Shamim noted heavy professional money on Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty in multiple draft props. Jeanty flipped from +200 to -135 to be the No. 5 pick (held by Jacksonville) and remains the +150 favorite at No. 6 to Las Vegas after opening −125. He is an overwhelming −5000 to be the first running back drafted and has taken twice as much cash as Omarion Hampton in that market. BetMGM also moved the Raiders’ 'first position drafted' prop to RB at −110, with OL a distant +350. Jeanty is even drawing top‑five and top‑ten bets alongside Georgia LB Jalon Walker. Shamim interprets the line movement and handle distribution as a strong indicator that one of the RB‑needy AFC teams will pull the trigger early, making Jeanty a worthwhile short‑price bet both for first RB and for a top‑six landing spot.

According to Will Shamim, Penn State pass‑rusher Abdul Carter has tightened from −650 on Monday to −800 Tuesday to be drafted third overall by the New York Giants. Despite Sanders holding nearly triple the ticket count and Hunter commanding more handle, BetMGM has kept Carter short throughout the process, reflecting front‑office intel that the Giants are prioritizing an edge defender. The book’s liability on Sanders and Hunter did not dissuade traders from making Carter an even heavier favorite, a signal Shamim says bettors should respect if considering plus‑money alternatives.

Shamim reported that BetMGM lengthened Travis Hunter from -400 to -900 and then to -2000 in just five days to go No. 2 overall to Cleveland, calling him 'seemingly a lock.' Browns GM Andrew Berry publicly compared Hunter to Shohei Ohtani and confirmed plans to use him on both sides of the ball, reinforcing the book’s stance. Hunter now holds 37.9 % of all money wagered on the No. 2 pick, second only to Sanders in tickets but first in handle. With no other player shorter than +700 (Abdul Carter), Shamim advised that bettors treat Hunter’s market as effectively closed unless they can still find him at −1000 or shorter.

BetMGM trader Will Shamim said sharps pounced on a potential Saints‑Sanders connection after Derek Carr’s shoulder injury leaked, but that action has since dried up and the market is now pricing in a free fall. BetMGM moved Sanders from +180 to +500 to go 9th overall in 24 hours, while FanDuel hung a special prop—'Shedeur Free Fall: drafted 15th or later'—that ballooned from -225 to -310. DraftKings sits at +1200 for the 9th pick, indicating the books believe a mid‑first–round slide is more likely than a top‑10 selection. Shamim added that teams hoping to jump New Orleans would likely work with the Panthers, yet no such movement has materialized. The combination of cooling top‑10 interest, widening odds at every shop, and a dedicated prop on a slide past 15 picks makes the Under on his draft position (i.e., later pick number) the recommended wager.