Data Skrive recommends betting on the Nationals against the Pirates, highlighting strong value at +180 odds. Supporting the play, the computer model projects Washington to upset Pittsburgh with a predicted score of 5-4. The Pirates enter this matchup with a weak 5-11 record and will start Paul Skenes, who is 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA. Meanwhile, the Nationals have Brad Lord on the mound (0-0, 1.80 ERA), indicating a favorable pitching matchup for Washington. With this starting pitching alignment and the Pirates' recent struggles, the Nationals present substantial betting appeal as significant underdogs.