LM Tipster laid ‑1.5 with Seattle. Bryce Woo (5-2, 2.40 ERA) owns a 0.91 WHIP and faces rookie Zebby Matthews, who was tagged for six runs in his debut (7.71 ERA). The Twins strike out 29% versus righties, worst in MLB, giving Woo path to a deep outing.

LM Tipster bet Diamondbacks moneyline because Merrill Kelly (5-2, 3.52 ERA) is lights-out at Chase Field (1.98 ERA). Nationals righty Jake Irvin (3.42 ERA) has benefited from a .264 BABIP, and LM expects regression facing an Arizona lineup top-5 in hard-hit rate since May 10.

LM Tipster laid ‑1.5 with the Padres. Nick Pivetta (5-2, 2.72 ERA) has a 35% K-rate since moving to Petco, while Mitch Keller (1-6, 3.66 ERA) is leaking velocity and has a 5.12 ERA over his last five. San Diego is 12-4 versus right-handed starters at home.

LM Tipster laid Astros ‑1.5 because Framber Valdez (4-4, 3.39 ERA) draws a Rays lineup that is bottom-eight in OPS vs lefties. Ryan Pepiot (3-5, 3.55 ERA) has allowed a .511 SLG on the road, and Houston owns the league’s lowest strikeout rate in May (18%).

LM Tipster took Over 9 runs. Globe Life Field’s retractable roof will be open with temps in the 90s. Jack Leiter (4.17 ERA, 1.5 HR/9) faces a St. Louis lineup that crushes fastballs, while Matthew Liberatore’s 2.73 ERA is backed by a 4.21 xFIP, suggesting regression. Texas leads MLB in runs per game at home (6.1).

LM Tipster bet Corey Seager over 1.5 total bases. Liberatore’s .288 average allowed to lefties is rare reverse-split vulnerability Seager can exploit. Seager carries a .425 wOBA at home and owns 13 extra-base hits in his past 15 games.

LM Tipster targeted Riley Greene to score a run. Greene gets on base at a .380 clip versus right-handers and hits ahead of Spencer Torkelson, giving him multiple paths to plate appearances. Seth Lugo’s climb in WHIP from 1.05 to 1.30 over his last four outings suggests more traffic.

LM Tipster took Braves moneyline because Lucas Giolito (5.27 ERA) continues to fight velocity loss while Atlanta’s offense ranks first in HR% at home. Rookie Gavin Holmes (3-3, 3.68 ERA) keeps the ball on the ground (58%), limiting Boston’s big inning potential. Braves bullpen is fully rested after Thursday’s off day.

LM Tipster played Tigers moneyline with Casey Mize (6-1, 2.45 ERA) sporting a 61% ground-ball rate that neutralizes K.C.’s speed game. Seth Lugo (3-4, 3.02 ERA) has faded lately, allowing a .290 average third time through the order. Detroit’s defense ranks second in Outs Above Average, backing Mize.

LM Tipster likes Thairo Estrada over 1.5 hits. Estrada is hitting .342 vs sinkers and Cal Quantrill throws the pitch 40% of the time. With Estrada batting second and Miami’s bullpen carrying a 5.21 ERA, LM projects four plate appearances, enough volume for two knocks.

LM Tipster bet Mets ‑1.5 because David Peterson (3-2, 2.79 ERA) draws MLB’s worst road lineup. Kyle Freeland (0-7, 5.86 ERA) has been torched for a .938 OPS away from Coors. New York is 14-5 when favored by ‑150 or more, and their bullpen’s 29.4% K-rate since May 15 seals the wager.

LM Tipster fired on Matt Olson to homer. Giolito’s declining four-seam velocity (averaging 91.9 mph) has resulted in 12 HR allowed in nine starts. Olson has a .320 ISO against four-seamers below 93 mph, making Truist Park’s short right-field porch enticing.

LM Tipster grabbed Giants moneyline because rookie Kyle Harrison (3.86 ERA) has produced a 30% K-rate while Miami ranks 27th in wRC+ vs lefties. Cal Quantrill’s 6.09 ERA includes an ugly 7.88 mark at loanDepot park, giving San Francisco the starting pitching edge. The Giants are 10-3 in one-run games, insulating the straight moneyline play.

LM Tipster played Fernando Tatis Jr. over 1.5 total bases. Tatis has a .990 OPS versus four-seamers and Keller leans on the pitch 47% of the time. With Keller allowing a .288 average to right-handers on the road, LM expects at least one extra-base hit from San Diego’s leadoff man.

LM Tipster fired Guardians moneyline with Luis Ortiz (2-5, 4.73 ERA) trending up after adding a cutter that generated 35% whiffs last time out. Angels rookie Jose Soriano (3-5, 3.73 ERA) struggles with command (11% BB-rate). Cleveland’s bullpen is top-3 in fWAR, giving them a late-inning edge.

LM Tipster selected Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 HR. Guerrero’s launch-angle tweak has produced a 53% hard-hit rate since May 1, and Jeffrey Springs’ four-seam/slider mix is the exact profile Vlad has slugged .645 against this season. Springs has already allowed eight long balls in 45 innings, giving LM confidence Vlad goes deep at +300.

LM Tipster is on Francisco Lindor to homer. Lindor has four bombs in 32 career plate appearances off soft-tossing lefties like Kyle Freeland. Citi Field’s weather calls for 11 mph out toward left, and Freeland’s 2.1 HR/9 on the road makes the +400 price attractive.

LM Tipster played Toronto ‑1.5 because Chris Bassitt (4-3, 3.38 ERA) owns a sparkling 1.88 ERA at Rogers Centre. The Athletics’ offense ranks dead last in ISO, and southpaw Jeffrey Springs has labored since Tommy John, allowing a .292 average his last four turns. Toronto’s bullpen sports MLB’s best WHIP (0.97) the past 14 days, helping protect the run-line.

LM Tipster grabbed Orioles moneyline because Zach Eflin (3-2, 5.40 ERA) finally looked healthy last start, punching out nine. Chicago owns MLB’s worst record (18-37) and ranks 29th in OPS vs righties. Sam Burke’s 11% walk rate puts extra runners on for Baltimore’s league-leading stolen-base attack.

LM Tipster laid Phillies ‑1.5 because Taijuan Walker (2-3, 2.97 ERA) has quietly posted a 55% ground-ball rate and faces a Milwaukee lineup that is bottom-five in wRC+ vs split-finger fastballs. Pirates call-up Quinn Priester (4.23 ERA) has issued 4.1 BB/9, so LM projects traffic for Philadelphia’s power bats in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park.

LM Tipster bet Under 8.5 runs because rookie Andrew Abbott (4-0, 1.77 ERA) has held opponents to a .196 average while Cubs right-hander Colin Rea (3-1, 3.28 ERA) limits hard contact (34% hard-hit). With Wrigley winds projected to blow in at 10 mph and both bullpens ranking top-10 in ERA over the past two weeks, LM expects a classic NL Central pitchers’ duel.

LM Tipster took Ketel Marte over 1.5 total bases. Marte owns a .550 SLG from the left side and gets Jake Irvin’s 43% sinker that he crushes for a .410 xwOBA. Marte has cleared this number in eight of his last ten contests at home.

LM Tipster likes Yordan Alvarez over 0.5 HR. Alvarez has a massive 56% hard-hit rate and faces Ryan Pepiot’s 48% fly-ball profile. Minute Maid’s short porch in right suits Alvarez’s pull power, and Pepiot has already surrendered nine homers in 63 frames.

LM Tipster took Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Henderson boasts a .400 OBP over the last two weeks and faces Sam Burke’s 91-mph fastball he crushes at a .600 xwOBA. With Henderson entrenched in the leadoff spot and the Orioles projected for 5.2 runs, LM forecasts multiple opportunities to clear the combo line.

LM Tipster took Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run at +350. Schwarber owns a .358 ISO against right-handers and draws Quinn Priester’s 1.9 HR/9 mark. The wind is blowing out to right at 8 mph and Schwarber has homered in three of his past five games when the Phillies’ implied total tops five runs.

LM Tipster said the Yankees moneyline is the best way to attack Friday’s marquee matchup because Max Fried has been untouchable (7-0, 1.29 ERA) since putting on the pinstripes. Tony Gonsolin’s 4.68 ERA and middling 2-1 record give Los Angeles a clear pitching disadvantage, and New York’s league-best 23-9 road record suggests they can handle Dodger Stadium. The handicap leans on Fried’s 32% strikeout rate and the Dodgers’ recent 26% K-rate versus southpaws.

LM Tipster played Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases, noting he owns a .704 SLG and averages 2.1 bases per game against right-handers. Tony Gonsolin is surrendering a career-worst .480 xSLG and relies heavily on a splitter Judge has slugged .750 against this season. With warm L.A. weather boosting carry, LM expects at least a double or a pair of singles from the Yankee captain.

LM Tipster targeted Elly De La Cruz to steal a base, citing his 97th-percentile sprint speed and aggressive 29-for-32 success rate. Cubs catcher Yan Gomes has thrown out only 18% of runners, and Colin Rea owns one of the slowest slide-steps on the slate (1.55 secs to the plate). In a low-scoring game LM expects Cincinnati to manufacture offense on the bases.

Kingpin Sports bet Over 9.5 runs, pointing out Aaron Civale’s brutal 9.00 ERA for Milwaukee and Boston’s yet-to-be-named starter adding volatility on the other side. The tout views both staffs as liabilities, making a high-scoring environment likely.

Kingpin Sports chose Mariners moneyline, forecasting a close contest between starters Mitchell Parker (4-3, 4.39) and Levi Evans (2-1, 3.33) but trusting Seattle’s superior bullpen to seal the deal at T-Mobile Park.

Kingpin Sports endorsed Diamondbacks ‑1.5, pointing to Corbin Burnes’ 2.73 ERA versus Mike Burrows’ 7.20. They expect Arizona to "dominate" thanks to the pronounced starting-pitching gap.

Kingpin Sports played the Padres moneyline, citing both the pitching edge of Sam Kolek (2-1, 2.84 ERA) over Max Meyer (3-4, 4.15) and San Diego’s "much stronger lineup." They foresee the Friars controlling all phases.

Kingpin Sports laid ‑1.5 with Houston, praising Hunter Brown’s 6-3 record and 2.04 ERA. They expect the Astros’ bats to jump J.P. Sears (4-4, 4.00) early and let Brown dominate from the mound.

Kingpin Sports recommended Rangers ‑1.5, leaning on Nathan Eovaldi’s sparkling 1.60 ERA (4-3) against Bowden Francis’ rough 5.54. They project Eovaldi to silence Toronto’s bats while Texas’ offense provides comfortable separation.

Kingpin Sports took Cubs ‑1.5, highlighting German Marquez’s disastrous 7.66 ERA (1-7 record) versus Cade Horton’s steadier 4.40. They anticipate Chicago’s lineup pouncing early and never looking back.

Kingpin Sports backed the Royals moneyline because Daniel Lynch IV has been "lights out" with a 1.57 ERA against Brandon Singer’s 4.88. They expect Kansas City to extend its home roll with superior starting pitching.

Kingpin Sports laid ‑1.5 with the Mets, stating their offense “should bounce early” in support of Tylor Megill (3-4, 3.56). With Jared Cannon’s 2-5 record/3.76 ERA on the other side, they see New York building a margin before the bullpens take over.

Kingpin Sports played the Twins moneyline, emphasizing Joe Ryan’s 4-2 record with a 2.68 ERA and plus command. They expect him to outduel Taj Bradley (4-3, 4.61) by missing bats and avoiding free passes, giving Minnesota the edge.

Despite Spencer Strider’s strikeout upside (0-2, 5.79 ERA but big K rates), Kingpin Sports sided with the Phillies moneyline, citing Philadelphia’s continued home dominance and Ranger Suarez’s steadier 3.70 ERA. They believe Strider’s early-season struggles give Philly’s lineup enough breathing room to grab the victory.

Kingpin Sports recommended Giants ‑1.5, stressing Logan Webb’s 2.67 ERA and elite command against Jack Flaherty’s 4.39 mark. They argue Webb will work deep, limit traffic, and allow San Francisco’s lineup to build a multi-run cushion.

Kingpin Sports took the Orioles moneyline, pointing to Tomoyuki Sugano’s sharp 3.07 ERA and the Cardinals’ ongoing inconsistency with Andre Pallante (4-3, 4.18). They expect Baltimore’s bats to capitalize on Pallante’s middling command while Sugano keeps damage contained.

Kingpin Sports advised Dodgers ‑1.5, arguing Dustin May (2-4, 4.09) is set to "bounce back" while Cleveland starter Tanner Bibee (4-4, 3.57) should keep it close only in the early frames. The tout expects L.A.’s deeper lineup to separate once May settles in, making the run-line the preferred angle.

Kingpin Sports backed the Yankees moneyline because Carlos Rodon enters at 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and, in their words, “continues his stellar form.” They noted Tyler Anderson’s solid but less dominant 3.60 ERA and emphasized New York’s superior power profile, expecting that pop to break the game open even if Anderson keeps it close early. The pick is framed as a straight win recommendation rather than a run-line gamble.

Kingpin targeted Matt Chapman for over 1.5 total bases against Mike Soroka. Soroka has stumbled to a 1-2 record with a 5.95 ERA and ranks bottom-10 in barrel rate allowed (11%). Opposite him, Robbie Ray is undefeated at 6-0 with a 2.67 ERA, positioning San Francisco as firm favorites and giving Chapman ample plate appearances. Chapman’s 53% hard-hit rate versus righties pairs well with spacious Nationals Park gaps, converting liners into doubles. With the Nationals’ bullpen carrying a 4.98 ERA and fatigue after a double-header Friday, Kingpin sees Chapman collecting at least one extra-base hit and clearing the 1.5-base prop.

Kingpin backed Christian Yelich over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Rookie left-hander L. Henderson has opened 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA, giving Milwaukee a strong chance to play with a lead against Bailey Falter (3-3, 3.50) and a Pirates offense labeled "inconsistent." Playing from ahead should set Yelich up for five plate appearances. Falter’s 43% hard-hit rate and limited swing-and-miss profile (16% CSW) translate to plenty of balls in play, and Pittsburgh’s bullpen ERA sits north of 4.60. Kingpin noted that Milwaukee’s top-5 team OBP creates steady RBI chances for Yelich, while his 15-for-40 (.375) career mark against Pittsburgh pitching this season supports the over.

Kingpin recommended betting Rafael Devers to hit a home run against Dean Kremer. Kremer has a 3-5 record with a bloated 5.50 ERA and has surrendered 1.7 HR/9, while Fenway Park boosts pull-side power—especially for Boston hitters—because of the short right-field corner and wrap-around bleachers. Devers has seven of his nine long balls at home this year and owns a 48% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitching. With Walker Buehler giving Boston a pitching edge, Kingpin expects the Red Sox to control the game and give Devers multiple high-leverage at-bats against a shaky Baltimore bullpen that sports a 4.73 ERA.

Kingpin advised taking Tarik Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts. Skubal owns a 4-2 record with a 2.87 ERA and an elite 31% strikeout rate at Comerica Park, where the bigger dimensions suppress power and let him live in the zone. Cleveland ranks 28th in hard-hit percentage and is striking out 23.4% of the time against lefties over the last month. With Logan Allen expected to keep run scoring low, Kingpin projects a tight game that will keep Skubal on the mound deep into the seventh, giving him 100-plus pitch upside and a realistic path to 7–9 punch-outs.

Kingpin said Aaron Judge is a strong play for over 1.5 total bases in Colorado. The tout highlighted three angles: (1) Antonio Senzatela’s grisly 1-8 record and 6.34 ERA, noting the right-hander is allowing a .301 average and the sixth-highest hard-hit rate among qualified starters; (2) the altitude at Coors Field, which inflates both fly-ball distance and overall scoring—New York projects for the slate’s highest implied total; and (3) the rest of the Yankees’ order forcing Senzatela to pitch to Judge, as New York ranks top-3 in walk rate and ISO. With Will Warren owning a 4.05 ERA but solid 24% strikeout rate, Kingpin expects the Yankees to play from ahead, giving Judge 4–5 plate appearances to clear the 1.5-base prop.

Kingpin played Over 10 runs despite Mize’s talent. Afternoon start, 82-degree temps, and Coors’ 5,200-foot elevation boost run expectancy. The Rockies bullpen has logged the second-most innings in MLB and owns a 5.91 ERA, while Detroit’s lineup ranks top-10 in hard-hit rate. Colorado still posts a .748 OPS at home even in a down year. Kingpin projected 6-4 or 7-5 type final.

Kingpin played Over 9.5 runs at Fenway. Both starters carry shaky indicators: Leiter’s 12% walk rate and 1.45 HR/9, Bello’s 5.38 xERA. The Rangers have scored 14 runs in their last two games, and the Red Sox post a .820 OPS at home. Warm mid-60s temps with a slight breeze to left further inflate run expectancy. Kingpin projected double-digit scoring before the bullpens even enter.

Kingpin bet Over 8 runs even though eight of the last ten meetings went Under. Both bullpens rank bottom-10 in ERA, and Kris Bubic’s velocity was down 1.2 mph in his first rehab outing. Chicago’s lineup finally woke up, plating 17 runs across its Houston series, while KC averages 4.9 runs at home. Day-game temps in the mid-70s at Kauffman should help the ball carry.