Just A Bet Outside noted Starling Marte as another promising Mets bat against Kevin Gausman, given his strong career numbers against the Blue Jays pitcher. Marte has gone 8-for-13 with a home run in prior meetings against Gausman, implying comfort and consistent production in the matchup. This history suggests Marte is well-positioned as a valuable DFS option or hitter prop bet candidate when matched against Gausman.

Just A Bet Outside emphasized Shohta Imanaga's potential success despite early schedule challenges. Imanaga carried a strong 2.91 ERA as a rookie last season and already performed admirably against two strong offensive clubs, Arizona and the Dodgers, showing early signs of continued excellence. He's once again tasked with a difficult San Diego Padres lineup, but early indicators suggest he's well-equipped to deliver another strong outing. Bettors and fantasy owners should keep tabs on Imanaga as a viable pitcher even in tough matchups as he continues to prove himself.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Juan Soto as a strong hitter matchup against pitcher Kevin Gausman. Soto has an impressive career line against Gausman, going 8-for-15 with one home run. Beyond that impressive batting average, Soto has also managed to draw an incredible 12 walks versus Gausman, showcasing his strong plate discipline and his ability to get on base consistently in these matchups. Bettors and DFS players should strongly consider prioritizing Soto in lineups or betting scenarios when facing Gausman based on this strong historical performance.

Just A Bet Outside cautioned against betting Nick Lodolo's strikeout props. Despite an expectation of high strikeout rates based on his past performance, Lodolo now appears to have shifted from being a strikeout-heavy pitcher to pitching more to contact and being efficient, but without the key swing-and-miss 'knockout pitch' that leads to Ks. He went nearly seven innings in his recent start yet failed to surpass a relatively modest strikeout total. Bettors should adjust their expectations and consider avoiding or fading Lodolo's strikeout overs until evidence of higher K volume returns.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Julio Rodriguez's and several Mariners hitters' historical struggles against Justin Verlander, cautioning bettors and DFS players. Rodriguez and his Seattle teammates Jorge Polanco, Mitch Garver, and Cal Raleigh have collectively struggled significantly, with the channel humorously acknowledging Verlander has historically dominated the Mariners hitters ("he is our daddy"). Although Verlander isn't the exact pitcher he once was, there remains strong historical precedence for Mariners to continue struggling against him in current betting or fantasy matchups.

Just a Bet Outside cautioned about Rafael Devers' historically bad start to the season, highlighting a concerning statistic of 15 strikeouts in his first 19 at-bats. He provided context comparing this to Tony Gwynn, who remarkably struck out only 15 times across 585 at-bats in 1995, underlining just how alarming Devers' early struggles are. Given the unusually high strikeout rate and slow start, Just a Bet Outside implied Devers could remain cold at the plate in the near future.

Just a Bet Outside emphasized Fernando Tatis Jr.'s scorching start to the season with a .467 batting average, hitting safely in all five games played thus far. He highlighted Tatis Jr.'s matchup against Guardians lefty Logan Allen, who struggled immensely last season, posting a near-6.00 ERA. Allen particularly fails against right-handed batters, evidenced by an alarming .306 average and .574 slugging given up to righties. Allen's woes are exacerbated on the road, where his ERA ballooned above 6.39 last season. Given this matchup context, Tatis Jr.'s inclusion in hitter parlays and DFS lineups makes tremendous strategic sense today.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Angels' young infielder Kyren Paris as an actionable DFS or player prop target due to his red-hot start this season. Paris is currently hitting .429 with three home runs, showcasing strong early production. Given his impressive numbers and evident power surge, Paris offers clear upside in fantasy baseball formats and prop betting scenarios for today's matchup against Zach Littell.

Just A Bet Outside sees Mike Trout as a strong target to breakout soon after a relatively slow start this season, noting he's recently shown signs of turning things around at the plate. While Trout's overall numbers haven't exploded yet, the analyst anticipates a turnaround given Trout's track record and encouraging recent plate appearances. With Trout's proven elite hitting talent, a bounce-back is highly probable, making him an intriguing option in DFS or prop betting markets in the near term.

Just A Bet Outside strongly recommended Rafael Devers based on his recent hot streak and history attacking Chris Bassitt. Over the last seven days, Devers has been exceptionally hot, hitting .409 with seven RBI, turning around his earlier struggles totally. Historically, Devers has dominated against Bassitt, hitting .500 (7 for 14). Given this perfect alignment of both a hot streak and historical batter versus pitcher success, Devers emerges as a prime DFS target or a good consideration for betting his offensive props today.

Just A Bet Outside strongly recommends betting Rafael Devers' offensive props, specifically over 1.5 total bases or hits/runs/RBIs (HRs). Devers is red-hot, hitting above .400 over his past seven games. Historically, he's had great success against Chris Bassitt, with a .500 average (7 for 14) including five extra-base hits and three home runs. He consistently exceeded two total bases in the five most recent meetings against Bassitt, highlighting an actionable batting advantage. With Devers currently on a tear offensively and historically dominant against Bassitt, he stands out as an excellent betting or DFS choice.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Ty France as an attractive fantasy or betting option given his historical success against pitcher Michael Wacha. France, now with the Twins, produced excellent career results against Wacha, hitting .500 (10 for 20) with five extra-base hits. Such substantial evidence of past success strongly suggests an actionable edge for betting player props or DFS lineups featuring France in this matchup.

Just A Bet Outside sees Jose Soriano as a prime bounce-back candidate against the Rays. Soriano is coming off a rough outing where he allowed five earned runs, but the analyst points out this performance is misleading due to him allowing just five hits and still achieving nine strikeouts. Historically, he is an elite ground-ball pitcher (61.9% last season, 63% so far this year) who doesn't give up many home runs. His first start this year was dominant—seven scoreless innings—and combined with Tampa Bay's recent offensive struggles (four or fewer runs in five straight until yesterday), this sets up strongly for Soriano and the Angels. Just A Bet Outside specifically mentions the Rays' high BABIP indicating potential offensive regression. Given these factors, Angels on the money line at plus odds represents strong value.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted Bailey Ober as one of the few pitchers with significant strikeout upside on today's slate. Ober owns the highest strikeout rate of any pitcher going today at 26.9%. Facing a Royals lineup that features multiple hitters with high strikeout tendencies, Ober projects strongly as a potential DFS pitching selection or an actionable target if betting strikeout prop overs is considered, as the analyst underscored his top-tier swing-and-miss capabilities.

Just A Bet Outside made a case for Milwaukee Brewers team total over 4.5 runs at Coors Field against Ryan Feltner and the Rockies. The Brewers exploded offensively in each of the first two games of the series, scoring 7 and then 17 runs (totaling 24 hits). Coors Field is known for its high elevation, fostering offensive production. Feltner struggled last year at home and posted a poor 5.10 ERA along with a .294 opponent batting average at Coors Field. While Feltner was decent in his first two starts this season—each time allowing two earned runs in five innings—the Brewers' current hot streak at the plate in this stadium environment strongly favors them exceeding their total again.

Just A Bet Outside identified Matt Olson as a hitter to fade for his matchup against Jesus Luzardo. Olson has struggled significantly against Luzardo in past encounters, including accumulating six strikeouts. Luzardo is also coming fresh off a strong outing against the potent Dodgers lineup, further reinforcing expectations that Olson could struggle again today. The analyst cites this combination of pitcher confidence and hitter batter history as actionable reasoning to consider Olson negatively in DFS or betting markets.

Just A Bet Outside liked the Blue Jays' alternate team total over 2.5 runs against Walker Buehler and the Red Sox pitching staff. Buehler has struggled severely to start the season with an 8.68 ERA, an extremely low strikeout rate of just 16.3%, and a high 13.5 hits per nine innings (bottom ninth percentile in MLB). He surrendered four and five earned runs respectively in his first two starts. Toronto hits right-handed pitching effectively, holding the 11th highest batting average so far versus righties. Specific hitters mentioned include George Springer (.459 average) and Bo Bichette (.300+). The analyst expects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Anthony Santander will soon bounce back, providing further upside. Toronto reached three-plus runs in six of their first 10 games, averaging 3.4 runs per game. The analyst emphasizes Buehler’s current form as the primary reason behind this bet.

Just A Bet Outside recommended backing the Reds to score at least two runs in the first five innings against Justin Verlander, strongly highlighting Verlander's evident decline. Last season, Verlander's ERA ballooned over 5.00, and it currently sits above 6.00. The analyst stressed that Verlander looks hittable at this stage of his career, explicitly saying 'Verlander is toast' and that this is likely his last year. Considering these struggles, bettors should target him by betting the Reds team total over 1.5 runs in the first five innings or over 3.5 for the full game.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting on the Marlins money line at +185 as a high-value underdog, highlighting several key points. Firstly, he mentioned it's difficult for teams to secure a sweep, as the Mets have already won the first two games of the series. He outlined that pitching matchups between Miami's Max Meyer and New York's Tylor Megill are closer than odds suggest. Meyer has performed well thus far, collecting 15 strikeouts through 11.2 innings and maintaining a solid 3.00 ERA. Conversely, Megill, despite his strong start, has demonstrated sustained mediocrity in recent seasons with ERAs consistently over 4.50, signaling that regression is expected soon. Furthermore, the analyst elaborated that the Mets offense has been inconsistent outside Pete Alonso, citing struggles from Mark Vientos (batting just .114), Brett Baty (.095), and Brandon Nimmo (.211). JABO believes the early start getaway game's unpredictability coupled with the inflated money line provides considerable betting value behind an evenly matched pitching contest.

Just A Bet Outside pointed out Cal Raleigh's concerning matchup struggles against Houston pitcher Hunter Brown. Raleigh has managed just two hits in thirteen at-bats, accompanied by six strikeouts when facing Brown. This repeatedly poor performance makes Raleigh a prime candidate to fade in today's DFS slates or betting markets.

Just A Bet Outside recommended taking Kevin Gausman's strikeout prop under 5.5Ks, citing significant concerns over his sharply declining swing-and-miss ability. Gausman recorded only 4 strikeouts against the Orioles and zero against the Mets this season, despite pitching over five innings in each game. Focusing on his splitter, JABO noted its steep drop-off from a 22% swinging strike rate in 2023 down to just 5% this year, highlighting the pitch's diminished effectiveness. Furthermore, while the Red Sox maintain a seemingly average 23% strikeout rate overall against righties, their rate at Fenway Park is drastically lower at just 15.5%, third-best in MLB. Additionally, the analyst emphasized that Rafael Devers has had previous success hitting Gausman, making Boston's lineup even less strikeout-prone. Given Fenway Park's hitter-friendly environment and Gausman's decreased ability to miss bats, this bet is strongly supported by data and recent form.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Taijuan Walker's declining production, calling him 'batting practice' and specifically noting his vulnerability due to his lack of swing-and-miss capability. Considering Walker's declining profile and propensity to surrender hard contact, fading him in betting and DFS scenarios offers potentially optimal leverage.

Just A Bet Outside detailed how Alejandro Kirk, combined with teammate George Springer, is having severe historical struggles against Tanner Houck, with the duo collectively 0-for-23 with seven strikeouts. Kirk personally contributes significantly to this poor record, suggesting bettors and DFS players strongly consider fading him against Houck.

Just A Bet Outside emphasized Andrew Vaughn's impressive career performance against Logan Allen. Vaughn is 8-for-17 when facing Allen, indicating a viable targeted play for player props or DFS lineups. Considering Vaughn's repeated success against Allen, bettors should confidently back him in today's matchup.

Just A Bet Outside called attention to MJ Melendez's disastrous historical matchup with Joe Ryan. Melendez has only one hit in 15 at-bats against Ryan, striking out 10 times. This significant sample size of poor performance strongly indicates fading Melendez in betting markets or DFS formats is wise.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Mike Yastrzemski's striking futility against Nick Martinez as an actionable betting insight. Yastrzemski is 0-for-11 with seven strikeouts against Martinez, who is not considered a dominant pitcher. Given the severity of this historical matchup trouble, fading Yastrzemski in betting markets like hitter props is strongly advised.

Just A Bet Outside recommended placing a bet on the Philadelphia Phillies' moneyline at +100 against the Braves. Noting Zack Wheeler's strong historical performances against the Braves lineup, the tout pointed out their key hitters' combined struggles (Albies, Ozuna, Olson, Arcia are only 26 for 148 against Wheeler). This absence of success coincides with a Braves team that is currently struggling at 1-8 without Ronald Acuna Jr. and with Jurickson Profar suspended. Though Chris Sale, who the analyst mistakenly attributed to the Braves, has allowed three earned runs in each of his first two games against strong opponents (Dodgers, Padres), Philadelphia's offense has been top-10 and can manage runs against him. Considering both teams' bullpen rest, the analyst expressed significant surprise that Wheeler and a strong Phillies team are underdogs, highlighting clear betting value.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting Carlos Carrasco under 4.5 strikeouts against the Tigers. The analyst highlighted Carrasco's declining swing-and-miss ability, reflected by last season's road K-rate drop from 22.3% to 17.7%. Additionally, Carrasco went under 4.5 Ks in 64% of his road starts last year. Despite the Tigers showing an inflated strikeout rate early this season with high strikeout totals against top pitchers Logan Gilbert and Yamamoto, 4 of their other 5 matchups against right-handed pitchers have ended with three or fewer strikeouts. Given Carrasco's age and lack of ability to generate whiffs (12 total whiffs in 7.1 innings this year), the analyst strongly recommended fading Carrasco's strikeout total.

Just A Bet Outside identified Ezequiel Tovar as an intriguing option, highlighting he's 3 for 7 with two home runs against Freddy Peralta. Given Tovar's impressive small-sample success, coupled with a favorable home environment at Coors Field, he's an appealing play for fantasy and prop betting lineups today.

Just A Bet Outside cautions against using Ozzie Albies in betting and fantasy formats today, highlighting his significant struggles historically against Zack Wheeler, with Albies managing only a 7-for-47 stat line and accumulating 9 strikeouts. Wheeler's recent strong performances further underline the unfavorable matchup for Albies.

Just A Bet Outside featured Pablo Lopez in the pitcher report, noting he's allowed just three earned runs through 12 innings this year despite lower strikeout totals. Facing a Royals lineup that has been inconsistent, Lopez projects strongly for quality innings and potentially enhanced K numbers today.

Just A Bet Outside pinpointed Aaron Judge's appealing historical matchup against Tigers' pitcher Tarik Skubal, mentioning Judge has gone 6 for 14 with two home runs against Skubal. Given Judge's track record, he is recommended as a strong DFS option and a valuable player prop candidate for today's slate.

Just A Bet Outside emphasized Zack Wheeler's overwhelming historical success against multiple Atlanta Braves hitters today, highlighting Marcell Ozuna's 21 strikeouts, Ozzie Albies' 9 strikeouts in 47 at-bats, and Matt Olson's 8 Ks in 26 at-bats. Wheeler has been dominant recently, and given the Braves hitters' historical difficulties, they projected Wheeler to have a strong pitching performance.

Just A Bet Outside advised caution regarding Nick Castellanos, due to his pronounced inability to handle Chris Sale historically, accumulating 19 strikeouts. Despite Sale's inconsistent form this season, Castellanos' historical issues render him a risky DFS and prop bet consideration today.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted a concerning matchup for Marcell Ozuna against Zack Wheeler, noting Ozuna's disastrous history of 21 strikeouts in their career head-to-head meetings. Given Wheeler's impressive form of late, Ozuna's struggles are projected to continue, making him a risky pick for any hitting prop bets today.

Just A Bet Outside strongly backs Logan Gilbert’s strikeout prop (over 6.5 Ks) highlighting the matchup opportunity against the Astros. Contrary to their historically low strikeout reputation, Houston now ranks third highest among MLB teams in strikeout rate versus right-handers at 27.9%, after losing key low-strikeout batters like Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker. With five right-handed starters already tallying six or more Ks versus the Astros this season, and Gilbert being characterized as the strongest strikeout pitcher the Astros have encountered this year, JABO expects Gilbert to surpass 6.5 Ks comfortably. Gilbert also excels at pitching deep into games, with a projected outs line of 18.5 (six-plus innings), enhancing his strikeout opportunity significantly. Lastly, Gilbert’s self-proclaimed affection for The Office humorously boosts JABO's confidence in backing this bet.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted Casey Mize's strong potential to emerge as a dependable rotation piece this year thanks to his new split-finger pitch. Following a successful spring showing (9 hits allowed, 17 IP), Mize carried that form into his first regular season start, allowing just one hit in 5.2 scoreless innings against Seattle, showcasing good strikeout potential (6Ks) and command of the new splitter. Improved arsenal, positive spring momentum, and promising early results suggest Mize can consistently deliver quality innings going forward, making him a viable DFS and betting play against shaky offenses like this Yankees squad.

Previously highlighting Logan Gilbert's dominant strikeout form, Just A Bet Outside doubles down by recommending his strikeout prop (over 6.5 Ks) tonight against the Astros. Gilbert's first two outings showcased potent swing-and-miss ability (8 Ks vs Athletics on 16 whiffs; 10Ks vs Tigers on massive 22 whiffs), demonstrating elite velocity (96 mph fastball) and an outstanding splitter. Gilbert performs particularly well at home (29.8% K-rate, 2.49 ERA last year at T-Mobile Park). The historically contact-oriented Astros lineup now features new strikeout-prone hitters following the departure of low-strikeout guys like Bregman and Tucker, pushing Houston's K-rate versus righties to third-highest in MLB (27.9%). Given Gilbert's tremendous strikeout track record, ideal home venue, and favorable matchup, Just A Bet Outside strongly recommends this prop.

Just A Bet Outside recommends betting Zach Eflin under 17.5 outs, despite him reaching exactly six innings in his first two starts, citing several concerning factors. Eflin does not generate strikeouts effectively, with only seven Ks in twelve innings thus far and a low swinging strike profile. He gave up eight hits last outing and had a historically worse road ERA in the previous season (4.24) compared to home (2.66 ERA). Facing Arizona's offense presents trouble—they rank top three in WRC+, average versus right-handers, slugging, have a low strikeout rate (sixth lowest), high walk rate, suggesting disciplined at-bats to increase pitch counts. The Diamondbacks' proven hitting combined with Eflin's road struggles justifies confidently betting the under on his outs recorded prop (17.5).

Just A Bet Outside pointed out Eugenio Suarez's brutal history against Baltimore Orioles pitcher Zach Eflin. Despite Suarez's good start to the season, he is 0-for-11 with seven strikeouts against Eflin in his career. Given these extreme struggles, Suarez represents a clear fade in DFS lineups and betting scenarios in today's matchup.

Just A Bet Outside pointed out Eugenio Suarez's brutal history against Baltimore Orioles pitcher Zach Eflin. Despite Suarez's good start to the season, he is 0-for-11 with seven strikeouts against Eflin in his career. Given these extreme struggles, Suarez represents a clear fade in DFS lineups and betting scenarios in today's matchup.

Just A Bet Outside is backing Logan Gilbert based on his impressive early-season strikeout numbers. Gilbert has allowed just four earned runs in his first 12 innings while striking out 18 batters. This strong start, combined with his swing-and-miss ability shown this year and last, positions Gilbert as a strong pitching play and attractive DFS target against the Astros today.

Just A Bet Outside pointed out Logan Webb's historical success at home, noting he is an elite groundball pitcher who thrives in his home environment. Webb has consistently demonstrated stronger splits pitching in San Francisco, making him a particularly appealing DFS pitcher and prop bet option for this home start versus a strikeout-prone Reds lineup.

Just A Bet Outside strongly backs Dustin May's strikeout prop (Over 4.5 Ks) today against the Nationals. Despite not pitching professionally in over a year, May showed strong strikeout ability (six Ks, 11 whiffs on 81 pitches) in his first start. He has filthy swing-and-miss stuff and faces an ideal matchup versus a Nationals offense filled with high-strikeout young hitters (Abrams 32%, Wood 43.5%, Lowe 51%, Crews 46.2%). Washington has the fifth-highest team strikeout rate versus right-hand pitching (27.6%) this year and has surrendered eight strikeout games to three different right-handers. Given May's promising start, raw stuff, and Nationals' pronounced swing-and-miss tendencies, Just A Bet Outside views this prop bet as exceptionally strong.

Just A Bet Outside warned bettors and fantasy managers about Justin Steele's difficult start to the season. Steele has struggled significantly, surrendering a total of 12 earned runs in just 15.2 innings across his first three starts, alongside 18 hits allowed. Given these concerning stats, Steele is considered a risky play and should be avoided until he demonstrates turnaround signs.

Just A Bet Outside calls the Detroit Tigers a great underdog moneyline play (+136) against Carlos Rodon and the New York Yankees. Rodon has struggled with control across his first two outings (six walks, five earned runs in 11.1 innings) and traditionally struggles on the road, evidenced by his 4.69 road ERA last season compared to a 3.11 home ERA. Casey Mize represents upside for Detroit, implementing a promising new splitter pitch after a strong spring training (17 innings, just nine hits allowed) and an outstanding 2024 debut (one hit, 5.2 shutout innings vs. Mariners). The Tigers have won five of six contests coming into this game, with Carpenter, Torkelson, Greene, and McKinstry all showing good offensive form. Combined with Yankees bullpen usage concerns and travel fatigue, JABO views the Tigers as offering appealing underdog value at home.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Hunter Greene's strong start to the season, emphasizing his strikeout prowess. Greene has put together solid outings, allowing only three earned runs over 12 innings, combined with an impressive 16 strikeouts. His ability to consistently miss bats makes Greene a strong consideration for strikeout-focused betting props and DFS lineups in today's matchup versus the Giants.

Just A Bet Outside called out Jeremy Pena’s particularly dreadful performance history against Seattle Mariners pitcher Logan Gilbert, where Pena is just 1-for-20 with 4 strikeouts. Given Gilbert’s strong start to the season and his dominance over Pena historically, fantasy managers and bettors should steer clear of Pena for this specific matchup.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted how poorly Xander Bogaerts has performed historically against Luis Severino, going just 2-for-29 with 8 strikeouts. This significant sample size suggests that this matchup strongly favors Severino’s pitching strategy and makes Bogaerts a risky option today. Bettors and DFS players should strongly consider fading Bogaerts in lineups and prop bets when facing Severino.