Jacobs advocated a 70/1 flutter on Patrick Fishburn, stressing a rare double dose of course history and comp-course form: 3rd at last year’s Procore debut and 5th at this year’s Valero Texas Open, a tournament he shows is strongly correlated to Silverado through winners like Brendan Steele and Kevin Tway. Fishburn arrives with two top-10s and three top-18s in his last five starts, including an 8-under closing 65 for 8th at the Wyndham. His irons have popped—Wyndham was his second-best approach week of the season behind Texas—and he gained steadily Tee-to-Green during that run. Jacobs believes only modest improvement over last year’s effort is needed for Fishburn to contend and recent ball-striking suggests that jump is imminent.

Calling Bhatia his “banker” at 40/1, Jacobs highlighted two prior PGA Tour victories (including the Barracuda in California) plus a Valero Texas Open trophy on a course he deems highly correlated to Silverado. Bhatia owns marquee finishes this season—9th at Genesis, 3rd at THE PLAYERS, 6th at the FedEx St. Jude—and has logged six top-25s since May. He ranked inside the top-8 in SG Tee-to-Green in two of his last three starts and briefly led both the 3M Open and the FedEx playoff opener. The 22-year-old (9th here as an 18-year-old in 2020) now returns to his home state with form, course fit, and elite ball-striking converging, making him Jacobs’ safest each-way play.

Jacobs recommended 45/1 on college star Jackson Koivun, pointing out the amateur just anchored the U.S. Walker Cup side with a 3-0-1 record and has finished 11th, 6th, and 5th in consecutive PGA Tour starts. His irons have sharpened over those two most recent outings and the overall Tee-to-Green profile is trending. Born in California, Koivun returns to familiar Poa greens while many top opponents may be looking ahead to the Ryder Cup. Jacobs invoked Nick Dunlap’s 2024 American Express victory as precedent for a non-pro breakthrough and believes Koivun has the mindset and numbers to follow suit.

Tom Jacobs called David Lipsky the week’s best value at 150/1, noting the Californian is 3-for-4 making the cut at Silverado and was runner-up here last year after sitting 10th at halfway on debut. Lipsky comes in hot with two 3rd-place finishes and five straight made cuts, ranking top-25 in Strokes Gained: Approach in each of his last four measured starts and top-20 Tee-to-Green in the last three. Jacobs added that Poa-annua comfort, local roots, and a 4th at the Sony Open – a proven comp to this tournament via past winners such as Patton Kizzire – reinforce the upside. He argued the market is underrating a player whose ball-striking is peaking at exactly the right time.