Scott Reichel confidently endorsed betting the Dodgers on the alternate run line (-2.5 at +110) against the Rockies, emphasizing the motivational edge for Los Angeles. He noted that despite recent disappointing series losses to Washington and the Cubs, this series against Colorado is crucial for the Dodgers given their tough division situation. The Giants and Diamondbacks have started well, and San Diego is undefeated at home, placing extra importance on securing wins against weaker opponents. Scott highlighted the Rockies' major road problems—a miserable 1-8 away record—and their overall horrible pitching and hitting. He expects Dodgers hitters to feast off Senzatela, who has struggled mightily this season (27 hits allowed in 14 innings), ultimately forecasting a blowout win for a motivated Dodgers team looking to regain momentum.

Scott Reichel reinforced his negative stance toward the Rockies overall, specifically criticizing their ineffectiveness away from home (1-8 road record) and their unreliable bullpen. Scott described the Rockies as unable to hit or pitch effectively on the road, highlighted by a woeful recent series against San Diego where an inside source confirmed their poor form. Given the Dodgers' potent lineup, especially at home where they maintain a strong 7-2 mark despite recent hiccups against Chicago, Scott identified Colorado as a clear fade. He strongly supports betting the Dodgers on the alternate run line (-2.5 at +110), expecting the Rockies' glaring weaknesses to lead to a blowout.

Scott Reichel advocated strongly backing the Dodgers hitters against Antonio Senzatela and the Rockies, expecting them to rebound sharply from recent offensive struggles. Although mentioning their poor performance against Cubs' Ben Brown as concerning, Scott emphasized Senzatela's severe struggles (27 hits allowed in 14 innings, minimal strikeout ability) as the critical factor. He specifically identified Dodgers' lineup depth, including elite hitters like Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, as poised to take full advantage of Senzatela's inability to limit contact or generate strikeouts. Given these favorable circumstances, Scott feels very confident in the Dodgers' lineup to dominate and deliver a convincing win at the -2.5 run line offered at plus money.

Scott Reichel strongly recommended the under 7.5 (-124) between the Tigers and Brewers, emphasizing a positive performance from Tarik Skubal. Reichel claims Skubal is arguably the best left-handed pitcher currently active in MLB and cites the Brewers' significant struggles against lefties. Specifically noting Milwaukee's weak recent offensive showings—including scoring just two runs in their final pair of games against the Diamondbacks—he sees a particularly poor matchup for the Brewers against Skubal. On the Tigers' side, despite a recent series win against Minnesota, their own offensive struggles remain evident as they produced only five runs in two games combined after their series opener. Reichel believes this combo of elite starting pitching from Skubal and struggling offenses makes the under a standout bet on the slate.

Scott Reichel strongly recommended betting the Dodgers minus 2.5 runs (+110) against the Rockies due to Antonio Senzatela's extremely concerning pitching metrics. Senzatela has allowed a whopping 27 hits in just 14 innings across his starts this season, nearly two hits an inning, highlighting severe difficulty limiting contact. Despite oddly giving up minimal runs in his first two starts, regression hit him hard when he surrendered 8 earned runs in his last outing against the Brewers. Scott criticized Senzatela's inability to miss bats and expects the potent Dodgers lineup featuring elite hitters like Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman to cruelly expose these flaws, resulting in a lopsided Dodgers victory. He also pointed out the Rockies' atrocious 1-8 record on the road and ineffective bullpen as further reasons to comfortably back the Dodgers at an alternative spread.

Scott Reichel sees clear value backing Houston Astros at a short price (-120) against the Cardinals due to Framber Valdez's early-season strong form. Valdez has delivered two scoreless outings, his only poor start (5 runs) coming against the Giants. Conversely, Sonny Gray (4.50 ERA), despite the Cardinals winning all three of his starts, has been inconsistent—allowing five runs to the Angels in a single outing. Both teams have middling early-season records, but Reichel firmly believes Valdez holds a decisive pitching advantage in this matchup, enough to justify the bet on Houston at this price.

Scott Reichel isn't buying into Taijuan Walker's impressive zero-earned-run start to the season. Walker has unexpectedly excelled thus far, but Reichel believes it's likely this stretch is unsustainable, describing it as a 'Cinderella start.' Reichel voiced skepticism due to Walker's historical inconsistency and explicitly stated he needs more evidence before trusting this seemingly strong form. Given Philadelphia's poor offensive form—scoring fewer than three runs in three of their last four games—Reichel advised fading the Phillies as favorites, specifically citing a preferable bet on the Giants money line at around even money (+100).

Scott Reichel favored betting Toronto Blue Jays first-five money line against Atlanta, explicitly citing the emerging form of newly discovered Toronto starter Lucas, who has thrown zero-earned-run baseball across his first two starts. Contrasting Lucas' clean performances (10.1 innings, no runs), he pointed to Holmes (Braves starter) struggling with control, walking four batters in consecutive outings and rarely lasting deep into games (four innings max). Reichel expresses skepticism over Atlanta's perceived value as he notes their rough 1-9 road record to start the season. Given Lucas' strong start and Atlanta's poor offense recently outside of a singular Ozuna walk-off homer, Reichel confidently suggests betting the Jays first five innings.

Scott Reichel advised betting on the Mets at roughly even money (-105) against the Twins. Despite Joe Ryan's excellent recent outing against the Royals, Reichel highlighted this performance as less impressive due to Ryan’s historical domination of Kansas City. He also pointed out the Twins' terrible start to the season at 5-11, their current slump losing six of their previous eight games, and lineup struggles including Jose Miranda being demoted, Carlos Correa running poorly, and minimal production from Byron Buxton beyond a recent home run. Mets starter Clay Holmes, despite recent poor outings (4 earned runs last start against Miami), should handle the sputtering Twins offense adequately. Considering talent disparity, Reichel emphasized clear value on the Mets at this price.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the under 7.5 in the Tigers-Brewers game, centering his reasoning around Tarik Skubal returning to form. Skubal struggled early this year, going just 1-2 with some notably poor road performances (7 earned runs allowed over 10.2 innings pitched). However, in his only home start this season, he dominated the Yankees with six shutout innings. Reichel emphasized the Brewers offensive inconsistency—highlighted by a blown ninth-inning lead against Arizona—as a factor contributing to a low-scoring prediction. He also mentioned Milwaukee's bullpen issues, yet remains confident Skubal's Cy Young-winning pedigree from last year and recent strong outing indicate he'll effectively limit Milwaukee’s lineup. Additionally, Detroit's own offense has been unreliable, further strengthening the conviction of betting the under.

Scott Reichel recommended backing the Royals as underdogs against the Yankees because Carlos Carrasco has struggled badly, holding a 7.71 ERA this season. Despite Kansas City's offensive limitations, Reichel points out that Carrasco cannot be trusted as a favorite. He also raises concerns about the Yankees bullpen, specifically mentioning Devin Williams' recent struggles. Reichel feels Seth Lugo, who has performed solidly since joining the Royals, provides enough stability for Kansas City to pull out a win. Given the Yankees' poor recent form (losing five of their last seven games) and unreliable pen, he sees clear value in betting Royals money line at plus money (+120).

Scott Reichel is supportive of betting the San Francisco Giants against the Phillies, highlighting recent form disparities. The Giants' recent performance is strong, with an 11-4 record and fresh off defeating the Yankees behind solid offensive outputs, notably from Lee. In contrast, Philadelphia's offense is in a significant slump, having scored only four runs across three games against the Cardinals and three or fewer runs in three of their last four games. Despite Phillies starter Taijuan Walker pitching effectively this season (allowing zero runs thus far), Reichel indicates that Philadelphia's struggling lineup provides value to continue backing the Giants, who come into this matchup in much better overall form.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the Pittsburgh Pirates run line against the Nationals due to a clear pitching edge. Paul Skenes, despite struggling in his last outing, has otherwise been reliable and is expected to bounce back strong. Nationals starter Andrew Lord is unproven with underwhelming peripherals—a 1.8 WHIP indicates he's allowing plenty of base runners. Additionally, the recent injury placing CJ Abrams onto the IL significantly weakens Washington's lineup. The Nationals bullpen has also been shaky lately, surrendering seven or more runs in each of their previous two outings against the Marlins. Even though Pittsburgh's offense has been poor, scoring just five combined runs in their recent three-game series against the Reds, their pitching—particularly Skenes—should be enough to confidently back the Pirates minus 1.5 runs.

Scott Reichel suggested betting the Nationals first-five-inning team total under, emphasizing Paul Skenes' pitching ability and the Nationals' depleted lineup. Washington is without CJ Abrams after his recent move to the IL, weakening their offense at the top of the order. Skenes, despite one subpar appearance, remains one of baseball's elite talents. Given Washington's offensive struggles and recent bullpen collapses, Reichel feels strongly that the Nationals will fail to score early runs. He specifically expects a sharp performance from Skenes, leaving Washington's early scoring opportunities very limited.

Scott Reichel identified Seattle Mariners first five innings wager as a strong bet considering a favorable pitching matchup. He notes Bryan Woo, despite his struggles against the Giants in his last outing, pitched impressively in his only home start this season—allowing just one run and three hits over six innings against Oakland. Conversely, Rangers' Kumar Rocker was poor in his only road start, conceding six runs over three innings against Cincinnati earlier. Reichel emphasizes Woo's greater reliability and stability compared to Rocker's inconsistency and inability to consistently generate strikeouts, making this first five innings bet appealing despite Seattle's general offensive inconsistency.

Lonte Smith identified Cincinnati moneyline at -120 as a lock wager considering their favorable home pitching matchup with Andrew Abbott returning from injury. Abbott carries a proven career track record, while Pittsburgh pitcher Andrew Heaney is due for regression after a surprisingly strong start. Smith underlined Pittsburgh as a team to fade following a strong start, believing Cincinnati's home environment and favorable scheduling facing Pirates rotation back-end pitchers present excellent betting value on the Reds.

Scott Reichel advocated backing Kansas City as a slight underdog (+104) against Cleveland, due to facing struggling starter Ortiz. Ortiz has been highly ineffective with a 9+ ERA and consistently allows heavy contact and numerous baserunners—16 hits allowed in just 10.2 innings. Martin Lorenzen presents a clear pitching advantage for Kansas City with a solid ERA of 3.18. Reichel views these pitching disparities and similar overall talent levels between the teams as providing clear betting value on Kansas City at plus money.

Scott Reichel confidently recommended the Angels team total over 3.5 runs at -133 given their consistent recent offense and Houston's pitching instability. Angels have surpassed this total in nine consecutive games while Houston is forced to start an opener after losing Jose Urquidy to injury, creating significant uncertainty about bullpen and starting pitcher capability. Reichel expects the Angels offense, which has been highly productive recently, to exploit this favorable matchup at Houston's hitter-friendly park comfortably.

Scott Reichel advised taking Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 at plus-money largely due to fading Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas, whom he noted they have been consistently fading on the show for years. Mikolas currently has an ERA over 11 and St. Louis has struggled badly lately, going 2-8 in their past 10 games with consistently poor pitching. Cristopher Sanchez, on the other side, has been good despite allowing recent home runs, winning five straight starts dating back to the previous season. Reichel emphasized Mikolas's poor form and sees value betting Phillies run line at favorable odds.

Lonte Smith highlighted the Brewers at +150 as an appealing underdog moneyline bet against the Diamondbacks, noting Corbin Burnes' noticeable struggles early this season. Burnes has struggled badly with significant control and efficiency issues, including seven total walks and an inability to pitch deep into games. The Brewers lineup should exploit Burnes' weaker form and well-known struggles holding runners, justified by Milwaukee's recent solid overall team play. Given these factors, Smith finds strong value in betting Milwaukee outright at the generous underdog price offered.

Lonte Smith strongly recommended betting Trea Turner for a home run prop based primarily on fading Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Smith considers Mikolas practically batting practice at this stage, given his extremely poor form, allowing significant opportunities for Philadelphia hitters. Turner recently hit a home run and is carrying solid form, making him particularly appealing in this prime matchup.

Scott Reichel identified Kansas City as an undervalued underdog worth backing versus Cleveland pitcher Ortiz, who has struggled badly with an ERA over 8. Lorenzen, conversely, has pitched effectively to a 3.18 ERA. Cleveland's deceptive 3-0 home record comes against the abysmal White Sox, diminishing its credibility. Kansas City recently displayed improved hitting, manufacturing runs effectively, notably producing clutch hits late in games. Reichel expects the Royals to capitalize offensively against Ortiz's vulnerability, feeling they deserve better than even money.

Lonte Smith identifies potential value backing the Rockies as significant underdogs at San Diego. Despite pitcher Chase Dollander's high ERA and recent tendencies allowing considerable contact, Smith believes Colorado is undervalued due to their unexpectedly strong historical performance against the Padres—they have notably won seven of their last ten matchups and four of the last six meetings specifically at Petco Park. Padres starter Hart struggled greatly in his previous outing, further boosting defensive concerns on the San Diego side. Smith recommends the Rockies as small plays in both first-five innings markets and sees strong potential for offensive production from both sides, recommending a bet on the over when lines are available.

Scott Reichel strongly advocates fading Arizona starter Corbin Burnes due to his notable early-season struggles. Burnes, carrying significant name recognition, has severely underperformed this season—issuing seven walks, failing to get past the fifth inning in his starts, and exhibiting diminished effectiveness of his normally dominant cutter. Additionally, Burnes' longstanding issues holding runners on base exacerbate matchup concerns against Milwaukee's highly aggressive base-running tactics. The Brewers have quietly been strong recently, winning seven of their last ten games since an outlier series against the Yankees. Milwaukee's familiarity with Burnes, given his prior tenure, further supports their advantage. Reichel finds Arizona's -180 price unjustified given these pitching concerns, recommending backing the Brewers at +150 and leaning toward the over.

Scott Reichel sees notable value in backing the Angels at plus-money (+125) against an inconsistent Astros team that has struggled offensively at home. Houston is just 2-4 at home this season, with an offense unable to produce consistent scoring. Despite pitching questions around Tyler Anderson—he gave up two home runs in his most recent start but otherwise provided competent innings—the Angels lineup has shown significant consistency, scoring four or more runs in 10 straight games and at least five runs in eight of those contests. Key contributors recently include Jo Adell, Taylor Ward, and Kyren Paris, who has unexpectedly emerged strongly lately with contributions in both home runs and stolen bases. Reichel endorses the Angels moneyline and likes the over given the Astro's home struggles, making Los Angeles an attractive road underdog.

Lonte Smith recommended betting Cincinnati at home against Pittsburgh, specifically noting Cincinnati avoids facing Pittsburgh’s ace Paul Skenes, who is not scheduled in this series. Andrew Abbott returns from the injured list and historically has been solid (career 3.78 ERA). Smith sees this as a prime offensive spot for Cincinnati at home against Andrew Heaney, despite Heaney's strong early performances, due in part to the favorable pitching matchup by avoiding tougher Pirates starters. Smith supports betting the Reds on the run line anticipating a big offensive showing.

Lonte Smith recommended fading Baltimore early in the season due to their inconsistent start and offseason inactivity. Smith points to Baltimore's poor recent stretch going 3-7 in their last ten games, including notably lopsided home losses to Boston (11-4 and 0-4). He attributes these struggles partly to insufficient roster upgrades in the offseason, suggesting their poor recent play is indicative of deeper issues. Smith further substantiated his point by highlighting Orioles starter Cade Povich's concerning metrics, allowing heavy contact and numerous hits in limited innings. He views this as additional justification to bet against the Orioles until they prove otherwise.

Scott Reichel highlighted Sandy Alcantara's continued vulnerability holding runners on base, suggesting strong value in stolen base props for Nationals runners, specifically CJ Abrams. Alcantara historically struggles controlling opposing baserunners, creating favorable matchups for speedsters. Abrams is a prime candidate to capitalize given the Nationals' recent offensive momentum and aggressive tactics on the bases. With the Nationals' impressive performances lately, scoring five or more runs in five straight games, their baserunners can be expected to be active and test Alcantara frequently.

Lonte Smith sees value in backing Chicago White Sox in the first five innings, solely based on Martin Perez's superior recent form. Perez has allowed just one run across two starts, demonstrating swing-and-miss effectiveness. While recognizing Chicago's significant hitting struggles and overall poor performance (2-10 start, recently swept by Cleveland), Smith emphasized the temporary safety of backing Perez early to avoid the volatility of the White Sox lineup and bullpen over the full game. Smith suggested pairing the first five bet with the under total and considered a team total over for Boston post-Perez.

Lonte Smith endorsed betting Miami in the first five innings, primarily due to Sandy Alcantara's improving efficiency and recent strong performances. Alcantara significantly improved pitch economy in his most recent start, using just 70 pitches through five innings compared to 91 pitches in 4.2 innings previously. Over his two starts, he's allowed just two combined earned runs and five hits, looking closer to his Cy Young contender form from the past. Smith explicitly wants to avoid backing Miami's unreliable bullpen, justifying the first-five innings wager despite acknowledging the Nationals’ recent success against Miami historically, winning eight of their last ten matchups.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the Giants at plus-money against Yankees starter Will Warren, whom he described as not good in recent fill-in starts. The Giants have started strongly, are 5-1 on the road, and their pitcher Jordan Hicks has turned in steady performances despite limited innings. Warren's ineffectiveness, combined with Giants' early-season form and road resilience, indicate value in San Francisco as short underdogs. Reichel also considered a first-five inning bet but ultimately likes the Giants' full-game moneyline at plus odds.

Scott Reichel endorsed betting on the Nationals at plus money against the Marlins, despite recognizing Sandy Alcantara clearly being a superior pitcher compared to Washington's Trevor Williams. His primary reasoning centered on the Miami bullpen’s unreliability and his preference to avoid laying a price with the Marlins as favorites. Additionally, he highlighted Washington's impressive recent run, notably defeating the Dodgers in a series and their solid offensive performance driven by Elijah Wood, CJ Abrams, and Dylan Crews, who has notably improved after a sluggish start. Reichel expects Washington's offense to exploit Miami's questionable bullpen in late-game opportunities.

Lonte Smith highlighted the Mets as a strong play against the Athletics, who remain undecided on a starting pitcher and have significant pitching struggles. Smith notes the A's bullpen continues to perform poorly with numerous poor outings at home, creating opportunities for opponents' offenses. Despite the Mets' recent offensive struggles with seven of their last ten games going under the total, Smith believes this matchup in Sacramento presents a prime breakout opportunity for the Mets batters. He recommended taking the Mets moneyline and betting the over, expecting both teams to contribute offensively given Oakland's questionable pitching staff and the favorable ballpark environment.

Scott Reichel suggested strongly fading Orioles pitcher Cade Povich, noting he allowed 12 hits and four total runs (one earned) in his recent start against the Kansas City Royals. Over the season, Povich has permitted 17 hits in just 10.1 innings, clearly struggling with opponent contact. While Toronto pitcher Jose Berrios previously struggled against Baltimore by allowing six runs in five innings this season, Reichel believes Berrios' recent good outings suggest improvement and predicts a bounce-back spot. Reichel emphasized Toronto's current good playing form following their series victory against Boston, despite a blown chance at a sweep in Fenway. Against Povich's vulnerability, Reichel sees significant value in Toronto on the moneyline.

Lonte Smith recommended betting Detroit on the road against Minnesota, noting contrasting recent form. Detroit is 7-3 in their last 10 games, including narrowly losing by one run in two contests, and the other loss coming against the Dodgers. Jackson Jobe is 2-0 despite a 5 ERA and some walk issues to clean up; on the other hand, Minnesota has struggled offensively—scoring two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. Smith also pointed out Chris Paddack's ongoing struggles, giving up nine earned runs to the White Sox in one outing and failing to escape the 4th inning in both starts this year. Smith sees clear pitching and form advantages for the Tigers at the current price.

Scott Reichel reinforces his viewpoint to fade Mark Vientos under 0.5 runs scored against Oakland. He emphasizes unfavorable placement in the batting order behind key Mets hitters like Lindor, Soto, and Pete Alonso, ultimately resulting in minimal scoring opportunities. Additionally, Scott points out the poor surrounding batters hitting behind Vientos, like Brett Baty, who is struggling significantly. Scott predicts low run totals overall in this matchup and doesn't believe scoring opportunities will materialize for Vientos as he's unlikely even to consistently reach base, given recent struggles.

Scott Reichel strongly notes Robbie Ray's historical dominance over the Yankees lineup, highlighting their collective struggles, batting just .184 against him. Despite noting Ray tends to allow walks—which raises his on-base percentage against—he emphasizes the Yankees' inability to consistently find hits and their vulnerability to strikeouts. With a lofty strikeout prop at 6.5, Reichel still sees value in Ray based on this past dominance over the current Yankees roster, despite his tendency to labor through innings at times.

Scott Reichel is backing Mark Vientos under 0.5 runs scored at -135 versus Oakland. Vientos has failed to score in eight consecutive games, highlighting an abysmal start to his season. Facing JP Sears, who Scott praises as pitching effectively early this year, Vientos has notably struggled against left-handed pitching, failing to reach base in six attempts against lefties. Reichel adds context by noting Vientos has reached base just twice in 24 road plate appearances this season. With a lineup position behind the Mets' main run producers, Reichel sees little opportunity for Vientos to generate run-scoring chances.

Dylan Rockford advises betting Eduardo Rodriguez under 16.5 outs at even money in his start against Milwaukee. Rodriguez has surpassed this line only once in his previous 10 games, struggling with efficiency and consistency. Rockford cites Rodriguez's severe regression since returning from injury, posting an ERA over 5 with Arizona. He emphasizes Rodriguez's vulnerability to fly balls, lack of strikeout ability, and Milwaukee's improving performance against left-handed pitching recently. Between Rodriguez's 6.72 ERA, high fly ball rates, and Milwaukee's revitalized lineup, Rockford confidently recommends fading E-Rod on the pitching outs prop.

Scott Reichel recommends taking Bailey Falter under 1.5 walks at -105 versus the Reds. Falter has issued only one walk in 10 innings pitched this season, despite allowing hits and runs. Scott emphasizes that the Reds have shown poor discipline at the plate, averaging just 2.31 walks per game, tied for the fewest in MLB. He highlights previous matchups, noting even solid walk-drawing offenses like the Yankees struggled to draw walks against Falter. Expecting the Reds batters to swing aggressively early, Reichel sees great value in betting Falter's walk prop under the 1.5 line.

Dylan Rockford likes Matthew Boyd under 2.5 earned runs against a Dodgers lineup struggling mightily against left-handed pitching this season. Rockford cites Boyd's consistency, having allowed fewer than three earned runs in 10 of his last 11 starts dating back to last year, including every start this year. He points specifically to Boyd's past success against this current Dodgers lineup in a 2024 start. The Dodgers' troubling metrics versus left-handed pitchers were noted, as they rank bottom-10 across several critical batting metrics, including WRC+, K-rate, and OPS. Furthermore, Rockford suggests adding a sprinkle on Boyd to record the win at +290, as he expects him to pitch around five innings and sees a clear path for Boyd and the Cubs to capitalize on the Dodgers continued woes against southpaws.