Ricky Dimon recommended betting Woody Marks over 57.5 rushing yards at –120. He reasoned that the best way to neutralize Josh Allen is to keep Buffalo’s offense on the sideline, and the matchup screams run-heavy: the Bills are surrendering 153.0 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry, both second-worst in the league. Dimon noted the rookie back has already cleared 62 yards in three of his last seven contests, including two of the past four, despite less favorable game environments. With Houston likely leaning on the ground game to control tempo, Dimon projected Marks for his highest workload and "best output of the season," making the over a strong prop play.

Ricky Dimon grabbed Houston +6 on Thursday Night Football, arguing the spread overstates Buffalo’s edge. Dimon pointed to DeMeco Ryans’ unit ranking No. 1 in total defense (258.1 yards allowed), No. 1 in scoring defense (16.3 ppg), No. 3 against the pass (171.0 yds) and rush (87.1 yds) while sitting tied for fifth with 16 takeaways. He believes that profile can force a low-scoring slog, exactly the type of game where six points matter. On offense, Dimon called Davis Mills a "more-than-capable" fill-in for the concussed C.J. Stroud, noting Mills’ 60 percent completion rate with a 3-to-1 TD/INT line across four 2025 appearances. He also highlighted Buffalo’s shaky recent form away from Orchard Park—double-digit losses at Atlanta (–10) and Miami (–17)—as evidence the Bills can be pushed on the road. Dimon expects Houston to hang inside one score and flirt with an outright upset.