Big Nasty is targeting Harry Hall at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting exceptional value in Hall’s odds (+105 top 40 finish, +275 top 20). Despite being relatively unknown, Hall has consistently performed well in events without elite competition, securing top 40 finishes in 6 of 8 non-elevated events this year. Big Nasty also emphasizes that the Data Golf course-fit model ranks Hall extremely high, making him a great under-the-radar betting value this week.

Big Nasty suggests betting Gary Woodland, recommending a top 40 (-120) or even top 20 finish (+210) at Valero Texas Open. Woodland recently returned to form after a significant absence due to brain surgery, evidenced by a T2 at the Houston Open and four top 40 finishes in eight tournaments this year. Big Nasty sees this week as an opportunity to capitalize before betting markets fully reflect Woodland's improving form, citing his positive trending trajectory and solid performance history at this course.

Big Nasty backs Denny McCarthy to achieve a top 20 finish (+160) at this year's Valero Texas Open. He cites McCarthy's strong past performances at Oaks Golf Course, including a playoff loss last year and three total top 20 finishes. Big Nasty emphasizes McCarthy's strong chipping and putting, ideal attributes for success here, especially against weaker fields.

Big Nasty recommends betting Jordan Spieth for a top 20 finish at the Valero Texas Open (+130), citing Spieth's excellent track record at the event—one win, one solo second, and four total top tens. He emphasizes Spieth's skillset aligns perfectly with Oaks Golf Course, where accuracy off the tee is less critical and short game (chipping and putting) takes precedence. Big Nasty also notes Spieth's added motivation to perform well in Texas, his home state, making him a promising betting choice in this weaker field.

Big Nasty is bullish on Corey Conners at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting his stellar course history. Corey's resume in this event is remarkable—two wins and four additional top 25 finishes. Given the weaker field (missing top stars like Rory, Scottie, Xander, Morikawa), Big Nasty believes getting Conners at near even money (-105) for a top 20 finish offers great value, suggesting that the betting market still hasn't fully adjusted to Corey Conners' prowess at this particular venue.