Casey Johnston recommends a Top 20 wager on Eric Cole (+360) at Valero Texas Open. After a brief slump, Cole has rebounded impressively with strong back-to-back top-15 finishes in Tampa and Houston. Johnston advises betting on Cole now while he's running hot, especially given the appealing odds available.

Casey Johnston selects Corey Conners (+1600) to win the Valero Texas Open based on Conners' exceptional course history, with his two career TOUR victories both coming at this venue, including as recently as 2023. Conners enters with three consecutive top-10 finishes, displaying remarkable consistency. Johnston sees these factors aligning perfectly for Conners to emerge victorious again.

Chris Breece is backing Akshay Bhatia (+135) for a Top 20 finish at the Valero Texas Open. Breece points out Bhatia's strong recent form with three top tens in his last four starts coming into this event. Considering Bhatia's status as the defending champion and his advancement into elite putting ranks, Breece sees solid value in backing Bhatia once again.

Chris Breece recommends Bud Cauley for a Top 20 finish (+220) at the Valero Texas Open, citing Cauley's excellent recent play with top-six finishes at earlier prestigious events such as THE PLAYERS Championship and Valspar. Cauley ranks 20th in Strokes Gained: Approach and eighth in Par-4 Scoring in the current season, stats heavily weighted for success at TPC San Antonio. These factors point towards continued strong performance this week.

Chris Breece strongly backs Tommy Fleetwood (+1400) as a winner candidate for the Valero Texas Open, emphasizing the significance of Fleetwood ranking 12th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th in Par-4 Scoring—two vital statistics at this venue. Fleetwood arrives with consistent performances, achieving top-20 results across all five starts this year. His prior experience at TPC San Antonio, registering a T7 finish last year, adds another layer of confidence in this selection.

Chris Breece identifies Lee Hodges (+7500) as a worthy long shot to win the Valero Texas Open. Breece notes Hodges' excellent recent form, specifically his T11 in Houston last week and a T6 finish at TPC San Antonio two years ago. Additionally, Hodges' putting in 2025 has been phenomenal, ranking sixth on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Putting, a critical stat that can separate contenders at this event.

Will Gray picks Bud Cauley (+5000) as a potential outright winner at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Cauley's recent hot stretch including consecutive top-six finishes coming into this event. Gray notes Cauley ranks fifth on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Total and cites his excellent iron play as foundational to competing at TPC San Antonio. Cauley's current form and statistical strengths make him a compelling sleeper pick.

Will Gray is recommending Charley Hoffman for a top 20 prop at Valero Texas Open (+300). Gray emphasizes Hoffman's longstanding reputation for excelling at TPC San Antonio, highlighting the golfer as a player consistently worth backing here due to his historical success. Hoffman's comfort and positive record on this particular course strongly supports this prop bet value.

Will Gray recommends betting on Gary Woodland to finish top 10 at the Valero Texas Open (+500). Woodland nearly grabbed a top-10 last week in Houston, showcasing strong form leading into this event. Gray highlights Woodland's affinity for TPC San Antonio, where he secured top-10 finishes in each of his last two appearances. The strong match between Woodland's ball-striking skills and the course setup this week provides excellent betting value.

Will Gray likes Keegan Bradley to win the Valero Texas Open, citing Bradley's recent form where he ranks inside the top 25 in both Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach this season. Bradley's strength in these key ball-striking statistics align perfectly with TPC San Antonio's course characteristics. Gray points out Bradley's track record at this venue, including two previous top-10 finishes, as further reason for confidence in backing Bradley this week.

Casey Johnston advocates backing Max Greyserman for a Top 10 finish (+550), predicting a strong rebound after missing the cut at THE PLAYERS Championship. Johnston remains bullish on Greyserman’s talent, continuing to forecast a 2025 victory at some point, and sees this week’s event as a spot to back Greyserman's competitive toughness following a disappointing showing.

Casey Johnston tabs Aaron Rai at +2800 odds due to strong convergence of good current form and course history. Rai was one of the runners-up last year at the Texas Children's Houston Open and enters this year with three consecutive top-15 finishes. Currently ranking within the top 20 on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Total in 2025, Johnston highlights Rai as an excellent wagering choice.

Casey Johnston predicts Scottie Scheffler will win the Texas Children's Houston Open, citing strong course history and current form. Scheffler finished T2 at this event last year, narrowly missing out to Stephan Jaeger. Johnston feels Scheffler, still winless in 2025, is overdue for a victory heading into the Masters, and this Texas homecoming event offers a perfect opportunity for him to secure it.

Chris Breece identifies Seamus Power as valuable at +350 odds in a three-man market against Rory McIlroy and Padraig Harrington. Given McIlroy's potential 'hangover effect' from THE PLAYERS Championship and Power's surging form after a T8 finish last week, Breece believes the nearly 4/1 odds represent significant value to bet Power as Top Irish finisher this week.

Chris Breece recommends betting Stephan Jaeger for a Top 20 finish (+200) due to his solid recent history at Memorial Park, including a victory and a T9 finish in his last two trips here. Jaeger is additionally playing consistently well in 2025, recording two top 10’s and a T20 finish at THE PLAYERS Championship. This combination of current form and course history creates attractive betting value.

Chris Breece highlights Davis Riley as an underestimated option at +10000 odds. Riley has quietly excelled with a seventh-place finish last week and a T6 in Puerto Rico, showcasing his ability to contend. With recent strong performances and a PGA TOUR winner status, Riley represents significant betting upside as an under-the-radar pick.

Chris Breece sees Min Woo Lee as an intriguing selection at +4000 odds for the Texas Children's Houston Open, emphasizing Lee's repeated strong performances disrupted by a single poor round. Lee recently posted three rounds in the 60s in Scottsdale and The Palm Beaches and owned a lead at THE PLAYERS at the halfway mark before one difficult round. Breece believes Lee's setbacks represent a valuable learning experience pointing to potential success this week.

Will Gray identifies Keith Mitchell as a strong prop bet candidate for a top-10 finish (+550) at the Texas Children's Houston Open. Mitchell's elite driving accuracy and power (currently fourth in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee) match the demands of this course, where he previously finished inside the top ten in 2022. Mitchell's consistent form this season suggests this event could mark a breakthrough performance.

Will Gray points to Thomas Detry as a valuable betting option at +5500 odds, highlighting that Detry is currently flying under the radar despite recent success. Detry was a runner-up at the Texas Children's Houston Open last year and has recently secured a PGA TOUR victory. His improved form, paired with above-average putting and solid driving, positions him favorably this week.

Will Gray likes Tony Finau at the Texas Children's Houston Open due to his strong past performances and course fit. Finau won at this venue in November 2022 and followed that with a runner-up finish last year, proving he thrives here. Gray points out that this is a 'big boy course' that plays to Finau's strengths off the tee, especially as the course layout is forgiving to occasionally wayward drives. Gray sees significant betting value for Finau at +3300 odds.

Casey Johnston sees Sepp Straka as a strong value at +400 for Top Continental European. Straka's terrific season form and ability to compete well in this week's field makes this proposition a calculated risk with good returns.

Casey Johnston picks Joe Highsmith for a top 20 finish at +300, taking into account his excellent early March win and recent top 20 at THE PLAYERS. Highsmith's comprehensive strokes gain season stats hint at further success with notable absences within the field.

Casey Johnston supports a Jake Knapp victory at +5500, underlined by consistent top 25 finishes and momentum from T12 and T6 over the past two weeks. This confidence stems from Knapp's persistent leaderboard presence, sharpening for a winning breakthrough.

Casey Johnston sees Corey Conners as a strong candidate at +2500 to win, rooted in his hot streak with a third at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T6 at THE PLAYERS Championship. Johnston notes Conners' superb performance in the current season's opening events.

Chris Breece is confident in Jake Knapp securing a top 20 finish at +240, praising his recent form across four events, finishing T12, T6, T25, and T17. Despite course concerns, Knapp's performance at Sawgrass indicates he's in good shape to overcome them.

Chris Breece anticipates Will Zalatoris making a top 20 at +140, crediting the player's improved form after one bad round at THE PLAYERS. Despite a misleading T30 finish, strong elements of his game show he's close to full competitiveness as he mounts a comeback.

Chris Breece backs Taylor Moore at +5000 to leverage his fondness and success at the Valspar Championship. With a win in 2023 and a T12 finish the following year, Moore's seven consecutive cuts, including a T9 in Scottsdale, affirm his solid form heading into play.

Chris Breece is betting on Alex Smalley to win at +4500, driven by his stellar stats such as third in Strokes Gained: Total, fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green, and second in SG: Around-the-Green. Despite faltering at THE PLAYERS, Breece believes Smalley can leverage these numbers for a win.

Will Gray advocated for betting on Luke Clanton for a top 10 finish at +500. Clanton is relieved from the pressure of earning a TOUR card and can play freely. His high ceiling and lack of constraints present a great opportunity for bettors.

Will Gray expressed confidence in Alex Smalley achieving a top 20 finish despite inconsistencies closing on Sundays. Smalley's stats are impressive, with continual improvements evident from his play. Gray noted that a top 20 finish at +200 mirrors Smalley's potential as he continues to progress.

Will Gray suggested betting on Shane Lowry due to his recent runner-up finish to Rory McIlroy at Pebble Beach. Gray feels Lowry might draw motivation from McIlroy's performance at TPC Sawgrass. With Lowry's strong ball-striking abilities, Gray predicts he can handle the Copperhead Course well, offering value at +2500.

Will Gray emphasized Sam Burns' strong history at the Copperhead Course, particularly in navigating the challenging 'Snake Pit' section. Burns has struggled since his T8 finish at The Sentry, but Gray believes his course knowledge and previous success at the Valspar Championship make him a strong bet at +2200.

Chris Breece highlights value in betting Justin Thomas (+600) as top past champion at THE PLAYERS Championship. He identifies the limited eight-player field, believing only Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are deserving consideration as threats. Given Thomas' form and Sawgrass success, Breece considers the 6-to-1 odds a strong value bet.

Casey Johnston recommends backing Ludvig Aberg (+1800) at THE PLAYERS Championship, citing his strong closing round (4-under) performance following a poor Saturday at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Johnston views the bounce-back finish as a positive indicator signaling Aberg's readiness for another win in what he has dubbed the 'Year of Aberg.'

Chris Breece likes Daniel Berger (+6000) as a potential winner at THE PLAYERS Championship, noting Berger's recent glimpses of greatness combined with previous strong performances (two top-10s and a T13) at Sawgrass. Breece argues Berger’s recent quality rounds foreshadow eventual success, pinpointing this event as a logical breakout opportunity.

Chris Breece picks Shane Lowry for a top-20 finish (+180), highlighting his consistent stretch of good golf despite a tough weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Lowry brings strong recent results of T19, T13 and eighth place finishes at Sawgrass, signaling a solid floor and upside for this bet.

Ben Everill advocates betting Jason Day (+190) to finish top-20 including ties, noting Day's resurgence at Arnold Palmer Invitational before minor mistakes halted his chances. Everill believes Day is ascending ahead of a potential Augusta peak, making him a safe and smart top-20 wager for THE PLAYERS Championship.

Ben Everill highlights Justin Thomas (+2200) as a strong outright winner pick, having stated pre-season Thomas would secure a victory by THE PLAYERS Championship. He emphasizes Thomas' past success as a former winner, suggesting he is close to putting together four strong rounds necessary for victory at Sawgrass.

Ben Everill is bullish on Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) due to his underrated historical performances at TPC Sawgrass, despite having never sealed a win here. Matsuyama's season victory puts him within a key trend—each of the past three PLAYERS champions had a win earlier in their winning season—giving further confidence in this pick.

Will Gray advises betting Sepp Straka's first round score under 70.5 (-110), noting that respected fantasy analyst Rob Bolton rated Straka highly enough to feature him ahead of Scottie Scheffler in his PGA Tour power rankings. This recommendation underscores Straka's favorable setup for a strong opening round.

Will Gray identifies Aaron Rai (+7500) as a valuable pick at THE PLAYERS Championship, emphasizing Rai's accurate ball-striking and impressive current form coming off T4 and T11 finishes. Rai also has a solid track record at TPC Sawgrass in limited appearances, making him an appealing longshot bet.

Will Gray is backing Collin Morikawa (+1400) to win at THE PLAYERS Championship, despite recent disappointment at Bay Hill where Morikawa narrowly missed victory. Gray highlights Morikawa's outstanding tee-to-green game as a decisive factor, implying confidence that Morikawa's superb ball-striking will position him to succeed at TPC Sawgrass even after a tough finish the previous week.