Josh Gayle recommends betting the over on Charlie Morton's hits allowed prop, set at 4.5 hits, in his matchup against the Diamondbacks. Morton, now 41 years old, has consistently struggled to limit contact this season, allowing five or more hits in both of his starts so far this year and in 15 of his last 17 appearances dating back to last season. Arizona's lineup, despite losing Ketel Marte to a hamstring injury, remains strong enough to take advantage of Morton's struggles. Morton has also specifically struggled historically against the Diamondbacks, surrendering five or more hits in each of his last three starts against them. Additionally, his issues are compounded away from home, and with this game taking place in Arizona, conditions further support fading Morton. Gayle acknowledges Morton's control problems could lead to walks rather than hits, but remains confident enough given the consistent trend to recommend betting this prop at -130 odds.

Ricky Dimon recommended betting on the first five innings money line for the Atlanta Braves against the Philadelphia Phillies, emphasizing distinct matchup advantages against opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker. Key Braves hitters have consistently excelled against Walker, including Michael Harris II (4-for-5 with 2 homers), Austin Riley (5-for-12, a homer, and triple), Byron De La Cruz (9-for-23, 1 HR, 2 doubles), Orlando Arcia (3-for-7, a double), and Matt Olson (3-for-11, 2 doubles). Additionally, Phillies' offense has been inconsistent, scoring 3 runs or fewer in 3 of their last 5 games. Atlanta pitcher Grant Holmes, while not elite, has shown reliable performance since last season. With uncertainty about the Braves potentially weak bullpen, Dimon specifically chose the safer option of backing the Braves in the early innings, suggesting bettors also consider the F5 run line (-0.5 runs at +105 odds).

Ricky Dimon highlighted the Boston Red Sox as a solid betting choice against the Toronto Blue Jays due to favorable historical matchups against Toronto starting pitcher Kevin Gausman. Rafael Devers boasts a lifetime 9-for-30 batting record with a home run and 5 doubles against Gausman, while Jarren Duran is 7-for-19 with a homer and 5 doubles. Gausman has struggled early this season, recording just 4 strikeouts across 11.1 innings, indicating hitters aren't being fooled. Meanwhile, despite Boston pitcher Tanner Houck having an ordinary start in 2025, Dimon pointed out Houck's impressive performance last season (3.12 ERA in 30 starts), suggesting Houck is primed to rebound effectively in his first home appearance of 2025. Further supporting Dimon's pick is the Blue Jays' modest offensive output, tallying just 47 runs through their first 12 games.

Joe Champion warned against backing Scottie Scheffler to defend his Masters title in 2025, highlighting the rarity of repeat champions at Augusta, which hasn't happened since Tiger Woods in 2002. Champion noted Scheffler's lack of wins this season, a downturn after claiming nine wins in 2024 with elite ball-striking numbers resembling peak Tiger Woods. This regression in form is partly due to a recent hand injury that delayed the start of Scheffler’s 2025 season. Although Scheffler showed positive signs with a second-place finish at Memorial Park, Champion emphasized the significant challenges and added pressure inherent to repeating at Augusta, suggesting caution for Scheffler bettors unless acknowledging the historical difficulty involved.

Joe Champion expressed concern about Rory McIlroy’s chances at the Masters 2025 despite his excellent current form, including wins at Pebble Beach and The Players Championship. While McIlroy will once again be seeking the elusive career Grand Slam, Champion expressed worries about McIlroy’s emotional resilience at Augusta. He stated that whereas competitors like Scottie Scheffler remain calm after slow starts, McIlroy can unravel quickly if things don't go his way early due to his intense desire to complete the Grand Slam. Champion clearly set caution about betting heavily on McIlroy despite his impressive recent achievements because of persistent mental questions in the Masters environment.

Joe Champion identified Patrick Reed (+10000) as a valuable under-the-radar bet for the Masters 2025 from the LIV Golf circuit. Reed's Augusta resume remains impeccable, highlighted by his watershed victory in 2018 and consistent finishes since—10th, 8th, 35th, 4th, and 12th from 2020-2024. Champion mentioned his recent solid ball-striking form, referring to Reed’s seventh-place finish at the very challenging LIV Tour event at Doral in Miami. Considering Reed’s exceptional short-game skill, noted toughness, and excellent Augusta history, Champion saw Reed as overly disrespected in betting markets and a value pick for Augusta this year.

Joe Champion labeled Russell Henley as a strong value pick at +5500 odds for the 2025 Masters, pointing to Henley’s breakout win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, highlighted by a memorable eagle chip-in on the 16th hole. Champion explained his recent win wasn't a random result, rather the culmination of steady and impressive season-long play noted with consistent top-10 placements at the Sony Open, Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and the Cognizant Classic. Moreover, Henley has a proven record at Augusta, finishing fourth as recently as 2023 and making the top 31 at Augusta each of the past seven years. His current excellent form, combined with local Georgia familiarity with Augusta’s challenging conditions, give Henley significant dark horse appeal.

Joe Champion recommended Justin Thomas as a strong outright option at +2500 odds for The Masters 2025, explaining that Thomas’ combination of precise iron play and excellent short-game prowess perfectly suit Augusta National. Despite recent Augusta struggles with missed cuts in 2023 and 2024, Thomas had previously made seven consecutive cuts, finishing as high as fourth in 2020 and eighth in 2022. Champion highlighted Thomas' strong 2025 form, featuring runner-up finishes at both the American Express and Valspar Championship (where he narrowly lost to Viktor Hovland), as well as top-ten performances at the Phoenix Open and Genesis Invitational. Crucially, Thomas' previously frail putting has substantially improved, strengthening his case as a potential winner this year.

Joe Champion likes Collin Morikawa as a strong betting choice at the Masters 2025 at +1800 odds, highlighting Morikawa's elite iron play and exceptional tee-to-green presence this season. Morikawa currently leads the PGA Tour in strokes gained tee-to-green as well as strokes gained on approach. He placed runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he had some bad luck down the stretch, and followed with 10th at the Players Championship, both career-best finishes in those tournaments. Champion outlined Morikawa's excellent Augusta track record—18th, 5th, 10th, and 3rd placements in April Masters tournaments—after struggling only in the 2020 November Masters under softer conditions that did not suit him. While Champion acknowledged that Augusta generally favors longer hitters, he emphasized elite iron approach as the primary key to success at Augusta, perfectly aligning with Morikawa’s greatest strength.

Jason Fragomeni recommends taking the Yankees money line (-155) against the Pirates based on significant offensive advantages. The Yankees are currently the MLB leaders in home runs (23), OPS (.997), slugging percentage (.621), and runs per game (8.8), making it challenging for opposing pitchers. The Pirates are sending left-hander Bailey Falter, who had an average outing against the Marlins (2 earned runs in 6 innings), but faces a difficult task slowing down a Yankees lineup that has destroyed left-handed pitching this season, hitting .310 compared to .235 last season. Additionally, Marcus Stroman starts for the Yankees, coming off a short outing but benefits from facing a Pirates team batting just .204 this season. Given these points, Fragomeni sees strong value in backing the Yankees to secure another victory in game two of the series.

Ricky Dimon suggested betting on the Atlanta Braves first 5-innings spread (-0.5) versus the Miami Marlins due to the favorable starting pitching matchup and value relative to the Braves' full-game moneyline. Despite Atlanta's shocking 0-7 start to the season, Dimon argued the Braves possess a significantly more talented roster than their current record indicates. Spencer Schwellenbach, who Dimon regards as a legitimate #2 starting pitcher temporarily elevated due to Spencer Strider's injury, is expected to dominate Miami's lineup. In contrast, Marlins starter Max Meyer struggled as a rookie in 2024, going 3-5 with a concerning 5.68 ERA and 1.42 WHIP across 11 starts. Dimon emphasized that betting only on the first 5 innings avoids exposure to Atlanta's problematic bullpen, making this particular wager especially valuable.

Ricky Dimon recommended betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline against the Washington Nationals due to a clear pitching advantage and superior overall performance. Dimon highlighted the Nationals' slow start, losing their opening series to the Phillies and subsequently being swept by the Blue Jays, resulting in an overall 1-5 record. Washington's pitcher Jake Irvin was disappointing in his first two MLB seasons, posting uninspiring ERAs of 4.61 and 4.41, and recently struggled in his 2025 debut against Philadelphia, allowing 2 runs and 7 hits over just 5 innings. On the other hand, Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt impressed last weekend, delivering a quality start versus the Cubs with 3 earned runs over 6 innings, adding 5 strikeouts and just 1 walk. With Arizona viewed as a potential playoff threat and demonstrating promising early-season momentum, Dimon felt strongly about betting on the Diamondbacks in this matchup.

Joe Champion highlighted two-time Masters runner-up Justin Rose (+10000) as an enticing longshot for the Valero Texas Open. Despite making his course debut, Champion emphasized Rose's recent performances in significant events—including a third-place finish at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and eighth at Bay Hill—as indicators of his current form. Although Rose narrowly missed the cut at Sawgrass by just one stroke, Champion sees strong value in his well-rounded game and recent ability to compete among elite fields, especially at such favorable odds.

Joe Champion recommended longshot Lee Hodges (+7500) for the Valero Texas Open, highlighting his promising recent return from a six-week injury layoff. Hodges finished strongly, placing 11th at the Houston Open—including a final-round 65. Champion noted Hodges' solid history at TPC San Antonio, specifically his sixth-place finish in 2023, despite a poor opening round (74). Combining recent momentum and past course success, Hodges presents significant betting value at elevated odds.

Joe Champion identified Bud Cauley (+5500) as a valuable sleeper pick at the Valero Texas Open, citing his return to impressive form following an extended battle with injuries from a 2018 car crash. Cauley has previous solid course form (18th in 2012 debut and 10th in 2017). Champion underscored Cauley's encouraging results recently—sixth at the Players Championship and particularly impressive with his irons finishing fourth at the Valspar Championship. Cauley's rejuvenated iron play and strong recent results suggest he's making up for lost time and poised for another good performance this week.

Joe Champion recommended backing Corey Conners (+1600) at the Valero Texas Open due to his exceptional history at TPC San Antonio and strong recent performance. Conners, a two-time winner at this venue (2019, 2023), first triumphed when ranked 196th in the world, highlighting his affinity for the course. Champion noted Conners' solid recent finishes—third at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, sixth at the Players Championship, and eighth at the Valspar Championship—and emphasized his improved putting, historically his Achilles heel. Given his exemplary tee-to-green game and newfound confidence on the greens, Conners is poised to contend seriously again.

Ricky Dimon advised betting on the Yankees ML over the Brewers, due to New York's impressive 20-run offensive display on Saturday being indicative of their true offensive potential rather than a fluke. He highlighted Aaron Judge's massive performance (8 RBIs, 3 homers), alongside Cody Bellinger going 3-for-5 with a homer, 4 RBIs, and 3 runs scored. Dimon expressed doubts about Aaron Civale's ability to manage Yankee hitters; Civale's 8-9 record and 4.36 ERA combined with Yankee Stadium's advantage for lefty hitters point to potential difficulties for the right-hander. He added that while Marcus Stroman, Yankees' pitcher, also faces a tough ballpark environment, Stroman's previous experience pitching regularly in the Bronx and solid performance give him an advantage. Therefore, Dimon expects the Yankees to maintain offensive momentum and secure another win.

Joe Champion recommended Davis Riley (+12000) as an appealing longshot bet at the Houston Open, backing his pick with Riley's recent surge in form. He drew attention to Riley’s finishes of 6th, 38th, and 7th over the past three weeks, marking a recovery from prior struggles. Champion further cited Riley’s consistent trends at Memorial Park Golf Course, with gradually improving placements of 29th, 27th, and 14th, and highlighted Riley's lone individual PGA Tour victory, coming notably in Texas at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Thus, Champion sees Riley as significantly undervalued given the positivity of his recent performances and previous Texas success.

Joe Champion spotlighted Max Greyserman (+6500) as a top-value betting pick for the Houston Open, noting Greyserman's powerful driving and strong putting, which are vital traits for success at Memorial Park. Champion specifically referenced Greyserman's impressive 7th-place finish on his debut at the course last year and pointed out his remarkable world-ranking ascension over the last year, rising from 171st all the way to 40th. He clearly sees Greyserman as ready to compete at the highest level, with every chance to claim victory.

Joe Champion identified Min Woo Lee (+4000) as a compelling betting option at the Houston Open, despite a fade following a promising start at the Players Championship where he finished 20th. He argued Lee has been consistently solid this PGA season and emphasized that Memorial Park Golf Course will play directly to Lee's strengths, notably highlighting his strong short game and quality around the greens.

Joe Champion recommended betting on Tony Finau to win the Houston Open at odds of +3500 despite his disappointing recent performances. He emphasized Finau's outstanding historical results at Memorial Park Golf Course, noting his win in the tournament in 2022 and runner-up finish last year. Champion also highlighted Finau's recent fifth-place finish in a stacked field at the Genesis Invitational just one month ago, a performance notably resilient after an opening round 76. With the course playing perfectly to Finau's considerable power and exceptional long-iron play, Champion indicated Finau provides significant betting value compared to the event's short-priced favorites, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler.