Addressing Travis Kelce’s claim that career opportunities may have hurt his 2024 production, Marcas Grant argued the tight end is simply slowing down. Next Gen Stats chart Kelce’s average speed, burst score and yards-after-catch percentage as the lowest of his last five seasons. Rather than blaming off-field appearances or concert cameos, Grant sees Father Time at work and recommends fantasy managers price Kelce as a star entering his decline phase rather than assuming a quick bounce-back to peak numbers.

Marcas Grant dismissed hype about Deebo Samuel’s growing connection with Jayden Daniels, reminding readers that Samuel’s 2021 eruption remains an outlier. Outside of that year he has only one other season with 1,000+ scrimmage yards and double-digit touchdowns. Seven-on-seven highlights do little to change the profile of a player who often excels in real football but frustrates fantasy managers. Grant urged drafters not to push Samuel up boards simply because Terry McLaurin is sidelined and the two are sharing extra reps.

Reacting to reports that Ben Johnson may line up DJ Moore in the backfield, Marcas Grant said fantasy drafters should not expect a production spike. He compared the idea to Deebo Samuel’s 2021 season (10 % backfield snaps, one catch for nine yards from that alignment) and Jayden Reed’s 2024 usage (seven grabs, 54 yards). Such wrinkles are fun on film but rarely add meaningful fantasy points, so Grant recommends keeping Moore’s projection unchanged rather than chasing a gadget-play narrative.

Marcas Grant warned that Jacksonville’s backfield could get messy after glowing camp reports on fourth-round pick Bhayshul Tuten. The Jaguars have spent two straight off-seasons searching for alternatives—last year Tank Bigsby fumbled away his shot, and this spring the club invested again at the position. Etienne logged barely 50 % of the snaps in 2024, and Grant believes Tuten’s explosiveness could siphon just enough touches to cap Etienne’s ceiling and inject week-to-week volatility, making Etienne a risky pick at his current price.

Marcas Grant advised stashing Sam Darnold because reports say he is "acing" Klint Kubiak’s playbook in Seattle. Darnold just posted a 4,000-yard, 35-TD campaign with Minnesota and finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback, yet his current ADP is QB27 and he goes undrafted in most leagues. Grant noted that if Cooper Kupp still has juice and Jaxon Smith-Njigba makes the jump on the perimeter, Darnold could reprise last year’s production and become a waiver-wire hero at no cost on draft day.

Marcas Grant said Omarion Hampton is being overdrafted in the mid-fourth round because new Chargers coordinator Greg Roman has almost never featured one bell-cow. In five of Roman’s last six offenses two backs topped 100 carries, and only LeSean McCoy (234 in 2016) and Mark Ingram (202 in 2019) even cleared 200. Grant added that veteran Najee Harris, who has produced 1,200+ scrimmage yards and six scores every season, will re-enter the mix once his fireworks-related eye injury heals. Roman publicly declared the era of a single workhorse "gone the way of the prehistoric creatures," making it unlikely Hampton sees the volume needed to justify his current ADP.

Adam Rank called Chris Olave a "tremendous value" because concussion issues—not performance—derailed his 2024 campaign. Rank noted that Olave’s talent previously supported a WR1-caliber target share and argued that drafters are getting a discount on a player who can return to top-15 form if he stays healthy.

Adam Rank highlighted that Xavier Worthy scored 19-plus fantasy points in three of Kansas City’s final four regular-season games and crowned him his top-rated Chiefs wideout for 2025 drafts. Rank believes Patrick Mahomes’ growing trust in Worthy’s speed gives the sophomore a weekly boom-bust profile worthy of a mid-round WR3 pick.

Adam Rank expects Adam Thielen to be a "crazy-good value in the first half of the season" as Bryce Young leans on the veteran’s route precision. Rank cautioned that age and a likely shift toward younger Panthers receivers could cause Thielen to fade down the stretch, so redraft managers should plan an exit strategy around mid-season.

Adam Rank named Josh Downs his highest-ranked Colts receiver, citing Downs’ 31.1% targets-per-route rate—third-highest in the NFL among players with at least 100 routes. Rank believes that underlying volume, combined with Anthony Richardson’s quick-hitting scheme, gives Downs weekly PPR flex viability and sneaky top-30 upside if the Colts push tempo.

Adam Rank said he would "rather take the value on Rashod Bateman than reach for Zay Flowers." Bateman is several rounds cheaper yet still tethered to Lamar Jackson. Rank views Bateman as the cost-effective way to gain exposure to a Ravens passing game that could expand if Todd Monken leans heavier on three-wide sets.

Although he placed Zay Flowers in Tier-4, Adam Rank admitted he "doesn't know how he feels about it," pointing out that Flowers has failed to crack the top-30 wide receivers in fantasy points per game in either of his first two seasons. With Baltimore still run-centric, Rank warned drafters not to chase Flowers at a price tag that assumes a breakout that has yet to materialize.

Adam Rank admitted he "might be overvaluing" DK Metcalf but is eager to draft him anyway because Aaron Rodgers’ arrival in Pittsburgh creates a vertical-passing ceiling the Steelers lacked. Rank is willing to select Metcalf a full tier ahead of market to capture what he sees as double-digit touchdown upside in the new offense.

Adam Rank called Tyreek Hill a "potential steal" after seeing him slide down early draft boards. Rank acknowledged last year’s chemistry issues with Tua Tagovailoa but argued that even modest improvement would restore Hill’s top-five upside, making him a pick-two rounds cheaper than 2024 but with the same league-winning ceiling.

Adam Rank said he is "willing to take a huge swing" on Jaxon Smith-Njigba because he expects the Seahawks to funnel a massive target share to the slot receiver now that Tyler Lockett is gone. That anticipated volume vaults JSN into Rank’s Tier-3 as an upside WR2 available at a WR3 draft cost.

Adam Rank is "banking on the Ohio State connection" between Garrett Wilson and new Jets quarterback Justin Fields, anticipating that college chemistry will translate into professional production. Rank elevated Wilson into his Tier-2 group and views the pairing as the catalyst for Wilson’s first true fantasy WR1 season.

Adam Rank projected Malik Nabers to soak up "all of the targets" for the Giants regardless of whether Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, or even rookie Jaxson Dart ultimately runs the huddle. Rank’s volume-over-efficiency stance pushes Nabers into his Tier-2 rankings and positions the young wideout as a top-five upside pick in season-long leagues.

Adam Rank said Puka Nacua will benefit from lining up opposite marquee offseason addition Davante Adams, which should force defenses into more single-coverage looks. After closing 2024 as fantasy’s WR2, Rank believes the lighter coverage makes Nacua a real threat to unseat Ja'Marr Chase as the overall WR1 in 2025 drafts.

Adam Rank predicted a notable bump for CeeDee Lamb now that Dak Prescott is back healthy. Rank added that newcomer George Pickens will "pull the top off the defense," keeping safeties deep and opening the middle of the field where Lamb feasts. With improved quarterback play and better spacing, Rank views Lamb as a Tier-1 receiver capable of matching last year’s elite output.

Adam Rank said Justin Jefferson is "quarterback-proof," stressing that it truly does not matter who Minnesota lines up under center. Because Jefferson has already produced elite numbers with a revolving door of passers, Rank labeled him one of the safest first-round investments in any season-long format. The takeaway: draft Jefferson with confidence even if the Vikings’ quarterback room feels volatile.

Marcas Grant doubled down on Caleb Williams as a Round 10 value, predicting he will become the first 4,000-yard passer in Chicago history. Williams already posted 3,541 yards, 20 TDs and 489 rushing yards as a rookie—good for QB15. Now he gets play-caller Ben Johnson plus an upgraded supporting cast and retains the same scrambling ability that ranked seventh among quarterbacks. Grant concluded that repeating the rushing while adding 500-plus passing yards would make Williams a slam-dunk to beat his late-round ADP.

Marcas Grant argued Patrick Mahomes is actually undervalued at a Round 6 ADP because 2024’s short-aDOT trend could reverse. Last season Mahomes logged career-lows in air yards per attempt (6.3) and per completion (4.0), but Kansas City now adds Hollywood Brown (health permitting), second-year burner Xavier Worthy (currently in concussion protocol) and an emerging Rashee Rice (suspension watch). Andy Reid has already told Worthy to "get your hamstrings ready," a sign Kansas City wants the vertical game back. If the deep shots return, Mahomes can smash mid-round pricing.

Marcas Grant pitched Justin Fields as a Round 9 swing for the fences. Fields produced 19.5 fantasy points per start in 2022-23 and opened 2024 as the QB6 before Pittsburgh benched him. In New York he has no competition, and new OC Tanner Engstrand—fresh off Ben Johnson’s Lions staff—has publicly vowed to "play fast" and "be explosive." Pair Fields’ perennial top-five rushing upside with Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall in space and a top-10 season is on the table, assuming the current toe issue proves minor.

Marcas Grant believes Drake Maye is a dirt-cheap breakout bet at Round 13. The New England passer already averaged more than 17 fantasy points in games he finished despite throwing to Hunter Henry and DeMario Douglas. The Patriots now import Stefon Diggs (working back from an ACL) and rookie Kyle Williams while reuniting Maye with coordinator Josh McDaniels. Because managers do not need to start him weekly at this price, Grant views Maye as a perfect upside stash who could grow into a reliable starter once the new weapons click.

Marcas Grant reminded drafters that every time Dak Prescott plays at least 16 games he finishes as a fantasy QB1, yet he is lingering until Round 10. Dallas has logged the league’s fifth-most dropbacks since 2020 and now hands the reins to new head coach/play-caller Brian Schottenheimer with George Pickens replacing Brandin Cooks and first-round guard Tyler Booker boosting protection. Grant’s bottom line: if Prescott stays on the field, history screams he will crush his current ADP.

Marcas Grant urged gamers to keep trusting Matthew Stafford in Round 14. Once Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua returned last year, Stafford ranked QB7 from Weeks 8-14 at nearly 20 points per game. The Rams upgraded again by importing Davante Adams and drafting tight end Terrance Ferguson, a combination that could see Sean McVay lean on 12 personnel packages that shredded defenses late in 2024. Grant admitted Stafford’s balky back is the only red flag but said Los Angeles is already managing it, making the payoff far greater than the minimal investment.

Marcas Grant highlighted Tua Tagovailoa as a bargain in Round 14 (QB20) because drafters are overly discounting last year’s concussion. From Weeks 8-16 of 2024, a healthy Tua was a top-12 fantasy quarterback and ripped a four-game heater at 25.2 fantasy points per outing just before the playoffs. With Tyreek Hill falling to Round 3 and Jaylen Waddle down in WR3 territory, Miami’s entire stack is on sale. Grant’s thesis: a healthy Tua has always produced, and the inexpensive draft slot lets managers capture his ceiling without real opportunity cost.

Marcas Grant advised grabbing Bryce Young in Round 15 because the second-half version of Carolina’s quarterback quietly posted league-winning peripherals. After a brief early-season benching, Young averaged 26 rushing yards and punched in five rushing scores over his final eight games—massive jumps from the 6.8 rushing yards he logged before the bench. If that ground production holds and his passing takes a step forward with rookie wideout Tetairoa McMillan joining the room, Grant believes a high-end QB2 outcome is completely attainable at an ADP that barely costs anything.

Marcas Grant said Aaron Rodgers is worth scooping off the end of fantasy benches because he remains undrafted in most 12-team leagues yet flashed life last year. Rodgers topped 250 passing yards and/or threw multiple touchdowns in five of the Jets final six games, did so another year removed from his 2023 Achilles tear, and now arrives in Pittsburgh allegedly for one last prove-it tour. Grant noted the veteran must mesh with DK Metcalf in Arthur Smith’s scheme, but managers hunting a waiver-wire lottery ticket or best-ball spike weeks could do far worse than the future Hall of Famer who can still summon fantasy magic in isolated matchups.

Michael Florio crowned T.J. Hockenson the No. 1 tight-end value, highlighting his Round-8 (TE5) cost. Now a full season removed from his December 2023 ACL/MCL tear, Hockenson returns to a Vikings offense in which he was pacing for 149 targets, 111 catches, 1,095 yards and six touchdowns before the injury—production that would have been TE1 in 2023 and TE2 last season. Florio expects rookie starter J.J. McCarthy to pepper the big target across the middle and considers Hockenson an "elite" option available for a non-elite price.

Michael Florio is "very bullish" on Tyler Warren at his Round-10, TE9 price. Warren offers size and after-catch skills, and both Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones have historically produced their best numbers when attacking the middle of the field—Warren’s specialty. Florio stated that leading Indianapolis in targets and posting a top-five fantasy tight-end finish is squarely in Warren’s range of outcomes, making him a high-upside selection in the low-end TE1 range.

Michael Florio ranked Trey McBride his No. 3 value even with a Round-3, TE2 ADP because the only missing piece is touchdowns. McBride averaged 15.61 fantasy points per game in 2024, caught 111 passes for 1,146 yards, owned a position-best 29.7 % target share, and commanded the league’s highest red-zone share among tight ends yet scored just twice. Florio believes even modest positive regression could vault McBride past Brock Bowers into runaway TE1 territory while maintaining his bankable weekly floor.

Michael Florio sees Colston Loveland as a Round-11 steal at TE12. Head coach Ben Johnson—who manufactured Sam LaPorta’s splash rookie year and previously kept T.J. Hockenson on a 100-target pace—explicitly compared Loveland to LaPorta and historically funnels opportunities to tight ends. Loveland is reportedly healthy after shoulder surgery, and while Chicago’s target tree is crowded, Florio believes Johnson’s scheme plus Loveland’s athletic profile give him clear paths to exceed a low-end TE1 price tag.

Michael Florio endorsed drafting Mark Andrews at the end of Round 9 (TE8). Despite missing time last year, Andrews ranked fourth in yards per route, led the position in fantasy points per target, and finished second in both fantasy points per route and end-zone targets. Florio acknowledges greater touchdown dependence and increased target competition but stresses that tying those efficiency metrics to Baltimore’s high-octane offense at a two-round discount from past seasons is too good to pass up.

Michael Florio argued that Evan Engram is underpriced in Round 9 (TE7). Engram has logged three straight top-12 seasons in fantasy points per game and now lands in Sean Payton’s tight-end-friendly system that funneled 25 % of targets to the position during the Shockey/Jimmy Graham era in New Orleans. Florio expects Engram to settle in as Bo Nix’s No. 2 target behind Courtland Sutton and believes Payton has not coached a more dynamic tight end since Graham, giving Engram legitimate ceiling appeal at his eighth- or ninth-round cost.

Michael Florio labeled Dalton Kincaid a screaming value at his Round-12, TE13 ADP. Kincaid earned a 29 % target rate last year—second among all tight ends—and often operated as Buffalo’s top option before a November knee injury. He also endured the highest rate of uncatchable passes among TEs with 50-plus targets, suggesting room for easy improvement. With Josh Allen coming off a career-high 10 % target share to the position, Florio sees a discounted path back into weekly starter territory for the former first-round pick.

Michael Florio advised targeting Tucker Kraft around Round 10 as a back-end TE1. Kraft ranked third among tight ends in fantasy points per target last season, finished fifth in yards after catch and second in YAC over expectation. Quarterback Jordan Love has sent 14 % of his throws to tight ends in each of the last two years, a healthy share that offsets Green Bay’s crowded receiver room. Florio conceded weekly volatility but believes Kraft’s efficiency and Love’s TE usage warrant the investment at TE10 pricing.

Michael Florio called Elijah Arroyo a “free” Round-16 value at TE26, citing his rare 6-foot-5, 254-pound size/speed combo, down-field target profile and post-catch running skills that were evident in college. With Seattle moving on from Noah Fant, Florio sees a clear runway for Arroyo to claim the top tight-end job and become a favored red-zone option. Deep-play potential plus touchdown equity at a no-risk price makes him a priority late-round flyer in drafts.

Michael Florio said Mason Taylor is worth a Round-16 stab at TE24 because the Jets have little receiving depth behind Garrett Wilson and new quarterback Justin Fields historically feeds the position (13 % of his attempts over the last three seasons versus an 11 % league average). Florio noted Taylor’s smooth routes and run-after-catch ability shown at LSU and reminded readers that Fields already boosted Cole Kmet’s fantasy value in Chicago. While acknowledging a low floor, Florio framed Taylor as a cheap upside play who could become a steady target earner if New York’s pass-catcher pecking order remains thin.

Florio says you can get an elite tight end at a non-elite cost by selecting T.J. Hockenson in Round-8 (TE5). Now a full season removed from his late-2023 ACL/MCL injury, Hockenson returns to a system that had him on a 17-game pace for 149 targets, 111 receptions, 1,095 yards and six touchdowns—production that would have been TE1 in 2023 and TE2 last season. First-time starter J.J. McCarthy figures to lean on the big target over the middle. Florio encourages drafters to scoop Hockenson in the middle rounds before the price corrects.

Florio is "very bullish" on Tyler Warren at Round-10, TE9. He cites recent rookie hits (Bowers, Sam LaPorta, Kyle Pitts) as proof first-year tight ends can matter immediately. Warren brings size and after-catch ability, and both Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones post their best efficiency when throwing over the middle—exactly where Warren operates. Florio puts a top-five positional finish and team-target lead within Warren’s realistic range, making him one of the draft’s highest-upside swing picks.

Going in the third round as TE2, Trey McBride still looks undervalued to Florio. McBride’s 2024 line—111 catches, 1,146 yards, 15.61 fantasy PPG—beat Brock Bowers on a per-game basis, and his 29.7% target rate led all tight ends. The only thing missing was scores: he logged just two touchdowns despite leading the position in red-zone share and ranking fourth in end-zone targets. Florio argues even modest positive regression in that department would vault McBride past Bowers and potentially separate him as the runaway TE1 of 2025.

Florio notes Colston Loveland is already healthy after offseason shoulder surgery and goes in Round-11 as TE12. New head coach Ben Johnson—the architect of Sam LaPorta’s record-setting rookie year—personally compared Loveland to LaPorta and historically peppered tight ends: LaPorta drew 120 targets as a first-year pro and T.J. Hockenson was on a 100-target pace in Johnson’s 2022 Detroit offense before being traded. Competition for looks exists in Chicago, but Florio thinks Johnson’s scheme plus Loveland’s athletic profile give him clear upside beyond his draft slot.

Mark Andrews is sliding to the end of Round-9 (TE8), and Florio is pouncing. Andrews ranked fourth in yards per route, first in fantasy points per target, and second in both fantasy points per route and end-zone targets last season. Although touchdown-dependency crept up and the Ravens have more mouths to feed, the underlying efficiency in Lamar Jackson’s offense remains elite. At a two-round discount from previous seasons, Florio labels Andrews one of the easiest veteran values on the board.

Engram has been top-12 in TE fantasy points per game three years running, and Florio thinks the move to Denver raises the ceiling. Sean Payton’s New Orleans teams (2008-2014) fed tight ends on 25% of passes when Jeremy Shockey or Jimmy Graham were around, and Florio argues Engram is Payton’s best option since that era. Slotted as Bo Nix’s No.2 read behind Courtland Sutton, Engram’s Round-9, TE7 cost bakes in little of the historical upside Payton’s system offers.

Florio sees Dalton Kincaid’s Round-12, TE13 ADP as a misprice. Before November’s knee injury, Kincaid owned a 29% target rate—second-best at the position—and often paced Buffalo in looks. He also suffered the highest uncatchable-target percentage among TEs with 50+ targets, suggesting lost fantasy points. Josh Allen tossed a career-high 10% of passes to tight ends last year, and Florio expects that trend to continue. Being tied to one of the league’s premier offenses while coming at his cheapest cost yet makes Kincaid a clear buy.

Florio admitted Green Bay’s receiver room is jam-packed, but he still likes Tucker Kraft at Round-10, TE10 pricing. Kraft ranked third among tight ends in fantasy points per target last year while finishing fifth in total YAC and second in YAC over expectation. Jordan Love has quietly funneled 14% of his attempts to the position two straight seasons. Florio thinks weekly production may swing, yet the efficiency profile and quarterback tendency make Kraft a viable back-end TE1 who can jump a tier if any of the Packers’ wideouts miss time.

Florio called Elijah Arroyo his favorite Round-16 flier (ADP TE26). The 6-foot-5, 254-pound rookie posted an unusually high number of deep targets at Miami and pairs that long-speed with tackle-shedding YAC ability. Seattle just moved on from Noah Fant, leaving Arroyo a clear runway to the TE1 job and a likely red-zone focus for Geno Smith. Florio stressed that true spike-week tight ends usually offer either vertical routes or post-catch wiggle—Arroyo brings both, yet costs nothing in drafts.

Michael Florio said Mason Taylor is a worthy Round-16 stab at TE24 because the Jets have almost nothing behind Garrett Wilson and Justin Fields has fed tight ends on 13% of his throws over the last three seasons (league average 11%). Florio reminded readers that Fields helped turn Cole Kmet into a weekly fantasy starter in Chicago and believes Taylor’s LSU tape—smooth routes, soft hands and after-catch juice—fits perfectly with the short-to-intermediate concepts Nathaniel Hackett will call. The floor is admittedly low, but with family pedigree (son of Hall-of-Famer Jason Taylor) and a clear path to volume, Florio views Taylor as a live late-round lottery ticket in any format.

Magdziuk told drafters to smash Tyreek Hill at WR12 (Round 3). Hill’s 2024 slide—his first sub-1,000-yard campaign since 2019 and just 12.8 fantasy PPG—was tied to a season-long wrist injury and Tua Tagovailoa missing six games. Hill averaged 21.2 PPG when he received eight or more passes from Tagovailoa. After offseason surgeries removed screws from his wrist and with Miami’s quarterback expected to be healthy, Magdziuk sees no reason Hill can’t revert to his 2022-23 top-three form, calling him an outright steal.

Magdziuk labeled DK Metcalf a perfect schematic fit in Pittsburgh and a bargain at WR22 (Rounds 4-5). Metcalf owns the fifth-most receiving TDs since 2020 and ranks third in yards per reception (16.0) among players with 100+ catches since 2023. New quarterback Aaron Rodgers tied for the league lead with nine deep-ball touchdowns in 2024, and the Steelers vacated a large target share by trading George Pickens. Magdziuk expects Rodgers’ aggressiveness to turbo-charge Metcalf’s fantasy ceiling.