Stats Insider advised betting on the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline against the San Diego Padres due to a positive betting edge uncovered by their predictive model. According to simulations run 10,000 times, even though the Padres have a 59% chance of winning, the betting odds for Colorado ($2.40 head-to-head) provide a 1.4% positive edge relative to their true probability. Stats Insider emphasized the long-term profitability of betting when edges such as this are identified, making the Rockies an attractive value play despite their underdog status and weaker reputation compared to the Padres. Additionally, they specifically highlighted Rockies' value against the runline at +1.5 ($1.67) with a strong 60% model prediction of the Rockies covering the spread.

Stats Insider highlighted betting on the Marlins +1.5 run line at odds of $1.94 from TAB. Even though the simulation shows equal likelihood (50%) of covering this spread, their model perceives value in the current odds and recommends making this wager for long-term betting success. The recommendation is based on extensive statistical modeling to determine reliable betting edges.

Stats Insider recommended betting on the Miami Marlins despite their lesser likelihood of winning outright (30% chance). They identify significant betting value given the high odds currently at $3.32 from TAB, indicating the odds undervalue Miami's chances compared to their modeled probabilities. This prediction is based on simulations run 10,000 times using robust statistical modeling and analytics. Stats Insider sees a meaningful discrepancy between projected probabilities and bookmaker odds, making the Marlins a recommended underdog wager at these attractive odds.

Stats Insider recommends betting the Pirates moneyline at odds of 1.74, highlighting their projected 56% win probability against the Cardinals' 44%. A key factor to back this wager is the sizable advantage Pittsburgh has in pitching. The Pirates' starter Paul Skenes holds an impressive 1.46 ERA compared to Cardinals' Sonny Gray who has struggled, posting a 5.73 ERA. This glaring pitching discrepancy gives the Pirates significant edge, making them a valuable play in the matchup.

Stats Insider recommended betting the Brewers to cover the -1.5 run line against the Reds, highlighting their machine-learning predictive analytics model simulations showing a higher-than-expected possibility of a Brewers win by multiple runs. Their projections gave the Brewers a 51% chance of winning outright while offering strong value at $2.79 odds for the -1.5 run line. This recommendation was made despite simulations indicating the Reds were likely to cover +1.5 runs 66% of the time, with the betting selection justified by combining the likelihood of a substantial Brewers win with attractive market odds.

Stats Insider recommended betting on the Houston Astros at odds of $2.05 against the Minnesota Twins because their model identifies an edge based on statistical comparisons of their simulated probabilities (giving the Astros a 48% winning probability) and current market odds. While the Twins are favored with a 52% win chance according to their model, the suggested wager is Houston at $2.05 due to the value this discrepancy creates over the long run.

Stats Insider's analytics projected the Astros (+1.5 runs) to cover the line against the Twins approximately 66% of the time, making it a strong value bet at odds of $1.48 from TAB. This recommendation leverages substantial predictive modeling and extensive statistical simulation to provide a positive expected value bet.

Fantasy Insider labeled Tyler Glasnow the key stud pitcher for Draftstars' MLB Tuesday DFS slate, projecting him for the highest fantasy points at 21.8 despite his significant $21,570 salary. They mentioned Glasnow's elite projection and advocated building DFS lineups with him at the core due to his unmatched upside.