Pat Perry spotlighted Matteo Manassero at triple-digit odds, calling the Italian a "scramble fool" who perfectly fits this week’s around-the-green emphasis. Manassero gained almost nine strokes on approach at Renaissance last year, and Perry noted his renaissance (pun intended) season on the DP tour where he’s consistently sharpening both wedges and putter. With top-20 prices hovering around 4-1, Perry believes Manassero offers one of the best risk-reward profiles among the deep bombs.

David Barnett declared himself a lifelong Jordan Smith truther and is firing on the Englishman at +320 for a top-20 finish. Barnett relayed Sky Sports analyst Wayne “Radar” Riley’s high praise—calling Smith “the man” on the DP circuit—and highlighted Smith’s consistent tee-to-green excellence that just needs an average putting week to pop. At 110-1 outright Smith is tempting, but Barnett prefers banking the plus-money placement given Smith’s track record of cashing top-20 tickets on firm European layouts.

Matt Every labeled Rasmus Hojgaard a “stud” and said the 80-1 outright is fine, but he is locking in a top-20 wager instead. Every noted Hojgaard’s recent DP World Tour run has him gaining steadily with the driver and mid-irons, and he prefers Rasmus to twin Nicolai this week. Given the podcast’s earlier discussion that full-time DP players rarely crack the Genesis Scottish leaderboard, Every believes Hojgaard’s ceiling plus safer placement market returns make the top-20 bet the sharper play.

David Barnett tagged Harry Hall as a juicy 60-1 outright and top-20 target. Hall is gaining strokes with both the short game and irons, and Barnett emphasized that his modest losses off the tee (roughly field average) are nowhere near the disaster zone of someone like Brian Campbell. Hall finished T60 here last year but arrives in far better form and owns the kind of elite scrambling Barnett expects to separate in firm, wind-affected conditions. With bookmakers still pricing him as a fringe contender, Barnett recommended adding Hall to outright cards and loading top-20 tickets while the market sleeps.

Pat Perry called 41-1 a mis-price on Matt Fitzpatrick given the Englishman’s quietly steady climb back to form after an early-season injury. Fitzpatrick has rattled off six straight made cuts—T23, T8, T31, T38, T17, T8—and over the last two events he gained in every strokes-gained category except putting. Perry pointed out Fitzpatrick gained more than 10 strokes putting at the U.S. Open, so the flat stick clearly still has nuclear upside. Now healthy ("adult braces off, married, can focus again"), Fitzpatrick’s all-court game and prior links pedigree make him live to win if the putter simply reverts to neutral. Perry urged locking in outrights and sprinkling DFS shares before books react to the trend.

Matt Every said the 30-1 number on Ludvig Aberg is finally long enough to fire despite the Swede’s well-documented short-game slump. Every reminded listeners that Aberg actually held the lead at last year’s Genesis Scottish before finishing T4 and has looked progressively sharper over his last three U.S. starts (T38 U.S. Open, T17 Travelers, T8 Rocket Mortgage). He also noted Aberg already owns a stateside win at the Genesis Invitational and spent the past two weeks back home in Sweden recharging. While Aberg is still losing strokes around the green, Every argued firm Scottish links let players mask scrambling with bump-and-runs and putter work, and Aberg’s iron play is “back to where we expect it.” Because Aberg is normally parked in the 20-22-1 range, Every believes the extra value plus proven win equity make him a core outright and DFS anchor this week.

David Barnett urged caution on Ludvig Aberg despite the tempting 30-1 price. Barnett admitted Aberg’s ceiling as an elite ball-striker and referenced last year’s T4 finish, but pointed to the Swede’s recent short-game slump—"his scrambling has been not good"—at a venue where Barnett expects around-the-green play to matter more because of the anticipated dry, bouncy conditions. Given that weakness and the premium links courses place on imaginative recovery shots, Barnett does not believe Aberg currently has the all-around skill set to justify an outright ticket and prefers fading him in matchup and placement markets until the short game turns around.

Matt Every backed Xander Schauffele at 20-1 outright, arguing the Renaissance Club amplifies Schauffele’s elite mid-iron game. Every referenced David Barnett’s note that the course "wears out the middle part of the bag" and pointed out Schauffele ranks near the top of the PGA Tour on approaches from 150-200 yards. Firm, fiery links reward controlled launch more than raw length—another Schauffele strength. With summer winding down, Every said Xander and caddie Austin Kaiser call themselves the “summer soldiers,” adding urgency to post a win before the playoffs. Every sees the course fit, current number, and Schauffele’s proven win equity as reasons to anchor outright tickets and DFS lineups around him.

Pat Perry advised fading Tommy Fleetwood in outright markets at the Genesis Scottish Open and similar events, arguing the Englishman simply has not shown the "dog" needed to close on Sundays. Despite elite ball-striking talent that should translate at places like the bomber-friendly Renaissance Club or past Mexico setups, Fleetwood still owns zero PGA Tour victories. Perry contrasted Fleetwood’s inability to finish with Brian Campbell’s knack for converting chances, saying Fleetwood "just doesn’t have it when it comes to winning a golf tournament." Until Fleetwood proves he can seal the deal, Perry recommended using him only for placement bets or DFS line-ups rather than tying up outright tickets.

David Barnett said bettors should ignore Brian Campbell’s eye-catching 600-to-1 price at the Genesis because his two wins are smoke and mirrors. Barnett noted Campbell has actually LOST strokes off the tee in virtually every start –-4.0 at the John Deere and –-4.6 in just two rounds at the U.S. Open – while posting only one other finish better than 32nd all season. The Georgia alum averages well below Tour length, and Barnett pointed out that when Campbell does pull driver he "quiffs" it all over the place, giving away any precision advantage. Barnett views both victories as pure variance in weak fields (Mexico and John Deere) where competitors like Aldrich and Emiliano Grillo collapsed late. With a stronger field and a longer test this week, Barnett does not believe Campbell has a repeatable path to contention and advised fading him in outright and placement markets.

Pat Perry grabbed Viktor Hovland at +240 for a Travelers top-10, citing both form and motivation. Perry believes Hovland quietly "has his game right," referencing the incremental tee-to-green gains that landed him sixth in the BetTheNumber model and a late charge Sunday at Oakmont. He noted Hovland rarely tips his hand publicly, so the muted demeanor should not mask confidence heading into a friendly setup with wide fairways and receptive greens. With the Open Championship looming, Perry expects Hovland to stay locked in rather than coast through the summer. In a 70-man no-cut birdie fest, Hovland’s elite ball-striking and renewed scoring touch create what Perry views as "extra juice" on a line that should be closer to +180.

Pat Perry added a "floor" angle to his earlier outright love for Xander Schauffele by grabbing the top-10 at +120. Perry reiterated that TPC River Highlands is tailor-made for Xander’s precision irons—greens-in-reg clip over 70% and approach distances clustered in Xander’s best bucket. The 2022 champion just gained on approach at brutal Oakmont, confirming the blades are dialed. With only 70 players and no cut, Perry views Schauffele’s elite tee-to-green consistency as a near guarantee he will be on the weekend leaderboard even if the putter is merely average. He is comfortable staking larger units on the top-10, using it as a bankroll stabilizer alongside longer-shot outrights.

David Barnett doubled-down on Ben Griffin, calling the +320 top-10 price at the Travelers "insane." Barnett reminded listeners that Griffin has finished inside the top 10 in four straight starts—two majors, one Signature event, and his Colonial win—showing the hot streak is no fluke. Barnett believes the recent run erased any intimidation factor; Griffin is clearly comfortable mixing it up with elite fields. River Highlands rewards confidence and aggressive pin-hunting, two traits Barnett sees oozing from Griffin right now. Because the field is only 70 players with no cut, Barnett said a repeat top-10 requires merely “holding serve” with the current all-around form. He is treating the +320 as a core position in betting cards and a high-floor anchor in DFS cash builds.

Barnett’s “lock” top-10 is Collin Morikawa at +140. The two-time major winner gained over seven strokes on approach at Oakmont and enters Travelers having finished T4, T9, and T2 in his last three non-majors. River Highlands sets up as a wedge-fest, and Morikawa leads the field in proximity from 125-150 yards over the past 24 rounds. With no cut to worry about, Barnett calls a plus-money top-10 on one of the best iron players in the world “as safe as it gets.”

Barnett thinks Rickie Fowler is worth a nibble at 90-1. Fowler skipped Oakmont, meaning he arrives fresher than most and coming off consecutive solid showings at Colonial and Memorial. The former top-10 mainstay is finally capitalizing on limited starts and ranks top-25 in both fairways hit and birdie average over his last 12 rounds. Barnett plans to pair a small outright with DFS shares, betting on a rested Fowler to take advantage of a course that rewards momentum putters.

Barnett is tossing a speculative chip on Max Greyserman at 5-1 for a top-10. The rookie has rediscovered the ball-striking that won him a Korn Ferry finals card and quietly gained over six strokes tee-to-green in his last two starts. With a smaller field and softer setup, Barnett thinks Greyserman can ride the hot irons into Sunday contention without even needing a spike putting week.

Barnett circled Ryan Fox as his favorite deep outright and top-10 play. The Kiwi’s high-variance profile pairs well with a no-cut, 70-man event, and Fox ranks inside the top 20 on Tour in driving distance and birdies-per-round over the last eight starts. Barnett believes those weapons translate at River Highlands, especially if some stars are mentally drained after Oakmont. He is sprinkling 90-1 outrights and 5-1 top-10 tickets.

David Barnett is out on Cam Young this week, calling Oakmont’s eight-stroke putting gain a classic outlier. Barnett noted Young actually relied on short game—not his trademark driver and irons—to post the high finish, and he doubts that will repeat in a low-scoring environment where approach precision rules. With Travelers historically exposing shaky wedge play, Barnett prefers to let others chase the recency bias and will exclude Young from outright and DFS pools.

Pat Perry is buying the Cam Young revival at 50-1. Young has logged back-to-back 4th-place finishes and gained double-digit strokes short game at Oakmont, a sign his once-glaring weakness is finally rounding into shape. With River Highlands rewarding aggressive drivers, Perry sees Young’s elite off-the-tee profile and improving putter as a lethal combo in a birdie-fest. He is adding Young to the outright card and will ride the hot hand in GPP DFS builds before the market fully prices him up.

Pat Perry flagged Harris English at 60-1 as an overlooked outright. English won the Travelers in 2021 and is flashing similar form: runner-up at the PGA Championship, T12 at the Memorial, and positive strokes-gained tee-to-green in five of his last six starts. Perry trusts the veteran’s comfort on these greens and sees upside if the putter heats up in another potential 20-under shootout.

Pat Perry likes Taylor Pendrith at 55-1, pointing out that Pendrith sits 10th in the BetTheNumber model and has posted 5th, T12, T27 and T38 finishes over his last four starts. Pendrith was T23 at Travelers a year ago and grades out well in the key 150-175 yard approach bucket that dominates River Highlands. Perry believes the Canadian’s current ball-striking run paired with an underrated putter is enough to get him on the outright card and into single-entry DFS builds.

David Barnett called Ben Griffin a must-add at 45-1 while the books are still asleep. Griffin has gained strokes in every category for four consecutive tournaments and briefly threatened to win the U.S. Open before fading to T10. Barnett noted the BetTheNumber dashboard shows rows of "dark green" for the last 16 rounds, signaling elite recent form across the board. A birdie-fest like Travelers accentuates Griffin’s ability to fire at pins and stay aggressive, and Barnett loves the swagger he is showing: “Very few guys on Tour feeling themselves like Ben Griffin right now.” He expects the number to crash once first-look markets adjust and will anchor DFS lineups around the value price tag.

David Barnett said he is going back to Keegan Bradley despite the shaky iron play at Oakmont. Bradley still gained off-the-tee last week and has historically torched TPC River Highlands—he is a past champion and proudly calls New England “my spot.” Barnett thinks the friendly environment, easier approach shots and a 70-man no-cut setup give Bradley the perfect platform to bounce back. He added that Bradley is “doing everything he can” to position himself as a playing captain in September, so motivation and focus are maxed out. With Fleetwood and Burns carrying similar prices but bigger ball-striking volatility, Barnett prefers Bradley’s 28-1 outright ticket and will keep him in his core DFS pool as a leverage play against the chalk.

David Barnett wants another crack at Sepp Straka despite last week’s disappointment. At Oakmont, Straka *gained* roughly 2.5 strokes tee-to-green but *lost* four strokes putting—exactly the sort of profile Barnett loves to buy the following week. River Highlands isn’t a perfect setup for Straka, yet Barnett argues its wider fairways and receptive greens reduce the big-miss penalty and accentuate Straka’s all-around game. If the flat stick merely returns to baseline, the Austrian owns plenty of upside in a 70-man, no-cut field. Barnett is targeting Straka in each-way and top-10 markets and will sprinkle an outright, expecting positive putting regression on a course where 20-under often wins.

David Barnett reiterated his fade of Rory McIlroy for the Travelers, saying bettors should “stay away from Rory for a lot of reasons.” He cited Rory’s post-Oakmont hangover—skipping media, curt answers, and the same entitlement Barnett blasted earlier—as evidence the four-time major winner is still in a fragile headspace. With books hanging a short number in a no-cut signature event, Barnett feels there’s no value backing a player whose closing issues resurfaced on Sunday at Oakmont. River Highlands rewards sustained birdie momentum and positive vibes; Barnett doubts Rory brings either and prefers allocating outright bankroll to Scheffler or Schauffele instead of eating Rory’s premium price.

Pat Perry called Viktor Hovland live at 30-1 outright and even-money for a top-20. Hovland sits 6th in the BetTheNumber model thanks to a tee-to-green resurgence—T28 at the PGA, T25 at Memorial, and a late-Sunday charge at Oakmont show the overall game trending. Perry downplayed fatigue, noting that most of the field also endured Oakmont but River Highlands is a far softer test. With generous fairways, high GIR rates, and emphasis on approach, Hovland’s elite ball-striking is tailor-made for a Birdie Fest. Perry added that Hovland owns "good history here" and that Port Rush prep in a few weeks keeps him focused. He sees a realistic chance of a podium finish and likes locking in the safer top-20 while sprinkling outrights.

David Barnett took a swing on Harry Hall at 100-1. Hall grades out well in the BetTheNumber model that heavily weights short-game and birdie percentage—two of his strengths. Barnett emphasized that TPC River Highlands isn’t a bomber’s track; it’s a wedge-and-putt contest with above-average fairways- and greens-in-reg rates. Hall’s elite putting (7th on Tour in SG:Putting) and ability to make “birdies in bunches” suit a no-cut Birdie Fest. Although Hall missed the cut here last year, Barnett dismissed that as small-sample noise given Hall’s current form surge and tidy short game. He likes sprinkling the outright but also sees value in top-20 and FRL markets, believing Hall can capitalize if the greens get hot.

Pat Perry recommended betting Xander Schauffele at 14-1 to win the Travelers. Perry pointed out that TPC River Highlands rewards precise approach play—greens-in-reg run 71 percent and the bulk of approach shots come from one key distance bucket that Xander historically dominates. Schauffele is the 2022 champion here and finished T19 last year, so course history is elite. Perry also liked that Xander just logged “another good week with the irons” at brutal Oakmont, gaining on approach despite finishing outside the top 5. With the field capped at 70 and no cut, Perry expects a birdie-fest where Schauffele’s combination of elite tee-to-green consistency and streaky putting plays up. In short: recent iron form, perfect scoring conditions, and proven history at River Highlands make 14-1 an attractive outright ticket.

David Barnett urged bettors to tread lightly with Rory McIlroy until he shows clearer headspace, labeling Rory’s Oakmont week "very beta behavior." Barnett cited skipped media sessions, curt answers, and a tone of entitlement—"you guys should be privileged I’m even here"—as evidence something off-course is distracting the four-time major winner. He noted that McIlroy historically offers thoughtful pressers, so this sudden mood shift signals possible personal turmoil now bleeding into performance. With pressure mounting after his Masters win and the media honeymoon over, Barnett expects volatility and recommends against backing Rory at short outright prices or as an anchor in DFS lineups until his attitude improves.

David Barnett advised fading Sam Burns in majors that feature weather-driven carnage, pointing to Burns’ emotional meltdown after officials denied him temporary-water relief on Sunday at Oakmont. Barnett said Burns let the ruling "clearly rattle him," rushed two greenside chips and walked away with a double bogey that took him out of contention. He contrasted Burns’ reaction with eventual champion J.J. Spaun’s calm comeback from +5 through six holes, arguing that Oakmont-style setups reward mental resilience as much as ball-striking. Until Burns proves he can handle bad breaks and sloppy conditions, Barnett believes bettors should avoid outright tickets and DFS exposure when rain or thick rough are in play.

David Barnett said bettors should not chase J.J. Spaun after his surprise U.S. Open victory. Barnett argued Spaun’s new No. 8 OWGR slot and third-place Ryder Cup standing are misleading because the win was fueled by an unsustainably hot putter—he estimated Spaun gained 10-plus strokes on the greens and "made everything," including a 60-foot bomb on 18. Barnett noted Spaun shot 40 on Oakmont’s front nine before rallying with a 32 on the back, underscoring volatility rather than dominance. He also highlighted Spaun’s career profile of journeyman status, frequent card losses, and recent confidence gains, implying regression is likely once the putter cools. The takeaway: sell high or fade Spaun in outright markets and DFS while public perception overreacts to the major title and inflated ranking.

David Barnett endorsed Davis Riley as a 70-to-1 outright for the RBC Canadian Open. Barnett likes that Riley comes in rested after skipping last week and reminded listeners he flashed elite upside with a runner-up finish at the PGA Championship. Barnett views the missed cut at Colonial as a one-off caused by fatigue, not a true form indicator. With length off the tee, confidence from Valhalla, and a number that drifted because of a single bad start, Barnett believes Riley is a buy-low target for outrights and top-20 tickets.

David Barnett grabbed Trey Mullinax at 150-to-1, calling TPC Toronto a sneaky ‘Bombers Paradise.’ With only two par-5s and a slew of 200-plus-yard approaches, Barnett believes players need raw ball speed and high-launch long irons—two areas where Mullinax thrives (ranked top-15 in driving distance and GIRs from 200+). Barnett added that last year’s Americas Tour winner hit just 46 greens in regulation here because of steady winds, a setup that downplays short-game precision—historically Mullinax’s weakness. If conditions repeat, Barnett sees Mullinax’s length generating enough birdie looks to make a legitimate leaderboard run and pay off in outright and top-20 markets.

David Barnett flagged Vince Whaley as an 80-to-1 outright after noticing the Tour Junkies BTN model slots him sixth this week. Barnett rattled off Whaley’s recent finishes—11th at Colonial, 15th at the Byron Nelson, 7th at Corales—as proof the Georgia Tech product is stacking high results. He values Whaley’s combination of length off the tee and a reliable flat stick, two skills he thinks are mandatory at TPC Toronto. With both statistical model love and current form on his side, Barnett is betting outrights, each-ways, and top-10 props before the market corrects the mis-price.

David Barnett circled Keith Mitchell at 40-to-1 as his favorite mid-tier outright. Barnett loves that Mitchell pairs elite driving (top-10 SG:OTT on Tour) with long-iron proficiency—two skills highlighted by TPC Toronto’s beefy par-3s and limited par-5 scoring chances. The Georgia Bulldog has logged three top-20s in his past five starts, fueled by a quietly improving putter that is trending toward neutral after years in the red. Barnett thinks the recent near-misses prove a win is coming, and the softer Canadian Open field plus bomb-friendly layout give Mitchell his best chance yet to cash.

Matt Every encouraged bettors to jump on Luke Clanton before the number steams. The collegiate star has targeted this event for months and already owns multiple PGA Tour made-cuts via sponsor invites, showing ‘zero deer-in-the-headlights’ factor in Every’s words. Clanton brings 185-mph ball speed, elite proximity from 175-225 yards, and is coming in tournament-sharp after deep NCAA runs. Every thinks that combination of talent, confidence and recent reps could produce ‘something special’ in the Florida State product’s professional debut. He is sprinkling outrights and top-20s now, anticipating the market will shorten once casual bettors compare Clanton’s ball-striking stats to bigger names like Sungjae Im and Sam Burns above him on the board.

Matt Every said Shane Lowry is the first name that tempts him on the outright board at 22-to-1, despite Lowry’s reputation for Sunday heartbreak. Every emphasized that Lowry checks every box tee-to-green—fairways, high-flighted approaches, world-class scrambling—and showed that ceiling by gaining more than six strokes on approach at Muirfield Village. The lone issue is the flat stick: Lowry ranks near the bottom of this field in recent putting, but Every noted even poor putters pop once or twice a season. On a course that demands mid-iron control and allows grinders to survive mediocre putting weeks, Every believes one average putting performance is all Lowry needs to cash an outright or top-10 ticket.

Matt Every warned listeners not to chase Ludvig Aberg at 14-to-1, even though the Swede finally gained strokes in all three tee-to-green buckets at the Memorial. Every admitted TPC Toronto looks tailor-made for Aberg’s elite distance and mid-iron prowess, but pointed out that the public BTN model still slots him 56th this week—hardly the profile of a true favorite. With no PGA Tour win yet, Every doubts Aberg is ‘primed to win right now,’ especially on a brand-new track where variance is high. He would rather let others eat the short number and wait for a better price once the hype cools.

Pat Perry urged listeners to sprinkle outright and each-way bets on Vince Whaley at 80-to-1. Whaley sits sixth in the public BTN statistical model—higher than several players priced under 40-to-1—thanks to back-to-back strong finishes: T-15 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson and T-11 at the Charles Schwab, where he gained strokes in every major category. Perry highlighted Whaley’s recent uptick in fairways hit (67% last two starts versus his season average of 59%) as a critical factor for avoiding TPC Toronto’s penal rough. The course’s two-par-5 layout puts extra weight on par-4 scoring, an area where Whaley ranks 18th on Tour over the past 24 rounds. With a weaker field, favorable course fit, and red-hot irons (+4.2 SG:APP average over his past three events), Perry believes Whaley has legitimate Sunday-afternoon upside and is mis-priced at 80-1.

Matt Every advised bettors to steer clear of Rory McIlroy at short odds this week, saying “something’s going on there.” Every cited multiple red flags: McIlroy’s post-Masters schedule shuffle, public admission of a driver swing issue, and his decision to skip media duties and withdraw from Jack Nicklaus’s Memorial event without the customary courtesy call—all signs, in Every’s view, of a player searching for both confidence and equipment answers. The two-time Canadian Open champion normally dominates driver-heavy setups, but TPC Toronto’s tight landing areas punish misses, and Every believes Rory’s current uncertainty off the tee makes him a poor outright favorite. With only two par-5s available for his trademark scoring bursts and rumors of off-course distractions, Every prefers allocating bankroll to more fairly priced contenders until McIlroy shows tangible form and focus.

Pat Perry tagged Antoine Rozner as his favorite “bomb” placement bet, locking in a +400 number for a top-20 finish at TPC Toronto. Perry pointed to Rozner’s recent T-13 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson as proof the Frenchman’s ball-striking is trending in the right direction. He reminded listeners Rozner already owns top-20s on big-boy setups—the 2023 Open Championship and the 2021 Memorial—showing he can handle firm greens and 200-plus-yard par-3s similar to what players will face this week. With only two par-5s on the card, Perry expects a premium on precise mid-iron play, Rozner’s calling card (he ranks inside the top 30 on the DP World Tour in proximity from 175-225 yards). In a watered-down Canadian Open field, Perry believes Rozner’s win equity is higher than the market implies but prefers the safer top-20 ticket at 4-to-1 because of limited PGA Tour reps.

Perry wants no part of Shane Lowry this week, saying the Irishman keeps ‘pissing me off’ whenever he makes the betting card. Despite gaining 6.8 strokes on approach at Muirfield Village, Lowry bled three strokes around the green and with the putter before a disastrous Sunday fade. Perry argues the market continues to price Lowry in the 25-30-1 range based on name value rather than results, and TPC Toronto’s demanding up-and-down areas will expose his shaky scrambling. He is crossing Lowry off outrights and placement cards and recommends listeners do the same.

Perry flagged Luke Clanton’s professional debut as a betting opportunity, noting the collegiate star ranks 2nd in the early BTN model despite zero Tour rounds. At +160 for a top-20, Perry believes Clanton’s combination of 185-mph ball speed and elite iron play translates immediately on a course demanding distance and mid-iron precision. While acknowledging debut volatility, he views the number as mispriced relative to the skill set and will sprinkle top-20 and light outright tickets while treating Clanton as a high-ceiling GPP DFS punt.

Calling it his ‘lock 20’, Perry recommended betting Harry Hall +170 for a top-20 finish. Hall sits 11th in the BTN model and has quietly posted back-to-back weeks gaining strokes both off-the-tee and with the putter. Perry trusts Hall’s elite flat-stick to separate on pure bentgrass greens and thinks Hall’s recent uptick in fairways hit will mitigate TPC Toronto’s penal rough. With placement odds still plus money in a weaker field, Perry is making Hall a core prop and DFS salary-saver.

Perry singled out Corey Connors at 20-to-1 as his favorite mid-tier outright. Connors ranks fifth in the public BTN model thanks to season-long consistency tee-to-green and sits top-10 on Tour in greens-in-regulation. Perry added the intangible that Connors, a proud Canadian, will be highly motivated to win his national open, a feat Nick Taylor accomplished two years ago. Given the accuracy demands and bentgrass surfaces, Perry believes Connors’ elite ball-striking outweighs any putting concerns and makes him worth exposure in outrights, FRL and top-10 markets.

Pat Perry sees Ludvig Aberg as the best alternative to Rory at the top of the board. Aberg quietly gained roughly six strokes tee-to-green at the Memorial (T16) – his first week in the black for driving, approach and around-the-green since the Genesis – while remaining neutral with the putter. Perry thinks that renewed ball-striking plus Aberg’s elite distance sets up perfectly for TPC Toronto’s long par-3s and mid-iron heavy par-4s. With the course debuting and modelling uncertainty high, he views the 14-to-1 number as value and is comfortable taking outright and each-way positions.

David Barnett said bettors should keep riding Ben Griffin while the hot streak lasts. Barnett stressed that Griffin’s solo-second at the Memorial, where he stared down world-number-one Scottie Scheffler in the final pairing, was a huge confidence boost. Griffin answered early nerves—bogey at No.1—by immediately birdieing No.2 after a 322-yard fairway splitter and a dart approach. He twice followed front-nine bogeys with birdies, then eagled 15 from 256 yards to 12 feet and rolled in a 27-footer on 16 before a late double at 17 ended the chase. Barnett believes the bounce-back birdies, aggressive long-iron play, and willingness to fire at pins against elite competition show Griffin’s game and mindset are peaking. With a Zurich team win already on the résumé and Ryder Cup chatter growing, Barnett expects the swagger to carry into TPC Toronto and beyond, making Griffin a live outright and top-10 ticket again this week despite inevitable odds shortening.