Tim Welch predicts Bryce Mitchell will comfortably defeat Jean Silva by decision, citing Mitchell's wrestling superiority. Silva, newer to UFC competition, showed serious defensive grappling gaps in previous fights and sparring footage, being repeatedly taken down and mounted. Welch sees Mitchell exploiting Silva's reckless striking, securing multiple takedowns, controlling rounds, and ultimately tiring him out, winning on the scorecards comfortably.

Tim Welch recommends confidently betting Bryce Mitchell to score more than 1.5 takedowns against Jean Silva. Welch analyzed Silva's public sparring videos, noting Silva was regularly taken down by Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belts and Charles Jourdain, who aren't known as dominant wrestlers. Welch emphasized that Bryce Mitchell, an elite American wrestler, should easily exceed the 1.5 takedown line in a 15-minute fight, making it a straightforward DFS prop pick.

Tim Welch confidently recommended betting Julian Erosa to exceed 50.5 significant strikes against Darren Elkins. Welch emphasized Elkins' durability combined with susceptibility to significant punishment as an ideal matchup for Erosa, a skillful and rangy striker known for output. Given Elkins' tendency to absorb sustained striking and Erosa's accurate, high-volume kickboxing style, Welch sees this as an easy value pick to hit more than 50.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Tim Welch believes Yair Rodriguez is poised to KO Patricio 'Pitbull' Freire, highlighting a favorable stylistic matchup. Rodriguez has historically excelled against orthodox boxers, previously defeating fighters such as Chan Sung Jung, Jeremy Stephens, and Josh Emmett. Welch notes Pitbull is making his UFC debut as a shorter fighter (5'6) at age 37 after recent struggles, including being KO'd by Jihiri Suzuki. Rodriguez's significant reach and style advantages suggest he will have ample opportunity to land impactful strikes, resulting in a knockout victory.

Tim Welch picked Paddy Pimblett to defeat Michael Chandler citing multiple factors. Welch acknowledged Chandler is still powerful but has struggled severely in recent matchups against elite-level fighters, losing four of his last five fights. Welch pointed out Chandler's age (38) and believes that recent consistency and prime physical shape tip the scales towards Pimblett, who enters on a six-fight UFC winning streak. Though Welch expressed concern that Pimblett historically lifts his chin dangerously when pressured, he trusts improvements in Paddy's game, citing recent lifestyle improvements including reduced indulgences outside the octagon and newfound motivation from fatherhood. Welch ultimately sees Pimblett winning, likely by taking Chandler's back and submitting him.

Tim Welch is picking Diego Lopes to defeat Alexander Volkanovski by decision, noting Lopes enters the fight on a significant winning streak featuring quality victories over fighters like Gavin Tucker, Pat Sabatini, Sodiq Yusuff, Dan Ige, and Brian Ortega. Welch highlighted Lopes' significant height advantage, youth at 30 years old, and power boxing combined with considerable momentum against Volkanovski, who is aging at 36 and currently on a two-fight KO losing streak. This stylistic scenario favors Lopes to win by decision over five rounds.

Tim Welch recommended betting under 99.5 significant strikes for Alexander Volkanovski in his fight against Diego Lopes. Welch pointed out that Volkanovski typically lands high volume but believes Lopes' aggressive boxing style and heavy pressure will make it difficult for Volkanovski to reach 100 significant strikes. Lopes brings an aggressive style and power that will disrupt Volkanovski's usual striking rhythm over a five-round contest, making this an enticing option to bet the under.