Hartstein took the opposite stance, playing the Over on Hall’s 900.5 rushing-yard number. He blamed last season’s modest totals on two factors no longer in play: New York’s pass-heavy approach and Aaron Rodgers letting the play clock bleed, which left the Jets dead last in pace. With Scott Turner hired as passing-game coordinator and already preaching ‘physical, run-first football,’ Hartstein expects a faster tempo and a heavier rushing script. More total snaps plus an emphasis on establishing the run should push Hall past the 1,000-yard milestone, even if defenses stack the box.

Bellofatto recommended the Under on Breece Hall’s 900.5 rushing-yards prop (–110 each way). She cited Aaron Glenn’s public commitment to a three-back rotation featuring rookies Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis. Hall graded out as the lowest of that trio last season, posting career-worst yards per carry and six fumbles while running a league-high 24 routes per game. New pass-game coordinator Tanner Engstrand targeted RBs at the fourth-highest rate in Detroit, suggesting Hall may again siphon volume into receptions rather than rushes. The math of split carries plus Fields’ scramble tendency leads her to the Under.

Bellofatto echoed the Over on Fields’ 14.5 touchdown line, calling the price ‘confusingly low.’ Fields has cleared this mark twice despite never playing a full season, and 2023 saw noticeable jumps in accuracy and turnover avoidance. A rebuilt offensive line should extend his pocket time, and his scrambling ability forces defenses into lighter coverages near the goal line. With negligible competition behind him, availability is the only real threat to cashing the Over.

Hartstein hammered the Over on Justin Fields’ 14.5 passing-TD prop (–120 Under / +100 Over). Fields tossed 17 scores in just 15 games for Chicago, now gains a true WR1 in Garrett Wilson plus a rookie tight end the front office ‘loves,’ and will enjoy a long leash because his backups are 34-year-old Tyrod Taylor and UFL MVP Adrian Martinez. With no real bench threat, Fields is assured 17 starts if healthy, which Hartstein believes will push him well past 15 touchdowns.

Bellofatto agreed that the Browns are the logical wager in the ‘worst record’ pool. She emphasized Cleveland’s brutal strength-of-schedule ranking (tied with the Giants for hardest in the league) and lingering uncertainty at quarterback. While she is skeptical of New York and the Giants, she sees more upside with those clubs than with Cleveland, whose roster gaps and tough slate create a clear path to the NFL’s cellar.

Hartstein recommended betting Cleveland at +850 to finish with the league’s worst record. He pointed out that the Browns face the NFL’s second-hardest schedule behind only the Giants and enter 2024 without a viable quarterback solution after punting on the position in the draft. Surrendering a high Day-2 pick underscored a long-term rebuild, and he does not expect the current roster to muster more than three or four wins. He dubbed the Jets ‘too competent and scrappy’ for this market, making Cleveland the clear value.

Larry Hartstein prefers the +130 Under on the Jets’ 5.5-win total, arguing the roster simply is not ready to compete right now. He noted the departures of veteran leaders—Davante Adams, top corner D.J. Reed and others—plus a quiet free-agency period headlined only by role players such as Josh Reynolds and Andre Cisco. Hartstein believes the front office is positioning for next year’s quarterback class rather than 2024 success. With minimal proven talent and little depth, he projects just four or five victories and considers the plus-money Under the sharper side.

Claudia Bellofatto said she would rather play the Over on New York’s 5.5-win total (currently juiced to –155) than grab the plus-money Under. Her confidence stems from several upgrades: a new front office and a defensive-minded head coach in Aaron Glenn, an offensive coordinator arriving from Detroit’s top-five unit, and the switch to Justin Fields, an athletic upgrade over an aging Aaron Rodgers. Hall and Wilson give him proven skill talent, Mekhi Becton’s move to right tackle fortifies an offensive line that was specifically addressed in free agency, and last year’s defense already finished top-half despite constant turmoil. New York managed five victories during a season filled with injuries and drama, so Bellofatto sees six (or even seven) wins as a realistic ceiling with a middle-of-the-pack schedule and a far calmer locker room. She would not lay heavy juice but would play the Over if it drops closer to –130.

McClure flagged Harry Hall as one of his first clicks in DFS builds after seeing the Englishman priced at only $6,400. Hall sits $7,800 cheaper than Scottie Scheffler and helps unlock balanced or two-stud roster constructions that otherwise die in optimizers. While McClure admitted he rarely uses Hall, he pointed out that Portrush rewards inventive short-game play—Hall’s strength—making the deep salary discount even more appealing. At sub-6.5K, Hall needs only a made cut with a T30 ceiling to smash value, freeing salary to jam premium win equity up top.

Sia Nejad called Jordan Spieth a viable outright and DFS option despite a crowded elite tier. At 45-1 Spieth is "priced pretty fairly but playable," and Nejad’s updated rankings place him closer to the top-10 win equity than he originally expected. He highlighted Spieth’s hallmark creativity and improving off-the-tee numbers as traits that translate to Portrush’s demanding links routing. For DFS, Nejad loves the $7,700 DraftKings salary, calling it a ‘very palatable price point’ for a proven major winner. He even tossed in a strokes-gained-dad narrative after Spieth announced the birth of his second child, noting the honeymoon bump many players enjoy immediately after a new baby.

Mike McClure said Hideki Matsuyama is mis-priced at +7500 and is worth an outright sprinkle now. In his model, removing Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy from the field would drop Matsuyama’s number to roughly 45-1, illustrating how much of the current price is driven by the two heavy favorites. McClure noted that Matsuyama still owns an elite tee-to-green ceiling—exactly the skill set that can ‘absolutely turn it on’ at Royal Portrush—and that nothing in his underlying ball-striking profile justifies a 75-1 tag. He expects books to tighten the number once sharper money arrives, so he is locking in exposure early rather than waiting for week-of adjust­ments.

McClure warned that DraftKings’ $14,200 tag on Scottie Scheffler is nearly unworkable. Scheffler costs $2,700 more than Rory and $4,500 more than Xander, so optimizers will almost never include him unless you manually jam in multiple sub-6K punts. McClure prefers balanced builds—such as Schauffele plus Viktor Hovland at $8,300—over sacrificing a lineup spot for Scheffler.

McClure singled out Ryan Fox at 90-1 and $7,100 on DraftKings. Fox owns multiple top-20s at past Opens and thrives in windy, coastal setups. His combination of length, improving accuracy and solid short game gives him legit spike-week upside while freeing salary to pair with upper-tier studs in DFS.

Nejad likes Matt Fitzpatrick at roughly 50-1 after watching him share the lead at the Genesis Scottish Open. Fitzpatrick’s accurate driving, elite short game and long-term success on fast fescue greens suit Royal Portrush. The Englishman’s ceiling, combined with the generous number, makes him a key addition to Nejad’s outright portfolio.

Sia Nejad flagged Adam Scott at 50–75-1 as a worthwhile outright. Scott’s ball-striking surge, highlighted by a strong showing at the Scottish Open, plus his major-champion pedigree and comfort in wind make him a live sleeper. Nejad is already invested and expects to keep Scott on his betting card for Portrush.

McClure believes Jon Rahm is slightly under-priced at +1200. He sees Rahm and Rory McIlroy as near-equals who both deserve to be in the 9-1 range. With the market offering Rahm at 12-1, bettors capture roughly three extra points of value on a player whose elite tee-to-green profile translates well to Portrush’s linksy demands.

McClure views Xander Schauffele at 22–25-1 as the best value near the top. His personal numbers would list Schauffele around 14-1, making him the fourth-most-likely winner behind Scheffler, McIlroy and Rahm and ahead of DeChambeau. Schauffele’s balanced tee-to-green game and steady track record on overseas links tracks back up the stance. McClure plans to include Xander on his outright card and treat him as a core DFS play.

Mike McClure advised passing on Bryson DeChambeau at 20-1. Royal Portrush punishes wayward drives and demands accuracy, a style that neutralizes DeChambeau’s power advantage. McClure feels the market has already adjusted—20-1 is an "appropriate" number—and that DeChambeau’s recent high finishes on softer, target-golf setups will not translate. He will have zero exposure to Bryson in outrights or DFS.

Larry Hartstein recommended betting Joe Burrow over 4,150 passing yards at roughly even money, calling the number "crazy low." Burrow piled up 4,900 yards and 43 touchdowns last season despite playing part of the year with a sore wrist and behind a middling interior line. Hartstein argued Cincinnati’s offense will be even more pass-centric in 2024 thanks to Chase Brown’s receiving chops that extend drives on dump-offs, functioning as an extension of the run game. He also cited Burrow’s 108 passer rating and league-leading 65% early-down pass rate under Zac Taylor as indicators that volume will remain sky-high. With elite weapons Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins healthy and a schedule featuring seven secondaries that ranked 20th or worse in EPA per drop-back, Hartstein projected another 4,700–5,000-yard campaign, comfortably clearing the posted total.

Larry Hartstein said Jamar Chase is still mispriced at +950 to win Offensive Player of the Year. He reminded listeners that Chase erupted for 1,700 receiving yards last season while leading the NFL in yards after catch, touchdowns, targets, and receptions. Hartstein expects an equally explosive follow-up because defenses must devote safety help to Tee Higgins and honor Joe Burrow’s down-field accuracy, leaving Chase in favorable single-coverage looks. With Cincinnati projected to rank top-five in pass rate and facing five bottom-half secondaries in the fantasy playoffs, Hartstein believes Chase has a clear path to another 1,600-plus yards and 12-plus TDs—production that historically wins the award when a quarterback is not the runaway MVP. He recommended betting the +950 before it shortens into the single digits.

Hartstein projected another monster season from Joe Burrow for fantasy and prop bettors, citing last year’s near-5,000-yard, 43-TD pace despite a compromised wrist and shaky interior line. With contract-secured weapons Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins plus an anticipated interior O-line upgrade, Larry sees little standing between Burrow and 5,000 yards again—aside from injury. He labeled Burrow’s standard passing props (posted near pick’em) as fair buys and said season-long fantasy managers can draft him with confidence in the second or third quarterback tier.

Hartstein recommended sprinkling on Chase Brown at 100-1 for Offensive Player of the Year after the market already cut him from 200-1. He reminded listeners that once Zack Moss went down last season, Brown averaged 23.5 touches and 120 scrimmage yards per game, demonstrating true bell-cow potential. In an offense that forces defenses to commit resources to stop Burrow, Chase and Higgins, Brown should see light boxes and massive lanes. Because OPOY traditionally honors non-quarterbacks posting eye-popping totals, Larry believes Brown’s pathway to 1,700+ combo yards and double-digit TDs is realistic and the odds are mispriced.

Larry Hartstein dismissed Joe Burrow’s +650 MVP price, explaining the award almost always goes to a quarterback on a No. 1 or No. 2 seed. He doubts Cincinnati’s porous defense and brutal road schedule will allow them to secure a top seed, regardless of Burrow’s gaudy statistics. Hartstein also noted Burrow admitted his surgically repaired wrist still is not 100%, reinforcing the idea that a statistical explosion alone may not overcome seeding bias with voters.

At 10-to-1 to win the AFC, Hartstein felt the Bengals remain a high-variance side that needs longer odds. He acknowledged the offense can beat any team 38-31, but noted they trailed on only 31% of snaps last year while still losing eight games because the pass rush vanished late. Even after adding DT TJ Slaton from Green Bay, too many things—including signer issues for Hendrickson and rookie Shamar Stewart—must break perfectly on defense. Larry would require a bigger number before investing in a Super Bowl run.

Hartstein passed on Cincinnati at +220 to capture the AFC North, saying he needs at least 3-to-1 before considering a wager. He views Baltimore as the clear favorite and pointed to Cincinnati’s rugged road slate—Steelers, Jets, Patriots, Browns, Dolphins, Ravens and Bills—as too big a hurdle. With Pittsburgh and Cleveland both upgrading rosters, Larry expects the division race to be tighter than the odds suggest, making the Bengals overpriced.

Larry Hartstein leaned to the UNDER 9.5 wins for Cincinnati at -120, arguing the roster simply cannot support a double-digit season. He highlighted that last year’s Bengals fielded one of the league’s worst pass rushes outside of Trey Hendrickson, who still has contract issues. First-round edge prospect Shamar Stewart remains unsigned after posting only 4.5 college sacks, so immediate help is doubtful. Hartstein added that coordinator Al Golden—no matter how respected—lacks the pieces to fix a defense that finished near the bottom in pressures and explosive plays allowed. Without a functional front four, Larry does not believe even an elite passing attack featuring Burrow, Chase, Higgins and breakout RB Chase Brown can cover for the stop unit often enough to get to 10 wins.

Emory Hunt advocated for Josh Jacobs over 1,050.5 rushing yards. He called the number surprisingly low for a back he views as a perennial 1,200-yard producer. Hunt expects Green Bay to lean on the ground game and pointed to the offseason addition of former 49ers guard Aaron Banks to bolster interior blocking. Given Jacobs’ tackle-breaking style and durability, Hunt believes he can surpass the mark even if he plays only 14 games.

PropStarz recommended betting Matthew Golden under 725 receiving yards for the season. He expects a run-first Packers offense and a crowded target tree featuring Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Christian Watson (projected mid-season return), and Romeo Doubs. Golden’s college tape showed difficulty separating against man coverage, suggesting a slow transition to every-down NFL snaps. With limited volume and possible fourth-option status, Selznick sees little path to 725 yards.

Emory Hunt also leaned under the 9.5-win total, projecting the NFC North to bunch around nine wins. He pointed to betting markets that set Detroit at 10.5 and every other team at 8-9 wins, suggesting oddsmakers expect a logjam. Hunt highlighted Chicago’s significant improvement, Minnesota’s sturdy defense/run game, and Detroit’s still-potent offense, leaving Green Bay little margin for error. Given the division’s parity, he believes nine wins is the realistic ceiling and sees value on the under.

Alex Selznick (PropStarz) loves fading the Packers’ 9.5-win total, noting plus-money on the under. He thinks it’s more likely Green Bay finishes last than first in the division because Chicago had a top-tier offseason, Detroit is already strong, and Minnesota is coming off double-digit wins. Green Bay added little in free agency, had an uninspiring draft, and owns a top-10 toughest schedule per Warren Sharp. Selznick flagged Jordan Love’s durability, regression risk after 2023’s injury-free season, defensive downgrades in the secondary (trading Jaire Alexander, replacing him with Nate Hobbs), and the lack of a true alpha pass catcher as hurdles to reaching double-digit wins.

Emory Hunt said the Packers are a live bet to win the NFC North at the current +260 number. Hunt argued the entire division is wide-open, and Green Bay owns key advantages: Jordan Love has another year of experience in Matt LaFleur’s system, the offense can lean on a proven run game, and the roster still features impact pieces on defense even after trading Jaire Alexander. With every team carrying obvious warts, Hunt believes Green Bay’s balance and continuity make them undervalued compared to Detroit’s shorter price.

Claudia Bellofatto also leaned to the OVER on the Cowboys’ 7.5-win total but warned she will not "drink the juice" at –165. Bellofatto pointed out that the opening six weeks feature several winnable matchups despite the schedule rating as the NFL’s fifth toughest overall. Her bigger concern is a brutal late-season gauntlet of the Eagles, Chiefs, Lions, and Vikings in consecutive weeks. Dallas went just 2-7 at Jerry World last season after going undefeated at home the year before, and she expects some regression back toward competence in Arlington. Bellofatto believes Dallas can reach seven or eight victories, yet she will stay on the sidelines until a better price emerges.

Danny Brasco leaned to the OVER on Dallas’ 7.5-win total but called it a pass at the current –165 price. He noted the Cowboys face the league’s fifth-toughest schedule and are breaking in a new head coach while Dak Prescott returns from injury, factors that make laying heavy juice unappealing. Still, Brasco expects improvement from last year’s 7-10 record thanks to Brian Schottenheimer’s offensive spark, Mike McCarthy’s veteran presence, and the fact that backup Cooper Rush managed four wins during a turbulent 2023 campaign. In Brasco’s view, the roster is capable of reaching 8-9 wins, but the number should be played only if the price comes down.

Sia Nejad said he is skipping most Dallas player props and instead plans to attack tight-end overs because, as he put it, "the Cowboys feeding their tight end is just something that's always going to be the case—doesn't matter what name is on the back of the jersey." Nejad thinks the scheme’s long-standing habit of funneling targets to the position gives Jake Ferguson (or whoever wins the starting job) a reliable reception and touchdown floor that books may undervalue early in the summer. He advised monitoring opening numbers and leaning to the over on both receptions and TDs once markets post.

Danny Brasco leaned to the OVER on CeeDee Lamb’s 6.5 touchdown prop. He framed it as a "vibes plus volume" wager, arguing Lamb’s star status guarantees target demand regardless of how efficient Dak Prescott is. Lamb already flashed a ceiling with 12 touchdowns in 2023 and led the entire offense in red-zone targets (12). Brasco believes the arrival of George Pickens will draw away some CB1 attention and create more single-coverage looks for Lamb, while Brian Schottenheimer’s scheme historically peppers its WR1. Although Jake Ferguson still siphons some low-aDOT looks near the goal line, Brasco trusts Lamb’s established chemistry with Dak and his proven red-zone chops to eclipse the modest 6.5 line.

Claudia Bellofatto advised leaning UNDER on George Pickens’ 4.5 touchdown prop. Her primary concern is Dallas’ red-zone ineptitude: the Cowboys ranked 31st in red-zone TD rate last season, finishing behind every team except the Giants, despite having a superior receiving corps. Digging into Pickens’ own history, she highlighted that the receiver has never topped five TDs in a season—he owns just 12 scores in three NFL campaigns. Bellofatto also expects tight end Jake Ferguson (who led all TEs in red-zone targets last year) to continue siphoning valuable looks inside the 20, leaving fewer high-leverage chances for Pickens. Given the combination of schematic tendencies—Dallas funnelling red-zone targets to the tight end—and Pickens’ modest scoring track record, she feels the under is the right side.

Claudia Bellofatto leaned to the OVER on Dak Prescott’s 3,800.5 passing-yard prop. She pointed out that Prescott has already cleared 4,000 yards twice since 2021 and was pacing for another 4K season in 2022 before injury. Even if Dallas struggles, she expects game script to force a pass-heavy approach because the Cowboys opted for an underwhelming backfield (Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders) that may not let Brian Schottenheimer "establish the run" the way he wants. Bellofatto also noted the upgraded receiver room with George Pickens opposite CeeDee Lamb and a pass-catching backfield option, which collectively raises Prescott’s ceiling in neutral and negative game scripts. Assuming health, she believes 3,800 yards is a reachable floor, making the over the sharper side.

Claudia Bellofatto said the +600 price on Dallas to win the NFC East is a hard pass. She framed it as a talent gap issue: Dallas ignored premium backs like Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Josh Jacobs and instead rolled the dice on an injured Javonte Williams and 28-year-old Miles Sanders. Compared to Philadelphia (two WR1-caliber pass catchers and a top-tier offensive line) and Washington (Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, plus a more complete roster), Bellofatto sees the Cowboys lagging in both offensive upside and defensive reliability. Dallas ranked bottom-five in defense last season, and although new coordinator Matt Eberflus should improve the unit, she does not believe that closes the gap on either divisional rival. With those roster concerns and the front office failing to add blue-chip pieces, she thinks the +600 number is simply dead money.

Emory Hunt hammered the over on Jonathan Taylor’s 1,250.5 rushing-yard prop, calling 1,400 yards his realistic floor. Hunt emphasized how well Indy ran once Tanner Bordolini filled in for Ryan Kelly last year; with Bordolini now the full-time starter that interior push should persist. The dual-threat presence of Anthony Richardson and gadget packages featuring former Penn State QB-turned-tight-end Tyler Warren create additional red-zone misdirection, reducing stacked boxes. Hunt invoked Jim Brown’s era to illustrate that predictability does not equal stoppability when an elite back and blocking unit dominate. In his view Taylor’s efficiency plus volume in Shane Steichen’s run-heavy scheme make the over a clear bet.

Claudia Bellofatto likes Jonathan Taylor to go over his 1,250.5-yard rushing line. Taylor ripped off four straight 100-yard games to close 2023 and still finished top-10 in yards despite logging only 14 appearances because of a high-ankle sprain. His 4.7 YPC was his best mark since 2021, and Indianapolis ran at the league’s highest rate— a tendency Bellofatto expects to remain. With Anthony Richardson back under center to force defensive conflict read lanes and an upgraded pass-catching group keeping boxes honest, Bellofatto believes Taylor can cash this prop even if he misses a couple of games.

Claudia Bellofatto advised passing on Indianapolis at roughly +300 to win the AFC South. She argued Houston is a clear step ahead: C.J. Stroud is past the sophomore slump, the Texans’ offensive line and skill corps were reinforced with early-round picks, and DeMeco Ryans returns his defensive core. By contrast, the Colts still face questions at quarterback health, a bottom-10 line that lost veterans, and a deep but injury-prone receiver room. Bellofatto concluded Indy belongs slightly ahead of Jacksonville but not close enough to Houston to justify the current price.

Emory Hunt said he is betting the Colts to clear their 7.5-win total. Hunt’s confidence stems from meaningful upgrades on both lines: rookie edge rushers J.T. Tuimoloau and Laiatu Latu join DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart to fix last season’s anemic pass rush, while Wisconsin center Tanner Bordolini— whom Hunt grades higher than departed veteran Ryan Kelly— should immediately boost the run game. He also cited Jonathan Taylor’s return, a “good tight end” in rookie Tyler Warren who adds red-zone creativity, and enough roster depth that even a spot start or two from Daniel Jones could keep the season on track. Hunt projected eight wins as the floor and nine if Anthony Richardson stays healthy all 17 games, labeling the over a strong play in a crowded but winnable AFC landscape.

Patrick McDonald doubled down on Thomas Detry, highlighting a quiet but telling three-event run: T26-T42-T10 while gaining significant strokes ball-striking in each start. McDonald believes that steady upward trend shows Detry has found something with his irons just in time for a course where the 175-200-yard approach window is critical. Pairing those recent gains with Detry’s comfort at Renaissance—already evidenced by prior top-10 and playoff heartbreak—McDonald likes him for top-20 tickets and as a single-entry DFS core play before ownership climbs late in the week.

Jason Sobel backed Thomas Detry in outright and placement markets, pointing to a stack of recent and historical links results. Detry finished inside the top-20 at the RBC Canadian Open and grabbed a top-25 at the U.S. Open, then returns to a venue where he owns a T10 and a playoff loss from the pre-co-sanction days. Sobel argued that those finishes prove Detry’s game travels and that his tee-to-green profile matches Renaissance’s demand for long-iron precision. With each of Detry’s last three starts showing ball-striking gains, Sobel expects odds makers to finally shorten him, so he plans to grab an early number before steam hits.

Sia Nejad floated Marco Penge as a fun long-shot outright and DFS punt for the Scottish Open. Nejad said Penge’s “fantastic” ball-striking is enough to get him on board, noting the Englishman’s willingness to bet on himself while watching tournaments from home. Although Nejad did not cite specific strokes-gained numbers, he emphasized that pure ball-strikers tend to separate at Renaissance where lengthy iron shots outweigh short-game artistry. Nejad hinted that the market will largely ignore Penge, creating leverage in large-field DFS tournaments and room for small top-40 or outright sprinkles in betting cards.

Patrick McDonald called Wyndham Clark an "interesting cat" because his Scottish Open record (T16-T25-T10 the last three years) is stellar despite this year’s modest form. Clark posted a T10 here in 2024 while actually losing strokes ball-striking—an outlier given his usual driver-heavy profile. McDonald cautions that bettors should confirm the irons rebound in early-week stats but believes Clark’s proven comfort on Renaissance’s wide fairways and exposed greens justifies consideration in top-20 markets and single-entry DFS builds at likely suppressed ownership. The recent T17 at the Travelers provides a hint that he’s rounding back into form.

Sia Nejad flagged Matteo Manassero as a deep DFS punt and top-40 bet. Manassero finished T15 at Renaissance last year while gaining big with his irons—a continuation of the resurgent ball-striking that earned him multiple top-10s on the DP World Tour. Nejad argued that Manassero’s comfort on firm, fescue fairways and his ability to flight mid-irons in the key 175-200 yard window make him a course-fit gem who will be ignored by mainstream DFS builds. Any triple-digit outright or +300 top-40 price is playable in Sia’s view.

Sia Nejad endorsed Ryan Fox after the Kiwi recently out-dueled Sam Burns for a victory stateside. Fox’s low-trajectory driver and creative short irons historically excel in coastal winds—traits that netted a T12 at St. Andrews and multiple DP World Tour links results. Nejad said Fox’s confidence is peaking and the market still prices him closer to the mid-tier than the favorites. He plans to use Fox in DFS player pools and bet him in the 30-50/1 range, expecting his aggressive scoring on the reachable par-5s to keep him in the hunt.

Jason Sobel highlighted Harry Hall as a placement-market and longshot outright target. Hall fits Sobel’s preferred profile of Europeans who spend most of the season on the PGA Tour but return ‘home’ for links golf—often producing their best results. Hall’s elite putting (Top-10 SG:Putting on the PGA Tour) offsets any around-the-green concerns at Renaissance, where putts from off the surface are common. Sobel believes familiarity with windy UK conditions gives Hall an edge over American counterparts and plans to attack top-20/top-40 markets, sprinkling a small outright ticket if triple-digit odds appear.