Dave Tindall identifies Victor Perez as a strong longshot bet at 80/1 for the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Perez's consistently strong recent form, finishing T18, T22, and T18 in his last three tournaments. Perez is ranked 15th in Ball Striking and 13th in Driving Accuracy this season, well-suited to a course like TPC San Antonio where accuracy and ball-striking are vital. Perez's previous PGA Tour standout came in Texas, reaching the semifinals at the WGC Match Play in Austin, and he is known for excelling in windy conditions, with his victory in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (known for gusty conditions) as evidence. Sunday's forecasted strong winds and slower greens at TPC San Antonio align perfectly with Perez's skill set and past success. Tied 45th last year at this event following limited experience, Tindall expects significant improvement this time around, making him a valuable, under-the-radar option.

Dave Tindall believes Daniel Berger at 33/1 offers strong value despite missing the Valero Texas Open cut in two previous appearances. Tindall emphasizes Berger's recent excellent form, highlighted by six top-25 finishes in his last seven tournaments, including a second-place finish at the WM Phoenix Open, where Berger ranked first in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. Berger currently sits 10th in Driving Accuracy on the PGA Tour, which plays directly into the demands of TPC San Antonio, where accuracy off the tee is critical for success. Additionally, Berger ranks top-50 across all main Strokes Gained categories (Off the Tee, Approach, Around the Green, and Putting), showcasing his balanced game. Tindall argues that Berger's previous Texas victory at the 2020 Charles Schwab further demonstrates his affinity for playing in the state. Considering the strength and consistency of Berger's recent play, Tindall recommends betting Berger at these odds, confidently expecting an improvement in his course results this week.

Dave Tindall sees strong value in Tom Hoge at 80/1 odds for the Valero Texas Open. Hoge recently finished tied third at The Players Championship, ranking second in the field for Strokes Gained: Approach. Tindall identifies a strong correlation between recent winners at TPC San Antonio and strong approach play from The Players Championship, with the last three champions (Akshay Bhatia, Corey Conners, and J.J. Spaun) all notably contending at Sawgrass shortly before winning. Despite previous mixed results at this venue, Hoge produced a ninth and a twelfth-place finish in past appearances, shooting low rounds of 65 and 66. Hoge also thrives in windy conditions, important given Sunday's gusty forecast, and he recorded top-20 finishes in two of his three Texas starts last season (14th Houston Open, 17th Charles Schwab). Tindall highlights Hoge's confidence boost from a strong finish at The Players and advises backing him as a high upside, in-form player at attractive odds.

Dave Tindall recommends Victor Perez at appealing odds of 100/1 for the Houston Open, believing he is undervalued due to his skill set matching this week's challenge at Memorial Park. Perez debuted at this event last year, finishing impressively at 17th place and ranking notably high, 12th, for Around The Green—highlighting aptitude off tight lies and chipping from runoff areas. Additional points supporting Perez's candidacy include his strong performance in Texas previously, specifically reaching the semifinals at the WGC Match Play event held in Texas. Tindall notes Perez's solid recent form, including 18th at the Cognizant Classic (19th ATG) and 22nd at the Valspar Championship. Perez possesses essential attributes for Memorial Park: above-average driving length and sharp iron play. Combined with his valuable past experience in Texas and notable European Tour achievements at prestigious tournaments (including wins at Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in 2019, the Dutch Open 2022, and Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2023), Perez represents strong value at triple-digit odds.

Dave Tindall highlights Taylor Moore at 50/1 as an attractive bet due to Moore's strong performances on courses featuring tight runoff areas around greens, precisely what Memorial Park presents. Moore finished T2 here last year, excelling in the crucial statistical categories by ranking second in Around The Green, seventh in Putting, and 19th Off The Tee. Tindall points out Moore's combination of solid distance (32nd in Driving Distance this season), consistently high rankings in Off The Tee (19th) and Around The Green (19th) categories, and proven skill from tight lies with top-40 finishes in both Masters starts (39th debut, 20th last year, ranking 16th Around The Green at Augusta a year ago). Moore has demonstrated recent strong form with top-ten finishes in Phoenix and at The American Express, plus solid position halfway through The Players Championship. Tindall also emphasizes Moore's comfort factor in Texas—his birthplace and current home state—as motivation and context to deliver his second PGA Tour win in ideal conditions.

Dave Tindall heavily endorses Jason Day at odds of 33/1 for the Houston Open based on Day's excellent record on courses with shaved runoff areas similar to Memorial Park. He emphasizes Day's elite scrambling abilities, citing a fourth-place finish at Pinehurst in the 2014 U.S. Open, highlighting that he finished sixth in scrambling there. Day also excels at Augusta National, a comparable venue in terms of shaved runoff areas around greens, ranking sixth in Strokes Gained: Around the Green (ATG) in 2024 and consistently ranking in the top 10 for scrambling across Augusta appearances. Tindall also points to Day's strong recent showing at Quail Hollow, another similar test, where Day finished fourth and ranked first for Around The Green. Jason Day recently reunited with his former longtime coach Collin Swatton, showing immediate improvement by ranking fifth for SG: Putting at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. His current form is highlighted by finishes of third at The American Express, eighth at Bay Hill, and 13th at Pebble Beach. With three career wins already in Texas and a solid history at this course (seventh and 16th places previously), Tindall strongly recommends backing Jason Day each-way at current odds as an ideal course fit with clear momentum and elite short-game prowess.

Dave Tindall picked Adam Hadwin each-way at 80/1 primarily due to Hadwin's exceptional track history at Innisbrook. Hadwin is a past champion at the Valspar Championship (2017), and his affinity for this course extends beyond the victory; he finished 12th as defending champion in 2018 and secured two additional top-7 finishes recently (7th in 2022, 5th in 2024). Hadwin described the Copperhead Course layout as similar to those he grew up playing, emphasizing the importance of patience, strategic tee shots, and consistent approach play—factors that align perfectly with his playing style. While recent results have been erratic (an opening 69 followed by a disappointing 77 missed cut at Sawgrass last week), Tindall pointed out Hadwin's proven ability to ascend leaderboards in favorite venues, citing his pair of top-10 finishes at TPC Scottsdale. Given Hadwin's course history and skillset well-suited to Copperhead’s layout—particularly his strength in Par 3 Scoring (26th rank)—Tindall sees significant value at long odds.

Dave Tindall advised each-way bets on Jake Knapp at 50/1, countering perceptions of Knapp as a player primarily suited to easy-scoring events. Knapp caught attention recently with a standout opening round 59 at the Cognizant Classic, finishing sixth, and proved consistency by following up with a 12th-place finish at the prestigious Players Championship at Sawgrass. Tindall emphasized Knapp's track record on challenging layouts, citing his third-place finish at Torrey Pines last year and 17th this year at Riviera during the Genesis Invitational. Further boosting Knapp's appeal is his hot putting streak; he led the field in SG: Putting at Sawgrass and also ranked 19th the week prior at PGA National. While this will be his course debut at Copperhead, Knapp's recent performance (four top-12 Florida finishes in the last six starts) and seven consecutive events gaining strokes on approach signal strong potential to succeed at the Valspar Championship.

Dave Tindall recommended betting Corey Conners each-way at 22/1 for the Valspar Championship, citing several strong indicators of success. Conners has shown exceptional form during this Florida swing, securing a third-place finish at Bay Hill and sixth place at Sawgrass, where his weekend rounds (66-71) notably outperformed eventual winner Rory McIlroy by four strokes. Historically consistent in Florida events, Conners placed in the top 26 in 10 of his last 12 starts in the state. Specifically at Innisbrook, Conners led the tournament after each of the first three rounds in his 2018 debut before fading on Sunday, implying unfinished business on this course. Moreover, Conners' recent improvement with the putter—ranking 21st in SGP at The Players and 13th at Bay Hill after switching to a new putter—suggests enhanced scoring potential. Tindall emphasized putting prowess at Copperhead, noting the past four winners ranked high in SG: Putting. Conners, who led in SGP at the season-opening Sentry Tournament, has seen marked improvement from previous seasons (128th to 69th this year). Finally, Tindall highlighted Conners' driving accuracy (3rd at The Players), crucial on a course known for penalizing wayward tee shots with challenging rough.