contests. The tout views him as a solid 1+ hit or total bases play.

Jake Meyers is 4-for-6 (.667) in the limited but perfect BvP sample against Austin Gomber and has recorded a hit in 15 of his last 16 games. The tout flagged him as a sneaky leg in hit parlays.

Bobby Witt Jr. is 5-for-11 (.455) with a homer off Gilbert and has hits in eight of his last ten (12 of 14 overall). The tout suggests riding a Witt 1+ hit or total bases over given the favorable history and current form.

The tout highlighted Lars Nootbaar’s 6-for-17 (.353) career line with a homer against Mitch Keller. Nootbaar has a hit in seven of his last ten games, so backing him for 1+ hit against a pitcher he has handled well makes sense for single-game props or parlays.

It’s The Final Round likes Jo Adell to keep his 11-game hit streak alive against Didier Fuentes. Fuentes throws a four-seam fastball 61 % of the time and has yielded a staggering .571 average on it through two big-league starts, plus a sweeper 31 % of the time. Adell hit .333 against four-seamers in June and .333 against sweepers in early July, while batting .333 versus right-handers over the past 10 days. Fuentes has allowed a .400 BAA overall, so the tout believes Adell 1+ hit is very live with home-run upside if Fuentes’ fastball command remains suspect.

It’s The Final Round targeted Luis Arraez for a hit prop versus rookie Mick Abel. Abel is giving up a .323 average to lefties in his last three appearances and throws his four-seam fastball 54 % of the time (.269 BAA) and a sweeper 31 % of the time. Arraez is a contact machine: .333 versus right-handers the last 10 days, .333 against four-seamers for the season, and a ridiculous .421 versus sweepers. Those two offerings account for 85 % of Abel’s pitches. With hits in 15 of his past 16 games, Arraez is viewed as one of the safest 1+ hit bets on Wednesday’s slate.

It’s The Final Round recommended betting Christian Yelich to record at least one hit against Blade Tidwell. Tidwell has allowed a .333 BAA over his last three starts and lives on a four-seam fastball 45 % of the time that is getting crushed at .375. He backs it up with a slider 21 % of the time (.290 BAA). Yelich is scorching right-handers (.417 last 10 days) and owns a .304 season-long average versus four-seamers plus .290 versus sliders. He carries a 12-game hitting streak, so the tout views the 1+ hit prop as a strong floor with potential for extra bases if Tidwell’s heater keeps leaking over the plate.

It’s The Final Round said Byron Buxton is a plus bet to record a hit – and possibly more – against Jansen Junk. Junk has surrendered a .269 batting average over his past three outings and leans on a four-seam fastball 36 % of the time that opponents are torching at a .333 clip. He mixes in a slider 33 % of the time (.250 BAA) and an occasional sweeper. Buxton owns a .345 average versus right-handers the last 10 days, is hitting .286 against four-seamers in the past month and an even better .367 against sliders. He has at least one hit in seven of his last ten games, so the tout’s baseline play is Buxton 1+ hit with upside for multi-hit or power if Junk stays in the zone.

It's The Final Round targeted Riley Green props against Nationals right-hander Trevor Williams, calling it his "absolutely love" play. Williams has imploded over his last three starts, surrendering a .428 average to left-handed hitters. His top two pitches make up 69 % of his arsenal and both are getting crushed: four-seam fastball 43 % usage (.407 BAA) and sweeper 26 % (.341 BAA to LHB). Green owns a red-hot .478 average vs righties the past 10 days, slugs .271 against four-seamers on the season, and is batting .364 off sweepers. He has hit safely in 10 of his last 13 games and lands on the tout’s seven-man home-run list. The analyst recommends Green for "record a hit" parlays and long-shot HR props alike.

It's The Final Round pointed to CJ Abrams as another favorable hit prop, citing a 3-for-7 career mark (.429) against Jack Flaherty and white-hot recent form — hits in 9 of his last 10 contests. Flaherty’s .346 average allowed to left-handed hitters sets the table for Abrams to keep the streak alive, making him a viable single-prop or parlay addition on Tuesday’s card.

It's The Final Round highlighted Marcus Semien as a steady hits-prop option versus Charlie Morton. The second baseman owns a 3-for-10 lifetime line (.300) against Morton and is in form, collecting knocks in 7 of his last 10 games and 17 of his last 20. The tout’s model requires both a .300+ historical average and recent heat, and Semien checks both boxes, making him a plug-and-play ‘record a hit’ piece for parlays.

It's The Final Round called James Wood a pure boom-or-bust long-shot HR play versus Jack Flaherty. The concern: pitchers are already pitching around the rookie — he drew four straight intentional walks in his last game and has been walked 7 times in his last 15 plate appearances (46 %). That makes hit props unplayable at the inflated odds. However, the underlying matchup screams power upside. Flaherty is allowing a .346 average to lefties and leans on a four-seam fastball 42 % of the time (.302 BAA). Wood is batting .374 off four-seamers this season and .300 vs righties over the previous 10 days, with hits in 7 of his last 10 games. Because HR odds sit in the +300 to +500 range, the tout is willing to sprinkle on a Wood homer but nothing else.

It's The Final Round said Ketel Marte is his favorite swing-for-power play of the day against Giants rookie Hayden Birdsong. He pointed to Birdsong’s recent .273 opponent batting average and a pitch mix that should feed into Marte’s strengths. Birdsong leans on a four-seam fastball 44 % of the time (.244 BAA) and a change-up 23 % (.289 BAA). Marte is crushing both offerings this year — .417 off four-seamers and .375 off change-ups. Although the head-to-head sample is only 2 AB, Marte already has a homer off Birdsong. The switch-hitter is on a tear with hits in 7 of his last 10 games (19 of 25 overall) and owns a .310 average versus righties over the past 10 days. The tout labeled Marte a clear home-run prop target and a hits-prop anchor for Tuesday’s slate.

It’s The Final Round said Bryson Stott is his Day-6 hit-streak pick against Padres right-hander Matt Waldron. Waldron is making his season debut after getting shelled in Triple-A, where left-handed hitters pounded him for a .315 average and he allowed seven hits and five runs in just 2.2 innings his last start. Throughout the past two seasons he has surrendered a .260-.270 average to lefties. Stott bats lefty and has crushed Waldron in their limited MLB history, going 4-for-6 with three doubles (.667 AVG). Stott is hot overall, hitting .294 over the past week with knocks in seven of his last nine games. On the season he owns a 70% hit rate versus right-handed pitching and nearly 80% when those righties come to Citizens Bank Park. The tout recommended using Stott in a ‘to record a hit’ prop or tacking him onto hit parlays, noting plus-money value on a single and upside for another double.

It’s The Final Round said Brice Turang is the one batter to lock in for Saturday’s player-prop card. The tout wants to attack Rockies right-hander Antonio Senzatela, who has been atrocious against lefties this season (.368 opponent AVG) and was torched by Milwaukee earlier this year for 8 hits, 9 runs and 2 homers in just 4.1 innings. Turang bats left-handed, owns a 2-for-3 career line off Senzatela from that game, and is white-hot this week with a .414 average (12 hits), 1 HR, 7 RBI and 7 runs. With the Brewers offense rolling, the tout advised taking Turang’s OVER on hits, Hits+Runs+RBIs, and total bases props, expecting him to extend both his personal hit streak and the tout’s own three-day pick streak.

It's The Final Round noted Ian Happ’s 2-for-2 career line (1.000) against Walter and his eight-hits-in-10-game recent stretch, recommending a small-sample but high-confidence hit prop for Friday’s slate.

The tout loves Nick Castellanos in all long-ball or total-base markets because he has absolutely destroyed Bryce Elder: three home runs in just six career at-bats (3-for-6, .500). Castellanos also carries an eight-for-10 game recent hit clip, backing the play with both history and current form.

It's The Final Round pointed to Cody Bellinger’s 3-for-4 (.750) track record against Mitch Spence—good for a .375 average including all outcomes—and his seven hits in the last nine games as reasons to back the former MVP in Friday betting markets.

The tout closed his list with Luis Arraez, who is 2-for-4 with a homer (.500) lifetime off Nick Martinez and enters Friday on a 12-game hitting streak. Given Arraez’s elite bat-to-ball skills, the recommendation is a straightforward "to record a hit" wager with the potential to ladder up to hits+runs+RBIs.

The tout flagged Riley Greene as another hot hand worth a hit or total-bases play. Greene is 3-for-5 with a homer (.600) off David Festa and has produced hits in eight of his last 10 contests, reinforcing confidence in the matchup.

It's The Final Round suggested bettors target Bo Bichette for simple hit props Friday. Bichette has owned Brayan Bello, going 5-for-13 (.385) lifetime, and is swinging well with knocks in eight of his last 10 games. The tout likes combining Bichette in multi-player slips that key on historical pitcher dominance plus current form.

It's The Final Round made Caleb Durbin his standalone Friday pick thanks to a dream righty-lefty matchup with Kyle Freeland. Freeland just exited a two-week IL stint and, over his last nine starts, has been shelled for 7.5 hits per outing while lasting only 5.1 innings on average. Earlier this year the Rockies left-hander surrendered eight hits and five earned to Milwaukee, and he owns a .333 average allowed to right-handed bats in 2024. Durbin is torching southpaws (.304 season-long; 5-for-8, .625 with a homer in the last two weeks) and is slashing .357/2 HR/7 RBI/10 R over the previous week overall. Given Freeland’s rust and historical struggles, the tout recommends Durbin in hits, HRR, or total-base markets, noting that correlated Brewers stacks are possible on the Novig exchange.

It's The Final Round highlighted Junior Caminero as the fourth Rays stick to exploit Tamayuki Shigano. The rookie is batting .435 off righties over the last 10 days (25 PA) and has logged hits in 8 of his previous 10 games. Caminero’s 27.8% sweet-spot rate may rank just 242nd, but the tout stressed that raw exit-velocity talent plus Shigano’s .405 average allowed to right-handers provides a high-floor opportunity for hit props. Bettors uncomfortable with multiple correlated Rays tickets were encouraged to include Caminero in Novig parlays that stack hits, runs, and RBIs.

It's The Final Round called Yandy Diaz "on fire" and a must-play in hit and total-bases markets against Tamayuki Shigano. Shigano has been even worse to right-handed hitters, coughing up a .405 average in his last three starts. Meanwhile Diaz sports a ridiculous .464 average versus right-handed pitching in the past 10 days (31 PA) and has a knock in 15 of his last 16 contests. Although his 29.6% sweet-spot rate is middling, Diaz’s elite hard-hit profile plus Shigano’s poor contact suppression give the tout confidence that Diaz will extend his heater and reward bettors.

It's The Final Round advised backing Jonathan Aranda for at least one hit Friday because he checks every box versus Tamayuki Shigano. Aranda owns a .391 average off right-handed pitching in the last 10 days (25 PA) and an 11-game hitting streak. His 40.5% launch-angle sweet-spot rate is 23rd-best in MLB, far higher than league average and perfectly suited to punish Shigano, whose own sweet-spot rate allowed (37.2%) is among the worst in baseball. With Shigano surrendering a .286 average to lefties in his last three outings, the tout expects Aranda to keep the line moving for Tampa and cash simple "to record a hit" tickets with upside for multi-total bases.

It's The Final Round said Brandon Lowe is one of the best hit-prop targets on June 27. Tout emphasized that right-hander Tamayuki Shigano has allowed a .286 average to lefties across his last three starts and owns a 37.2% launch-angle ‘sweet-spot’ rate that ranks an awful 296th of 363 qualified pitchers. Lowe is scorching with a .346 average versus right-handed pitching over the past 10 days (27 PA) and is riding a 13-game hitting streak. His own 38.2% sweet-spot rate ranks 53rd in MLB, giving Lowe ideal batted-ball angles to punish Shigano’s elevated contact profile. The tout’s baseline play is simply "record a hit," though he noted Lowe could easily clear total-bases or hits+runs+RBI tickets as well.

Diaz owns a 2-for-4 (.500) line off Michael Lorenzen and is now riding a 15-game hitting streak after cashing yesterday. It's The Final Round labeled him one of the safest hit-prop choices on the slate.