Eric Polzin advised placing a small outright bet on Denny McCarthy at long odds (100-1 on FanDuel), describing him as a golfer capable of pulling off a victory if his game clicks. Although Polzin expressed concern over his modest statistical rank (44th overall, poor strokes off-the-tee and par-5 scoring), he noted McCarthy’s strong performance specifically in effective birdie-to-bogey ratio, ensuring his cut-making ability. Polzin recommended lowering the bet amount from a full unit to quarter-unit given the higher variance and acknowledged risk, but strongly emphasized the generous betting number on a golfer he views as solid and capable.

Eric Polzin identified Chan Kim as a strong make-the-cut betting target, calling his DFS pricing surprising at the minimum salary tier. Despite competing in weaker fields recently, Kim delivered consistent results, with consecutive made cuts including 16th, 32nd, and top-20 finishes. Combining this reliable performance streak with a top-25 statistical rank, Polzin recommended Kim not only as an extremely undervalued DFS choice but as a solid betting opportunity specifically as a make-cut bet this week.

Eric Polzin called Alex Smalley the most egregious mispricing on the DFS market this week. Smalley rates highly across multiple statistical categories, ranking top-6 overall, showcasing elite figures in effective birdie-to-bogey ratio, good drive percentage, strokes gained off-the-tee, and par-5 scoring. With three consecutive made cuts, including 10th, 18th, and 21st-place results, Smalley presents standout DFS value despite his modest course-history results (one missed cut and a distant finish). Polzin confidently projects him as a valuable safe DFS building-block at a surprisingly low price.

Eric Polzin noted Michael Kim as a standout value play for DFS this week. Kim comes into the event red-hot with recent finishes of 4th, 6th, and 13th among a streak of five made cuts, paired with phenomenal statistical marks, ranking third overall according to Polzin's metrics. Due to potentially inflated ownership based on popularity, Polzin acknowledged considering leverage-pivoting in DFS tournaments, but ultimately sees Kim's raw performance metrics and recent form as clearly justifying exposure for DFS purposes.

Eric Polzin underscored Si Woo Kim's suitability for DFS lineups, citing superb course history including a previous win, 6th, 27th, and 9th finishes, excluding a single outlier withdrawal. While Polzin is hesitant about an outright bet, he recommended Kim as a consistent DFS choice given a top-20 ranking in statistical fits across the board and a recent run of strong finishes: 20th, 24th, 21st and 12th. Polzin appreciates Kim's reasonable price point and high comfort level, expecting at least a top-25 performance at THE PLAYERS Championship.

Eric Polzin expressed enthusiasm betting Sepp Straka outright at 55-1 odds, describing him as 'phenomenal' this week. Straka ranks second-best overall according to Polzin's metrics, with top-10 marks in effective birdie-to-bogey ratio and par-5 scoring, alongside top-20 good drive percentage, offsetting middling strokes gained off-the-tee (42nd). Polzin justified dismissing a recent missed cut as a non-issue due to strong recent form including a top-5 finish last week and specialist rating (top-12). Polzin ultimately considers Straka a confident and potentially mispriced betting and DFS target regardless of that recent blemish.

Eric Polzin sees Shane Lowry as an appealing DFS play at THE PLAYERS Championship, mainly due to his strong tournament record, including finishes of 8th, 13th, 19th, and 35th in prior appearances. Although Lowry currently ranks low in some key statistical metrics, including par-5 scoring, strokes gained off the tee, and effective birdie-to-bogey ratio, Polzin feels encouraged by Lowry's recent form. Recent performances at similar difficult events (7th at Arnold Palmer Invitational following top finishes at ATT Pebble Beach and Farmers) demonstrate his capability to thrive on challenging courses. Given his price tier, Polzin considers Lowry one of the best affordable studs this week.

Eric Polzin is confident that Russell Henley will continue performing well at THE PLAYERS Championship even after a recent victory and subsequent DFS salary increase. He highlights Henley's overall recent form as consistently outstanding, including a recent win. Polzin believes Henley's demeanor after the victory indicates strong motivation, rather than the typical downfall or complacency some golfers experience after a win. Despite elevated DFS prices due to Henley's recent performance, he remains willing to invest because Henley fits well statistically and psychologically as a competitive play in this prestigious event.

Eric Polzin strongly recommends Collin Morikawa as a top DFS and outright betting option for THE PLAYERS Championship, highlighting him as a superior choice over pricier favorites like Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele. Morikawa stands out as an exceptional statistical fit, rating fourth among golf specialists and sixth-best recent form, despite a missed cut at this venue three years ago. Overall, Morikawa has shown elite ball-striking and consistent recent play, and his current betting price of 14 to 1 on BetMGM appeals to Polzin as strong outright value. With slight reservations due only to prior course struggles with rough and fast greens, Morikawa nonetheless profiles as an excellent DFS staple in Polzin's analysis.

Eric Polzin advocates strongly for Tommy Fleetwood as an underappreciated golf betting and DFS play at THE PLAYERS Championship. Fleetwood's recent form is impressive, with six consecutive made cuts, each finish within the top 22. Polzin highlights Fleetwood's good course history, with three straight made cuts at this event, along with a favorable specialist rating. Although not the absolute top statistical fit, Fleetwood has recently shown signs of approaching a victory, and Polzin notably dismisses the narrative around Fleetwood not being able to close out tournaments. With odds around 50 to 1, Polzin sees Fleetwood as a must-play based on combination of form, upside, and betting value.

Eric Polzin is confidently backing Hideki Matsuyama as a reliable DFS selection for THE PLAYERS Championship, noting his excellent track record, highlighted by a 5th and 6th place finish previously, and 12 consecutive made cuts, including a recent win. While Matsuyama's recent performances of 22nd, 13th, and 25th aren't elite finishes, Polzin believes these steady results make Matsuyama a safe and affordable DFS play. Polzin points out minor concerns about Matsuyama's overall statistical fit for this event and weekly rumors about injury-withdrawal risks, but feels this event sets up ideally for everything to come together, justifying him as a key DFS target.

Eric Polzin brought attention to Nicolai Hojgaard as an intriguing statistical standout this week at THE PLAYERS Championship, despite limited PGA Tour experience. Hojgaard ranks exceptionally well in the statistical model, equalling elite names in key metrics like strokes gained off the tee and effective birdie-to-bogey ratio. Polzin did caution slightly, noting data accumulated on easier DP Tour courses, but still considered him a worthwhile speculative choice because of his impressive fit on paper and leveraging advantage due to potentially low ownership.

Eric Polzin highlighted Keith Mitchell as an appealing DFS sleeper choice this week at THE PLAYERS Championship, emphasizing his ranking among the top stat fits. Polzin noted Mitchell performs particularly well in effective birdie-to-bogey ratio, strokes gained off the tee, and strong long-iron play from over 200 yards, key attributes required at TPC Sawgrass this year given recent course adjustments. His combination of strong underlying metrics despite likely being under-the-radar makes Keith Mitchell a potential high-upside gamble.

Eric Polzin highlighted Daniel Berger as a golfer whose current elevated price at THE PLAYERS Championship makes him significantly less appealing than in prior years. Berger's price increase of around 2K versus previous seasons makes him far less appealing as he's no longer priced as a potential roster cornerstone despite strong previous results at TPC Sawgrass. Polzin's caution here implies Berger might be overpriced and that DFS players should exercise caution in aggressively rostering him.

Eric Polzin identified Shane Lowry as a particularly compelling choice if wind conditions become more challenging at THE PLAYERS Championship. Polzin emphasized Lowry's strong past performances at windier events and his specific suitability as a golfer who consistently plays well in adverse conditions. Although the wind forecast currently suggests only Saturday could get rougher in terms of wind, Polzin stressed that if conditions worsen ahead of the tournament, Lowry should become a priority option due to his proven ability to thrive in windy tournaments.