Bettor Mark likes Boston at –130, explaining that Jose Pepiot shows flashes but is inconsistent, while Brayan Bayo has been “serviceable” and now gets run support from a Red Sox lineup that is finally healthy and getting regular at-bats for Rafael Devers and Wilyer Abreu. With Fenway’s park factor and a surging offense, he prefers the BoSox side even though he did not label it an official play.

Bettor Mark said the Marlins are worth a play in the series rubber-match because of the mound mismatch. Rookie flamethrower Eury Perez “is showing some signs of life,” while Baltimore’s call-up Young is a hurler he simply does not trust. Mark added that Miami’s young roster “doesn’t know any better,” so he expects them to push aggressively even with the All-Star break looming, whereas some veteran clubs may coast. He believes Miami can “take this game pretty good,” making them a value side despite being on the road.

Mark prefers the Giants as home underdogs with Robbie Ray (9-3, 2.63 ERA) facing Yoshinobu Yamamoto, noting Los Angeles has won only three of its last ten. He flagged the total at 7.5 as surprisingly low given each club’s bullpen volatility and even suggested sprinkling the pre-game 'to go to extra innings' market because he expects a tight, high-scoring affair. Still, his primary angle is riding Ray’s form against a mis-priced Dodgers side.

The Bettor Mark said the Giants are a play at roughly -115 because he trusts Robbie Ray to out-duel Taijuan Walker and keep a light-hitting Philadelphia lineup in check. Mark noted the Phillies are 53-38 overall but still struggle to score consistently, pointing to Monday’s 3-1 loss despite eight San Francisco hits as the kind of low-output game that shows up often for them. Ray, meanwhile, has recorded a win in 9 of his starts this season and continues to cash "to record a win" props at plus money. Mark prefers the Giants moneyline, the alternate market where San Francisco doesn’t bat in the ninth, or Ray’s win prop, all keyed to Ray’s ability to work deep and the Giants’ bullpen advantage if it becomes a close game.

Although not an official wager, The Bettor Mark said he has a "weird feeling" the Dodgers jump on Brewers rookie Jacob Mizorowski and cash the −115 moneyline or their team-total OVER. Mizorowski’s ERA ballooned in his last start after giving up more hits in one game than in his previous three combined. Mark respects Milwaukee’s recent offensive surge but notes the Dodgers still own a top-5 wRC+ versus fastballs—the pitch Mizorowski throws 63% of the time. With Clayton Kershaw steady on the other side and L.A. undervalued because of mediocre road splits, he believes bettors will see closing money push the Dodgers closer to −130.

Mark paired the Astros moneyline with the Blue Jays moneyline for a two-leg parlay paying +131. The Houston leg hinges on Hunter Brown, whom he expects to “mow” through a Guardians lineup that ranks only 13th in strikeout rate the last seven days but rarely barrels the ball. Brown enters 9-3 with a 1.82 ERA, gets an extra day of rest after being scratched Monday, and faces rookie Carlos Carrasco’s replacement Xzavion Curry (3.41 ERA). Mark doubts Cleveland wins back-to-back games after an outlier seven-run outburst and prefers the safer moneyline to a +110 run line, folding Houston into the parlay to juice the return.

The Bettor Mark flagged George Springer as a prop target once books open the hits+runs+RBIs market. Springer went 0-for-5 in Monday’s contest but still sits atop a lineup that has posted the league’s best wRC+ over the past week. Mark expects a bounce-back versus Aaron Savali, noting Savali’s .302 opponent batting average in his last three outings and the hitter-friendly conditions in Chicago. With Toronto projected to score early and often, he anticipates Springer seeing at least five plate appearances and likes anything at 1.5 HRR (hits-runs-RBIs) or lower priced near even money.

The Bettor Mark made the Blue Jays ‑1.5 his next official ticket, willing to lay roughly ‑105. He trusts Chris Bassitt to give Toronto a clear mound edge over Aaron Savali and called Chicago’s right-hander “likely to get rattled.” Mark pointed out that the Jays are tied with Houston for the league’s best offensive metrics over the past seven days, while the White Sox remain bottom-five in most categories. With Bassitt allowing two earned or fewer in five of his last six and Toronto’s lineup humming, he expects at least a two-run cushion and prefers the discounted run-line price to an expensive moneyline.

The Bettor Mark likes Miami at roughly +105 to steal another game in Cincinnati, calling the Marlins “a very underrated team.” They sit 11th in batting average over the last seven days and have won seven of their past ten. Starter Janson Junk (3-1, 3.12 ERA) has stabilized the rotation and provides six competitive innings more often than not. Mark believes the Reds’ volatile bullpen and contact-heavy offense make them vulnerable in close games, whereas Miami’s recent 10-hit outburst shows the sticks are trending up. He expects the Fish to take the series and thinks any plus-money number is worth a play.

Mark advised bettors to ignore Boston’s pricey moneyline and instead grab the Red Sox ‑1.5 at ‑113 or better. He also likes Boston’s team-total OVER as long as books post 5.5 or lower. His reasoning: Kyle Freeland owns an ugly road split and now has to survive Fenway’s doubles alley, while Brayan Bello gives the Sox a decisive pitching edge. Colorado is a brutal 21-70 away from Coors, so Mark does not expect them to threaten late. Both clubs have been over machines, but Boston’s lineup is the one driving the action—Trevor Story in particular is “absolutely smashing the baseball,” making him a prop target for total bases or an RBI. Given the matchup and environment, Mark expects six-plus runs from Boston and at least a two-run margin of victory.

The Bettor Mark backed the Mets at -125, calling the number "too cheap" compared with his own projection that New York should have been a steeper favorite. He leaned on three core factors: (1) Clay Holmes owns a sub-1.00 WHIP and is holding hitters below .200, giving the Mets five to six solid innings in nearly every start; (2) the lineup is scorching, ranking 7th in MLB batting average over the past week and coming off an off-day after winning four of five; (3) Baltimore returns from a road trip in which they were swept by Atlanta and have been inconsistent, dropping two of three to Texas just before that. Camden Yards’ short right-field porch worries some bettors, but Mark is not concerned, noting Holmes’ heavy ground-ball profile. He labeled New York a "first official play" and recommended laying the modest price as a short road favorite.

Mark nearly added the Rays/A’s OVER 8.5 (+105) to his card, noting Tampa owns MLB’s best June record and ranks top-3 in isolated power this month. Oakland’s JP Sears has surrendered a .386 wOBA to right-handed bats away from the Coliseum, while Tampa starter Drew Rasmussen is working on a reduced pitch count after elbow issues, exposing a Rays bullpen that threw 12 innings over the weekend. Forecasted drizzle should keep humidity high—conditions he believes help the ball carry in the Trop’s open-roof setup. He expects a 5-4 or 6-3 type result and would also bet Rays’ team total Over 4.5.

The Bettor Mark advised taking the Orioles at –110 on the moneyline because Patrick Corbin’s early-season bounce-back is officially unraveling. Mark noted that Corbin has surrendered a .277 opponents’ batting average during June—nearly 40 points higher than his April/May mark—and is getting barreled more frequently while failing to work deep (no start longer than 5.0 IP in three straight outings). His most recent turn saw nine hits and three earned runs allowed to Baltimore despite the Birds sitting middle-of-the-pack in June wRC+. Mark expects that regression to continue in hitter-friendly Globe Life Field, especially with Baltimore’s bats heating up after a 7-3 run that featured four games of 5-plus runs. With Texas still missing key bullpen pieces and Trevor Rogers providing a stable five-and-fly opposite Corbin, Mark labeled Orioles ML his second official best bet of the slate.

His first official wager was UNDER 8 (–130) at Fenway, trusting rookie Chase Burns’ 97 mph sinker/slider mix after an 81-pitch, 5-IP debut at Yankee Stadium and banking on Garrett Crochet’s continued dominance (2.04 FIP, 31 % K-rate over his last five). Mark expects both clubs to be cautious with pitch counts—Boston because Crochet is nearing a career-high workload and Cincinnati because Burns is fresh from Double-A. With a 7 mph in-blowing breeze and both bullpens ranking top-10 in xFIP over the last two weeks, he projects no more than six or seven total runs.

Mark recommended New York’s team total Over 4.5/5.0 (–110 range) in Toronto, arguing that Max Scherzer’s fastball is down 1.6 mph and his hard-hit rate has climbed to 42 % in June. The Yankees just hung a 12-spot on the A’s and get Aaron Judge back in the heart of a lineup that owns MLB’s second-best wRC+ versus righties since mid-June. He sees a ‘feast-or-famine’ profile for Scherzer and expects New York to push five plus across in a dome environment where weather is controlled and the short porch in right can be exploited by several left-handed bats.

The Bettor Mark leaned to St. Louis –124 at Pittsburgh, pointing out that the Cardinals have won 3-of-5 and plated 21 runs during a weekend sweep in Cleveland, while the Pirates’ recent 30-run eruption versus the Mets came in hitter-friendly Citi conditions unlikely to repeat at humidity-heavy PNC Park with potential rain. He still respects the Pirates’ offense enough to consider the full-game OVER 8.5 but prefers backing the hotter lineup and stronger bullpen at a modest road favorite tag.

The Bettor Mark liked the full-game UNDER 9 in Padres–Phillies, explaining that Zack Wheeler’s 2.45 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Citizens Bank Park set up a pitching-driven game while Matt Waldron hasn’t started in weeks and could be rusty. He noted 6 of the clubs’ last 10 meetings have stayed below nine runs and Philadelphia’s bats have cooled (scored three or fewer in two of three at Cincinnati). At –115 or better he would rather bank on a low-scoring script than lay the –215 moneyline, suggesting a correlated Same Game Parlay of Phillies ML + Under for those wanting extra juice.

Mark preferred "St. Louis or pass" at even money in Cleveland. The Cardinals have ripped off seven wins in their last ten while posting a +27 run differential in that span. Cleveland, meanwhile, has scored only nine total runs across two of its previous ten contests and is dealing with a pitching staff that’s hemorrhaging late-inning leads (bottom-five bullpen ERA over the past two weeks). With Guardians bats ice-cold and starting pitching depth stretched thin, Mark feels the market is undervaluing a red-hot St. Louis team that travels well (12-6 on the road versus sub-.500 opponents).

Mark labeled Brewers ‑1.5 (-115) the "best value" on the board. Colorado trots out Antonio Senzatela and his 3-10 record while dragging a lineup that has won just once in its last eight tries away from Coors. Milwaukee sits 8-2 over that same span and has cashed the run line three straight times. The bettor considered a team-total over or full-game 8.5 over but ultimately trusts the Brewer bullpen and offense more than fading totals volatility. He expects the Brewers’ contact-heavy lineup to pressure Senzatela early, creating a comfortable multi-run cushion for a club that already owns the NL’s second-best record versus sub-.500 teams.

Mark took Padres team total Under 4.5 (-130) against rookie ace Andrew Abbott. Abbott is 7-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 29% K-rate, and opponents have not exceeded four runs in eight of his nine starts. San Diego has failed to eclipse 4.5 runs in three straight and ranks 24th in wRC+ versus lefties this month. While Great American Ball Park inflates home-run potential, Abbott’s 53% ground-ball rate helps mitigate the park factor.

Mark played the Dodgers ‑1.5 at even money and suggested sprinkling Ohtani to record the win if books post it. The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of five, while Kansas City has lost six straight and cashed just two of those six run-line tickets. Ohtani’s unfamiliarity to the Royals’ lineup (no prior meetings in interleague play) and L.A.’s league-best +95 run differential in games started by left-handers make the spot attractive.

Mark laid ‑138 on Seattle, citing Bryan Woo’s stellar June (1.33 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) and the run-suppressed environment at Globe Life Field, where the Rangers have the league’s fewest total runs scored this year. He trusts Woo’s 27% strike-out rate to neutralize a Texas lineup that slashes just .219/.296/.356 at home. The Ranger bullpen owns a 4.71 ERA over the last 30 days, giving Seattle a late-game edge.

The Bettor Mark backed Casey Mize and the Tigers at ‑1.5 (+135). Mize enters at 7-2 with a sub-3.00 ERA, and Mark believes his ground-ball profile matches up well against a Twins lineup that has surrendered runs in bunches all season (40-42 record, bottom-10 bullpen ERA). Bailey Ober’s rising HR/9 and 5.05 road ERA make him a fade candidate. Mark added that Mize to record the win is worth a sprinkle because Detroit’s bullpen has been stable in games Mize starts.

Mark’s final official ticket is the Cubs team-total over 4.5 runs at even money. Chicago has cleared that number in four of its last five, piling up 22 combined runs during the span despite a lopsided 14-6 loss to Seattle. He’s happy to attack St. Louis lefty Matthew Liberatore, who owns a 5.12 ERA and has surrendered a .292 opponents’ average. Liberatore’s 11.2% walk rate should gift extra base-runners to a Cubs lineup that ranks top-10 in barrel rate. With Ben Brown’s volatility likely forcing David Ross to empty a shaky bullpen, Mark expects another high-scoring environment at Busch Stadium and projects Chicago for 5–6 runs, calling even-money pricing a worthwhile splash.

The Bettor Mark backed Bryan Woo to record over 18.5 outs (+122), essentially asking the right-hander to finish at least 6.1 innings. Mark highlighted Woo’s June workload—6, 6, and 7 innings in three starts—and noted that the rookie just spun a one-hit, 7-inning gem against Boston. He expects Scott Servais to keep Woo’s leash long after 91, 93, and 97 pitch counts in those outings. Minnesota’s bats have cooled, ranking 22nd in wRC+ over the past week, and they strike out at a top-10 rate, which helps Woo extend frames without ballooning pitch counts. With Bailey Ober on the other side and Seattle’s bullpen taxed after a high-scoring weekend, Mark projects Woo to work deep and sees plus money as a clear market mis-price.

Mark’s first official ticket is Arizona –1.5 runs in Chicago. The White Sox sit in his bottom-five power tier and face a rested D-backs lineup that benched several starters Sunday. A 20-mph wind out to left at Guaranteed Rate Field should magnify Arizona’s power edge, and Chicago’s bullpen owns a bottom-three ERA since June 1. Given those factors, Mark expects an ‘explosion’ from Arizona’s offense and sees plus-money value in laying the extra run.

Mark advised taking the Braves money-line at Citi Field. The Mets have dropped eight of their last ten and were recently swept by Atlanta, Philadelphia and Tampa. He doubts Paul Blackburn can be the spark New York needs and prefers riding Spencer Swalmbach and Atlanta’s superior bullpen, especially with the Braves coming off a loss to Miami. Mark’s philosophy: don’t bet on a cold team to suddenly break a skid, making Atlanta the only side he could play.

Bettor Mark said he leans to the Phillies moneyline on Sunday even though he kept it off his official card. He expects Philadelphia to rebound from Saturday's 11-4 loss because left-hander Jesus Luzardo brings a 29% strikeout rate, 1.12 WHIP, and 3.18 xFIP into Citi Field, while the Mets own only a .297 wOBA against southpaws. Mark added that David Peterson is "the one Mets arm I refuse to trust," pointing to the lefty’s career 10% walk rate, 4.55 SIERA, and 41% hard-hit rate. With the Phillies sitting at plus money, he prefers the market option that pays extra if they lead after eight and never need to bat in the ninth, calling it the cleanest way to grab value without fully fading Peterson.

Bettor Mark guaranteed the Dodgers’ team total would sail over versus the Nationals, even with Shohei Ohtani making only his second mound appearance. He expects Dave Roberts to cap Ohtani at 1–2 innings after a full workload as DH all series, forcing Los Angeles to lean on a bullpen that has already logged 11 innings this weekend. Washington counters with right-hander Jackson Rutledge’s 5.66 xERA, and Mark pointed out the Dodgers have topped their team total in seven of their last eight games following a loss. With a minus-300 money-line price offering no value, he views the TT over as the cleanest way to exploit the matchup and the Nats’ 5.05 bullpen ERA.

Bettor Mark labeled Kyle Hendricks an "ultimate fade candidate," recommending both Houston –125 and the game total over 9.5. Hendricks has surrendered a .320 batting average the second time through orders and his soft-toss profile plays poorly against an Astros lineup that sits top-5 in hard-contact rate versus change-ups. Mark’s model makes Houston –150 and projects 10.2 combined runs, noting Angels rookie Gusto (making just his fourth start) has walked 12.5% of hitters. With Minute Maid’s roof expected closed, the warm indoor conditions historically add roughly 8% to homer production – enough for Mark to send this "to the moon," even if he kept it off the official card.

Bettor Mark made the Cubs his first official wager, grabbing the +100 money-line at Wrigley. He acknowledged Logan Gilbert’s solid surface numbers (3.84 ERA, 4-2 record) but argued the right-hander’s 43% hard-hit rate and 90.4 mph average exit velocity leave him vulnerable in day-game conditions with a slight breeze out to left. Chicago’s lineup has a .351 OBP versus four-seamers – Gilbert’s most-used pitch – and the Cubs’ bullpen (3.35 ERA last 30 days) has dramatically out-performed Seattle’s late-inning group. Mark believes the Cubs "should be favored" and pegs the contest as a seventh-inning squeaker, making the even-money price a value buy.

Bettor Mark said Cincinnati is the only side he wants in Sunday’s Abbott-Mikolas matchup, laying the modest –110. He called Andrew Abbott one of his "darling" prop targets all season and trusts the rookie’s 27% strike-out rate and 1.10 WHIP to neutralize a Cardinals lineup that owns just a .295 wOBA against lefties. Mark sees Miles Mikolas’ 4.73 xERA and plummeting ground-ball rate (down nine points from last year) giving Reds bats the spark they need to "come alive" after two quiet nights. With Great American Ball Park’s homer-friendly backdrop and Cincinnati’s superior bullpen FIP (3.61 vs STL’s 4.19) he expects the Reds to take the late-inning coin-flip spots and cash the money line.

Bettor Mark called the Brewers a "very strong lean" at +122 in Minnesota. Milwaukee’s offense owns a .348 wOBA over the past two weeks, matching Tampa Bay for the best mark in baseball, while the Twins sit bottom-10 in that span. Even though the Twins may have the marginal pitching edge on paper, Mark believes the market is undervaluing Milwaukee’s hot bats and road success (19-12 against the spread away from home). He ultimately left it off the official card because of personal volume limits on a summer Sunday, but told listeners the number is simply too appealing to ignore if they want extra action.

Bettor Mark backed the Yankees on the run line (-1.5) in Baltimore. He highlighted a perfect hitter’s weather profile – 90-degree temps, heavy humidity and a wind pattern blowing out – that should make Camden Yards play small. Mark noted the Yankees just hung nine runs on the Orioles Saturday and expects that momentum to carry over, especially with Dean Kremer’s 1.48 HR/9 and 44% hard-hit rate on the mound for Baltimore. If New York puts up a 7-2 type score, bettors cash the run line without worrying about a full-game total that could be sunk if the Orioles’ offense stays quiet after Saturday’s shutout. Mark admitted he hates betting a public side like the Yankees, but the weather, matchup and Kremer’s fly-ball profile outweighed those concerns.

Mark highlighted Robbie Ray to record a win (–110 range) or go over his outs prop as viable looks. Ray has allowed two or fewer earned in five of his last six and averages 6.2 innings per start at Oracle Park. Cleveland has cooled off, ranking 25th in wOBA over the past week, and rookie Slade Cecconi has struggled to a 5.40 ERA on the road. Because the Giants would forgo their ninth-inning swings if leading, Mark prefers Ray win/outs markets or simply parlaying San Francisco’s –160 money line rather than risking the run line.

Mark recommended Boston +1.5 (–135) in Seattle, pointing to Walker Buehler’s quiet turnaround. After a rough May, Buehler has strung together back-to-back quality outings, including seven innings of three-run ball with only one walk in his last start. Seattle owns one of the league’s lowest OPS figures and routinely struggles against power four-seamers, Buehler’s bread-and-butter pitch. With the total parked at 7.5, runs should be at a premium, so grabbing the extra run feels like free insurance. Mark expects three Boston runs to be enough to cover, making the run line his preferred angle over a riskier money-line stab.