DaSilva threw a sprinkle on Ben Griffin at +3300 to grab the Thursday lead. Griffin ranks 12th on tour in Round-1 scoring average (typically gaining nearly 1.3 strokes putting in opening rounds) and profiles well on shorter courses where he can lean on wedges and a silky flat stick. Silverado’s receptive greens yielded 63 first-round 66s or better the past two years, and DaSilva believes Griffin’s early-week aggression makes him live to post another low number.

For head-to-head bettors DaSilva laid ‑125 on Cameron Young over Collin Morikawa. Morikawa enters off three straight finishes outside the top 40 and negative strokes-gained putting in five straight starts. Young, conversely, has gained strokes tee-to-green in nine consecutive events, capped by a Tour Championship 4th. DaSilva framed it as a classic hot-hand play with Morikawa’s iron play mysteriously off and Young peaking at the perfect time.

DaSilva advised taking Sam Burns +100 over Patrick Cantlay in the BetMGM matchup market. Burns owns a T-7 course result and arrives sharper after ranking 4th in strokes-gained putting over the last two months. Cantlay, meanwhile, has logged just one top-15 since the U.S. Open and could treat Napa as little more than Ryder Cup prep. Given current form and course résumé, DaSilva sees the even-money price on Burns as mis-priced.

DaSilva doubled down on Adam Svensson, backing him at +500 for a Top-20 and +275 as Top Canadian. The reasoning is the same: Svensson has finished 13th and 12th in consecutive Procore starts, cashing both props. Despite a lackluster 2025 season, he gained over 1.5 strokes on approach in each of those Napa appearances. DaSilva gives him the edge over Mackenzie Hughes, Adam Hadwin, and Ben Silverman thanks to that specific course fit and the ability to catch fire with the putter on poa.

At +275, DaSilva sees Matt Kuchar’s relentless accuracy translating to another Top-20. Kuchar has quietly finished 13th, 11th and 8th in his last three Silverado trips, gaining strokes both off the tee and with the putter each time. While no longer a weekly contender, his steady fairway-finder profile plays perfectly on a 7,100-yard track that punishes misses. DaSilva expects that three-year streak to continue against a distracted, Ryder-Cup-focused field.

Even with recent inconsistency, DaSilva recommended Sahith Theegala at +275 for a Top-20 because California comfort is real. Theegala won this tournament in 2023 (then branded the Fortinet Championship) and has posted 4 finishes of 14th or better in his last 5 Silverado starts. Familiar Kikuyu rough and West Coast greens mute his ball-striking volatility, making a backdoor Top-20 the floor if he simply finds a field-average putter.

DaSilva likes Patrick Fishburn at +500 for a Top-10 after the long-hitting Canadian opened eyes with a solo 3rd in his Silverado debut last year, finishing only six shots behind Patton Kizzire. Fishburn followed that up with a T-8 at the Wyndham Championship in his most recent PGA start, signaling the form is intact. His length lets him attack the reachable par-5s, and DaSilva believes anything close to last year’s 1.7 strokes-gained approach performance puts another top-10 squarely in play.

Calling him the world’s No. 1 amateur and fresh off anchoring Team USA’s Walker Cup victory at Pebble, DaSilva grabbed +350 on Jackson Koivun to crack the Top-10. Koivun stays on familiar West Coast poa greens and arrives with confidence after going 3-1-0 last week. DaSilva believes the 7,138-yard track de-emphasizes power and rewards Koivun’s precise wedges, giving the youngster a realistic path to contend even against a Ryder-Cup-heavy field.

DaSilva recommended Cameron Young at +350 for a Top-5 after a two-month heater that includes his first PGA Tour win at the Wyndham (early August) and a 4th-place finish at the Tour Championship. Young has gained over 1.2 strokes per round off the tee since July and ranks top-5 in birdies during that stretch. With Collin Morikawa slumping, DaSilva sees Young as the in-form American most likely to pile up red numbers on Silverado’s gettable par-5s.

DaSilva grabbed the +400 number for J.J. Spaun to finish inside the top five, pointing to an elite comfort level on West Coast setups. Spaun has never missed the cut at Silverado and owns three straight strong results—T-9, T-11, T-26—since 2020. That track record, combined with his tendency to spike with the short irons on shorter par-72 layouts, makes him a live podium threat in a field where many favorites may have one eye on the Ryder Cup.

Cameron DaSilva said Sam Burns is worth a Top-5 ticket at +333 because the flat stick never cooled off. Burns tied for 7th at Silverado in 2021 and mirrored that result at last month’s Tour Championship, showing upside on both this layout and elite fields. With the Ryder Cup looming he is treating Napa as a tune-up, and DaSilva expects the familiar West Coast poa surfaces to accentuate Burns’ biggest edge: he ranked top-10 on tour in strokes-gained putting during the summer swing.

At a bomb price of +17500, DaSilva singled out Adam Svensson. The Canadian has finished 13th and 12th in his last two Silverado starts, gaining more than five strokes on approach in those outings. Although Svensson logged only two top-25s in the 2025 season, DaSilva believes his repeat success on these greens and the shorter layout make him a course-horse worth a tiny outright or top-10 sprinkle for bettors hunting triple-digit tickets.

DaSilva suggested sprinkling on Matt Kuchar at +8000. The 45-year-old has quietly finished T-13 or better in each of his last three Silverado appearances. Earlier this summer he nabbed a T-5 at the John Deere Classic before a lukewarm 44th at Wyndham, showing flashes of vintage consistency. Kuchar’s fairway-and-green style plays up on the tight North Course, and DaSilva views the price as generous for a player with repeat top-15 history at this venue.

DaSilva threw out Auburn junior Jackson Koivun at +4500, noting the world No. 1 amateur is fresh off a Walker Cup victory for Team USA at Pebble Beach. Koivun’s all-around profile impressed in limited PGA Tour starts, and DaSilva likes giving him a shot in a field where many stars may be focused on the upcoming Ryder Cup. With Silverado rewarding precise iron play more than raw distance, DaSilva believes the youngster’s polished approach game could shock the betting board.

Despite calling 2025 a "terrible year" for Sahith Theegala, DaSilva advocates buying the dip at +8000. The California native won this tournament in 2023 (then the Fortinet Championship) and has finished 14th or better in four of his last five appearances, including 7th in 2024 and 6th in 2022. DaSilva argued that returning to friendly Poa Annua greens and home-state vibes could erase season-long struggles, making +8000 a clear mis-price for a player with proven course ceiling.

DaSilva labeled Patrick Fishburn a live long-shot at +6600. Fishburn debuted at Silverado in 2024 and finished solo third, just six shots behind Patton Kizzire. He kept the arrow pointing up by firing back-to-back 65s on the weekend of August’s Wyndham Championship to grab a T-8. DaSilva noted Fishburn’s ability to score in bunches and his comfort on the North Course’s narrower corridors as key reasons to throw a dart at the number, especially with the betting public gravitating toward the Ryder Cup names up top.

DaSilva recommended Cameron Young at +2200 on the heels of his first career victory at the Wyndham Championship and a fourth-place finish at the Tour Championship. Young’s current form earned him a spot on the U.S. Ryder Cup team, and DaSilva sees the Napa stop as a momentum bridge to Bethpage. Even though length is muted at Silverado, Young’s elite tee-to-green game allows him to attack the par-5s while his confidence is peaking. DaSilva believes the market is slow to price in both the win equity he just displayed and his playoff surge, giving bettors a reasonable mid-tier number.

DaSilva highlighted J.J. Spaun as a value outright at +2800. The Southern California native owns three straight solid results at Silverado—T-9 in 2021, T-11 in 2023, and T-26 last year—despite increasingly deep fields. Spaun ranks near the top of the Tour in Fairways Gained and loses virtually nothing in driving distance, a combo that perfectly matches the shorter North Course where accuracy trumps power. DaSilva added that Spaun’s familiarity with West Coast Poa greens and home-state support could unlock another top-10 ceiling, making the +2800 number attractive relative to the Ryder Cup stars crowding the top of the board.

Cameron DaSilva backed Sam Burns as an outright wager at +2000 for the 2025 Procore Championship. DaSilva stressed that Silverado Resort’s North Course is a 7,123-yard par-72 that de-emphasizes length and puts a premium on putting—exactly where Burns has been separating, leading the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting over his last eight starts. In Burns’ only prior trip here (2021 Safeway Open) he finished T-7, proving he can handle the Poa Annua greens and tight sight-lines. With the Ryder Cup two weeks away, DaSilva expects Burns to stay sharp, ride his “hottest putter on tour” reputation, and contend against a field where only four players have shorter than +1600 odds.

DaSilva’s First-Round Leader dart is Ben Griffin at +3300. Griffin ranks 12th on Tour in Round-1 scoring average and tends to thrive on shorter setups like Silverado, where early aggressiveness can post a target before afternoon winds kick up. The analyst calls the number generous relative to Griffin’s fast-start profile.

DaSilva recommended Adam Svensson at +275 to be low Canadian, citing his two-year Silverado run (13th, 12th) as superior to countrymen Mackenzie Hughes, Adam Hadwin and Ben Silverman. With course pedigree and generous odds, Svensson profiles as the best value in this nationality prop.

In the Young (-125) vs. Morikawa (+100) matchup, DaSilva sides with Cameron Young. He argued Morikawa’s pre-Ryder Cup form is "pretty poor," whereas Young arrives off a win and a 4th-place finish in his last two starts. The analyst believes momentum plus Young’s distance advantage on Silverado’s scorable par-5s tilts the duel decisively.

DaSilva prefers Sam Burns at +100 in the head-to-head over Patrick Cantlay (-125). Burns’ 2025 consistency, plus his T-7 here in 2021, contrasts with Cantlay’s tendency to treat fall events as glorified practice rounds. Getting Burns at even money against a higher-profile opponent is, per DaSilva, mis-priced value.

Svensson is DaSilva’s Top-20 play at +500. Despite a down 2025 season, the Canadian finished 13th and 12th in his last two Napa starts. Those back-to-back checks convince the tout that the ball-striker can again lean on comfort with Silverado’s tight sight lines to outperform his long odds.

DaSilva highlighted Matt Kuchar at +275 for a Top-20 because the veteran has quietly finished 13th or better in three straight visits to Silverado. While Kuchar rarely contends elsewhere these days, his fairway-finder profile and deft wedges have translated to consistent cashes on this track, making the number attractive.

Even with shaky current form, DaSilva still punched Sahith Theegala’s Top-20 ticket at +275. The Cal native won here in 2023 (then the Fortinet) and has four finishes of 14th or better in his last five Silverado starts. Home-state comfort and proven course fit outweigh recent inconsistencies in the analyst’s eyes.

DaSilva endorsed Patrick Fishburn for a Top-10 at +500. Fishburn grabbed 3rd in last year’s Silverado debut, finishing only six shots behind the champion, and followed it with a T-8 at the Wyndham in his most recent Tour start. The analyst views those results as proof the bomber can keep wedges in hand on the short layout and contend again.

At +350 for a Top-10, DaSilva labeled Jackson Koivun a live longshot. The world’s No. 1 amateur just anchored USA’s Walker Cup win at Pebble, so travel and West Coast grasses won’t surprise him. Against a field diluted beyond the Ryder Cup stars, DaSilva thinks Koivun’s elite iron play can announce him as a future team-golf fixture this week.

DaSilva likes Cameron Young at +350 for a Top-5, citing his breakthrough win at the Wyndham in early August and 4th place at the Tour Championship. Young’s current tee-to-green tear aligns with Silverado’s gettable par-5s, and the analyst prefers backing a player peaking rather than one tinkering ahead of the Ryder Cup.

DaSilva recommended J.J. Spaun for a Top-5 finish at +400, pointing to Spaun’s California roots and a Silverado resume that reads T-9, T-11 and T-26 over the past three editions. The West Coast kikuyu/poa combo tends to neutralize power and reward Spaun’s accuracy-first profile, giving him repeatable upside despite middling outright odds.

Cameron DaSilva said Sam Burns is worth a Top-5 ticket at +333. Burns tied for 7th the last time he teed it up at Silverado in 2021 and landed 7th again at last month’s Tour Championship, evidence his all-around form is intact. DaSilva noted the putter, Burns’ calling card, remains scorching, a key on Napa’s pure but undulating greens. With the Ryder Cup looming, the analyst expects full focus rather than a tune-up mindset and views the short, birdie-fest layout as tailor-made for Burns’ aggressive approach.

Despite a rough 2025 campaign that features only two top-25s, DaSilva sees value in Adam Svensson at a juicy +17500. Svensson has posted back-to-back top-13 finishes in his two career starts at Silverado (13th in 2023, 12th in 2024). DaSilva thinks that strong course fit — coupled with a tee-to-green profile that excels on shorter par-72s — makes Svensson an intriguing long-shot lottery ticket.

DaSilva recommended sprinkling on Matt Kuchar at +8000 because the veteran quietly churns out good results at Silverado: he has three straight finishes of T-13 or better here. Kuchar flashed more life in July with a T-5 at the John Deere Classic, suggesting the 45-year-old still owns a top-10 ceiling on a positional course that rewards his fairway-and-greens approach.

DaSilva threw a dart at world No. 1 amateur Jackson Koivun at +4500, noting the Auburn junior just helped Team USA win the Walker Cup at Pebble Beach. He labeled Koivun a "budding star" whose polished all-around game could translate immediately against a Ryder Cup-heavy field that might be more focused on Rome than Napa.

Although Sahith Theegala’s 2025 season has been disappointing, DaSilva likes taking a stab at +8000 because the Pepperdine alum absolutely owns Silverado. Theegala won this tournament in 2023 (then the Fortinet Championship) and has finished seventh (2024) and sixth (2022) in his other two most recent starts. Returning to his home state on a track where he’s posted four top-14 finishes in his last five visits gives DaSilva confidence Theegala can flip the switch despite shaky year-to-date stats.

DaSilva called Patrick Fishburn a sneaky contender at +6600. Fishburn finished solo third in last year’s tournament, just six shots behind Patton Kizzire in his first look at Silverado. He showed additional upside at August’s Wyndham Championship, tying for eighth after back-to-back weekend 65s. DaSilva argues that combination of immediate course success and recent low-round ceiling makes Fishburn an attractive mid-tier outright bet.

DaSilva believes Cameron Young is undervalued at +2200 after a breakout stretch that earned him a Ryder Cup roster spot. Young captured his first PGA Tour title at the Wyndham Championship in early August and followed that with a fourth-place finish at the Tour Championship. DaSilva thinks that momentum, paired with Young’s elite ball-striking profile, makes him a legitimate threat despite this being his Procore debut.

DaSilva highlighted California native J.J. Spaun as a live option at +2800. Spaun’s three most recent trips to Silverado produced finishes of T-9 (2021), T-11 (2023) and T-26 (2024), proof the North Course suits his game. Because Spaun relies on accuracy more than length off the tee, DaSilva feels the shorter 7,123-yard setup neutralizes his biggest weakness and gives him realistic win equity on familiar West Coast poa greens.

Cameron DaSilva said Sam Burns is worth backing at +2000 because the LSU product enters Napa as, in his words, "arguably the hottest putter on tour." Burns flashed clear course comfort the last time he showed up at Silverado, grabbing a T-7 finish in 2021 when the tournament was still branded as the Safeway Open. DaSilva believes that combination of elite current form on the greens and proven results on this shorter, 7,123-yard par-72 layout sets Burns up for another high finish while he tunes up for the Ryder Cup later this month.

Cameron DaSilva highlighted Justin Rose at +6600, noting four top-10s in just 15 starts this season, including a runner-up at the Masters. At TPC Southwind he has finished 22nd and 20th the last two years and 11th in the event’s 2019 debut. DaSilva trusts Rose’s balanced game and playoff experience to outperform his long-shot price.

Cameron DaSilva endorsed a long-shot play on Sungjae Im at +8000. Im finished 6th here in 2023 and 12th in 2022. Although he slid to 27th on Sunday at the Wyndham, DaSilva expects the familiar Southwind setup to reignite his tee-to-green consistency, giving bettors a cheap path to upside in the first playoff leg.

Cameron DaSilva called Jordan Spieth an intriguing high-ceiling play at +5000. Spieth owns three top-12 finishes here (6th, 12th, 12th) but also a missed cut in 2022 and a 68th last year. After a steady T-31 at the Wyndham, DaSilva believes the former FedExCup champ’s volatility is priced in and a small outright or top-10 ticket could pay off if the putter heats up.

Cameron DaSilva advised sprinkling Daniel Berger at +5000. Berger won back-to-back editions of this event in 2016 and 2017, nearly won again with a 2nd in 2020, and added a 5th in 2021. Although he has not teed it up here since, DaSilva pointed to Berger’s recent uptick in form and long-standing affinity for TPC Southwind as signals he could contend once more.

Cameron DaSilva labeled Sepp Straka a live contender at +4500. He noted that Straka ranks among the best current ball-strikers, the exact skill set Southwind rewards. The Austrian already beat an elite field at the Truist Championship in May and finished runner-up here in 2022. DaSilva believes that combination of recent form, course fit and no-cut format makes Straka underpriced.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Justin Thomas outright at +2500, citing a flawless course resume. Thomas lifted the trophy at Southwind in 2020 and has never finished worse than 30th in five FedEx St. Jude starts (12th in 2019, 26th in 2021, 13th in 2022). DaSilva argued that familiarity with the layout outweighs recent volatility and gives the two-time major champ legitimate win equity in the playoff opener.

Cameron DaSilva said Viktor Hovland is worth an outright wager at +3000. He pointed to Hovland’s strong record at TPC Southwind – 2nd in 2024, 13th in 2023, 20th in 2022 – and called him a top-tier ball-striker, a trait he believes the water-heavy par-70 demands. In a no-cut playoff setting where winning scores sit around −13 to −17, DaSilva expects Hovland’s precise tee-to-green game to keep him in contention all four rounds.

Mitchell at +6600 to lead after day one is DaSilva’s favorite bomb. The Georgia Bulldog has already been first-round leader three times in the 2025 season, including last week at the Truist Championship. He also logged top-10 finishes at Quail Hollow in 2019 and 2021, proving early comfort on the layout. If the putter heats up again, DaSilva sees a realistic path to another Thursday leaderboard headline.

DeChambeau is 20-1 to be first-round leader, a number DaSilva loves because Bryson historically starts fast in majors. He opened with 66 to lead the 2023 PGA and was solo first after Round 1 of the 2024 Masters, then tied fifth after the first round at Augusta this year. When the driver is dialed, he can shoot mid-60s before the course firms up for everyone else, making the longshot FRL prop enticing.

DaSilva concedes ‑160 is steep but still bet Rahm to be Top Spanish player. The only other Spaniards are David Puig (+450), Sergio Garcia (+450), and Eugenio Chacarra (+700), none of whom approach Rahm’s ceiling. Even if the world No. 4 is slightly off peak form, DaSilva thinks his class advantage justifies the juice.

Fleetwood headlines the Top English market at +250, yet DaSilva prefers Hatton at +300. He argues Hatton’s all-around tee-to-green strength gives him nearly equal win equity while offering longer odds. If Hatton avoids the occasional blow-up hole and keeps his emotions in check, DaSilva believes he can beat every other Englishman in the field, Fleetwood included.

Straka (+100) over Corey Conners is DaSilva’s third matchup play. The Austrian arrives off a victory at the Truist Championship where he out-dueled Shane Lowry, and DaSilva wants to capitalize on that momentum. With the driver working, Straka’s recent form gives him a real shot to beat the steadier but lower-ceiling Conners in a 72-hole duel.