Eric Pathi advised taking the Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline at roughly +160 as his complimentary play. He explained that this wager comes straight from his "dog off a win" system: when a team cashes as an underdog—Arizona hit earlier today at +135—and is then reposted at an even longer price the very next day, you auto-bet them. Pathi said the edge is amplified because the opponent is the "dirty Dodgers," whom he labeled the worst favorite in all of baseball. With every criterion met, Pathi made the Diamondbacks a mandatory bet for his Dime Club followers.

Eric Pathy advised taking the Miami Marlins at +85 cents on the moneyline against the New York Mets. Pathy emphasized that Miami is 52–55 straight-up when priced as an underdog this season, a record that has nonetheless produced consistent profit because of the generous plus prices. With books currently hanging more than 50 cents of value, he labeled the Marlins a clear value play for Thursday’s slate, calling the bet his complimentary selection for viewers who are not members of his Dime Club service.

Eric Pathi reiterated his long-running system play: whenever the Cincinnati Reds are catching 50 cents or more (roughly +150 or longer), they become an automatic wager. Their 36-34 record as underdogs has produced one of MLB’s best returns, and Pathi said he ignores opposing pitchers unless a last-minute rotation change flips the Reds to favorites. The rule of thumb is simple—if the line holds and Cincinnati is still a sizeable dog, you fire.

Eric Pathi said to hammer the Cincinnati Reds around +175 against the Los Angeles Dodgers with Shohei Ohtani taking the hill. Pathi framed it strictly as a price play: the Reds have gone 36-34 as underdogs, a record that has generated hefty profits, while the Dodgers are a bankroll killer as favorites—74-57 overall but down roughly 13 units (-$13,210 for $1K bettors). He pointed out that the Padres share the same record yet are +$9,000 because they are priced as dogs far more often, underscoring how badly the market overrates L.A. Pathi emphasized that “you’re betting a price, not a pitcher,” making fading Ohtani at −175 a slam-dunk value call.

Zinno recommended the Tigers money line — and half-staking their −1.5 line for plus money — because Detroit has won five straight Casey Mize starts while exploding for 42 runs (8.4 per game) in that span, never scoring fewer than six. Facing an Athletics club looking to finish a sweep, he expects Detroit’s lineup to ‘explode’ again and trusts Mize to give them length. Splitting the wager protects bettors if the Tigers win by a single run while offering upside if the bats create the blowout Zinno anticipates.

Zinno played the Rockies-Astros first-five under 4.5, leaning on extreme scoring droughts and pitcher splits. Although Framber Valdez has been knocked around in four straight overall, three of those came on the road; at Minute Maid he sports a 1.85 ERA with a .214 opponent average. The Rockies have produced the fewest road runs in MLB since the All-Star break. Colorado counters with Chase Dollander, whose ERA plummets from 9.88 at Coors to 3.95 away, and opponents hit just .219 off him outside Denver. Houston’s own bats have been ice-cold at home, ranking second-fewest runs in that same span. With both lineups struggling and each starter’s road/home split favoring run suppression, Zinno expects a low-scoring first half.

Zinno took the Reds +1.5 in L.A., noting Cincinnati’s motivation to avoid a sweep and a favorable pitching matchup. Nick Lodolo owns a 2.18 road ERA, a .188 opponent average, and has allowed just 5 of his 17 homers away from Great American Ball Park—crucial against a Dodger lineup built on the long ball. Shohei Ohtani starts for L.A., but Zinno emphasized that he has been hit hard in two straight outings and may still be adjusting. He expects a low-scoring battle into the middle innings, after which the Reds carry a bullpen advantage. In that script Cincinnati either steals a late win or keeps the margin to one, cashing the run-line ticket.

Mark Zinno said to lay a half-run with the Blue Jays in the first five innings because of a sharp pitching and situational edge. He pointed out that Eric Lauer owns a 2.45 ERA at Rogers Centre with opponents hitting just .162 and only two homers allowed. On the other side, Simeon Woods Richardson makes his first start since July 28 after a stint on the IL and carries a 5.30 road ERA. Zinno likes to attack starters in their first game back, expecting limited pitch counts and erratic command. After Toronto’s bullpen cost them Tuesday, he expects the lineup to ‘bounce back nicely’ in the opening five frames and avoid late-game variance.

Eric Pathi advised betting the Miami Marlins at +110 on the overnight line against the Atlanta Braves. Pathi leaned on his long-standing strategy of automatically backing baseball underdogs, warning that consistently laying juice with favorites is the quickest path to a busted bankroll. He explained that when bookmakers finally hang plus money on a home club facing a team like Atlanta, bettors should "just auto-bet the dog." Pathi also brought up his "Rule of 10," the idea that when a club reaches the 9th-11th game of a winning streak the market often over-corrects, turning previously expensive favorites into value fades. With no premium injury or matchup angles required, Pathi labeled the Marlins +110 as a complimentary play for 8/26 and encouraged non-subscribers to grab the price before it shifts.

Eric Pathi said to fire on the San Diego Padres again at roughly +110 with Nick Pivotta listed against Yamamoto. Pathi explained his long-running money-line system: when a club cashes as a home underdog and books bring them back the next day at the same or a better plus-money price, he automatically bets them regardless of the pitching matchup. Price drives the wager; if a late pitching change still leaves San Diego as a dog the play stands, but it is cancelled if the line flips to favorite money. The angle hinges on never risking more than the potential payout, which Pathi noted already produced back-to-back wins with the Padres and Astros in his underdog channel.

Brad Pick Dawgz took the Cardinals money line with Sonny Gray on the hill. Joe Boyle starts for Tampa and Brad said the rookie’s command issues (12.8% BB-rate last three outings) make him fade-worthy. Even though Gray is coming off a rough appearance, Brad trusts the veteran’s track record of sub-3.50 ERAs and expects a classic rebound. He added that St. Louis looked "pretty damn good" in Miami earlier this week and should carry that momentum into Tropicana Field.

Brad Pick Dawgz grabbed Padres –0.5 on the first-five run line. He has been auto-fading San Francisco for a month and doesn’t plan to stop with "Old Man Verlander" toeing the slab, noting the veteran’s declining velocity and 4.71 ERA in his last five turns. Brad believes San Diego’s lineup will strike early while the reeling Giants offense continues to rank bottom-5 in wRC+ since the All-Star break, giving the Friars a lead by the sixth inning.

Eric Pathy warned listeners not to touch Kansas City if a pitching change turns them from an overnight underdog into a favorite. Using Jacob deGrom’s scratch as the example, he explained that his price-based system only fires on plus-money sides; once the dog label disappears, the edge is gone and the game becomes a pass. Pathy reiterated that starting pitchers set the line but rarely decide the ninth inning, so chasing a team that has moved to favorite status is, in his words, a classic "sucker" play.

Eric Pathy said to back the Washington Nationals at +120 in Wednesday’s matchup with the Mets. His overnight system blindly grabs any club listed as an underdog because MLB lines are built around starting pitchers who rarely finish the game. The left-handed matchup of MacKenzie Gore versus Sean Manaea is why books opened Washington as a dog, but Pathy stressed that pitching changes do not matter unless they flip the Nats to a favorite. If Washington stays plus money the wager remains a live system play; if the market moves them to chalk, the bet is canceled. He dismissed laying favorites as a "sucker" move that bleeds long-term units.

Jay Yang said the Kansas City Royals are the right side at the current -112 price because the matchup tilts sharply in their favor. He noted that Michael Lorenzen has been "steady in 2025," limiting hard contact and keeping his WHIP in check, which consistently delivers quality innings for Kansas City. Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin continues to struggle for Texas, fighting command issues and giving up hard-hit fly balls—traits Yang believes will be punished by a Royals lineup that has been stringing together quality at-bats against left-handed pitching. Yang emphasized situational factors: Kansas City is riding positive momentum, tends to stack wins once a streak starts, and plays better small-ball at home, converting runners in scoring position with timely hitting. Combining the pitching edge, current offensive form, and his preferred situational handicapping angle, Yang recommended taking the Royals on the moneyline.

Jay Yang said the best way to attack Tuesday’s inter-league matchup is to lay the run-and-a-half with Philadelphia. Yang’s confidence starts with Christopher Sanchez, calling him “one of the dominant lefties in the National League.” Sanchez owns a low WHIP, rarely offers free passes, and generates plenty of ground-balls that keep traffic off the bases, which allows him to work deep into games. Offensively, the Phillies rank near the top of MLB in both runs and slugging at Citizens Bank Park when facing right-handed pitching, and they carry a top-tier walk rate that should force Bryce Miller into hitter-friendly counts. Miller’s road ERA and WHIP both spike outside Seattle, and his heavy zone-reliant approach is a bad fit against a patient Phillies lineup in a hitter-friendly park that already boosts home-run production. Yang expects multiple long balls and believes the combination of Sanchez’s run prevention and Miller’s vulnerability makes Philadelphia -1.5 runs a +EV wager despite forfeiting the last at-bat.

Ruffolo played Bobby Witt Jr. over 1.5 total bases against Jack Leiter. He highlighted Witt’s .622 slugging percentage versus right-handers sitting 94 mph or slower—Leiter’s average four-seam velocity. The young Ranger has allowed a 49% hard-hit rate at Triple-A and was tagged for five extra-base hits in his lone MLB outing. Kauffman Stadium’s deep gaps reward Witt’s line-drive profile, and Kansas City projects for 4.9 implied runs, their second-highest mark of August. Ruffolo thinks Witt can clear the prop with a single swing and prefers the over at anything better than ‑120.

Ruffolo bet Nestor Cortes under 2.5 earned runs in his Padres debut versus the Giants. He believes the move from Yankee Stadium to spacious Petco instantly suppresses Cortes’ home-run problem (1.5 HR/9 in New York). San Francisco’s offense is bottom-3 in OPS against southpaws and ranks dead last in hard-hit percentage on the road. Cortes has stretched to 90 pitches in rehab and owns a career 2.87 ERA in parks with outfield dimensions similar to Petco. Ruffolo expects five strong frames and, at plus money, loves the earned-run under.

Ruffolo took the Angels moneyline against Cincinnati. He argued the Reds are in a brutal travel spot—coming off an emotion-charged division set with Milwaukee and now flying west to face a team that is 31-25 at Angel Stadium. He does not trust Brady Singer, highlighting a 5.12 road ERA and .344 wOBA allowed to lefties, which puts Taylor Ward and Nolan Schanuel in strong splits. With the Halos’ bullpen ranking seventh in xFIP since the All-Star break, Ruffolo expects Los Angeles to control the late innings and sees value at pick-em pricing.

Chris Ruffolo backed the Phillies on the moneyline against Seattle, even with Logan Gilbert toeing the slab. Philadelphia is 42-17 at Citizens Bank Park and averaging 5.6 runs per game at home. Seattle is flying across the country after Sunday night’s Little League Classic in Williamsport—a spot Ruffolo called a classic flat angle. He respects Gilbert’s talent but stressed that the right-hander’s ERA jumps from 2.37 at T-Mobile to 3.89 on the road. Ranger Suarez, meanwhile, owns a 1.98 ERA in South Philly and profiles well against a Mariners lineup that ranks bottom-10 in wRC+ versus lefties. Ruffolo labeled the Phils his favorite play of the slate.

Eric Pathi advised taking the Baltimore Orioles at +100 (listed at plus 10 cents) on the moneyline in Boston. His system flags underdogs that just won outright facing favorites that just lost: Baltimore rolled Houston 12-0 while Boston was stunned 5-3 as a –275 favorite by Miami. Pathi stressed the set-up automatically points to the dog when no other major injuries or pitching changes alter the matchup. He reminded viewers that the edge comes from the price—dogs in this range pay even or better while the public reflexively backs the brand-name favorite. Because the Orioles fit that exact situational profile, he labeled them the day’s best value play.

Jay Yang said to lay the run-and-a-half with Milwaukee because Freddy Peralta gives the Brewers a lopsided starting-pitching advantage over Horton. Yang highlighted Peralta’s recent command gains—more strikes, fewer free passes, and a sharp drop in hard contact—and noted that Peralta has topped double-digit strikeouts in two of his last three outings. Chicago’s offense, meanwhile, owns one of the worst batting-average marks with runners in scoring position since the All-Star break and has scored two runs or fewer in seven of its last ten. Horton still flashes upside but walks 10% of batters and struggles versus patient lineups; Milwaukee ranks top-six in walk rate and has been barreling mistakes, slashing roughly .300/.350/.600 as a team during its current post-break surge. The Brewers are on an 18-6 run dating back to mid-July, while the Cubs have lost eight of ten. With a better arm, a hotter lineup, and the Cubs’ continued problems cashing runners, Yang concluded Milwaukee -1.5 is the simplest way to ride the trend.

Ruffolo paired Khamzat Chimaev and Chase Hooper on the money line for a Saturday UFC parlay that returns roughly even odds. He trusts Chimaev’s wrestling dominance in the main event and believes Hooper’s superior grappling will dictate his bout as well, making the two-leg ticket his preferred way to extract value from heavy favorites.

Ruffolo’s favorite prop is Lauer under 2.5 earned runs against the Rangers. He praised the left-hander’s work since joining Toronto’s rotation, particularly at home, and pointed to Texas’ continuing splits issues on the road where their OPS sits below .700. Add in Rogers Centre’s homer-suppressing dimensions and Ruffolo projects another quality outing that keeps Lauer under three earned.

Ruffolo bet the Astros straight up, calling Orioles starter Popic untrustworthy and labeling Baltimore’s lineup 'extremely under-whelming' over the last month. With Houston’s bats remaining dangerous and Baltimore floundering at the plate, he sees value in siding with the Astros despite the road setting.

Ruffolo took the Rays at plus money in Oracle Park. He expects Adrian Houser to bounce back from two mediocre starts with Tampa, reminding listeners of the lights-out stretch Houser posted with the White Sox earlier this season. The Giants, who he says 'can’t hit a beach ball right now,' head into a pitcher-friendly park having scored just seven runs over their last five games, giving the Rays value on the money line.

Ruffolo is on the Cubs -1.5 against Pittsburgh. He trusts Shota Imanaga to post a quality start and thinks Pirates right-hander Mike Burrows is ripe for punishment. While Chicago’s lineup has been in a mini-slump, Ruffolo stressed the overall talent and expects regression to the mean, especially against a pitcher who has struggled with command and home-run avoidance at both Triple-A and in his brief MLB looks.

Eric Pathi said the Pittsburgh Pirates at +185 are his complimentary wager for 8/16/25 because they fit his long-running underdog value system. Pathi reminded listeners that since May 1 there have been 522 MLB games in the +110 to +180 range; blindly backing every one produced a 248-274 record yet still netted +63 units, or $6,300 for a $100 bettor. He stressed that this edge comes strictly from market mis-pricing of dogs—“pitchers have zero to do with baseball betting” in his view—and that the Pirates price lands squarely in the same profitable band. The play is therefore a pure numbers grab, not a matchup-based handicap.

Jay Yang said to back the Brewers on the -1.5 run line against the Reds. He argued Milwaukee owns a clear pitching advantage with Priester, who has recently limited walks and hard contact, while Cincinnati counters with Lytle, whose elevated underlying numbers and shaky command lead to big innings. Offensively, Yang highlighted the Brewers’ five-game tear (.292 AVG, .365 OBP, .589 SLG, .954 OPS) and noted the Reds’ ongoing struggles versus right-handed pitching and inability to sustain rallies. Combining the red-hot lineup with the mound edge, Yang expects Milwaukee to win by multiple runs and sees no need to “overcomplicate” the matchup.

Eric Pathi said bettors should hammer the Washington Nationals with MacKenzie Gore at the overnight price because they are once again home underdogs––a situation he calls "the best spot in all of baseball." Pathi pointed to his dog-only approach that is 7-4 this week and returning 55 % on risk (up 5.5 units on 11 K staked) as proof the market still undervalues plus-money home dogs. The Nats already cashed earlier at +0.65 and, in Pathi’s view, nothing has changed except that books are giving bettors another swing at the same profitable angle. He labeled the pick a pure syndicate play, urging listeners to lock it in before the overnight number shortens.

Chris Ruffolo’s lone player prop is Bryce Elder over 2.5 earned runs allowed. He called Elder "dog water" and said he has been cashing tickets fading him all season, so he will keep riding that angle and expects at least three earned against the Mets on Thursday.

Chris Ruffolo took the Phillies team total over, expecting them to score off starter Brad Lord and really "run it up" once Washington’s bullpen—which he views as a major weakness—enters the game. He anticipates early damage plus a late flood of runs when the relievers take over.

Chris Ruffolo said to lay the half-run with the Mets in the first five innings because Bryce Elder has been, in his words, "one of the worst pitchers in the MLB all season long." Ruffolo noted New York already knocked the Braves around in the first two games of the series and expects that momentum to carry over while Elder is on the mound, making the Mets a profitable early-game target.

Eric Pathi said to grab the Minnesota Twins at +180 on the moneyline against Detroit. Pathi highlighted extreme home-road splits for both clubs: Minnesota, in his words, has been "an amazing home team," while Detroit turns into "a garbage road team." Because the Tigers struggle away from Comerica and the Twins thrive at Target Field yet are still sizeable underdogs, Pathi believes the line misprices the matchup. He tied the play to what he called his most reliable baseball angle—backing plus-money home teams when the market lacks complete information—calling it "the best bet in all of baseball" when those conditions align.

Eric Pathy said bettors should grab the Cincinnati Reds as a home underdog for Wednesday. He called them a “live dog” and cited a 33-30 record in his last 63 documented spots backing the Reds in the underdog role. Pathy expects oddsmakers to open Cincinnati as a plus-money side and argues the club’s consistent profitability in these dog situations outweighs the lack of an announced price. The play is framed as a classic value grab—take the short-priced home dog and trust the long-term edge that has already produced a winning record and positive ROI.