Tom Strachan said bettors should take the OVER on Trevor Lawrence’s 22.5-touchdown pick-em line. Strachan argued that everything around Lawrence is pointed upward for 2025: 1) the Jaguars hired Liam Cohen, the play-caller who just engineered Baker Mayfield’s career year (41 TDs, 71 % completion rate, 4,500 yards, 7.9 YPA — all personal bests). 2) Lawrence finally gets a full season with Brian Thomas Jr., who scored double-digit TDs and finished third in receiving yards despite running only a 76 % route rate before Week 11; Strachan expects that rate to sit north of 90 % all season. 3) Swiss-army rookie Travis Hunter gives Jacksonville another explosive option — and Strachan believes the coaching staff will keep him at wide receiver whenever the offense sputters. With better coaching, two legitimate play-makers, and no injury hang-ups, Strachan projects Lawrence “closer to 30 TDs,” making 22.5 far too low.