Paulie labeled Nick Taylor a true boom-or-bust longshot worth sprinkling at 170/1. Taylor has captured a PGA Tour title in each of the past three seasons (2025 Sony, 2024 WM Phoenix, 2023 Canadian Open) and has finished 23rd or better in his last four starts, indicating a clear upward trend. Calling him "not afraid of the big moment," Paulie argued Taylor is one of the few deep numbers who could actually close if he finds himself in Sunday contention.

Paulie highlighted J.J. Spaun at 80/1 as another mis-tagged longshot. Spaun owns four top-three finishes in 2025, including a U.S. Open victory and a playoff loss at the Players, and is inside every top-20 ranking system. Paulie thinks the inflated number is solely because this will be Spaun’s first Open appearance, projecting the price to shorten to roughly 60/1 by tee-off. He encouraged bettors to capitalize on the rookie narrative discount before it disappears.

Paulie said Sepp Straka is one of the best outright values on the Royal Portrush board at 65/1. Straka already owns two wins and two additional top-five finishes in 2025 signature events and sits 10th in the OWGR, yet books are hanging a number that Paulie believes should be closer to 45/1 by Thursday. He also reminded readers that Straka finished runner-up at the 2023 Open, proof he can handle links golf. Paulie advised jumping on the long price now before the market corrects.