Shawn Childs continues to advocate for stashing Jose Cabellero in 12-team fantasy leagues despite his limited early-season opportunity (only three starts in the Rays' first seven games). Citing Cabellero’s elite previous speed production (70 stolen bases combined over his previous 672 at-bats) and ability to play multiple positions, Childs believes Cabellero has significant bench value as a potential stolen-base specialist. Fantasy managers needing speed upside can benefit from rostering Cabellero in hopes the Rays expand his role to unlock that potential.

Shawn Childs emphasized Geraldo Perdomo as the premier shortstop on fantasy waiver wires after a sizzling start (11 hits, 11 RBIs, two steals in first eight games). Despite concerns around Jordan Lawlar potentially being called up to replace injured Ketel Marte, Childs remains bullish and sees Perdomo's fantasy value rising considerably if Arizona adjusts its batting order to elevate Perdomo's run-scoring opportunities. The D-backs have invested significantly in Perdomo (four-year, $45 million contract), further cementing his fantasy appeal for the immediate future.

Shawn Childs strongly believes Jordan Lawlar will soon be called up to fill in for injured Ketel Marte. Despite missing substantial playing time last season due to thumb and hamstring injuries, Lawlar hit .318 over limited action, showcasing a valuable skillset blending power and speed (36 steals previously at AA/AAA). Childs highlighted Lawlar's recent success at AAA and believes his call-up is imminent should Marte land on the injured list. Given his tools, Childs sees Lawlar offering immediate fantasy impact for managers needing versatile production.

Shawn Childs advised fantasy managers to consider Jose Miranda as a short-term starting fantasy third baseman while Royce Lewis remains sidelined. Miranda previously displayed legitimate power (15 home runs in 444 rookie at-bats) and improved batting average in 2024 (.284). Despite a slow start (only three hits through 19 at-bats), Miranda has both the playing time commitment and historical batting upside that justify an investment until Lewis returns to action.

Shawn Childs recommends Wilmer Flores as a viable short-term power boost despite being widely available (97% unowned in 12-team NFBC leagues). Flores hit two home runs with four RBIs last week, showcasing strong temporary power upside. Childs cautions fantasy managers that Flores won't maintain this scorching pace indefinitely, but still sees him as a solid fantasy asset until his bat cools off and potentially costs him playing time. Flores's recent production justifies adding him for immediate fantasy assistance.

Shawn Childs views Athletics prospect Nick Kurtz as a major-league ready fantasy option when called up, recommending strong consideration due to his proven track record of power and plate discipline. Kurtz, drafted fourth overall after an impressive college career at Wake Forest (.333 average, 61 HR, more walks than strikeouts), has started explosively at AA and AAA, hitting three home runs and driving in nine runs in just 21 at-bats at AAA. Given Oakland's situation, Childs anticipates Kurtz joining the big league roster shortly and advises fantasy managers needy for power at first base to monitor him closely for immediate impact upon promotion.

Shawn Childs recommended catcher Sean Murphy as an appealing fantasy asset as he nears a return from his rib injury, highlighting his steady historical performance. Despite missing time in three of the past four seasons, Murphy has produced moderate fantasy-relevant catcher numbers (.250 average with 18-21 HR potential annually). Recently, Murphy appeared in three rehab starts at AAA, hitting a home run and driving in two runs in limited at-bats. Benefiting from a strong run-producing Braves lineup but competing with a weaker second catcher for playing time, Childs projects Murphy for approximately 400 at-bats and a potential line of around 55 runs, 15 home runs, and solid run production. Childs views Murphy as a valuable second catcher target in 12-team roto leagues.

Peter Dewey advised betting the under on Max Fried's strikeout prop set at 6.5 despite facing a Tigers lineup prone to striking out over nine times per game. He reasoned that Fried has managed just four and six strikeouts in each of his first two starts this season, covering only 10.1 innings. Although Fried surpassed the 90-pitch threshold in both of these outings, Dewey is skeptical that he will pitch deep enough into this game against Detroit to exceed the strikeout total of 6.5.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the under on Jack Flaherty's hits allowed prop of 4.5. Flaherty has allowed just six hits across 11.1 innings this season, maintaining a stellar 0.88 WHIP. Dewey highlighted the Yankees' recent challenges offensively, emphasizing their mere 13 hits and two runs scored across the first two games of this series. Additionally, he referenced Flaherty's impressive past performance, where last season he gave up only 135 hits across 162 innings.

Matt Vincenzi recommended backing Byeong Hun An at +500 as the Top Asian finisher at Augusta. An is coming into Augusta with strong recent form, posting top-20 finishes twice in his last three starts. His length off the tee and exceptional touch around tight greens are a perfect fit for the Masters' challenging short-game test. After showing signs of Augusta comfort with a T16 in 2024, combined with the questionable current form of fellow Asian golfers Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, and Sungjae Im, Vincenzi finds value in the +500 odds.

Matt Vincenzi recommended betting Dustin Johnson (+10000) at Augusta, noting Johnson is on a hot streak after early-season struggles. A final-round 64 in Hong Kong, followed by strong play in Miami and Singapore, underscores Johnson's recent return to form. The former Masters champion expressed confident comparison to his victorious 2020 performance. Given his top-10 strokes-gained performance over the field at Augusta historically, Vincenzi advises considering Johnson as a compelling and undervalued Masters threat.

Matt Vincenzi sees Sergio Garcia as offering excellent betting value for Top 20 (+200) and Top Continental European (+900) wagers at the Masters. Highlighting Garcia's outstanding ball-striking form in 2025, Vincenzi underlined his extremely high floor, noting recent elite performances (win, runner-up, third place finishes in recent LIV events). Vincenzi pointed out Garcia's main continental European competition—Ludvig Aberg, Viktor Hovland, Jon Rahm—as carrying significant question marks into the Masters, giving Garcia an attractive opportunity to secure these prop markets.

Matt Vincenzi sees Justin Rose (+11000) as an intriguing long-shot pick with a chance to compete at the Masters. Rose's approach to major-focused preparation, combined with a strong record at Augusta (including a runner-up playoff loss in 2017 and five other top-10 finishes), suggests he could contend again. This season he has demonstrated good form with top-ten finishes at tough, prestigious venues like Pebble Beach and Bay Hill. Vincenzi argues Rose is exactly the type of seasoned veteran who could contend late if top favorites stumble, setting him up for a possible surprise Masters victory.

Matt Vincenzi recommended Sergio Garcia as a potential dark-horse winner at +8000 odds for Augusta. Garcia, at age 46, is experiencing one of the best stretches of his career since moving to LIV Golf, recently winning LIV Hong Kong and gaining significant strokes with elite-level ball striking. Garcia has notably improved his putting and continues to hit the ball long and straight, reminiscent of his prime. Garcia's positive mindset, driven by mentoring younger players, appears to have bolstered his performance. He finished third overall in individual standings on LIV in 2024, behind only Rahm and Niemann, and Vincenzi believes Garcia can leverage his previous Masters triumph in 2017 and considerable Augusta experience into another strong showing or even a victory that would place him among elite Spanish multi-Masters winners.

Matt Vincenzi backed Joaquin Niemann at +4000 odds, arguing his considerable recent success on LIV positions him well for Augusta. Despite limited major success historically, Niemann has had solid performances at Augusta (T16 in 2023, T22 in 2024). He identified Augusta as his best chance to win a major due to a smaller field and prior course experience. Niemann's substantial driving distance (among the longest on tour) gives him an edge, especially if conditions soften, offsetting his low ball flight that's typically a disadvantage on firmer conditions. His six worldwide victories since 2024 trails only Scottie Scheffler, indicating he's primed for a major championship breakthrough soon.

Matt Vincenzi recommended Justin Thomas as a valuable bet at +2500 for the Masters. Thomas, who previously ended a long winless streak by winning the 2022 PGA Championship, appears to have regained confidence and form. This season he's posted top-10 finishes in four of eight events, including a close call runner-up at the Valspar Championship. Vincenzi emphasized Thomas’s significant improvement on the greens, gaining strokes putting in six of eight starts in 2025, notably at the Valspar with 6.72 strokes gained. Thomas expressed confidence in his game heading into Augusta, believing he's very close to capturing another major title.

Matt Vincenzi highlighted Collin Morikawa as a smart betting play at +1800 odds for the 2025 Masters. Morikawa leads the field in strokes-gained approach over his past 24 rounds, a critical metric for Augusta because of the small landing areas and challenging greens. His consistency is notable with no finishes worse than T17 in five starts this season, including two runner-up performances at the Sentry and Arnold Palmer Invitational. Augusta National has also been favorable to Morikawa historically—he's secured three consecutive top-10 finishes, including a third-place finish in 2024. Vincenzi believes Morikawa represents the PGA Tour's best likelihood to capture a green jacket this season and move one step closer to a career grand slam.

Peter Dewey sees good value in Riley Greene's odds to homer against veteran Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Greene has started the 2025 campaign hot, boasting a .317 batting average, .634 slugging percentage, and already hitting three home runs. He's notably stronger against right-handed pitchers, slugging 59 points higher against righties for his career. Carrasco, meanwhile, has started poorly this season, allowing a homer and six earned runs in just 7.1 innings. He has also had persistent trouble containing home runs, allowing at least 17 each of the previous three seasons. Although Greene has limited history against Carrasco (0-for-3), Dewey suggests taking a shot given the matchup and generous odds.

Peter Dewey likes the home run odds for Seiya Suzuki against struggling Nationals lefty Patrick Corbin. Suzuki has started strong this season, hitting .250 with four homers in 13 games. Historically, he's solid against left-handers, posting a slash of .286/.382/.479. Corbin, on the other hand, has consistently surrendered high home run numbers, leading the league in earned runs allowed in three of the past four seasons. In career head-to-head matchups, Suzuki thrives versus Corbin, hitting .400 (4-for-10) with two home runs already. Dewey finds value in betting Suzuki to extend his success against Corbin.

Peter Dewey is bullish on Brandon Lowe’s chances to homer against Angels veteran pitcher Kyle Hendricks. Lowe is off to a productive start in 2025, hitting .306 with three home runs. Lifetime, he's performed exceptionally against right-handed pitching, slugging .495 with 99 career home runs against righties. Hendricks, on the other hand, has struggled limiting the long ball recently, surrendering 21 homers in 29 appearances in 2024 and giving up another homer his first start of 2025. Despite only limited head-to-head at bats versus Hendricks (1-for-5), the matchup is appealing enough for Dewey to back Lowe hitting a homer on Tuesday.

Peter Dewey identified significant value in Wyatt Langford's prop to homer (+600) against Cubs pitcher Justin Steele. Steele has struggled mightily to start 2025, allowing five homers, posting a 6.89 ERA, and ranking in just the 19th percentile in expected ERA per Statcast across three starts. Langford has hit three home runs already this season, and excels against left-handed pitchers historically with an impressive .544 slugging percentage and eight career homers in only 103 plate appearances against them. Dewey sees this as a prime matchup, boosting the appeal of Langford's home run prop on Monday.

Peter Dewey backs Zac Gallen for 6 or more strikeouts against the Orioles on April 7, citing Gallen's hot start to the 2025 season. Gallen has recorded 17 strikeouts through two starts, highlighted by a 13-strikeout performance against the Yankees on April 2. Statcast numbers reinforce Gallen's dominance: he's in the 96th percentile for whiff percentage and 89th percentile in strikeout percentage. Facing Baltimore, ranked 19th in MLB at 8.8 strikeouts per game, combined with Gallen rebounding strongly from his Opening Day struggles, Dewey believes the prop at 6+ strikeouts holds significant value.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the over on 0.5 walks for Yankees superstar Aaron Judge against the Tigers. Judge has already drawn five walks in 2025 after leading MLB in walks last season. Facing Casey Mize, who allowed three walks over 5.2 innings in his 2025 debut and is prone to control issues (career 2.7 BB/9, struggled this spring with 3.8 BB/9), it's a favorable spot for Judge to work at least one free pass. With Judge walking already on Sunday, Dewey sees value in betting this prop.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the over on Logan Gilbert's strikeouts (6.5) against the Astros on April 7. Gilbert has started the season very strong, posting a 3.00 ERA and a spectacular 1.42 FIP through two outings, while striking out 18 hitters. His Statcast profile underscores elite swing-and-miss ability, ranking 94th percentile in whiff percentage, 92nd percentile in strikeout percentage, and 75th percentile in chase percentage. Facing Houston, who rank 24th in MLB with 9.78 strikeouts per game, Gilbert has a favorable matchup. He has struck out eight-plus batters in each of his first two appearances, so the over at 6.5 strikeouts is highly attractive.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the under on Carlos Carrasco's strikeout total (set at 3.5) due to a combination of matchup difficulty and short leash. Carrasco struggled in his season debut for the Yankees, pitching just two innings while allowing three runs and five hits against Milwaukee. Dewey noted the strong plate discipline of the Arizona Diamondbacks lineup, averaging only 6.83 strikeouts per game, third-lowest in MLB. With Carrasco unlikely to pitch deep into the game and facing a lineup that rarely strikes out, Dewey expects him to stay under the set strikeout total.

Peter Dewey touted the over on Kristian Campbell's total bases prop (set at 1.5) at favorable odds (+155). Campbell, a rookie infielder for Boston, is off to a scorching start, hitting .400/.500/.750 through his first six MLB games, including one home run and four doubles. Dewey highlighted that Campbell has achieved two or more total bases in four of his six games so far this season, making the plus-money odds a strong value.

Peter Dewey advised backing the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline against the Milwaukee Brewers due to the strong pitching matchup advantage. He emphasized Reds starter Nick Lodolo's quality first start, giving up just two runs over six innings against the Giants. He contrasted this with Brewers starter Nestor Cortes, who struggled badly in his initial outing, surrendering eight runs on six hits, five walks, and allowing five home runs in just two innings against the Yankees. Cortes's poor form continues a worrying trend from previous seasons, including posting a 4.97 ERA in 2023, and despite improving slightly to 3.77 in 2024, allowing 24 homers. Dewey feels this pitching edge makes Cincinnati a value as slight moneyline underdogs.

Cody Williams takes Steven Fisk as a top-20 prop bet (+450), highlighting Fisk’s impressive recent statistical profile. Over the last 12 rounds, Fisk ranks seventh in strokes-gained approach and tee-to-green, second in Bogey Avoidance, and ninth in GIR among this field. Despite missing the cut in Houston, Williams believes the accuracy and approach skillset are an ideal fit for TPC San Antonio, making Fisk appealing as a longshot top-20 play.

Matt Vincenzi targets Mac Meissner as a longshot (+12000) noting his deep Texas roots, collegiate record-setting performance at SMU, and current residency in Dallas. Additionally, Meissner recently showcased explosive iron play at Valspar Championship, ranking fourth in strokes-gained approach while gaining 7.72 strokes. Vincenzi finds strong suitability due to local familiarity and current form.

Iain MacMillan sees great value in Henrik Norlander at extremely long +22000 odds for the Valero Texas Open. Citing Norlander’s fourth-place PGA Tour ranking in strokes-gained approach, MacMillan identifies Norlander as a worthy longshot in this weaker field and feels the potential upside makes the risk very attractive even considering potential putting struggles.

Brian Giuffra picks Patrick Cantlay as his Valero Texas Open outright due to his consistent recent success, featuring two top-5 finishes and a T12 at The Players Championship in 2025. Cantlay, winless for three years, has struggled repeatedly with Sunday rounds but Giuffra believes Cantlay's unfamiliarity with any past disappointments at this course—a first-time appearance—is an advantage that could help him find success over all four days.

Cody Williams identifies Gary Woodland as a valuable outright play due to Woodland's impressive recent tee-to-green form, gaining over 5.0 strokes T2G at both Houston and Phoenix. Woodland placed a strong T21 in Phoenix and finished Houston firing a final-round 62, showcasing excellent ball striking. Williams also highlights Woodland's strong previous finishes at TPC San Antonio—T6 and T8 in his past two visits—as evidence he's well-suited for the course.

Brian Kirschner is optimistic about Daniel Berger's chances at the Valero Texas Open, noting a strong return to form so far in 2025. Berger has placed within the top 25 in each of his last four starts, including a T2 at the WMPO, which Kirschner cites as a relevant comp due to similarities in risk-reward TPC design. Berger's history of success in Texas, including a victory at Colonial, further strengthens his credentials as an appealing outright pick.

John Schwarb backs Denny McCarthy as his outright winner for Valero Texas Open due to his strong motivation from losing in a playoff at this event last year. Schwarb also points out McCarthy's excellent and consistent 2025 season thus far—no missed cuts in eight starts and earning five finishes of T16 or better. Coming off a T14 at the Players Championship, McCarthy is fresh and primed for a big redemption week.

Matt Vincenzi is bullish on Jordan Spieth for the Valero Texas Open based on Spieth's exceptional recent iron play. At the Valspar Championship at Copperhead, Spieth gained 7.76 strokes on approach, third-best in the field, demonstrating superior form with his irons. Vincenzi also notes this is one of Spieth's favorite courses, further increasing his appeal as an outright pick.

Iain MacMillan endorsed Denny McCarthy as his outright pick for the Valero Texas Open, highlighting McCarthy's second-place finish last year when he lost in a playoff to Akshay Bhatia. MacMillan also praised McCarthy's excellent strokes-gained approach (27th on Tour) and putting (17th on Tour) skills this season. McCarthy has posted back-to-back top 20 finishes at signature events and figures to capitalize on a weaker-than-usual field.

Peter Dewey recommended betting Zac Gallen over 4.5 strikeouts against the Cubs on Opening Day. Despite a modest 3.65 ERA last season, Gallen had a strong strikeout volume of 156 punchouts in 148 innings, striking out at least five batters in 17 of his 28 starts, including each of his final seven appearances. The Cubs, who averaged over eight strikeouts per game last year, represent an ideal matchup for Gallen, making this prop a solid choice.

Peter Dewey advised betting Aaron Judge over 0.5 walks on Opening Day, noting Judge's already impressive walk history by leading the AL in walks two of the past three seasons and the majors with 133 walks in 2024. With Juan Soto now with the Mets and Giancarlo Stanton on the injured list, the Yankees lack solid threats to protect Judge in the batting order. As a result, opposing teams may choose frequently to pitch around him, making this walk prop a strong bet early this season.

Iain MacMillan recommended betting Clay Holmes under 4.5 strikeouts in his first start of 2025 against the Astros. Holmes transitioned from reliever to starter and switched from the Yankees to the Mets. His strikeout rate already declined from 10.1 per nine innings in 2023 to 9.7 per nine innings in 2024. Now facing a consistently low-strikeout Astros lineup, Holmes may struggle to accumulate strikeouts, making him a heavy fade candidate on Opening Day.

Brian Kirschner recommends Matti Schmid for a Top 40 finish at +150 odds, highlighting his balanced play lately, finishing 18th, 6th, and 28th in three of his last four events. Schmid gained strokes in all four major statistical categories last week and previously placed 21st here last year, demonstrating an ideal profile to have another solid finish this week.

Matt Vincenzi advocates for Jason Day finishing in the top 10 at +300 odds, based on his historical success at Memorial Park. Day finished T7 in his debut at this venue and T16 in 2023, demonstrating a consistent ability to contend here. Given the anticipated challenging scoring conditions, Vincenzi sees strong value in Day's experience and ability to handle this course.

Brian Giuffra is betting Nicolai Hojgaard as a longshot at +10000 odds despite two recent missed cuts. Giuffra loves Hojgaard's fit at Memorial Park due to his excellent long driving, strong putting, and ranking 15th in approach on tour. Recognizing the attractive odds as an overreaction to recent struggles, Giuffra expects Hojgaard to rebound at this event ahead of Augusta, a course where he previously placed within the top 20.

Matt Vincenzi identified Emiliano Grillo as a sleeper at +30000 odds, highlighting significant underlying improvements. Despite recent poor overall finishes, Grillo displayed elite iron play at The Players Championship, gaining 4.08 strokes on approach in Round 1 alone and following it with another strong approach round. A promising showing at Valspar reinforced Vincenzi's belief that Grillo is on the verge of major breakthroughs.

Iain MacMillan highlights Mac Meissner as a value longshot at +15000 odds due to emerging positive trends and performances. Meissner finished T28 at last week's Valspar Championship, notably gaining nearly two strokes per round with his approach play. Coupled with continued strong chipping, MacMillan believes Meissner can surprise and contend at Memorial Park.

Cody Williams is backing Min Woo Lee at +3500. While Memorial Park will be his tournament debut, Williams loves the fit due to Lee's power off the tee combined with his excellent short game—ranking top 10 in strokes gained around-the-green and scrambling over the last 24 rounds. Though approach numbers aren’t consistently elite, Min Woo Lee recently gained strokes on approach at marquee venues like The Players and Pebble Beach, giving Williams confidence he can translate this form successfully in Houston.

Brian Kirschner picked Davis Thompson at +3500, emphasizing a strong fit with Memorial Park’s demands. Thompson has demonstrated above-average driving distance and strong short-game skills, an ideal blend for this course. He recently won the John Deere Classic and is coming off an impressive 12th-place showing at The Players Championship, gaining seven strokes ball striking. Thompson's clear course affinity was evidenced by his 21st-place finish in his last visit here, signaling this tournament as a prime opportunity for another win.

John Schwarb confidently backed Scottie Scheffler at +375 to win the Houston Open, noting Scheffler needs this victory to reassert his No.1 ranking after Rory McIlroy's recent success including his Players Championship win. Scheffler has strong history at this venue, having recorded two runner-up finishes in recent years, indicating a comfort level at Memorial Park. Schwarb anticipates Scheffler will return to the winner's circle, setting up a significant battle ahead of Augusta.

Matt Vincenzi is bullish on Wyndham Clark at +4000 based on his strong performance on Tom Doak-designed courses, ranking sixth in strokes-gained total over his last 36 rounds on these layouts. Vincenzi loves Clark's skill combination of strong driving distance and putting ability, which aligns with the proven winning formula at Memorial Park through its first four editions. Given these key stats and historical course fit, Clark could seriously contend this week.

Iain MacMillan advised betting Rory McIlroy at +700 odds due to the large gap between him and Scottie Scheffler compared to their recent performances. MacMillan highlighted that McIlroy has clearly outperformed Scheffler throughout this season, yet he remains available at double the odds of Scheffler. Given this discrepancy and Rory's strong recent form, MacMillan values McIlroy as a strong bet to win the Houston Open. He sees this as potentially Rory McIlroy's big year, noting his two victories already this season including The Players Championship.

Matt Vincenzi likes Jason Day's potential at +4000 odds following recent strong performances coupled with notable swing adjustments. Day recently reconnected with childhood coach Colin Swatton, resulting in key technical adjustments, notably head position and alignment improvements, which Day believes allow his shoulders and swing to function more fluidly. Day showed promising form recently with a T3 at the American Express and a T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Previously, Day finished T7 at Memorial Park, indicating good course compatibility. Having rested last week following an illness-induced withdrawal from The Players, Day should be fresh and primed to contend again.