Scott Reichel is betting the Athletics money line as small underdogs due to favorable circumstances. He highlights Oakland starter Joseph Estes' starkly positive home splits from last season, offering strong performances at home compared to his road struggles. Meanwhile, the Cubs bullpen is in disarray after Chicago was forced to use multiple relief pitchers in a game they blew against Arizona, specifically mentioning exhausted arms like Pearson, Thielbar, Morgan, and Rios. Given the Cubs' bullpen issues, Estes' proven home effectiveness, and potential morale issues for Chicago after blowing an eight-run inning, Scott feels strongly Oakland offers great betting value here.

Dylan Rockford endorses betting the Dodgers run line against Atlanta, emphasizing the Braves' poor early-season form (winless through three games). He supports Scott's angle of fading teams coming off Sunday Night Baseball, especially against a team as dominant as the Dodgers featuring Tyler Glasnow. While praising Holmes for his bullpen performance, Dylan trusts Glasnow to neutralize Atlanta's struggling bats. With the Dodgers in peak form and still offering plus money value at -1.5 runs, Dylan advocates confidently betting Los Angeles rather than speculating a turnaround game for the currently struggling Braves.

Dylan Rockford strongly supports Astros (-120) versus the Giants, stating Houston should be significantly bigger favorites—estimating closer to -140. He highlights the Astros' impressive performance against a strong Mets lineup, whereas the Giants barely beat a poor Reds bullpen. Dylan explicitly argues the short line doesn't reflect Houston's superior lineup, reliable bullpen, and starter Ronel Blanco's consistently favorable home performances. Given these matchup advantages, Dylan confidently recommends betting on the Astros to secure a home victory.

Scott Reichel advises taking the Dodgers run line (-1.5) against Atlanta, highlighting the significant scheduling disadvantage caused by the Braves playing Sunday Night Baseball against San Diego. Historically, teams traveling after the Sunday primetime game often struggle in their next game, especially against elite competition like the Dodgers. Reichel particularly stresses that Braves starter Holmes has promise but facing Dodgers ace Tyler Glasnow makes the spot even tougher. The Braves are winless and potentially forced to rely on tired bullpen arms after a close Sunday night game. Reichel advocates confidently riding the Dodgers at plus money on the run line until market adjustments occur.

Scott Reichel recommends the Athletics, seeing value in Joseph Estes' impressive home-road splits. Despite Estes' underwhelming 5.01 ERA last year overall, he notably posted a strong 3.26 ERA at home compared to a dismal 6.9 ERA on the road. Scott emphasizes the Cubs face significant bullpen concerns after blowing a sizable lead against Arizona and potentially going to extra innings, likely exhausting key relief arms. Based on this scheduling disadvantage and Estes' solid home numbers, Scott confidently endorses betting Oakland to capitalize on a fatigued Chicago bullpen and uncertain pitching situation.

Scott Reichel negatively assesses Seattle Mariners' chronic offensive struggles and lack of offseason action, indicating value betting against them. He mentions Seattle's lineup failing repeatedly to capitalize on scoring opportunities against Oakland's middling pitching staff, highlighting their organizational trends of limited offensive investment and ineffective free-agent moves. With the Mariners continuously underperforming offensively early this year and facing a talented young arm in Tigers pitcher Jackson Jobe, Scott recommends fading Seattle, strongly questioning their capability as favorites at -120 against Detroit who present comparable lineup potential and management advantage.

Dylan Rockford sees Detroit Tigers with young starter Jackson Jobe as strong underdog betting value around even money against Seattle's Emerson Hancock. Dylan highlighted excitement about Jobe, considering him a sleeper candidate for Rookie of the Year, and expects a low-scoring matchup against the struggling Mariners offense. He cited Seattle's ongoing offensive woes, noting their lineup batting just .174 to begin the year and lacking offseason improvements. He doesn't trust Hancock to garner adequate run support in a pitcher-friendly game script, supporting a Tigers win largely backed by Jobe's upside and Seattle's offensive struggles.

Scott Reichel views Jordan Hicks and the Giants negatively in their matchup against Houston. He emphasized Hicks' lack of stamina, typically capped around five innings per outing, creating a tricky bullpen scenario for San Francisco. Moreover, Hicks struggled historically against Houston, posting a concerning 5.79 ERA and allowing the Astros to hit him at a solid .265 clip last year. Given these bullpen challenges plus Houston starter Ronel Blanco's reliable home record and the Astros' sturdy bullpen performance against a stronger Mets lineup, Reichel extensively advocates fading Hicks and the Giants in this spot.

Scott Reichel views Jordan Hicks and the Giants negatively in their matchup against Houston. He emphasized Hicks' lack of stamina, typically capped around five innings per outing, creating a tricky bullpen scenario for San Francisco. Moreover, Hicks struggled historically against Houston, posting a concerning 5.79 ERA and allowing the Astros to hit him at a solid .265 clip last year. Given these bullpen challenges plus Houston starter Ronel Blanco's reliable home record and the Astros' sturdy bullpen performance against a stronger Mets lineup, Reichel extensively advocates fading Hicks and the Giants in this spot.

Scott Reichel identifies value in betting the Guardians as underdogs against the Padres, mainly due to San Diego potentially experiencing fatigue and bullpen depletion from playing Sunday Night Baseball against the Braves. Scott highlighted historical betting trends showing teams that come off Sunday Night Baseball often struggle in their subsequent Monday games. With Cleveland finishing their weekend matchup early compared to San Diego's late game, Scott believes the situational rest advantage for the Guardians provides strong underdog betting value.

Dylan Rockford considers Houston significantly undervalued at around -120 against the Giants. He projected the Astros should be closer to -160 favorites, pointing out Ronel Blanco's solid home performances and Houston's effective bullpen showing against the Mets lineup, which he views as superior to San Francisco. He doesn't trust Giants starter Jordan Hicks, who sports a 5.79 ERA against Houston historically, with the Astros lineup hitting .265 against him last season. Dylan emphasizes that despite Hicks' solid stuff, his inability to pitch deep into games strains San Francisco's uncertain bullpen, creating further advantage for the Astros.

Scott Reichel sees potential underdog value betting on the Giants behind Jordan Hicks at plus money against Houston. Despite being a slight dog, Hicks represents unexpected upside as he brings his electric stuff to the Giants rotation. The Astros lineup, while dangerous, hasn't totally clicked into gear yet to start this season. Reichel believes Hicks' ground ball heavy approach and velocity give San Francisco a better chance to neutralize Astros hitters than the line implies. With the Astros bullpen still settling in, Scott finds appealing value on San Francisco at slight underdog odds.

Dylan Rockford strongly recommends the Cardinals money line at approximately -130, seeing it undervalued based on his projected fair price around -155. He points out St. Louis's potent early-season offense, averaging around six and a half runs per game at home, contrasting that to the Angels lackluster scoring against Chicago. Dylan also expressed wariness about the Angels' overall offensive struggles, deciding to keep backing the profitable Cardinals until Los Angeles proves they can effectively generate consistent offense. He firmly supports a Cardinals wager given their current momentum and substantial pitching matchup advantage.

Scott Reichel highlighted Michael Soroka as a reliable first-half pitching option against Toronto. Soroka, despite missing considerable time due to injuries, has looked sharp in spring training, indicating he may return closer to his early-career form. In conjunction with his opponent, Bowden Francis, who ended last year in exceptional form, Scott expects a low-scoring early innings situation. He stressed concerns about Washington's bullpen, recommending bettors specifically target the first five under, thereby avoiding bullpen volatility. Reichel believes the starting pitching matchup favors a low-scoring contest, setting up a good first-five under opportunity.

Scott Reichel recommended fading the Marlins' early-season success, reasoning they've benefited from facing a weak Pirates team. He argues Miami's inflated 3-1 start creates betting value on their opponent, the Mets, who faced a robust Astros team competitively over the weekend. Additionally, Scott explicitly called out pitcher Cal Quantrill's poor performances previously in Colorado. With skepticism toward Miami's bullpen and their early inflated record, Scott advises betting against them in this divisional matchup.

Scott Reichel is confidently backing the Rays at about -165 against Pittsburgh. He highlights Tampa starter Drew Rasmussen as a dependable pitcher capable of consistently delivering good innings. Scott points out Pittsburgh's dreadful pitching performances recently, specifically mentioning their inability to win a four-game series against Miami due to repeated pitching implosions. Considering Tampa's clearly superior bullpen, strong home performances, and Rasmussen's dependability, Reichel sees Tampa easily winning against Pittsburgh's struggling arms.

Dylan Rockford is backing the Rangers money line at -116 against the Reds, highlighting the clear bullpen advantage for Texas, who impressed against a potent Red Sox offense previously. He specifically trusts Kumar Rocker, noting Rocker's limited MLB innings have been solid with no outings allowing more than three runs and a ground-ball tendency limiting hard contact. Conversely, Dylan distrusts the Reds' bullpen significantly after their multiple blown games against the Giants. With a better bullpen and promising pitching from Rocker, Dylan confidently advises taking the Rangers in this matchup.

Scott Reichel expects a strong rebound game from the Mets, laying the -1.5 run line against the Marlins. He emphasizes the Mets just faced a difficult series against Houston where they came up short narrowly, leaving them motivated or 'pissed off.' Reichel downplays Miami's early success, asserting their wins came against a weak Pirates team, thus inflating their current standing. Scott specifically prefers Mets starter David Peterson over Marlins starter Cal Quantrill, who struggled notably last year in Colorado. Betting especially against Miami's unreliable bullpen, Scott feels confident the Mets win decisively here.

Dylan Rockford is strongly fading his own team, the Mets, citing they're significantly overpriced at around -165 against Miami. Dylan made his own number closer to around -135 and emphasized the Mets' poor offensive performance in their series against Houston. He highlighted the Marlins' success offensively in their opening series against the Pirates, despite Pittsburgh's struggles. David Peterson historically struggles against the Marlins, who bat .350 against him, making this matchup unfavorable for the Mets' starter. He acknowledged positives like Juan Soto's bat and bullpen stability but definitively advised bettors to grab the Marlins' money line value at +145.

Scott Reichel believes Milwaukee is positioned to bounce back at home against Kris Bubic and KC after their rough series at Yankee Stadium. He stresses Milwaukee historically performed well against left-handed pitching at home, an advantage against Royals starter Kris Bubic. While acknowledging Milwaukee's pitching struggled mightily in New York, Reichel trusts their offense at home and expects a motivated team after recent embarrassments. Although not fully convinced by Milwaukee’s pitching, Reichel anticipates the Brewers getting the job done offensively and winning in a 'must-win type' scenario to quickly rebound from a disappointing series against NY.

Dylan Rockford recommends playing the Phillies team total over against Colorado, highlighting several offensive advantages. Despite being shut out on Sunday, the Phillies offense averaged roughly six runs per game in their series. Rockford emphasizes favorable hitting conditions forecasted in Philadelphia, 78 degrees and strong winds blowing out to center field, enhancing potential scoring. He strongly suggests fading Rockies pitcher German Marquez, who struggles away from Coors Field and remains a pitching liability after injuries last season. Philadelphia notably hits .262 against right-handed pitching early this season, further supporting Dylan's expectation of considerable runs. Consequently, Rockford confidently targets Philadelphia’s team total over for Monday's game.

Scott Reichel backs the Phillies on the -1.5 run line against Colorado, highlighting the favorable pitching matchup and Rockies bullpen issues. Reichel mentioned Phillies starter Christopher Sanchez is highly projected this season, citing support from other MLB analysts. Conversely, Rockies pitcher German Marquez historically struggles significantly away from Coors Field, where his stats notably decline. Additionally, Reichel emphasizes Colorado's alarming bullpen performances during the Tampa series, suggesting the Phillies bats and bullpen advantage can capitalize consistently, making a Phillies run line bet highly appealing despite the large moneyline rise.

Dylan Rockford recommended targeting the Over 8.5 runs in Monday's game between the Royals and Brewers, emphasizing that both starting pitchers, Kris Bubic and Tyler Alexander, aren't reliable. He specifically highlighted the Brewers' demoralizing sweep at the hands of the Yankees, but believes returning home will help Milwaukee's lineup regain confidence. He expects both offenses to capitalize on subpar pitching performances, projecting plenty of runs due to shaky bullpens as well. Dylan set his own total at 8.8, indicating value at even money odds on the over 8.5 line currently available.

Scott Reichel recommends backing the Red Sox at slight plus money against the Rangers, primarily due to a bullpen edge and his skepticism of both starting pitchers. Despite acknowledging Walker Buehler's struggles last season, Reichel believes there's minimal separation talent-wise compared to Texas starter Tyler Mahle, who has dealt with frequent injury issues historically. He also favors the depth and quality of Boston's improved lineup and bullpen, citing offseason roster improvements that make them undervalued. The combination of equal starting pitching uncertainty but significant bullpen advantage makes the Red Sox an attractive plus-money value play against Texas.

Lonte Smith predicts Yankees outfielder Jasson Dominguez will hit a home run against Brewers pitcher Nestor Cortes. Dominguez struggled in his previous game, going 0-for-3, but Smith believes Cortes presents a favorable matchup. Cortes has shown the tendency to occasionally miss location and leave pitches hittable, setting the stage perfectly for a Dominguez rebound in power. Smith sees Dominguez at a likely favorable price given his quiet previous performance, offering value as a bounce-back slugger with homerun upside against Cortes's vulnerability to mistakes over the plate.

Scott Reichel advocates taking the Reds first five innings against the Giants due largely to a favorable starting pitcher matchup featuring Nicholas Lodolo against Justin Verlander. He cited Verlander's concerning recent spring training outing against Arizona (5 innings, 5 runs allowed) as a red flag, questioning whether age has finally caught up with him. Given Cincinnati's hitting-friendly ballpark potentially exacerbating Verlander's struggles, Reichel highlights Lodolo's proven talent as a safer and more attractive betting angle than backing the unreliable Reds bullpen over a full game.

Scott Reichel sees Phillies pitcher Jesus Luzardo as potentially overvalued and vulnerable, despite recognizing his good stuff. He encourages betting the Washington Nationals' team total over or the full game over, highlighting Luzardo's track record of giving up home runs regularly against Philadelphia, including four homers across his last three games against them. Additionally, Scott noted the Nationals' decent performance historically against lefties at home, and the vulnerability of both bullpens, increasing potential odds of a high-scoring outcome.

Scott Reichel strongly discourages laying -150 or higher with the Angels on the road against the White Sox, viewing Anaheim as significantly overpriced given their poor team quality and early-season struggles. Though acknowledging Mike Trout's presence, Scott emphasizes that both teams project poorly overall, and there's little logic or value in backing Los Angeles at this inflated price, especially traveling east away from their home locale. He expects Chicago—a home underdog—to play with pride, given it's early in the year and crowd support should be present before the season inevitably deteriorates. Scott identifies the White Sox money line as a clearly better value alternative.

Lonte Smith recommended fading Roki Sasaki early in his start against the Tigers, specifically targeting the first three innings. Sasaki's MLB debut showed significant control issues, evidenced by five walks in just three innings. Despite Sasaki's talent, Lonte sees value in betting against him early, anticipating continued struggles due to potential adjustment difficulties in MLB competition and lingering concerns related to possible arm fatigue following his challenging debut. This recommendation aims at capitalizing on early-game struggles before Sasaki settles or is removed.

Scott Reichel sees solid value betting the under (8.5 runs) in the Guardians-Royals matchup. He cited Gavin Williams' stark home-road splits last year as potentially favorable, pointing out Williams posted a miserable 6.5 ERA at home but improved significantly to a 3.56 ERA on the road. Further, Williams pitched well specifically against Kansas City last season (2.25 ERA, 12 innings pitched). On the opposing side, Seth Lugo was solid last year and has been notably strong against Cleveland's lineup historically. Scott also observed both teams' offenses struggled on opening day, considering Kansas City's offense managed little beyond a Pascuotino home run. This under wager reflects confidence in both starters performing above expectations and the offenses continuing subdued production.

Scott Reichel strongly recommended targeting Christian Walker for a home run wager against Mets pitcher Griffin Canning. Walker has enjoyed impressive lifetime numbers against Canning, batting four for eight (.500) with two home runs. Notably, Canning has been extremely susceptible to the long ball, surrendering 31 home runs last season. His struggles on the road were especially pronounced, going 0-10 away from home with a 6.06 ERA. Walker, newly acquired by Houston, brings established power to an Astros lineup historically successful in hitting against Canning. With favorable left-field dimensions at Minute Maid Park, Reichel confidently supports Walker to deliver a home run against a pitcher known for drastic road struggles and frequent hard contact allowed.

Scott Reichel strongly recommended betting the under (7.5 runs) for the Mariners vs Athletics matchup, highlighting both teams' offensive struggles. He emphasized Bryce Miller's dominant pitching at home last season (1.96 ERA at home), providing Seattle a strong pitching presence. Despite believing J.T. Biddle can effectively control Seattle's weak lineup, Scott particularly underscored substantial skepticism about both team's offensive consistency, expecting another low-scoring encounter given this pitcher's park and the game's projected starters.

Scott Reichel advised fading Dodgers pitcher Roki Sasaki in the first five innings against the Tigers. Sasaki struggled notably with command in his MLB debut, walking five batters in three innings, and reportedly dealing with arm issues afterward. Scott expressed strong caution towards backing pitchers experiencing arm trouble particularly early in their MLB careers. He recommended betting the Tigers' first five team total over, given Sasaki's shaky performance and possible arm concerns, thereby daring Sasaki to prove his reliability.

Scott Reichel advised betting the Braves' first five team total over in their matchup against the Padres, highlighting San Diego's pitcher Luis Vazquez as vulnerable despite a decent 3.24 home ERA last season. Scott views Vazquez merely as a temporary fill-in starter who could get torched by a Braves lineup with significant offensive depth and talent. He explicitly mentioned he does not trust laying the full money line price of -150, thus targeting Atlanta's early offense against Vazquez for better betting value, specifically the first five inning team total.

Scott Reichel recommended backing Shota Imanaga and the Cubs specifically in the first five innings against Arizona. He highlighted opposing starter Brandon Pfaadt's troubling splits, noting Pfaadt had a poor 5.09 ERA at home last season and was significantly worse in night games (5.92 ERA). Scott emphasized confidence with Imanaga, who excelled early in games last year. Scott sees clear betting value given Chicago’s offensive performance from the previous game coupled with Imanaga's reliability early on, suggesting the Cubs first five as ideal compared to full-game bets.

Scott Reichel strongly advises betting against Mets pitcher Griffin Canning, emphasizing his brutal 0-10 road record and 6.06 ERA across away games last season. He notes specifically Canning's extensive poor track record against Houston, allowing Astros hitters to bat .307 with a .365 on-base percentage over 96 plate appearances. While Spencer Arrighetti of Houston previously had volatility, the Astros clearly have a significant edge both on the mound and offensively against someone they've repeatedly performed well against. Scott firmly supports playing Houston at -120/-125, highlighting the mismatch presented by Canning’s severe road deficiencies.

Lonte Smith recommends betting the first five innings under for the Guardians vs Royals matchup, highlighting Seth Lugo's dominance against the Guardians in recent encounters. Lugo has surrendered just one earned run over 13 innings in his last two matchups against Cleveland. Additionally, Smith points out that Kansas City's lineup is particularly top-heavy, heavily dependent on their top bats for production. Guardians pitcher Gavin Williams, despite a rough season overall (3-10, 4.86 ERA in 2024), notably had a strong 3.56 ERA on the road last year and an excellent 2.25 ERA over 12 innings against the Royals specifically. Due to strong starting pitching trends and struggling offenses on both sides, Smith expects a low-scoring first half and a roughly 2-1 type game after five innings.

Scott Reichel cautions against betting on Pirates starter Bailey Falter due to his pronounced home-road splits. Falter struggled significantly last year with a 5.0 ERA on the road versus a 4.0 ERA at home. Although Miami's stadium slightly favors pitchers, Scott is particularly wary of Falter due to his inconsistency and poor road record, suggesting there's value taking the Marlins as home underdogs against a visibly vulnerable Falter.