Pat Mayo acknowledged he is tempted by Patrick Cantlay again this week because the ball-striking remains elite—Cantlay gained 5.6 strokes on approach two weeks ago at the Truist and continues to stripe it off the tee—but the putter is still ice-cold. Mayo said Cantlay "couldn't buy a putt" during that hot iron run and worries that another neutral or negative week on the greens makes an outright win unlikely at single-digit odds. His solution: use Cantlay in One-and-Done, DFS cash builds or top-5/top-10 bets where the tee-to-green floor still prints, but pass on the outright until the flat stick finally cooperates.

Geoff Fienberg flagged Sepp Straka as an overlooked betting target after his victory in the most recent signature event. Fienberg argued that Straka’s straight-flush ball-striking profile mirrors past surprise champions at Muirfield Village such as David Lingmerth and William McGirt. He also highlighted a strokes-gained mini-sample showing Straka fourth in the field over his last 12 rounds on Jack Nicklaus courses, trailing only Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland. With books still hanging mid-range placement odds and an outright number well longer than comparable form players, Fienberg advised grabbing Straka in top-20/top-10 markets and sprinkling a small outright ticket before the market reacts to the Nicklaus-course crossover data.

Pat Mayo said Viktor Hovland is the first mid-tier number he is actually excited to punch this week, calling 30–33-1 "a very fair price." Mayo pointed out that Hovland has not lost strokes on approach since the season-opening event and believes those iron gains give him the highest ceiling of any golfer outside the elite odds tier. He acknowledged Hovland’s usual short-game issues but noted Muirfield Village’s brutal greenside bunkers and thick rough level the playing field because "a lot of people are going to do it poorly." If Hovland simply runs an average—or slightly hot—putter, Mayo expects him to contend, adding that the Norwegian has already shown he can handle Jack Nicklaus designs with last season’s victory here. His actionable call: grab the outright now before the number drops and keep Hovland in any DFS core builds.

Pat Mayo warned against buying Ludvig Aberg at mid-20s prices, predicting the number will drift toward 30-1 because, as he put it, "he’s just playing like crap." Unlike last season, when Aberg’s dip could at least be tied to a knee issue, Mayo sees no mitigating factor for the Swede’s current slump in ball-striking and scoring. With no underlying metrics to justify the ticket, Mayo advised waiting for tangible signs of life before considering Aberg in outrights or DFS builds.

Pat Mayo pegged Andrew Novak as the best triple-digit dart on the board. Novak won the Zurich team event with Ben Griffin, then ranked second only to Scottie Scheffler in strokes gained tee-to-green at Colonial. Mayo noted that kind of consistent ball-striking is rare among the 90-1 to 125-1 crowd and sees Novak’s current 100-1 price as a mis-match for his recent form. He suggested sprinkling the outright and pairing it with a top-20 for added security.

Pat Mayo revealed he already punched a 66-1 outright with a top-5 each-way on Alex Noren. Mayo liked what he saw at Quail Hollow – crisp long-iron play, elite scrambling, and a putter capable of catching fire – and thinks that exact skill set thrives when the Memorial plays tough. If Jack’s place turns firm and scoring tilts to par-savers, Mayo believes Noren’s all-around grindy profile can threaten the trophy or at minimum cash the each-way portion.

Pat Mayo recommended passing on Shane Lowry’s outright number and instead backing him in top-10 or top-20 markets. Mayo acknowledged Lowry’s game – elite long-irons, tidy short-game – sets up well for Muirfield Village, but reminded listeners that very few bettors have ever cashed an outright on the Irishman. With Lowry priced directly behind the Xander/Cantlay tier, Mayo believes placement props capture the upside without relying on a victory that rarely comes through.

Geoff Fienberg said he pounced on Matt Fitzpatrick at 60-1 the moment numbers dropped, predicting the price would tumble toward the low-40s by tee-time. Fienberg’s conviction comes from Fitzpatrick finally gaining strokes with his irons in three consecutive events – a streak the Englishman had not managed in more than two years – capped by a solid PGA Championship. With Scheffler’s ultra-short odds compressing the entire board, Fienberg called Fitzpatrick "the only non-elite number that still looks bettable" and advised pairing the outright with a top-10 ticket before sportsbooks finish adjusting.

Pat Mayo argued that Daniel Berger is an under-the-radar buy at Muirfield Village despite last week’s missed cut. Mayo noted Berger finally looks "very close" to his pre-surgery form three years removed from back issues, citing steady ball-striking numbers in the early summer swing and a profile tailor-made for Jack’s place—fairway finding, mid-iron precision and an above-average Bentgrass putter. Mayo reminded listeners that Berger owns multiple top-10s on long, second-shot layouts (TPC Southwind, Pebble Beach, Colonial) and called his current mid-range outright price a discount relative to comparable plotters such as Corey Conners and Tommy Fleetwood. He recommended sprinkling Berger in outright markets, top-20 bets and One-and-Done contests this week.

Byron Lindeque pushed back on the growing Tommy Fleetwood love, stating flatly that the Englishman "is not winning, bro." Lindeque argued Fleetwood’s career highlight remains a silver medal behind Scottie Scheffler in the Olympics and that the 41-time top-10 machine has repeatedly shown an inability to close on U.S. soil. While Kenny Kim sees a breakthrough coming, Byron views the narrative as wish-casting, noting Fleetwood still lacks a PGA Tour victory and has coughed up multiple 54-hole leads in the last three seasons. Without a proven closing gear and facing a concentrated Signature-Event field, Lindeque will leave Fleetwood off his outright card and stay underweight in DFS, preferring players with demonstrated win equity at sub-25-under scoring conditions.

Kenny Kim said Brian Campbell is his favorite low-owned salary-saver at just $6,100 on DraftKings. Kim acknowledged Muirfield Village is not a perfect stylistic fit but argued Campbell’s ability to nuke high-launch seven-woods and five-woods from the same spots where most players are stuck hitting low-spin five-irons will help him hold the firm, elevated greens. That long-carry, soft-landing combo has translated to quietly above-average proximity numbers from 200+ yards over the last 12 rounds. With most DFS builds funneling to more popular names in the mid-6k range, Kim expects Campbell to come in under 2-3 % ownership, making him an ideal leverage piece who only needs a top-30 to smash value in single-entry and 3-max contests.

Byron Lindeque told listeners to cross Justin Rose off DFS and outright cards for regular Tour stops, stating he won’t reconsider the Englishman until Oakmont or another U.S. Open-style setup. Lindeque argued that Rose’s current form cannot overcome Muirfield Village’s total-driving test; the veteran has been spraying it off the tee and leaning on short-game magic to mask mediocre ball-striking. With softer major venues on the horizon, Byron will save any Rose exposure for tracks that reward patience and experience but sees no upside in paying $7.9K this week when sharper mid-tier options abound.

Kenny Kim urged listeners to keep riding Andrew Novak at $7.3K, stressing that the numbers back up the eye test. Novak is top-10 in the field in strokes-gained: tee-to-green during the last 24 rounds and has paired that with elite around-the-green play— a combination Kim says is perfect for Muirfield’s thick rough and shaved-off run-offs. Novak also ranks above average in the crucial 175-200 yard proximity range and is gaining strokes on bentgrass greens this season. Kim expects the Ryder Cup chatter around Novak to fuel an extra gear and pegged him as a live top-20 bet and a core DFS value in balanced builds.

Kenny Kim highlighted Ryan Fox as his favorite $6.5K dart throw. Fox arrives off a momentum-building finish at the PGA Championship and sits No. 1 in this field in proximity from 150-175 yards over the last 24 rounds— the exact zone that makes up the bulk of approaches at Muirfield Village. Kim noted that Fox’s iron play has jumped ‘well above average’ since April while the Kiwi continues to leverage his trademark distance off the tee. Given his recent win on the DP World Tour, confidence is high, and Kim believes Fox has legit top-15 equity at a price normally reserved for cut-makers only.

Kenny Kim named Bud Cauley his fourth cash-game cornerstone at a bargain $6.8K, saying the recent form is too strong to ignore even if the ownership balloons in GPPs. Cauley ranks inside the top-10 of Kim's overall model and is 11th in strokes-gained: approach over the past 24 rounds. He has gained across the board tee-to-green during a six-week surge and is 2nd in the entire field in strokes-gained on par-4s, a historical common denominator for Memorial champions. Cauley is also well above average in both key proximity buckets (150-175 and 175-200) and owns a tidy short game that should bail him out of Jack’s rough. Kim believes those metrics create an ideal high-floor profile for cash builds and is willing to eat the chalk, noting that a fade makes more sense only in large-field tournaments.

Kenny Kim explained why he is jumping right back on Ben Griffin at $7.8K in DFS despite last week’s breakthrough victory. Kim expects Griffin’s ownership to sag because the field still fears a post-win let-down, yet he argues the 28-year-old family man is ‘not the blackout-party type’ and is laser-focused on racking up FedExCup and Ryder Cup points after working a desk job just four years ago. Stat-wise, Griffin ranks top-15 in both strokes-gained: approach and tee-to-green over the last 24 rounds, sits 3rd in bogey avoidance, and pairs a plus short game with elite scrambling. Kim added that Griffin is top-35 in proximity from 150-200 yards, the most common approach window at Muirfield Village. With low projected ownership and a rock-solid all-around profile, Kim called Griffin a perfect mid-range DFS pivot and a viable top-20 bet.

Kenny Kim slotted Viktor Hovland as his third cash-game cornerstone at $8.9K, citing a streak of five straight made cuts since the Valspar win and elite ball-striking that perfectly suits Muirfield Village. Hovland is gaining over 1.2 strokes on approach per round during that stretch and putts nearly half a stroke better on bentgrass than other surfaces. Kim acknowledged the Norwegian’s boom-bust reputation but argued his recent consistency plus 2nd-place career birdie rate on long, over-par courses gives both floor and slate-breaking upside in balanced builds.

Byron Lindeque urged listeners to stay away from Collin Morikawa in both DFS and betting markets, arguing the former Open champ looks lost since publicly venting after his Arnold Palmer near-miss. Morikawa’s best finish since that incident is a lone T10, and he torpedoed Lindeque’s top-20 majors parlay with a "lifeless" PGA Championship showing. Byron sees a player uncomfortable in his own skin, noting that confrontation can fuel some athletes but appears to have rattled Morikawa. Until Collin posts a confidence-building finish on a big stage, Lindeque is fading him outright and will be underweight in DFS despite the tempting course history.

Kenny Kim locked Collin Morikawa into his first cash-game cornerstone, trusting elite course history and iron play to deliver a safe top-20. Morikawa owns a win and a playoff loss at Muirfield Village and has gained strokes on bentgrass greens for his career. Kim conceded Collin’s irons dipped the last two starts but blamed brutally difficult setups and pointed to eight straight positive approach weeks before that slide. Morikawa remains top-10 on Tour from both 150-200 and 200+ yards, the two key ranges this week, and his improved short game has him gaining around the greens in five of six events. Kim expects a rock-solid cut-making floor with realistic podium upside at $9.8K.

Kenny Kim advised DFS players to pivot from $13.3K Scottie Scheffler to $10.9K Xander Schauffele as their high-end anchor in large-field tournaments. The salary discount unlocks a second 8K option without diving into weak sub-7K punts, a bigger issue in this Signature-Event slate. Kim highlighted Schauffele’s resurgent driver—top-3 in strokes-gained off the tee at the PGA Championship after a mid-season slump—and his superior long-iron numbers, citing data that shows Xander outranks Scheffler from 200+ yards, a distance that produces 5 % more approaches at Muirfield Village than the Tour average. With Scheffler destined for massive ownership, Kim likes the lower-owned but equally high-ceiling Schauffele to create leverage while preserving win equity.

Kenny Kim labeled Hideki Matsuyama his “Hustler Play of the Week,” projecting single-digit ownership despite Hideki rating No. 1 in Kim’s long-and-difficult course model. Matsuyama gains over a stroke per round on approaches from 150-200 yards – the most common bucket at Muirfield – and sits 5th in strokes-gained around the green over his last 36 rounds. Kim expects 50-60 % of approaches to come from that 150-200 window and another 20-30 % from 200+, both strengths for the 2014 Memorial champ. With bentgrass his best putting surface and ownership likely suppressed by memories of his 2022 DQ for white-out on the driver, Kim views Hideki as premium GPP leverage at $9.4K.

Byron Lindeque begrudgingly backed Matt Fitzpatrick at 40-1 with eight-place each-way insurance and told listeners to tag on a top-10 ticket. Lindeque noted Fitzpatrick’s T5 at last year’s Memorial and fresh T8 at the PGA Championship as proof the Englishman is peaking for tough setups that reward precision. Fitz has gained strokes putting in five of his six trips to Muirfield Village and historically rolls it best on slick bentgrass, a surface that burned him only once here. Lindeque added that the Englishman’s accurate driving neutralizes Jack’s gnarly rough while his elite lag putting is tailor-made for the massive, undulating greens. The tout joked that if he’s willing to bet a player who blocked him on X, there must be a real edge.

Byron Lindeque suggested bettors grab Shane Lowry at –120 in the placement market, calling him a “great course fit” whose only hurdle is keeping his composure. Lowry’s combination of stout driving accuracy and deft short game fits Jack Nicklaus’s demanding green complexes, and he ranks top-15 in the field in strokes-gained: approach over the last 36 rounds. Lindeque believes Lowry’s patient, grind-it-out style is tailor-made for the firm, fast weekend setup and labeled the minus-money price fair given Lowry’s top-20 finishes in three of his last four starts on bentgrass tracks.

Kim closed his card with Tony Finau at 66-1 (three places), highlighting a full-spectrum stat rebound: Finau gained in all four strokes-gained categories at the PGA Championship, the first time he’d done so since last year’s Memorial. His irons lit up at Quail Hollow, he remains top-10 off the tee over the past 24 rounds, and his around-the-green game is trending positively. The putter is Finau’s Achilles heel, but bentgrass is his best surface, and Muirfield’s greens reward confident lag putting more than streaky birdie bombs. Kim sees a ceiling week brewing if the flat stick cooperates even marginally.

Kim called Hideki Matsuyama a classic ‘out-of-nowhere’ winner and grabbed him at 45-1 with three places. His custom model ranks Hideki No. 1 on long, difficult courses thanks to elite irons and a tidy short game. Kim ran through Matsuyama’s pattern of popping after mediocre finishes—Genesis ’23, St. Jude ’23, even his 2021 Masters win—and noted that Hideki gained 2.5 strokes on approach in his last start. With bentgrass greens and plenty of 175-to-225-yard approaches, Kim thinks the former Memorial champ is flying under the radar at a venue where tidy tee-to-green work beats raw distance.

Kim fired on Viktor Hovland at 45-1 with three places, arguing the Norwegian is built for long, difficult scoring venues. Hovland is top-10 in this field in both strokes-gained: approach and tee-to-green on courses over 7,400 yards that play over par, and he ranks second in career birdie-or-better percentage on that subset. The 2023 Memorial champion putts his best on bentgrass and has quietly tightened his short-game leaks, losing barely a stroke around the greens in recent starts instead of the 3-plus he used to hemorrhage. Kim sees a discounted outright number on a proven course horse whose ball-striking never left.

Kenny Kim grabbed Xander Schauffele at 20-1 in Bet365’s three-place each-way market, saying he wants as many elite names on his outright card as possible. Kim pointed to Schauffele’s suddenly sharp driver—gained strokes off the tee in the final round of the PGA after struggling early in the year—and noted that the Olympic champ has gained approach in six of seven starts this season. Schauffele’s eighth-place finish at last year’s Memorial was his best showing yet at Jack’s Place, and Kim thinks the combination of a peaking driver, rock-solid irons, and Muirfield’s emphasis on total driving sets the stage for a long-overdue win.

Byron Lindeque told listeners to fire on Scottie Scheffler in the Top-5 market at –150 to –163 because, in his words, the world No. 1 is “a bona-fide top-five player at this golf course.” Scheffler owns multiple top-5 finishes at Muirfield Village, ranks top-3 on TOUR in both driving distance and accuracy, and leads this field in strokes-gained from 200-plus yards – the yardage bucket that makes up 5 % more approaches here than on a typical layout. Lindeque is comfortable eating the juice, reasoning that Scheffler’s elite tee-to-green floor combined with sticky course history turns the Memorial into a quasi home game. He framed the wager as a bankroll anchor rather than a long-shot lottery ticket.

Byron Lindeque said Muirfield Village is tailor-made for Scottie Scheffler’s game and expects the world No. 1 to thrive yet again. Lindeque emphasized that the track rewards ‘total drivers’ who combine distance and accuracy, pointing to Scheffler’s top-3 rankings in both metrics. He added that 5 % more approach shots come from 200+ yards here than on a typical Tour stop, an iron window where Scheffler leads the field in strokes-gained. Course history is notoriously sticky at Jack’s Place, and Scheffler already owns multiple top-5s. Lindeque urged DFS players to eat the chalk and bettors to anchor cards around Scheffler despite the short price, calling him the safest ceiling-plus-floor play on the board.

Kenny Kim said he expects Tommy Fleetwood to break through for his first PGA Tour win at Jack Nicklaus’s Memorial Tournament. Kim pointed out that Fleetwood just logged his 41st career top-10 on Tour without a win after finishing inside the top 10 at Colonial, the most such finishes of any active player. Kim noted Fleetwood’s recent form, highlighted by that strong showing last week and consistent tee-to-green play all season, and believes the firm, fast Muirfield Village setup suits Fleetwood’s precision iron game. Citing his own one-and-done selection of Fleetwood in the Mayo Cup and the golfer’s upward momentum, Kim advised bettors to back Fleetwood outright this week.